High Growth Markets Africa
September 2013
Contents
Africa in Perspective
Africa is bigger in size than China, USA, Western Europe,
India, Argentina and the British Isles...
Combined!
Abundance of natural resources� 30- 90% of the worlds Gold, Platinum, Copper etc� 10% of the worlds oil reserves� 60% of the worlds arable land
One Billion People
� UN forecast population to surpass 1.5 billion mark by 2030� Age demographic� Urbanisation
Single biggest opportunity –Infrastructure
� Africa is playing catch up-� Spending US$45 billion a year vs a requirement of US $95 billion
Poor infrastructure
Spending gap on infrastructure per annum
$45 billion$45 billion
Africa Rising – Even the headlines are telling the story…
A political jungle
1978
Coups, conflict andcorruption
1984
The hopeless continent
2000
Africa’s elusiveDawn
2001
Africa rising
2011
The power of mobile money
2009
SMEs are already playing a critical role in African economies, and their growth is essential to continued economic expansion. While they have great potential, SMEs face significant pressures and challenges
Access to finance / underdeveloped financial sectors
African Development Bank (AfDB) recently reported that only 20% of African SMEs had access to credit
That only 9% of the investments SMEs make are funded by a bank.
This stands in stark contrast to South America and the Caribbean where 44% of SMEs reported access to credit , and to Europe were 23% of SMEs’ investments are financed
through bank loans.
20%20%
55 countries = massive Complexity
Over 3 000 languages spoken in Africa
Do not paint Africa with one brush! There are 55 countries in Africa with 55 different governments, regulatory environments, economic environments… Consolidating the
entire continent and saying that its one opportunity is a big mistake. One size does not fit all across this diverse continent and there in itself lies the challenge…
3 0003 000
Political stability and Regulatory environment still has a way to go
The region’s (SSA) average ranking on ease of doing business is 140 out of 185 – South Africa and Mauritius are the only African
economies among the top 40 globally.
140140
Access to skilled resources
Number of Mozambican chartered accountants today
88
Success Stories
Sector specifics:
Scaffolding, forming, shoring, modular buildings and hygiene
Global footprint:
South Africa; Australia; United Kingdom; New Zealand; Chile
Employees:5 600.
Waco chose AFRICA because:
� It was growing faster than any other areas where their operations were based
� Right on our doorstep – WE have the advantage of being AFRICAN
� They had the right risk appetite as well as the capacity to absorb risk.
� They want to list within the next 2-3 years and this was the only growth strategy which would enable them to attract investors.
Waco chose Africa
Waco’s Expansion
Current expansion
Planned expansion
Rapid increase in consumer spending
Decrease in communicable diseases
Move from destitute to basic needs
Urbanization makes consumer markets more accessible
Cities natural market for consumer goods and services
Telecoms sector is one of the most well funded infrastructure sectors
New trading partners like China
Good governance improvement
Improved human development
Recently highest growth rate in the world
Increasing working population
Middle class African has tripled over the last 30 years
29 Exchanges in Africa 50% of Africans living in cities by 2050
Considerations
The process
Location of investment
• Geography; Language; HR; Judicial System; Policy structure; Regulatory environment; Economic stability; FDI; Tax regime; Infrastructure; Telecoms
Critical Success Factors
• Access to markets; distribution; country contribution; product identification and culture; service development and information technology; competitor landscape
Setting up shop
• Ad-hoc project vs sustainable operation• Joint venture vs alone• Finding on-the-ground contacts• Communicating the African brand
Lessons learned
� Things take time in Africa
� Know your strategy – conservative vs aggressive
� Do not assume anything: gather data
� Understand the customer and their culture
� Know when things are not working
� Have an on the ground team with local knowledge: critical that contacts have credibility in the right circles and know that politics drives decisions.
Endless opportunities
North Africa Renewable Energy OilNatural
GasCapital Markets
Tourism Industrials
Morocco a a a
Algeria a a a
Tunisia a a
Libya a a a
Egypt a a a
West Africa Agriculture Oil Natural Gas Mining Services Telecoms
Senegal a a a a
Ghana a a a
Benin a
Nigeria a a a
Cameroon a a
NIGERIA –the land of
entrepreneurs
Endless opportunities
BURUNDI: promoting its business opportunities to South African SMEs
How we made it into Africa: 30 July 2013
East Africa Agriculture Oil TelecomsNatural
GasMining Services Tourism
Sudan a a a
South Sudan a a a
Ethiopia a a
Kenya a a
Tanzania a a a
Malawi a a
Mozambique a a a
Southern Africa Agriculture Retail Housing Mining TourismCapitalMarkets
Services
Namibia a a
Botswana a
Zimbabwe a a
South Africa a a a a
Lesotho a
Swaziland a
Mauritius a a a
Endless OpportunityWhat does the data say?
GeographiesTotal GDP
2012 (US$ million)
Total population 2012 (“000)
Average Annual Real GDP Growth: 2012 - 2017
Kenya 41 052 43 054 6.2
Ethiopia 41 008 86 579 6.5
Ghana 39 204 25 557 6.4
Tanzania 27 943 47 705 7.0
Cameroon 26 229 20 469 5.6
Source: Euromonitor International from national statistics/UN/IMF, IFS
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