HEAT MAP Feb 20 - melbourneairport.com.au€¦ · All Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Feb 20...

Passenger Forecast by Terminal

Terminal Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total

INTERNATIONAL 951,757 947,548 1,086,470 1,152,224 837,115 846,670 5,821,784

T1 802,057 773,994 722,175 668,204 699,271 794,271 4,459,972

T3 700,964 682,536 676,878 620,281 582,882 661,585 3,925,126

T4 846,111 773,510 831,475 882,739 687,166 761,473 4,782,474

Total International Pax Forecast951,757 947,548 1,086,470 1,152,224 837,115 846,670 5,821,784

Total Domestic Pax Forecast2,349,132 2,230,040 2,230,528 2,171,224 1,969,319 2,217,329 13,167,572

Total Pax Forecast3,300,889 3,177,588 3,316,998 3,323,448 2,806,434 3,063,999 18,989,356

Actual Actual Actual Jan AOP

Variance Analysis - Forecast to Budget

Terminal Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

3+9 Pax Foreast (International) 950,207 948,943 1,111,560 1,138,956 930,344 937,485 6,017,495

3+9 Pax Forecast (Domestic) 2,317,149 2,231,388 2,198,260 2,220,595 1,942,596 2,193,477 13,103,465

Variance to 3+9(International) 1,550 (1,395) (25,090) 13,268 (93,229) (90,815) (195,711)

Variance to 3+9 (Domestic) 31,983 (1,348) 32,268 (49,371) 26,723 23,852 64,107

Total Variance to 3+9 33,533 (2,743) 7,178 (36,103) (66,506) (66,963) (131,604)


Passenger Forecast by Airline

Airline Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total

QANTAS 176,560 170,718 182,565 187,019 151,767 163,515 1,032,144

JETSTAR 107,612 103,704 105,592 119,816 91,056 95,963 623,743

EMIRATES 58,320 53,206 69,331 70,076 52,814 55,177 358,924

SINGAPORE AIRLINES 67,835 66,831 71,319 82,559 55,398 60,167 404,109

AIR NEW ZEALAND 58,474 66,523 80,118 75,051 67,164 74,714 422,044

CATHAY PACIFIC 50,379 45,170 55,901 55,625 40,248 41,436 288,759

VIRGIN AUSTRALIA 50,885 51,466 60,939 60,113 38,578 43,104 305,085

ETIHAD 31,515 27,281 33,440 32,090 24,381 21,602 170,309

THAI AIRWAYS INTL 28,944 33,109 35,131 37,376 31,847 29,142 195,549

CHINA SOUTHERN AIR 31,066 38,639 49,152 64,519 35,500 25,555 244,431

MALAYSIA 31,546 31,931 38,067 39,093 33,947 26,580 201,164

QATAR AIRWAYS 24,987 24,592 28,769 28,640 20,464 20,437 147,889

GARUDA INDONESIA AIR 19,916 17,431 21,071 24,748 15,215 12,961 111,342

CHINA EASTERN 25,219 26,224 28,715 32,864 19,389 15,469 147,880

VIETNAM AIRLINES 14,137 13,955 16,336 15,755 11,984 13,639 85,806

OTHER INTERNATIONAL 174,362 176,768 210,024 224,930 146,085 147,209 1,079,378

TOTAL INTERNATIONAL PAX FORECAST 951,757 947,548 1,086,470 1,150,274 835,837 846,670 5,818,556

QANTAS DOMESTIC 802,057 773,994 722,175 668,204 699,271 794,271 4,459,972

VIRGIN AUSTRALIA DOMESTIC 700,964 682,536 676,878 620,281 582,882 661,585 3,925,126

JETSTAR AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 590,075 525,254 574,204 629,898 483,730 557,083 3,360,244

TIGER AIRWAYS DOMESTIC 232,053 225,535 235,307 235,093 183,796 237,708 1,349,492

REGIONAL EXPRESS 21,136 19,984 18,596 15,377 17,397 22,138 114,628

AIR NORTH REGIONAL 2,847 2,737 3,368 2,371 2,243 3,119 16,685

TOTAL DOMESTIC PAX FORECAST 2,349,132 2,230,040 2,230,528 2,171,224 1,969,319 2,275,904 13,226,147


Forecast pax Feb 20

Based of Clock Hour of Schedule Flight

Airport Operations Plan - Whole of Airport February 20

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

All Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Feb 20

Seat Capacity Trend

HEAT MAP Feb 20Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule

Average Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Feb 20

Seat Load Factor (%) by MonthAverage Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Feb 20

