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Hydraulic!Fracturing:!!
The!Success!and!Failures!of!!American!Capitalism!
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Spring!Semester!2013!
Cody!Moreland!
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The Success and Failures of
American Capitalism____________________________
Recommendations to the Nation for Regulating
and Enabling Hydraulic Fracturing
Name: Cody Moreland
Date: May 2, 2013
Class: POSC 4341Instructor: Dr. Prout
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Table of Contents
2 Introduction
3 Economist Perspectives
4 Adam Smith
4 Joseph Schumpeter
5 Todays Economy
6 Government Enabling Business
7 Government Regulating Business
9 Fracking/Oil Production
9 Oil Industry History
11 Why we need Energy Independence
12 Fracking Boom or Bust?
13 Environment
15 Sustainable Production
17 Moving Forward - Recommendations
20 Conclusion
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Introduction
In every economy, companies bring together resources, labor, and
technology to produce and distribute goods to consumers. The way these
different components of an economy are structured and used, also mirrors a
countries political ideologies and culture. In America we are considered to
have a culture of capitalism. Our economy is considered a "mixed", because
the government plays a significant role along side the private sector. In this
capitalist system the central component is the market, which is regulated and
protected by the government. The market helps allocate scarce resources and
allows people to create value. Without the ability to grow value by risking
capital, the real engine of capitalism grinds to a halt.
American politics has long debated the role the government should
play when it comes to regulating and enabling our economy. We have
entered an age where the need to find the perfect the role of government is
essential to our prosperity, because the global economy we have today is not
immune to crisis. We are now faced with the question of whether it is more
efficient to move away from the individual capitalist system we have today,
or if we should incorporate a state-capitalism system like the BRICS. It is a
rather complex question, and before it can be answered we must analyze
whether our current brand of American capitalism in itself has been a
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success, or failure. In regards to the success, and failures of American
capitalism this report will review whether government intervention has
helped or hurt the economy.
Over the course of our history the government didnt create the most
powerful economy in the world through extensive regulation, however,
government policies that enabled our businesses to grow and citizens
prosper, did create our status of economic superpower. With that being said,
the mixed economy we have today will not last forever if our governments
inefficiencies in market intervention continue. Going forward we need to
have a pro growth agenda that allows sustainable outcomes. This can be
achieved if the government strikes a healthy balance between regulating
business on one hand, and enabling business on the other. This balance can
be achieved by weighing the negative and positive externalities of enabling
and regulating capitalism.
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Economist Perspectives
In America, we now see two dividing ideologies when it comes to the role of
government intervention in the market. On one side we have Jeffersonian principles,
which argue the government intervention has not been main reason of our successes. And
on the other side we have those with Hamiltonian principles that argue the contrary,
saying that strong national government has been the constant enabler of our growth
since the founding.
Before there was government, man was born free, but was everywhere in chains.
During this time everyone had unlimited natural freedoms, including the "right to all
things" and thus the freedom of no regulation. This led to an endless "war of all against
all". In the state of nature there were no social goods such as education, technology or
industry, because the social cooperation needed to produce them did not exist. To avoid
the state of nature, savage men contracted with each other to establish a civil society
through a social contract in which they all gained security in return for subjecting
themselves to a government. When man entered the social contact he gave up his
personal economic freedoms of no government intervention, however, the contract
allowed for government to enable and regulate the social goods of society at a sustainable
level, which in return helped man and society develop. We have seen the tension between
economic freedom and the broader welfare of the community arise from the social
contract and still define the relationship between our government and business today.
Adam Smith
Adam Smith also subscribed to this prevailing Enlightenment notion of natural
rights and then looked to define what the social contract meant for the relationship
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between government and the individual. While Smith argued for a minimalist
government role, and believed the multitude of exchanges and transactions were indeed
governed by an invisible hand. Smith also understood that men have always been self-
interested and since man is self-interested, he will tend to create externalities in the
market and may indeed need regulation. He did however, also suggest that man may feel
sympathy for his fellow man, and indeed would often act in accordance with how an
impartial spectator might view himself. Smiths Theory of Moral Sentiments thus laid
important groundwork for ensuring that capitalism would not ignore its externalities.
Joseph Schumpeter
While Smith argued that domestic markets were robust and thus inclined to grow
on their own without government intervention, another economist, Joseph Schumpeter
held a similar view, in that the free flow of capital to investments, that can either succeed
or fail, leads to a creative destruction, or constant reinvention of an innovation fueled
economy [1]. Schumpeter believed capitalism could only be understood as an
evolutionary process of continuous innovation and 'creative destruction'. Currently, we
are witnessing our own creative destruction with the drilling technology of the oil and
natural gas industry. We now have the reinvention that Schumpeter said would fuel our
innovation-based economy. The reinvention of technology is with hydraulic fracturing,
which has allowed companies to reach and extract shale oil that was once deemed
inaccessible.
