1. Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd Take Hold of the Future

2. ! ALLBIGTRENDSARERELATED ! ! ! ! ! ! ! MOSTDEBATESABOUTTIMING 3. ! One thing will dominate ALL FUTURE 4. The future is about EMOTION 5. !15 6. ClicktoeditMastertextstyles 19 7. 21 8. 22 9. ClicktoeditMastertextstyles 23 10. ! Strategies often overtaken by events ! World can change faster than you can hold a board meeting 11. ! Agility requires Simplicity ! Small = Fast 12. WGP1980-2013(%,constantprices) 13. USGDP1980-2013 (%,constantprices) 14. !30 15. ClicktoeditMastertextstyles 16. ClicktoeditMastertextstyles 17. EUGDP1980-2013 (%,constantprices) 18. LatviaandEstonia2005-2013GDP% 19. VietnamGDP1985-2011 20. >40%WDPinAsiaby2015 IMF-adjustedforPurchasingPowerParity 50%populaXoninIndiaunder25yearsold 21. $3.4trillion ! 22. $2.4trillion ! Reserves 23. ! $2.3trillionUS+$65bnpermonth ! ! Expectrelaxed viewsabout INFLATION 24. 42 25. 80%lostinseconds 26. 27. Growth of Middle Class in Africa 250m people - $2 trillion by 2040 ! 28. 300 million move to cities in China and 475 million to cities in Africa by 2030 ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! 29. ! 1 billion over 60 year olds in 10 years 30. Europe Dying ! 4 couples to produce single great-grand child ! 13% loss of population in Latvia in 10 years Mainly younger people in brain drain 31. 75%ofallUSandUKwealthownedby thoseover65-mostlywomen 32. Can we stop ageing ? 33. Treatment which restores and maintains the youthful elasticity of hardened arteries, improves heart failure and helps wrinkled skin. 34. Pigsteethgrowninsiderats Micegrownewteethfromnervecells/gum Grow New Teeth 35. Repair Heart / Brain with stem cells 36. Confidential HSV1causescoldsores.When engineeredasSeprehvir,itis harmlesstohealthy;ssue. ! Infect and kill cancer tumour cells No damage to healthy tissue Viruses to cure cancer ? 37. Harvard Bioscience Bioreactor Bone marrow stem cells Polymer scaffold 38. After 20 years - 80% alive v 50% on normal calories Less cancer, diabetes, heart disease, strokes, brain decay 60 Monkeys on diet live longer 39. Slowornoageingisarealityinanimals Japanwomengain15minutesoflifeexpectancyeveryhour Rockfish, Turtles, some Whales ! No signs of getting old 40. lPeople like to belong lSense of identity lCommunity lFamily lPersonal advisor Relationship Retailing ! 41. !64 42. 95%EUbandwidthsoonvideo 43. 1trillionpagesamonth 21%ofLatviansuseFacebook 44. Would recommend you to a friend ? ! 45. "Perfection!,Wonderful hotel. Good value, beautiful views.! Telford UK, May 20, 2013 This was the most beautiful hotel. Clean, friendly and good value. Worst hotel I have ever been in. Should be closed down. Paris April, 2013 NEVER stay in this terrible place. Rats, insects, dirty. Many guests got sick. 46. ! Scale - Innovation Speed Large enough for the future ? Eat or be Eaten, Strategic Mergers, Techno-Partnerships 47. NearshoringBoom 48. 11%wageinaGoninChina in2013-expectsimilarin2014 BankofAmerica 49. ImpactofstrongerChinesecurrency andtougherpolluGoncontrols 50. Mega Chains 51. InmanyEUnaGons,upto70%of retailspendingisin33%GDP Tanzania9mpeople 35naGonlinksviaHomeSendHub 64. 96 1.7bnphone usersare unbanked 65. Free mobile devices calls / web / TV / games / pay Higher income model 201020132015 TelcoBanks 66. 98 2mbusinessesuse SQUARE inUS 67. bitcoin 99 Bitcoin 68. Internet of Things 69. 1.5m components in supply chain 70. 90% all global data generated in last 2 years BigData 71. 90%MicrosoeR&D CLOUD 72. Aramco - 30,000 computers hit - files lost 73. 5.5billioncyberagacks 42%increase/year ! >160Gbpsindenialofservice 1000majoragacks/hrinUK WorriesaboutUSPrism/securityservices 74. $40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism 75. Shale gas 33% US supplies 3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil produced than Saudi by 2020 ! 200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years 76. Boom Bust 77. 5coalplantsreplacewithgas=9000megawaGswind Coalpricesfall=morecoalburntinVietnamandChina 57coalplantsclosedinUSin2012 78. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total power use QUEBECfromARIZONA MOSCOWfromSAHARA 79. SolarcellgeneraGonparity 80. Fallingsolarcellprices 81. 120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert 40% EU power = wind by 2050 Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ? 82. GermanyPowerSurplus ! InJune2013 ElectricitypricesbecamenegaGve -minusEU150/MWhr!! 83. Rapid growth HVDC Super Grids 500,000 S Korea jobs - $200bn Smart Grid Project ! ! ! ! China planning to power Moscow 84. Only sell what you believe in and would sell to your family and friends Theonlycorporatevalueworthhaving 85. TeamsintophalfofEngagement 86% more likely to have better customer metrics 70% more likely to have low staff turnover 70% more likely to be highly productive 44% more likely to be protable 10 million surveyed by Gallup 86. ! Beyond Compliance ! Perfect compliance will keep leaders out of prison but cannot protect brands, because public expectations change 87. LessonfromNon-Protsand AcGvistMovements ! Connectwithallthepassions peoplehaveandtheywillfollow youtotheendsoftheearth, promotewhatyoudowithpride, andmayevenbewillingtoworkfor youfornexttonothing 88. BuildingaBegerWorld 89. RESOURCES ! >500 videos of Keynotes http://www.youtube.com/pjvdixon ! ! Global Trends Website: http://www.globalchange.com !