SLF Feb 20

75.4%2.81m

Forecast Seats Feb 20

3.72m

78

94 94

86

97

103

111

83

101 103

91

97

102

108

79

101 101

91

100

107

112

80

103 103

92

97

105 108

78

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

Air

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Movements Passengers

3,986

160 - -

432 -

3,919

- 185

212 -

262

700

1200

1700

2200

2700

3200

3700

4200

4700

Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 End of Period

Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base

84.2% 84.5%

84.1%

80.0%

75.4% 74.9%

65.0%

67.0%

69.0%

71.0%

73.0%

75.0%

77.0%

79.0%

81.0%

83.0%

85.0%

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

October November December January February March

Seat

Lo

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Seat

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Seats Passengers Seat Load Factor

Arriving Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun27-Jan 56,848 53,927 50,352 54,556 56,795 40,167 47,901

3-Feb 47,869 44,782 50,139 53,480 58,189 43,787 50,994

10-Feb 51,056 46,576 51,026 54,203 56,405 40,781 51,038

17-Feb 51,522 47,092 52,730 57,063 60,293 43,220 52,700

24-Feb 50,327 46,600 50,807 54,796 56,286 40,573 51,279

Departing Pax- WB Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun27-Jan 54,415 49,942 43,210 49,227 52,148 37,430 45,971

3-Feb 46,103 41,596 46,908 49,453 52,435 39,465 49,941

10-Feb 52,027 44,773 45,833 48,275 51,450 38,700 49,595

17-Feb 49,804 43,625 47,276 50,405 52,021 36,722 50,377

24-Feb 52,668 44,961 46,404 50,179 52,200 37,435 50,433

Passenger Forecast by Airline

Airline Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

176,560 170,718 182,565 187,019 151,767 163,515 1,032,144

107,612 103,704 105,592 119,816 91,056 95,963 623,743

58,320 53,206 69,331 70,076 52,814 55,177 358,924

67,835 66,831 71,319 82,559 55,398 60,167 404,109

58,474 66,523 80,118 75,051 67,164 74,714 422,044

50,379 45,170 55,901 55,625 40,248 41,436 288,759

50,885 51,466 60,939 60,113 38,578 43,104 305,085

31,515 27,281 33,440 32,090 24,381 21,602 170,309

28,944 33,109 35,131 37,376 31,847 29,142 195,549

31,066 38,639 49,152 64,519 35,500 25,555 244,431

31,546 31,931 38,067 39,093 33,947 26,580 201,164

24,987 24,592 28,769 28,640 20,464 20,437 147,889

19,916 17,431 21,071 24,748 15,215 12,961 111,342

25,219 26,224 28,715 32,864 19,389 15,469 147,880

14,137 13,955 16,336 15,755 11,984 13,639 85,806

12,021 12,456 16,850 20,946 12,585 13,227 88,085

19,789 22,554 32,154 34,471 17,585 20,002 146,555

10,706 7,922 11,961 13,248 8,667 7,554 60,058

8,606 14,765 15,955 14,946 9,866 10,140 74,278

9,638 9,064 10,458 9,101 6,027 7,092 51,380

7,521 3,668 4,193 5,253 2,246 2,550 25,431

11,092 12,006 14,098 14,456 9,577 7,053 68,282

5,914 5,641 6,346 6,474 5,852 5,795 36,022

6,477 6,035 7,046 8,584 5,003 5,206 38,351

7,078 8,696 9,415 9,859 7,127 6,482 48,657

4,370 3,936 4,693 6,290 1,911 1,710 22,910

8,038 8,050 9,077 8,904 5,713 5,754 45,536

10,656 10,644 10,384 11,157 8,358 7,467 58,666

2,634 2,676 2,772 3,561 2,533 1,825 16,001

5,648 5,416 5,698 5,452 5,151 5,330 32,695

15,259 15,242 17,146 16,226 11,736 13,441 89,050

3,056 3,768 4,939 5,771 2,960 3,095 23,589

5,934 7,359 8,572 9,139 7,375 7,951 46,330

8,569 7,693 6,781 9,147 7,866 7,138 47,194

8,734 7,090 9,124 8,617 6,807 5,849 46,221

2,622 2,087 2,362 3,328 1,140 2,548 14,087

- - - 1,950 1,278 - 3,228

Total Pax Forecast951,757 947,548 1,086,470 1,152,224 837,115 846,670 5,821,784

3+9 Pax Forecast/Budget950,207 948,943 1,111,560 1,138,956 930,344 937,485 6,017,495

