Date post: | 29-Jan-2015 |
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LOW RANK COAL IN THE FUTURE
Coal production; Sub-Holding for BEL and Mifa
PT Cipta Kridatama (“CK”)
Contract Mining
99.99%
PT Sumberdaya Sewatama (“SS”)
Power solutions
99.98%
PT Cipta Krida Bahari (“CKB”)
Integrated logistics
99.99%
PT Sanggar Sarana Baja (“SSB”)
Engineering services
99.96%
Sub-Holding for thermal energy IPP
PT Pradipa Aryasatya (“PAS”)
99.9%
Sub-Holding for renewable energy IPP
PT Nagata Bisma Shakti (“NBS”)
99.9% 12.0%
Coal logistics
PT Baruna Dirga Dharma (“BDD”)
99.9%
Shipping
PT Alfa Trans Raya (“ATR”)
99.99%
23.12% 55% 21.88%
99.98%
IPP
PT Metaepsi Pejebe Power Generation (“Meppogen”)
General trading
PT Prima Wiguna Parama (“PWP”)
PT Reswara Minergi Hartama (“Reswara”)
Coal production
PT Bara Energi Lestari (“BEL”)
Coal production
PT Mifa Bersaudara (“Mifa”)
Coal production
99.99%
70.0% 99.99% 99.99%
99.99% 99.99%
Coal production
PT Tunas Inti Abadi (“TIA”)
Port operator & management
PT Pelabuhan Buana Reja (“PBR”)
PT Media Djaya Bersama (“MDB”)
Public
RESWARA WITHIN TMT GROUP
2
RESWARA WITHIN THE GROUP
TIA MDB Total
Coal Reserves (MT)
52 159 211
Coal Resources
Measured 32 18 50
Indicated 39 289 328
Inferred 35 148 183
Total 106 455 561
Concession (Ha) 3,074 4,629 7,703
Total Resources: 561 Million Tons
Total Reserves: 221 Million Tons
* Based on Joint Ore Report Committee JORC Report
RESWARA GROUP POTENTIAL
5
RESWARA GROUP COAL RAMP-UP
ADB GAR 2013 2014 2015 2016
TIA 5400-5600 3900-4100 5 5 6 6
MDB 3300-3517 3100-3400 1 6 10 15
Total (in million MT) 6 11 16 21
4
6
11
16
21
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2013 2014 2015 2016
Title
TIA MDB Total Production Volume
TIA HAS A STABLE PRODUCTION AFTER 3 YEARS
3
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
TIA SALES VOLUME TRADING SALES VOLUME
Projection 2013
TIA AT GLANCE
6
4 4
TIA OPERATION
• TIA was acquired in Dec 2007, commenced commercial production in Aug 2009 and coal sales in Oct 2009
• Coal mining is contracted to ABM subsidiary, CK
• 25 km from pit to port at Bunati
• 9-12 km from port to anchorage point at Bunati
• 8,000 ton barge loading capacity at jetty
• 120,000 tons temporary pile facility at the mining pit
• Logistic advantages: Close to the Ocean
7
Barge Loading Conveyor with 1500mtph capacity
TIA OPERATION
8
MDB AT GLANCE
9
MDB INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN MDB INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN
A
A
B
C
D
E
F
±
A Support facilities; camp, workshop, and office.
B Coal processing plant; crusher and stockpile.
C Main haul road.
D Overland conveyor.
E Barge loading and coal rehandling facilities.
F
Transhipment facilities FBOS (Fixed Berth Offshore Shiploader).
C C
D D
F F
10
MDB OPERATION & CONSTRUCTION
11
Cambodia
India
China
Thailand
OUR REGIONAL MARKET OUR REGIONAL MARKET
12
LOW AND MEDIUM RANK COAL BUSINESS IN THE FUTURE
LOW AND MEDIUM RANK COAL BUSINESS IN THE FUTURE
12
I. Coal Supply and Demand Overview for current and
the future
II. Barrier to entry for New Player
III. Uncertainty of Coal Business
IV. Future of Low and Medium Coal Business
Content Content
Domestic Coal Consumption 2012
Indonesian Coal Outlook
Coal is still the best choice as source of energy to produce electricity
New Coal Fired Power Plant 2013 PLN ̴ 3200 MW will need continuous supply in the future
Global Coal Supply and Demand
Coal Supply to China
Coal Supply and Demand in India
Coal Import composition to India Current Coal Supply and Demand in India
Coal Supply and Demand in India
Indian Coal Supply and Demand Outlook
Indian Power Capacity Addition : 12th Plan
In MW
Coal Market Summary
Coal Industry is still interesting due to demand growth in domestic market and
global market.
