Inequality, risk, and health
• Why do inequality and risk matter?
• Individual-level effects of inequality– Disparity, risk-taking, and deprivation– Deprivation, risk, and health in a community sample
• Implications for policy– Social mobility and inequality of opportunity– Policy changes
• Summary
Inequality, risk, and health
• Why do inequality and risk matter?
• Individual-level effects of inequality– Disparity, risk-taking, and deprivation– Deprivation, risk, and health in a community sample
• Environmental-level effects of inequality– Inequality and health in the workplace
• Summary and implications
Why does inequality matter?
• The richest 20% control 69% of wealth in Canada, 85% of wealth in the US (pre-recession)
Source: Mother Jones Magazine; StatsCan; US Federal Reserve, US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Inequality has social consequences
Social capitalTrust
Community supportWomen’s status
Foreign aidFamily integrity
Educational outcomesImprisonment
Wilkinson & Pickett (2009) The Spirit Level
Inequality has health consequences
HomicideMental health/well-beingIllegal drug usePhysical healthLife expectancyMorbidity and mortalityTeen pregnanciesObesity
Wilkinson & Pickett (2009) The Spirit Level
Why do relative outcomes matter?
• Poverty vs. inequality– Absolute vs. relative
outcomesWilkinson & Pickett (2009)
• Individual-level effects– Social comparisons– Relative deprivation– Stress and tension
• Environmental-level effects– Sensitivity to the treatment of others– Effects at the top and the bottom
Why does risk matter?
• Risk-taking may underlie many social and health-related outcomes– Antisocial behavior Mishra & Lalumière (2009) Soc Sci Med,
Mishra et al. (2011) J Gamb Stud
– Gambling/problem gambling Mishra et al. (2010) Pers Indiv Diff
– Health and well-being Byrnes et al. (1999) Psyc Bull
• The generality of risk and health Osgood et al. (1988) Am Sociol Rev, Hirschi & Gottfredson (1994) The Generality of Deviance, Mishra (2014) Pers Soc Psyc Rev, Mishra & Carleton (2015) Soc Sci Med
– Shared instigative/protective factors Stinchfield (2004)
Inequality, risk, and health
• Why do inequality and risk matter?
• Individual-level effects of inequality– Disparity, risk-taking, and deprivation– Deprivation, risk, and health in a community sample
• Environmental-level effects of inequality– Inequality and health in the workplace
• Summary and implications
Risk-taking
• Risk-taking is typically considered “irrational” and reckless….
• …. But there are circumstances where risk-taking is “rational” and adaptive
Disparity and risk
• Disparity may facilitate risk-taking– Obtaining otherwise unavailable/unattainable desirable
outcomes Mishra (2014) Pers Soc Psyc Rev
Imagine you have an immediate $5,000 debt: Would you rather choose a sure payout of $500, or a gamble offering a 10% chance at $5,000?
• Risk-sensitivity theory Gonzales, Mishra, & Camp (under review) J BehavDec Mak, Mishra, Barclay, & Lalumière (2014) Evol Hum Behav, Mishra, Barclay & Sparks (under review) Pers Soc Psyc Rev, Mishra & Fiddick (2012) J Pers Soc Psyc, Mishra & Lalumière (2010) J Exp Soc Psyc, Mishra, Son Hing, & Lalumière (2015) Ev Psyc, Mishra & Novakowski (2016) Pers Indiv Diff, Mishra (2014) Pers Soc Psyc Rev
Risk-sensitivity theory
• Decision-makers shift from risk-aversion to risk-proneness under situations of need
• Need à disparity between an individual’s present and desired (goal) states– High need = large disparity– Low need = small disparity
Reviewed in Mishra (2014) Pers Soc Psyc Rev
Risk-sensitivity theory
Present state(My condition)
Desired state(Others’ condition)
Reviewed in Mishra (2014) Pers Soc Psyc Rev
Risk-sensitivity theory
Present state
Desired state
LOW DISPARITY
Reviewed in Mishra (2014) Pers Soc Psyc Rev
Risk-sensitivity theory
HIGH DISPARITY
Present state
Desired state
Reviewed in Mishra (2014) Pers Soc Psyc Rev
Disparity and risk
• Descriptive decision-making Rode et al. (1999) Cognition
• 20 decisions: low-risk vs. high-risk
• Each decision made under a condition of either high disparity or low disparity
Disparity and risk
You need to draw one black bead out of ten. You will earn $1 if you meet your target. Which option would you like to draw from?