Variance1,550 (1,395) (25,090) 13,268 (93,229) (90,815) (195,711)

Actual Actual Actual Dec AOP

AOP Pax Feb 20

\

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of Nw19 Schedule


Passengers

5.82m

837k 4.2k

Seats Oct- Mar 20

7.35m

1.16m

Seats Feb 20

HEAT MAP Feb 20

February 20Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 2

26.7k

AC Mov Feb 20

AC Mov Oct- Mar 20

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCE

T2 Seat Capacity Trend

Terminal 2 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Feb 20

Seat Load Factor (%) by Month


Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Feb 20

32

31

30

26

28

29

31 30

32

30

25

27

30

31

29

32

29

24

27

28

29 29

31

28

24

26

30 30 29

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

135

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

Air

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1,186

-

-

-

191

-

1,173

7

117

58

-

22

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

1400


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base

81%

80%

84%

72% 71%

65%

67%

69%

71%

73%

75%

77%

79%

81%

83%

85%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600


Seat

Lo

ad F

acto

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Seat

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3-Feb 16,581 14,481 15,427 16,210 16,759 16,259 17,488

10-Feb 16,591 14,251 15,583 16,259 16,700 15,772 17,459

17-Feb 15,869 13,724 14,793 15,524 16,252 15,717 17,174

24-Feb 15,007 13,394 14,534 15,740 16,012 15,828 17,256


3-Feb 13,757 11,829 12,643 13,208 13,794 13,906 14,455

10-Feb 13,070 10,949 11,866 13,471 13,847 13,319 14,077

17-Feb 12,647 10,016 11,794 12,801 13,140 13,450 13,949

24-Feb 12,734 10,669 11,660 13,977 13,592 13,659 14,767

Passenger Forecast

Destination Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

SYDNEY 213,748 217,141 197,538 195,413 186,449 218,272 1,228,561

BRISBANE 111,348 103,518 105,507 91,509 83,522 100,253 595,657

ADELAIDE 82,119 76,757 71,805 73,724 73,258 79,146 456,809

PERTH 59,088 58,535 64,461 59,357 46,896 55,652 343,989

GOLD COAST 62,784 60,952 68,101 62,955 52,188 56,771 363,751

HOBART 41,077 39,353 41,469 37,499 36,931 38,773 235,102

CANBERRA 36,465 36,699 32,518 23,330 32,084 34,144 195,240

LAUNCESTON 27,565 26,030 27,707 22,400 24,286 24,285 152,273

SUNSHINE COAST 21,555 21,772 25,435 20,945 16,707 19,686 126,100

CAIRNS 12,373 9,665 11,052 7,832 6,977 7,609 55,508

DARWIN 9,109 8,494 8,465 6,606 6,181 7,515 46,370

WILLIAMTOWN 10,532 11,421 9,793 7,564 7,200 8,180 54,690

HAMILTON ISLAND 5,374 4,602 5,192 4,840 4,933 5,054 29,995

MILDURA 6,767 6,578 6,794 5,421 4,678 5,514 35,752

KALGOORLIE 1,060 1,019 1,041 886 592 731 5,329

OTHER - - - - - - -

TOTAL700,964 682,536 676,878 620,281 582,882 661,585 3,925,126

3+9 Pax Forecast/Budget683,293 684,236 636,131 623,351 572,465 651,671 3,851,147

Variance17,671 (1,700) 40,747 (3,070) 10,417 9,914 73,980


AOP Pax Feb 20

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Average SLF Feb 20


Airport Operations Plan - Terminal 3 February 20

COMMERCIAL IN CONFIDENCEPassengers

Terminal 3 Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Feb 20Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule

