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Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren...

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Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer & Lars T. Fadnes & Gunnar Kvåle Norwegian Network on Climate and Health Centre for International Health, UoB
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Page 1: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer &

Lars T. Fadnes & Gunnar KvåleNorwegian Network on Climate and Health

Centre for International Health, UoB

Page 2: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

3 gode og 3 dårlige nyheter…

Page 3: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

De dårlige nyhetene:

1. Klimaendringene er allerede på vei

2. Det haster å få gjort drastiske tiltak, og mange motarbeider dette

3. Klimaendringene har store og kan fåkatastrofale helsekonsekvenser

Page 4: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

Hva skjer når vi endrer på balansen?

Page 5: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.
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Potential tipping points

Costello - Managing the health effects

of climate change - Lancet 2009

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Har klimaendringene helsekonsekvenser nå?

• Endra sykdomsbyrde

• Ernæringsproblemer relatert til ekstremvær

• Sykdom og død som direkte konsekvenser av mer ekstremvær

Page 8: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

• Schistosomiasis

• Mygg-båren sykdom (dengue, malaria)

• Flått-båren sykdom

Page 9: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.
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Estimated health effects of climatechange in 2000

• 5.5 million life years lost (disability-adjusted,

DALYs)

Page 13: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

Hva kan vi forvente oss i framtida?

’Climate change is potentially the biggestglobal health threat in the 21st century.’

Page 14: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

Costello - Managing the health effects

of climate change - Lancet 2009

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De gode nyhetene:1. Klimaendringene kan stoppes og bremses nok til at vi

kan få en god framtid hvis vi handler raskt

2. Hvis vi står sammen og mobiliserer våre krefter sammen, kan vi bidra til at tiltakene settes i gang såtidlig som mulig og hindre at motkreftene får ødelegge vår framtid.

3. Mange av de gode tiltakene har svært positive tilleggseffekter som f.eks bedret helse, bedre trivsel og mer likhet

Page 18: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

Bedre luftHaines A, McMichael AJ, Smith KR, Roberts I, Woodcock J, Markandya A, et al. Public health benefits of strategies to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions: overview and implications for policy makers. Lancet 2009 Dec 19;374(9707):2104-14.

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‘The academic community has a crucial role in facing up to the challenge of climate change, the health consequences we shall bequeath to our children and grandchildren (panel 7), and in helping to inform and support a policy process that will challenge us all.’

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Hjelper informasjon og engasjement?

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• Bærekraftig helse

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References• Costello A, Abbas M, Allen A, Ball S, Bell S, Bellamy R, Friel S, Groce N, Johnson A,

Kett M, Lee M, Levy C, Maslin M, McCoy D, McGuire B, Montgomery H, Napier D, Pagel C, Patel J, de Oliveira JA, Redclift N, Rees H, Rogger D, Scott J, Stephenson J, Twigg J, Wolff J, Patterson C: Managing the health effects of climate change: Lancet and University College London Institute for Global Health Commission. Lancet 2009, 373(9676):1693-1733.

• Haines A, McMichael AJ, Smith KR, Roberts I, Woodcock J, Markandya A, et al. Public health benefits of strategies to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions: overview and implications for policy makers. Lancet 2009 Dec 19;374(9707):2104-14.

• Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity. New York: Bloomsbury; 2009.

• IPCC Core Writing Team, Pachauri RK, Reisinger A: Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. 2007.

• The German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU): Climate change: Why 2°C? http://www.wbgu.de/wbgu_factsheet_2_en.html. WBGU, Berlin; 2009.

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Questions and comments

Page 30: Helsekonsekvenser av klimaendringer - …...2011/01/22  · • Hansen J: Storms of my grandchildren : the truth about the coming climate catastrophe and our last chance to save humanity.

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