(a) A cup containing 5 white and 5 black beads.
(b) A cup containing a random combination of 10 black and white beads.
Disparity and risk
You need to draw one black bead out of ten. You will earn $1 if you meet your target. Which option would you like to draw from?
(a) A cup containing 5 white and 5 black beads.
(b) A cup containing a random combination of 10 black and white beads.
Disparity and risk
You need to draw nine black beads out of ten. You will earn $1 if you meet your target. Which option would you like to draw from?
(a) A cup containing 5 white and 5 black beads.
(b) A cup containing a random combination of 10 black and white beads.
Disparity and risk
You need to draw nine black beads out of ten. You will earn $1 if you meet your target. Which option would you like to draw from?
(a) A cup containing 5 white and 5 black beads.
(b) A cup containing a random combination of 10 black and white beads.
Disparity and risk
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Deci
sion
Tend
ency
Ri
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refe
renc
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Risk
Avo
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Risk Preference Best Risk Avoidance BestProbability of Meeting Need
Mishra & Lalumière (2010) J Exp Soc Psyc
Disparity and risk
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Deci
sion
Tend
ency
Ri
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refe
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Risk
Avo
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Risk Preference Best Risk Avoidance BestProbability of Meeting Need
r = .88, p < .001
Mishra & Lalumière (2010) J Exp Soc Psyc
Risk-sensitivity theory
• Growing research shows risk-sensitivity theory predicts risk-taking in various domains…– Status Mishra et al. (2014) Evol Hum Behav; Ermer et al. (2008) Evol Hum Behav
– Monetary Mishra et al. (2015) Ev Psyc; Mishra et al. (2012) Brit J Psyc
– Finance/Investment Mishra et al. (2012) Brit J Psyc
– Social Mishra & Fiddick (2012) J Pers Soc Psyc
– Ecological Mishra & Lalumière (2010) J Exp Soc Psyc
…and using different measures– Descriptive/explicit Mishra & Fiddick (2012); Mishra et al. (2012, under review)
– Experiential/implicit Mishra & Lalumière (2010), Mishra et al. (2012)
Pay inequality and risk
• Inequality is a condition of disparity– Comparison of one’s own
situation to situations of (often privileged) others
• Pay inequality should motivate risk-taking– Risk-sensitivity theory– Epidemiological evidence
Dependent measure
• Choice task Mishra & Lalumière (2010) J Exp Soc Psyc
6 choices between low-risk and high-risk options
Would you rather choose:[1] $3 guaranteed, or[2] 10% chance of $30?