AOP Passengers Feb 20

Seat Load Factor (%) by Month

AC Mov Oct- Mar 20 Seats Oct- Mar 20


AC Mov Feb 20 Seats Feb 20



3.9m 28.0k 5.0m

583k 4.4k 789k

Ave SLF Oct- Mar 20

74% 79%

13

19

18 18

19

22

25

16

22 21

20 19

21

23

14

21 21

20

21

24

26

14

23 23

20

21

23

24

13

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

Air

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(TH

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84% 84%

83%

74% 74% 75%

60%

65%

70%

75%

80%

85%

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000


Seat

Lo

ad F

acto

r

Seat

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888

24

-

-47

-

834

-

8

19

- 98

700

720

740

760

780

800

820

840

860

880

900


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease


3-Feb 8,958 8,934 9,472 10,669 11,669 7,422 11,334

10-Feb 11,445 10,144 9,389 9,675 11,307 7,064 11,185

17-Feb 10,614 10,019 9,932 11,375 12,098 6,315 12,027

24-Feb 12,425 10,063 10,287 10,771 11,657 6,346 11,269


3-Feb 9,063 8,635 9,975 10,866 13,073 8,280 10,368

10-Feb 9,677 9,474 9,794 10,986 12,043 6,868 10,182

17-Feb 10,017 9,626 10,647 12,755 13,972 8,116 11,410

24-Feb 10,416 9,617 10,607 12,018 12,542 6,920 10,104

Passenger Forecast

Destination Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6- Month Total

SYDNEY 331,645 317,863 282,730 281,066 318,389 349,445 1,881,138

BRISBANE 125,376 122,289 122,048 106,553 98,963 117,293 692,522

CANBERRA 65,426 62,674 51,310 36,905 54,385 65,736 336,436

ADELAIDE 85,669 85,266 74,190 66,808 74,615 84,083 470,631

PERTH 80,162 77,086 83,240 77,542 61,340 72,920 452,290

HOBART 31,445 30,897 29,510 27,810 27,587 29,752 177,001

LAUNCESTON 14,857 13,939 13,717 11,983 12,652 13,870 81,018

DEVONPORT 13,847 12,632 13,205 11,602 11,217 12,524 75,027

MILDURA 10,732 10,046 9,562 8,746 9,160 11,337 59,583

CAIRNS 10,982 11,323 12,380 10,347 9,101 11,127 65,260

GOLD COAST 10,372 11,737 13,337 13,057 9,211 11,204 68,918

ALICE SPRINGS 8,645 6,160 5,566 5,373 3,955 4,326 34,025

DARWIN 8,576 7,807 7,629 6,322 5,961 7,997 44,292

HAMILTON ISLAND 3,295 3,639 2,886 3,163 2,735 2,657 18,375

KINGSCOTE - - 443 761 - - 1,204

BROOME 1,028 - 422 166 - - 1,616

OTHER - 636 - - - - 636

TOTAL 802,057 773,994 722,175 668,204 699,271 794,271 4,459,972

3+9 Pax Forecast/Budget 798,054 787,951 705,177 664,634 689,668 773,771 4,419,254

