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How Not To Be Wrong

Date post: 15-Apr-2017
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Page 1: How Not To Be Wrong
Page 2: How Not To Be Wrong

When Am I Going To Use This?

Page 3: How Not To Be Wrong

The Missing Bullet Holes

Page 4: How Not To Be Wrong

Linearity

Page 5: How Not To Be Wrong

Inference

The dead salmon study

Page 6: How Not To Be Wrong

Expectation

If ________ is exciting, you are doing it wrong.

Page 7: How Not To Be Wrong

RegressionTriumph of Mediocrity vs. Galton’s Ellipse

Page 8: How Not To Be Wrong

Existence

More people want tax cut.

But no category can be cut

Page 9: How Not To Be Wrong

Election

The American Way: Bush Wins

But More people prefer Gore

Borda’s RuleScore 2,1,0

Page 10: How Not To Be Wrong

Borda’s Rule

Score 2,1,0

Solution: Instant Run-of

Page 11: How Not To Be Wrong

Australian and VermontInstant Run-off

Lef Right

Center

American way: W

Instant Run-of: M

Head-to-Head: K

Page 12: How Not To Be Wrong

There is no such thing as public opinion!

Page 13: How Not To Be Wrong

How Not to Be Wrong?

Page 14: How Not To Be Wrong

Just Listen to YourWife!


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