China’s Coal demand decrease in the future and will affected to Indonesia due
to Indonesia’s big portion supplies to China
Growth of Coal fired Power Plant in India increase significantly in the next 5
year will make more demand of coal in the future
Over Supply of Coal around the world will make the prices very tight in the
future
Trend of Coal fired plant with using low rank coal in the future will make a low
rank coal business still interesting in the future, but not the price.
High coal demand for power plant will need more investment to build a new
economical coal mining to cover the supplies
I. Coal Supply and Demand Overview for current and
the future
II. Barrier to entry for New Player
III. Uncertainty of Coal Business
IV. Future of Low and Medium Coal Business
Content Content
Investor need to comply minimum 7 stages in developing a new mine
5. Construction & Development
2. Evaluation & Mine Planning
3. Feasibility Study
4. AMDAL, Detail Planning, & Financing
1. Land Acquisition 2. Permitting 3. Mining Development 4. Infrastructure Development 5. HR & Organization 6. Market Development 7. Social Acceptance through
CSR & Community Development
1. Land Acquisition 2. Permitting 3. Mining Development 4. Infrastructure Development 5. HR & Organization 6. Market Development 7. Social Acceptance through
CSR & Community Development
6. Operation Preparation & Production 1. Operation
Management System
2. EHS Management
System
3. Cost Control
Management System
4. Sustainability
1. Operation
Management System
2. EHS Management
System
3. Cost Control
Management System
4. Sustainability
7. Rehabilitation and Mine Closure
1. Prospecting & Exploration
7 PRIMARY STAGES IN DEVELOPING A NEW MINE
Technical Challenge
• Exploration and work condition at remote area
• Technical expertise (geologist, mine engineering, operation and maintenance, contract &
procurement, logistic, and administration)
• Manufacturing, Processing, equipment and Plant
• Safety, Health, and Environmental system management, monitoring and control
• Technical Reporting and compliances to world class standard
Non-Technical & Social Challenge
• Legal & Permitting
• Financing
• Land Acquisition and Compensation
• Local Community
• Government and Regulation
From two major type of
challenges above, Non
Technical and Social
challenge took a biggest
part nowadays.
• People, System, and Process
Common Challenges In Developing New Mine
New Mine
Legal &
Permitting
Land
Government
& regulation
Financing Local
Community
Many Rules and Regulation should be
complied (there are 64 Rule & Regulations
that mining company must comply to)
Dispute in Land ownership and unfair
pricing
Unique Community issues in every single
area
High Risk in Developing New Mine will
make more difficult to have funding from
Financial Institution
Uncertainty and inconsistent in Regulation
implementation after decentralization
Primary Challenges In Developing New Mine
I. Coal Supply and Demand Overview for current and
the future
II. Barrier to entry for New Player
III. Uncertainty of Coal Business
IV. Future of Low and Medium Coal Business
Content Content
Low Rank Coal Industry Current Condition
2.7 4.3
6.1 6.7
10.4
13.8
18.5
27.2
26.1
3.8%
5.1%
6.0% 5.8%
7.6%
11.8% 11.7%
13.4% 13.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Expor Batubara (US$ Billion) % Total Expor
12
31
Juni 2013 1
4 Mei 2013
2 Juni 2013 Mei 2013
3
5 Feb 2013
6 Feb 2013
Low Rank Coal Industry Current Condition
32
Coal Price
Decrease in 2012 Reassess production plan
Decreasing Margin
of the company
Respons
Low Rank Coal Industry Current Condition
Increasing of Royalty and export tax implemented
Increasing of Royalty and export tax implemented
Coal margin decrease
Coal margin decrease
Adjust S/R and propose discount rate to contractor
Contractor Contractor Equipment, spare part, wages -> increase
Decreasing production
Discount Rate
Is the project still visible or not?
Stop operations
Hold the project
• Standby Equipment • Revenue decrease • Employee
termination
Pressure to contractor
Fuel Price, Explosive -> Increase
Other pressure to IUP
Low Rank Coal Industry Current Condition
Low Rank Coal Industry Current Condition
I. Coal Supply and Demand Overview for current and
the future
II. Barrier to entry for New Player
III. Uncertainty of Coal Business
IV. Future of Low and Medium Coal Business
Content Content
Coal Utilization Coal Utilization
COAL
Direct Usage
Conversion
Upgrading
Power Plant
Industries
Liquefaction
Gasification
Kokas
Active Carbon
High Rank Coal
Oil Fuel
Gas Fuel
Electricity
Investor will need much support from government and community
Coal Business will be still interesting in the future subject to:
Global Economic Growth
Successful of Upgrading Technology
Successful of Coal Conversion technology
Commitment of Government to develop coal fired power plant in
Indonesia
Challenges to Develop new mine
Uncertainty of Regulation (implementation of export tax and changing of
royalty rate)
Inconsistency regulation between central government, provincial
government, and local government)
Support from government for clarity of law requirement and land
compensation
Thank you