Variance 4,003 (13,957) 16,998 3,570 9,603 20,500 40,718


l

AOP Pax Feb 20

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Average SLF Feb 20

Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule





HEAT MAP Feb 20

T1 Seat Capacity TrendAverage Hourly Arriving Passenger Flow Feb 20

699k 5.4k 923kSeat Load Factor (%) by Month




76% 80%

4.5m 33.0k 5.6m

Ave SLF Oct- Mar 20

19

22

23

28 28 29

15

21

26

25

28 28 27

14

21

27

26

30 31 30

14

22

26 26

28 28 28

14

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

12

17

22

27

32

Air

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ove

me

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Pas

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(TH

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83.6%

84.9%

83.1%

75.5% 75.6%

71.7%

65.0%

70.0%

75.0%

80.0%

85.0%

90.0%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200


Seat

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or

Seat

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1,001

47

43

0

0

0

959

0

0

16

40

75

700

750

800

850

900

950

1000

1050


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease

Base


3-Feb 10,444 11,610 14,006 14,749 14,769 7,720 10,367

10-Feb 12,040 12,316 14,332 14,856 14,305 6,862 10,444

17-Feb 13,111 12,872 15,753 16,226 16,247 7,636 10,931

24-Feb 12,077 12,693 14,533 15,006 14,640 6,986 10,972


3-Feb 11,452 11,350 13,737 13,711 13,798 7,265 10,971

10-Feb 14,436 13,097 13,489 13,095 13,044 7,113 10,888

17-Feb 13,960 13,189 14,612 14,299 14,021 6,498 11,135

24-Feb 14,335 13,385 13,782 13,459 13,855 7,078 11,088

Passenger Forecast

Destination Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 6 - Month Total

SYDNEY 226,966 212,171 227,857 258,862 214,365 238,496 1,378,717

GOLD COAST 113,535 90,329 104,963 110,190 68,612 77,669 565,298

BRISBANE 95,091 82,389 88,280 96,178 67,730 78,351 508,019

HOBART 70,117 75,870 86,372 92,591 76,959 78,143 480,052

ADELAIDE 59,133 55,479 55,453 58,378 49,900 56,744 335,087

LAUNCESTON 38,242 43,342 51,991 56,918 44,037 45,983 280,513

CAIRNS 54,655 44,840 44,683 41,579 28,355 30,626 244,738

PERTH 36,423 36,421 39,210 40,068 31,387 35,421 218,930

WILLIAMTOWN 34,210 29,555 31,569 29,086 27,253 29,205 180,878

SUNSHINE COAST 32,862 27,007 25,879 25,183 18,215 20,260 149,406

TOWNSVILLE 11,685 9,251 11,122 10,558 4,997 5,510 53,123

CANBERRA 9,850 11,015 8,816 11,148 8,653 10,681 60,163

BYRON BAY 8,300 9,769 9,714 9,601 7,993 8,790 54,167

DARWIN 9,483 6,083 6,951 7,564 4,930 5,745 40,756

AYERS ROCK 10,209 6,279 5,562 6,065 6,113 6,931 41,159

COFFS HARBOUR 5,660 5,355 5,284 5,653 3,161 4,195 29,308

OTHER 29,690 28,355 27,769 23,117 24,506 28,723 162,160

TOTAL 846,111 773,510 831,475 882,739 687,166 761,473 4,782,474

3+9 Pax Forecast/Budget 835,802 759,201 856,952 932,610 680,463 768,035 4,833,064

Variance 10,309 14,309 (25,477) (49,871) 6,703 (6,562) (50,590)


AOP Pax Feb 20

0

AOP Pax Oct-Mar 20

Average SLF Feb 20



687k 5.1k 846k



Green bottom 10 Percentile, Red top 10 Percentile of NW19 Schedule


HEAT MAP Feb 20



Average Hourly Departing Passenger Flow Feb 20 Seat Load Factor (%) by Month

81% 85%

4.8m 33.6k 5.6m

Ave SLF Oct- Mar 20


21

24 24

20

22

24

27

22

26 26

21

22

24

27

22

26

25

21

22

24

27

22

26 26

22 22

24

26

21

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Air

craf

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ove

me

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Pas

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(TH

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89%

90%

87%

82%

81%

83%

79%

81%

83%

85%

87%

89%

91%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200


Seat

Lo

ad F

act

or

Seat

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Tho

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912

96

-

- 235

-

954

-

103

119

-

67

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200


Fore

cast

Se

ats

Increase

Decrease


3-Feb 11,936 9,483 11,056 11,865 13,174 10,872 13,181

10-Feb 13,076 10,583 11,089 12,034 13,252 11,204 13,445

17-Feb 12,583 10,401 10,938 11,930 12,762 10,459 13,266

24-Feb 13,174 10,844 10,675 11,972 13,096 10,352 13,309


3-Feb 11,781 10,056 10,731 11,655 13,588 11,528 12,771

10-Feb 12,748 10,535 11,317 12,102 13,357 11,279 12,953

17-Feb 12,525 10,870 11,537 12,558 13,822 11,751 13,185

24-Feb 12,827 10,896 11,133 12,032 13,092 10,839 12,947

Date post:	19-Aug-2020
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HEAT MAP Feb 20 - melbourneairport.com.au€¦ · All Passenger Profile & Aircraft Movement -Feb 20...

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