How are we doing?Closing the gap

with non-abbotts in Fourth grade

Presentation by Gordon MacInnes, Assistant Commissioner of Education,

Division of Abbott Implementation

Abbott Districts’ ConvocationFriday, October 21st, 2005

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

2

The Non-Abbott vs. Abbott “Achievement Gap” for all 4th grade students has declined in both Language Arts and Mathematics by the same amount but by different paths

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Lang. Arts 24.5 25.1 22.1 16 19.1 17.7 14.4

Mathematics 29.8 31.8 30.3 29.7 25.7 20.1 18.7

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

3

The Non-Abbott vs. Abbott “Achievement Gap” for classified 4th grade students has narrowed more in

Language Arts than Mathematics—again by different paths

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Lang. Arts 23.1 27.7 23.8 18.4 19.7 19.4 17.7

Mathematics 19.1 25.8 24.8 24.3 22.2 19.8 20.3

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

4

The Non-Abbott vs. Abbott “Achievement Gap” for Limited English Proficient students in the 4th grade has improved

more dramatically in Mathematics than Language Arts

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Lang. Arts 9.0 10.9 7.4 4.1 8.9 6.4 3.6

Mathematics 16.2 19.0 11.8 10.9 13.5 4.0 2.5

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

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The Non-Abbott vs. West New York “Achievement Gap” for all 4th graders reveal significant closure on

both language arts and mathematics

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LA 11.7 14.9 5.1 8.0 13.0 10.3 8.6

MA 22.7 18.0 11.5 5.7 11.4 6.0 5.8

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

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The Non-Abbott vs. City of Orange “Achievement Gap” for all 4th graders reveal consistent improvement in language

arts and dramatic improvement in mathematics

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LA 30.7 24.9 28.5 20.0 22.0 15.5 11.0

MA 29.4 30.3 32.7 37.4 26.0 20.6 7.9

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

7

The largest Abbott districts have all made significant progress in closing the “Achievement Gap” with the

non-Abbotts in 4th grade language arts

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

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PATERSON 28.3 25.7 20.5 14.7 21.6 21.8 17.4

TRENTON 31.2 33.2 28.2 19.6 22.6 21.6 16.8

NEWARK 23.6 25.8 26.4 17.4 19.8 18.5 16.7

CAMDEN 34.4 37.8 28.4 21.6 25.2 22.7 15.7

ELIZABETH 23.6 19.4 17.0 15.2 17.5 16.7 13.7

JERSEY CITY 22.9 27.5 24.7 15.9 17.4 16.1 11.4

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

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What a difference a year makes…

2004 NJASK3 LA Total Students Pass Rate

38.2

46.7

48.2

48.5

48.6

49.6

51.6

52.2

53.2

56.2

57.8

57.8

58.0

58.8

59.4

59.5

60.2

60.4

61.0

62.3

62.3

63.8

64.3

65.4

65.9

66.3

67.3

69.9

76.5

76.9

78.4

82.2

84.0

84.5

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0

BRIDGETONSALEM CITY

NEW BRUNSWICKIRVINGTON TWP

PASSAIC CITYASBURY PARKCAMDEN CITY

TRENTONNEWARK

PATERSONABBOTT-31

EAST ORANGEELIZABETH

PHILLIPSBURGMILLVILLEHOBOKEN

PLEASANTVILLENEPTUNE TWP

UNION CITYVINELAND

JERSEY CITYPLAINFIELD

PERTH AMBOYCITY OF ORANGE TWP

BURLINGTON CITYLONG BRANCH

PEMBERTON TWPGLOUCESTER CITY

GARFIELDWEST NEW YORK

NEW JERSEYHARRISON

NON-ABBOTT-31KEANSBURG

Percent Proficient or Advanced Proficient

2005 NJASK4 LA Total Students Pass Rates

46.2

48.8

55.3

59.0

59.4

60.0

61.3

61.3

61.4

62.2

62.9

62.9

63.2

63.8

65.3

66.0

66.0

66.2

67.0

69.9

70.1

71.0

71.7

72.2

74.2

74.4

74.5

76.1

76.9

77.6

78.5

80.0

81.6

85.5

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0

SALEM CITYASBURY PARK

BURLINGTON CITYBRIDGETONPLAINFIELD

PASSAIC CITYNEWARK

PATERSONTRENTON

GLOUCESTERMILLVILLE

NEW BRUNSWICKPHILLIPSBURGCAMDEN CITY

IRVINGTON TWPPLEASANTVILLE

ABBOTT-31ELIZABETH

NEPTUNE TWPEAST ORANGE

UNION CITYPERTH AMBOY

JERSEY CITYCITY OF ORANGE

HARRISONPEMBERTON TWP

LONG BRANCHHOBOKEN

KEANSBURGVINELAND

WEST NEW YORKGARFIELD

NEW JERSEYNON-ABBOTT-31

Percent Proficient or Advanced Proficient

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

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The majority of Abbott districts make gains in the proportion of students passing the NJASK

assessment 3rd to 4th grade 2004 to 20052004 NJASK3 to 2005 NJASK4 LA Total Students Pass Rate Difference

BRIDGETONIRVINGTON TWP

HOBOKENVINELAND

NEW BRUNSWICKCAMDEN CITYEAST ORANGE

PASSAIC CITYJERSEY CITY

TRENTONUNION CITY

ABBOTT-31ELIZABETHLONG BRANCHNEWARK

PEMBERTON TWPCITY OF ORANGEPERTH AMBOYNEPTUNE TWP

PLEASANTVILLEPATERSON

PHILLIPSBURGGARFIELDMILLVILLE

NEW JERSEYWEST NEW YORKNON-ABBOTT-31

SALEM CITYASBURY PARK

PLAINFIELDKEANSBURG

GLOUCESTER CITYHARRISON

BURLINGTON CITY

-15.0 -10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0

Percentile Difference

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

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Abbott districts lose a disproportionate number of students between 8th and 11th grades (i.e. 2002 to 2005)

Camden CityPatersonIrvington Twp

HobokenJersey CityAsbury Park

Perth AmboyPassaic City

City of Orange TwpNew Brunswick

PlainfieldNewark

ABBOTTElizabeth

TrentonBridgeton

East OrangePemberton Twp

Long BranchUnion City

Keansburg BoroPleasantville

Neptune TwpGarfield

NEW JERSEYVineland City

Gloucester CityWest New York

MillvilleHarrison

Burlington City*Salem City*

Phillipsburg*

-80.0% -60.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0%

Percentile Difference

*Districts with a Regional High School

October 21, 2005 How Are We Doing? Closing the Gap with Non-Abbotts in 4th Gr.

11

The percentage of “meltaway” students eighth to eleventh grade is significantly correlated with the mean

scaled score on the GEPA language arts section

-100%

-80%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

180 182 184 186 188 190 192 194 196 198 200 202 204 206 208 210 212 214 216 218 220

2002 GEPA Language Arts Mean Scaled Score

Per

cen

tile

Ch

ang

e in

En

rollm

ent

8th

Gra

de

(200

2) t

o 1

1th

Gra

de

(200

5)

Spearman Exact (Mont-Carlo) CorrelationAll 31 districts = 0.4113 (Prob=0.0222)

Drop Districts with Regional HS = 0.4341 (Prob=0.0218)Drop Districts with Regional HS and an Outlier District = 0.5624 (Prob=0.0026)

Hoboken

NJ Avg.

Phillipsburg

Salem City

Burlington City