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Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 Kirby Adams, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer Brian Kruger, Chief Financial Officer 19 February, 2004 ASX Code: BSL
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Page 1: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003Kirby Adams, Managing Director and Chief Executive OfficerBrian Kruger, Chief Financial Officer19 February, 2004

ASX Code: BSL

Page 2: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 2

Important Notice

THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT FORM PART OF ANY OFFER, INVITATION OR RECOMMENDATION IN RESPECT OF SECURITIES. ANY DECISION TO BUY OR SELL BSL SECURITIES OR OTHER PRODUCTS SHOULD BE MADE ONLY AFTER SEEKING APPROPRIATE FINANCIAL ADVICE. RELIANCE SHOULD NOT BE PLACED ON INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED IN THIS PRESENTATION AND, SUBJECT ONLY TO ANY LEGAL OBLIGATION TO DO SO, BSL DOES NOT ACCEPT ANY OBLIGATION TO CORRECT OR UPDATE THEM. THIS PRESENTATION DOES NOT TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION THE INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, FINANCIAL SITUATION OR PARTICULAR NEEDS OF ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR.

TO THE FULLEST EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW, BSL AND ITS AFFILIATES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE OFFICERS, DIRECTORS, EMPLOYEES AND AGENTS, ACCEPT NO RESPONSIBILITY FOR ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THIS PRESENTATION, INCLUDING ANY FORWARD LOOKING INFORMATION, AND DISCLAIM ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (INCLUDING FOR NEGLIGENCE) FOR ANY LOSS HOWSOEVER ARISING FROM ANY USE OF THIS PRESENTATION OR RELIANCE ON ANYTHING CONTAINED IN OR OMITTED FROM IT OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS.

Page 3: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 3

Name Change

BlueScope Steel Limited

Page 4: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 4

Group Headlines

Why 6% down?Strengthened by:- higher product prices and continued strong demandOffset by:- stronger A$- lower North Star Joint Venture earnings (-$61m for our 50% interest)- other, including higher planned R&M costs at PKSW (timing)

• EPS stable 29.8¢ vs. 30.6¢

• Strong net profit of $227m continues momentum6% down on corresponding half (December 2002)8% up on previous half (June 2003)

• Safety Continued improvement in Lost Time Injury Frequency RateContinued improvement in Medical Treatment Injury Frequency Rate

Page 5: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 5

Group Headlines (cont.)

Gearing (net debt) 9.1% vs. 2.4% (30/6/03)

• Significant growth initiatives, principally:Vietnam – new coating / painting facilityThailand – second coating lineAcquisition – Butler Manufacturing CompanyChina – new coating / painting facility

• Share buyback status as at 18/2/0460.7m shares purchased 76.5% of total program

• Interim dividend increased by 33%From 9¢ to 12¢Fully franked

Page 6: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 6

Group Headlines (cont.)

Outlook for second half FY2004

- Strong International Market.

- Strong US$ steel pricing environment.

- Improving margins at North Star Joint Venture.

- Volatile raw materials and freight market.

Page 7: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 7

Strong Financial Performance Across All Segments

265

2164 47

206

2355

37

179

20

102

45

0

100

200

300

400

500FY03-1H FY03-2H FY04-1H

Hot Rolled Products New Zealand Steel Coated Products Australia Coated Products Asia

A$ M

illion

s

• PKSW- Slab- HRC- Plate

• NS JV (50%)• Castrip

• Western Port• Springhill• Packaging Products• Service Centres• Lysaght

• Thailand• Malaysia• Indonesia• Vietnam• China

636

2

Return on Net Assets (Pre-TaxAnnualised)

19% 10% 17% 21%

Page 8: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 8

BlueScope Steel’s Markets – Strong Demand

• Increased South East Asian despatches, largely driven by:Internal initiatives, eg:- broadened product range, eg. PEBs and trusses;- market development into Vietnam and China.

Stronger economic growth.

Increasing steel demand.

• Long term customer relationships.

• External sales mix largely unchanged from 2002/03 by:Geographic region; andAustralian market segments.

Page 9: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 9

BlueScope Steel’s Markets – Strong Demand (cont.)

• Apparent Steel Consumption – South East Asian Countries

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003E

THAILAND MALAYSIA VIETNAM INDONESIA PHILIPPINES SINGAPORE

Source: SEASI, IISI

Page 10: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 10

Dynamic Global Steel Market

Asia / AustAsia / Australasiaralasia•• Japan at capacityJapan at capacity•• Korean shipyards fullKorean shipyards full•• Key market remains ChinaKey market remains China•• South East Asian economies South East Asian economies

improvingimproving

EuropeEurope•• Strong Euro Strong Euro •• Consolidation benefits evidentConsolidation benefits evident•• Weak demand, apart from Weak demand, apart from