Participants received $$ from one of their choices
Income inequality and risk
94 participants
Run in same-sex pairs
No-inequality (control) conditionsPair members given $0 each Pair members given $10 each
Inequality (experimental) conditionOne member of pair given $10, the other, $0
Mishra, Son Hing, & Lalumière (2015) Ev Psyc
0
0.5
1
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2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Victim Beneficiary Equal ($0) Equal ($10)
Risk
y C
hoic
es (C
T)
Income inequality and risk
Mishra, Son Hing, & Lalumière (2015) Ev Psyc
0
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1
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2
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3.5
4
Victim Beneficiary Equal ($0) Equal ($10)
Risk
y C
hoic
es (C
T)
Income inequality and risk
★
Mishra, Son Hing, & Lalumière (2015) Ev Psyc
Inequality and situational cues
• Unnecessary risk-taking is costly
• Most beneficial to modulate risk-taking based on immediate situational cues
Income inequality stability and risk
96 participants in same-sex pairs, 2 part study
Inequality either ameliorated or maintained
Inequality-amelioration
Inequality-maintenance
Initial Beneficiary à à
Initial Victim à à
Income inequality stability and risk
Same-sex pairs, 2 part study
Inequality either ameliorated or maintained
Inequality-amelioration
Inequality-maintenance
Initial Beneficiary à à
Initial Victim à à
Experimental design
Same-sex pairs, 2 part study
Inequality either ameliorated or maintained
Inequality-amelioration
Inequality-maintenance
Initial Beneficiary à à
Initial Victim à à
0
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Inequality-Amelioration
Inequality-Maintenance
Inequality-Amelioration
Inequality-Maintenance
Risk
y C
hoic
es (C
T)
Initial Victim Initial Beneficiary
Income inequality stability and risk
Mishra, Son Hing, & Lalumière (2015) Ev Psyc
0
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1
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Inequality-Amelioration
Inequality-Maintenance
Inequality-Amelioration
Inequality-Maintenance
Risk
y C
hoic
es (C
T)
First DecisionSecond Decision
Initial Victim Initial Beneficiary
Income inequality stability and risk
★
Mishra, Son Hing, & Lalumière (2015) Ev Psyc
0
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1
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Inequality-Amelioration
Inequality-Maintenance
Inequality-Amelioration
Inequality-Maintenance
Risk
y C
hoic
es (C
T)
First DecisionSecond Decision
Initial Victim Initial Beneficiary
★
Income inequality stability and risk
Mishra, Son Hing, & Lalumière (2015) Ev Psyc
Competitive disadvantage and risk
• Income inequality is an extrinsicsource of inequality
• Same pattern of results found for intrinsic inequality– Perceived competitive disadvantage
relative to peers
Mishra, Barclay, & Lalumière (2015) Evol Hum Behav
Summary | Disparity and risk
• Inequality motivates risk-taking consistent with risk-sensitivity theory– Income inequality (extrinsic)– Competitive disadvantage (intrinsic)
• Effects of inequality on risk-taking are modifiable
Inequality, risk, and health
• Why do inequality and risk matter?
• Individual-level effects of inequality– Disparity, risk-taking, and deprivation– Deprivation, risk, and health in a community sample
• Environmental-level effects of inequality– Inequality and health in the workplace
• Summary and implications
Relative deprivation
• Relative deprivation hypothesis– Effects of inequality manifest through individual-
level relative deprivation Wilkinson & Pickett (2007) Soc Sci Med
• Epidemiological evidence links relative deprivation to risk and health broadly– Mental and physical health Wilkinson (1997) Brit Med J
– Antisocial behavior Kawachi et al. (1999) Soc Sci Med
• Do these effects extend to individuals?
Community sample details
• Relationships with community organizations– Lethbridge Homeless Shelter– Womanspace Resource Center (office)– Drug rehabilitation centers– Family services, immigrant services, food banks
• N = 328 (age: M = 31.0, SD = 12.5, Range = 16 to 73)– Includes drug addicts, gambling addicts, the homeless, convicts, ex-
convicts, affluent community members, “average” community members, students
Mishra et al. (2012) OPGRC Research Report
Measures
• Predictor measures– Feelings of relative deprivation
• Outcome measures– Behavioral risk-taking (future discounting)– Health related risk-taking– Mental and physical health– Gambling addiction and behavior
• Participants paid for participation plus earnings from decision-making tasks
Mishra et al. (2012) OPGRC Research Report
Deprivation and risk
• Future discounting: behavioral impulsivity– “Would you rather have $16 tonight or $30 in 35 days?”
• Health/safety related risk-taking– “How likely are you to engage in unprotected sex?”
r = .20, p < .001
rho = .25, p < .001
Mishra & Novakowski (2016) Pers Indiv Diff
Deprivation and antisocial tendencies
• Antisocial behavior in the last year– Property crime, violence/aggression, misdemeanors,
social transgressions
• Antisocial behavior over the lifetime
rho = .19, p = .001
rho = .16, p = .005
Mishra & Novakowski (2016) Pers Indiv Diff
Deprivation and antisocial tendencies
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Arrested Charged Convicted Incarcerated
Feel
ings
of R
elat
ive
Dep
rivat
ion
Yes No
Mishra & Novakowski (2016) Pers Indiv Diff
Deprivation and health
• Mental health: anxiety and mood
• Physical health (absolute)
• Physical health (relative)
r = -.38, p < .001
r = -.19, p = .001
r = -.29, p < .001 Mishra & Carleton (2015) Soc Sci Med
Deprivation and gambling
• $13B in annual Canadian gambling revenue
• 30-40% of revenue derived from problem gamblers Williams & Wood (2005) AGRI Report
• Problem gamblers represent 1-4% of population Mishra et al. (2011) J Gamb Stud
Deprivation and gambling
• General gambling involvement– Frequency and variety of gambling in last year
• Problem gambling severity index (PGSI)
rho = .28, p < .001
rho = .12, p = .03
Mishra, Meadows, & Carleton (under review) J Exp Soc Psyc
Deprivation and gambling
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Non-Problem Low-Risk Moderate Problem
Feel
ings
of R
elat
ive
Dep
rivat
ion
Categorical Problem Gambling SeverityMishra, Meadows, & Carleton (under review) J Exp Soc Psyc
Risk-persistence and risk-sensitivity
• Risk-persistent populations engage in risk-taking behavior consistently– “Generality of deviance”– Non-specialization of offenders
• Why are people risk-persistent?
• Environments may require risk-taking to obtain reasonable outcomes (e.g., high inequality)– Sensitivity to immediate costs/benefits
Mishra et al. (under review) J Gamb Stud, Mishra et al. (2011) Pers Indiv Diff, Mishra et al. (2009) Soc Sci Med
Inequality and situational cues
• If risk-persistence is stable (via personality, developmental environment, socialization, low embodied capital, etc.) individuals from risk-persistent populations will consistently engage in risk-taking
• If risk-persistence is environmentally modulated individuals from risk-persistent populations will engage in risk-sensitive choice
Community sample
• Risk-persistent populations (antisocial) – Convicts (usually also problem gamblers, drug
addicts, delinquents), n = 85
• Control populations– Community controls, students, n = 243
Risk-propensity
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1
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2
Community (General)
Students Problem Gamblers
Ex-convicts
Self-
Rep
orte
d R
isk
Prop
ensi
ty
(Com
posi
te)
Mishra (under review) Psyc Sci
Decision-making from description
• Decision-making from explicit descriptions Rode et al. (1999) Cognition
• 20 decisions: low-risk vs. high-risk
• Each decision made under a condition of either high disparity or low disparity
Decision-making from description
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High Need Low Need
Prop
ortio
n Ri
sky
Dec
isio
ns
Mishra (under review) Psyc Sci
Decision-making from description
0
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0.6
High Need Low Need
Prop
ortio
n Ri
sky
Dec
isio
nsCommunity/studentRisk-Persistent
Mishra (under review) Psyc Sci
Decision-making from description
0
0.1
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0.6
High Need Low Need
Prop
ortio
n Ri
sky
Dec
isio
nsCommunity/studentRisk-Persistent
Mishra (under review) Psyc Sci
Summary | Deprivation, risk, and health
• Relative deprivation associated with risk, health, and gambling at individual level
• Risk-persistent populations are risk-sensitive– People sensitive to immediate costs/benefits, on average,
regardless of stable traits– Risk-persistence may be product of consistent exposure to
disparity cues (inequality)
• Convergent evidence from experimental and survey studies
Executive summary
• Inequality has individual-level effects on risk-taking
• Risk-taking is acutely influenced by inequality
• Feelings of relative deprivation are associated with risk and health outcomes
• “Risk-persistent” people are rational, risk-sensitive decision makers
Executive summary
• Inequality has individual-level effects on risk-taking
• Risk-taking is acutely influenced by inequality
• Feelings of relative deprivation are associated with risk and health outcomes
• “Risk-persistent” people are rational, risk-sensitive decision makers
Implications
• The environment and situational cues matter in affecting risk and health behavior– Plasticity of behavior
• Targeting modifiable conditions facilitating relative deprivation and inequality– Equal access to health care, education, social
support– Social mobility
Inequality is a justice issue
What kind of society do we want to live in?
• Normative ethical question: Emphasis on status and individual outcomes, or collective health and well-being?