RussiaRussia•• Restricted scrap exports from Restricted scrap exports from

CISCIS

North AmericaNorth America•• Consolidation continuesConsolidation continues•• Scrap and coke prices / Scrap and coke prices /

availabilityavailability•• Scrap surchargesScrap surcharges•• Economic recovery Economic recovery

underwayunderway•• Section 201 liftedSection 201 lifted•• Weak US$Weak US$

ChinaChina•• Demand is strongDemand is strong•• Imports increasedImports increased•• Quotas relaxedQuotas relaxed•• New capacityNew capacity•• Reduced coke & coal Reduced coke & coal

exportsexports

GlobalGlobal•• Record high US$ steel pricesRecord high US$ steel prices•• Inflating raw material costsInflating raw material costs•• Freight costsFreight costs•• Global exchange rate Global exchange rate

volatilityvolatility

Page 11: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 11

BlueScope Steel Raw Materials and Freight

• Iron Ore and Coking CoalAnnounced price increases effective 1 July 2004.

• ScrapPort Kembla – less than 1.0 mtpa (50% external).North Star Joint Venture – approximately 1.8 mtpa.

• FreightLargely insulated from record rates in FY2004.Contract renewal dates staggered.Will increase from FY2005.

Page 12: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 12

Strategy – Downstream, Value Added, Branded Products

SlabSlab

Hot Rolled Coil, Plate

Cold Rolled

Painted Painted

Roll-forming Roll-

forming

Metallic Coated

PEB/Solutions

Metallic Coated

CURRENT FUTURE

Hot Rolled Coil, Plate

Cold Rolled

Illustrative

PEB/Solutions

Vietnam

Australia & NZ Brownfields

Australia & NZ BrownfieldsIndonesia

Butler

China

Vietnam

Thailand China

Page 13: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 13

Implementing BlueScope Steel’s Strategy

Acquisition of Butler Manufacturing Company– Pre-eminent global designer/supplier of Pre-Engineered Buildings (PEBs)– Number One positions in North America and China– Worldwide brand recognition

An Attractive Opportunity at the Right Time

Page 14: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 14

Strategy – China Business Integration

• Located at Suzhou, 80kms west of Shanghai.

• Excellent transport links.

• Metallic Coating Line - 250,000tpaPaint Line - 150,000tpaSlitter / Recoil Facility - 20,000tpa

• Capital cost A$280m.

• Start construction April 2004.

• Start production mid-CY2006.

• Import replacement.

• Risk management.

Artist’s Impression

Page 15: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 15

Strategy – Reducing Market Risk of Coating Line

TotalLoading

100%

ZINCALUME®

OPALTM

Feed

Galvanised

BareZINCALUME®

CleanCOLORBOND®

Feed

250,000t

Target Market: Premium-High

Target Market: Middle

ZINCALUME®

Clean COLORBOND®

OPALTM

Galvanised TRUZINC®

SalesIncluding

Butler

Internal56%

External44%

Page 16: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 16

Strategy - Strong Production and Sales Network

BlueScope Steel 1 Metal Coating & Painting facility4 Lysaght manufacturing facilities2 PEB manufacturing facilitiesOver 50 sales offices

Chengdu • Lysaght

Langfang • LysaghtTianjin• Butler PEBs

Shanghai• Lysaght• Butler PEB

Guangzhou • Lysaght

Suzhou• Coating and

Painting Facility

Page 17: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 17

Strategy – Growth Staircase

Illustrative

CHINAMetallic +250,000tPainted +150,000t

VIETNAMMetallic +150,000t and Painted +50,000t/a

THAILANDMetallic +200,000t/a

BUTLER MANUFACTURING COMPANY

NEW ZEALANDMetallic +24,000t/a and Painted +7,000t/a

INDONESIAPainted +25,000t/a

FY2004 FY2006FY2005 FY2007

Page 18: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 18

Strategy - BlueScope Steel - a global leader in adding value to hot rolled coil

VALUE-ADDING FOCUS(Proportion of Hot-Dipped Metal Coating to Hot Rolled Coil Capacity; Largest 40 Flat Global Steelmakers)

Source: IISI ‘World Steel in Figures 2003’, CRU ‘Capacity Database April 2003’0

10

20

30

40

50

BlueScopeSteel

Valu

e-ad

ding

%

Page 19: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 19

Summary

Another strong result from BlueScope Steel.

• Strong demand / pricing.

• Interim dividend 9¢ to 12¢ per share.

• Downstream growth initiatives (more than $550m capex over 3 years).

• Announced strategy being implemented and portfolio reshaped.

• Geographic and product diversification decreasing risk.

Page 20: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 20

FinancialsFinancials

Page 21: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 21

Profitable Through the Cycle

• Continued Strong Net Profit Performance

A$ Millions 2000(1) 2001(1) 2002(1) 2003 2003-1H 2003-2H 2004-1H

Revenue 4,898 4,941 4,593 5,302 2,590 2,712 2,619

EBITDA(2) 711 568 412 881 464 417 440

EBIT(2) 445 305 160 611 332 279 302

Net Profit 452 242 210 227

EPS (¢) 57.1(3) 30.6(3) 26.5(3) 29.8(3)

(1) 2000 to and including 2002 normalised.(2) Includes net profit/loss for North Star Joint Venture.(3) Weighted average shares on issue 793.0m (FY03-1H); 790.1m (FY03-2H) and 761.7m (FY04-1H).

Page 22: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 22

EBIT Variance – First Half FY2003 vs. First Half FY2004

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Dec 02 Half Export Prices DomesticPrices

Volume / Mix NS JV ExchangeRates

Conversion &Other Costs

Raw MaterialCosts

Other Dec 03 Half

A$mi

llions

$332m

$50m

$302m

($38m)

$11m

$58m($56m)

($61m)

$59m

($53m)

Higher R&M (30)Employment costs (25)Cost Improvements 19

Dec ’02 Superannuation contribution 20

Lower restructuring costs 26

Page 23: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 23

EBIT Variance – Second Half FY2003 vs. First Half FY2004

200

220

240

260

280

300

320

340

360

380

June 03 Half Export Prices DomesticPrices

Volume / Mix NS JV ExchangeRates

Conversion &Other Costs

Raw MaterialCosts

Other Dec 03 Half

A$mi

llions

$279m$7m

$302m($11m)

$24m

($6m)

($14m)

($5m)$33m

($5m)

Page 24: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 24

Balance Sheet – Strength and Flexibility

As at A$ Millions 31 Dec 02 30 June 03 31 Dec 03 Assets Cash 137 91 92 Receivables 508 650 581 Inventory 766 698 759 Other Assets 268 216 224 Net Fixed Assets 3,171 3,086 2,997 Total Assets 4,850 4,741 4,653

Liabilities Creditors 499 493 412 Interest Bearing Liabilities

352 168 381

Provisions 905 989 973 Total Liabilities 1,756 1,650 1,766

Net Assets 3,094 3,091 2,887

• Net Debt / (Net Debt + Equity) 6.5% 2.4% 9.1%(excluding off balance sheet items)

Page 25: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 25

Recent major Growth Initiatives underway and Indicative Capex Profile

FY2006FY2005FY2004Balance

Total Est –Capex/Cost

$50m$375m$345mA$780mTotal

--$260mA$260mButler- Acquisition cost

$40m$220m$20mA$280mChina- New coating/painting facilities

-$55m$25mA$80mThailand- Metallic coating expansion

$10m$100m$40mA$160mVietnam- New coating facilities

Page 26: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 26

Continued Focus on Tax Effective Returns to Shareholders

• Share Buyback- Plan – up to 10% (79.3m) by March 2004- Purchased/cancelled to

18 February 2004 – 60.7m shares (76.5%)

• Dividends - All Fully Franked

Total return to shareholders since listing:

• Buyback A$285m• Dividends A$225m• + Interim A$ 88m

A$598m

913 12

7

0

5

10

15

20

25

1H 2H 1H

SpecialOrdinary

¢

¢¢

Cent

s Per

Sha

re

¢

Page 27: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 27

Consistently Strong Cash Flows

A$ millions 2000(1) 2001(1) 2002(1) 2003 2003-1H 2003-2H 2004-1HNet operating cash flow before borrowing costs and income tax

715 631 381 763 386 377 357

Net investing cash flows - Capital expenditure - Other

(90) 10

(105)

(6)

(162)

8

(183)

18

(76) 33

(107) (15)

(99) (3)

Net cash flow before financing & tax

635 520 227 598 343 255 255

Net financing cash flow (493) (295) (198) (8) Payment of income tax (29) (8) (21) (84) Net dividends (75) (3) (72) (155) Net increase in cash held 1 37 (36) 8

(1) 2000 to and including 2002 normalised.

Page 28: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 28

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Iron Ore Prices

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Fines

A$ : US$ Exchange rate

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Hot Rolled Coil Prices

BlueScope Steel Outlook

Key Industry Drivers

Shipping Rates

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2003 20042001199919971995

Page 29: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Page 29

Creating Shareholder Value

Dynamic Global Steel

Market

Dynamic Global Steel

Market

Geographic and Product

Diversity

Geographic and Product

Diversity

Strong Board & Management

Team

Strong Board & Management

Team

Growth Opportunities in

Asia

Growth Opportunities in

Asia

Low Cost Producer

Low Cost Producer

Strong and Flexible Capital

Structure

Strong and Flexible Capital

Structure

Profitable Through the

Cycle

Profitable Through the

Cycle

Consistently Strong Cash

Flows

Consistently Strong Cash

Flows

Strong Operating

Track Record

Strong Operating

Track Record

Value Added Branded Products

Value Added Branded Products

A DIFFERENT KIND OF STEEL COMPANY

Page 30: Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003 · Russia • Restricted scrap ... June 03 Half Export Prices Domestic Pr ic es Volume / Mix NS JV Exchange Rates Conversion

Half Year Results Presentation Period Ended 31 December 2003Kirby Adams, Managing Director and Chief Executive OfficerBrian Kruger, Chief Financial Officer19 February, 2004

ASX Code: BSL


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