The way the government regulates and enables this new technology will be a
momentous policy decision going forward. The government needs to be efficient,
because as Schumpeter argued, government creates scarcity. He also believed that when
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consumers want more of something, businesses will find ways to fuel the demand. In the
mid 2000s, we saw an example of this consumer-business relationship when the global
demand for oil increased and caused domestic oil prices to rise drastically. To combat the
rising prices and increased consumer demand, innovators reinvented the hydraulic
fracturing technology, allowing them access to shale oil that was once deemed
unreachable, as well as allowing them to supply the increasing demand. This, as
Schumpeter would agree, is the new technology that will fuel the worlds capitalist
growth in the area of energy consumption. This technology, if handled properly through
efficient government enabling and regulating, may allow us to achieve the goal of energy
independence by 2030.
Todays Economy
Today there are two distinct views of how the government and the economys
relationship should work. One theory is that a good economy is one in which the
government enables business. Its a system where businesses establish a partnership with
the government that enables them to grow. This view believes the government should not
intervene or intrude upon the businesses economic freedoms, but instead should enable
them to grow and be competitive.
The second theory believes that a good economy is one in which the government
regulates businesses. Those who follow this theory believe that society should worry
about the collective wellbeing. Most members of this ideology view this as not only a
good moral view, but also as a path for future sustainability.
Currently, we are facing an inescapable dilemma in regards to global capitalism.
As the global population continues to grow rapidly and developing nations continue to
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modernize, energy consumption around the world will also continue to rise at a
staggering pace. The International Energy Agency predicts a 70 percent increase in
global energy use by 2050 [32]. Will the increase in global demand for energy cause us to
sacrifice our economic freedoms for the collective well-being? With a large amount of
nations developing, we could, in just few decades see the use of our fossil fuels begin to
severely affect the earth's climate and our daily lives. It is clear we now live in a world of
global imbalances. Sustainability, or the capacity to endure, will require us to meets the
needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their
own needs. Sustainability may not be the most desired political issue, but achieving it has
become one of the greatest challenges to capitalisms survival. To ensure sustainable
outcomes, the government will need to strike a healthy balance between regulator and
enabler.
Government Enabling Business
The government has always played a very big role in terms of enabling business
in American Capitalism. From Henry Clays American System that focused on a strong
national government, to the Homestead Act of 1862 that distributed 270,000,000 acres of
federal land for private ownership, then followed by the Minerals Depletion Allowance
of 1958 and the Telecommunications Act of 1996, the government has consistently
enabled American business by granting licenses, copyrights, and patents; issuing land and
low rents; and by providing subsidies. This challenges the view of Hayek and Friedman
that government should essentially stay out of the way of the market.
TheLaissez Faire, orfree marketsystem that Adam Smith was a proponent of
reemerged throughout the United States in the 1970s and 1980s [2]. During aLaissez
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Faire government, transactions between private parties are free from government
restrictions, tariffs, and subsidies, with only enough regulations to protect property rights
[3]. Most actions taken by government in a Laissez Faire system are not to constrain
business, but to enable its further development. Even those government actions aimed at
ending the dominance of the trust, such as the Sherman Anti-trust Act, were seldom
administered.
Government Regulating Business
In terms of regulating the market, the government has applied many regulations
over the course of our history to allow for our long-term growth rate to be sustainable. In
the 1819 case ofDartmouth v Woodwardthe court settledthe issue of private charters
[4]. As a result of the landmark case the American corporation and the free enterprise
system were born. From this point on in history American corporations enjoyed a
protected status and by the turn of the nineteenth century morphed into large vertically
and horizontally integrated trusts with massive economic and political power. Yet
beginning with the progressive reforms of Republican Teddy Roosevelts New
Nationalism through the New Deal and Great Society reforms, the latitude American
corporations could exercise in the marketplace was redefined.
While we often want the government to enable business, at times our country has
looked to the government to regulate companies that create market failures. We have seen
the government address market externalities that the free market economy overlooks,
such as the environmental concerns we see in our current debate over fracking. Even with
a strong sentiment for the free hand of the market, throughout our history we have still
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relied on the government to grow developing industries, and at times apply protectionist
measures for American industries, beginning with the Report on Manufactures in 1791.
During the remainder of the 20th century and now into the 21st, government
regulation of financial activity has exponentially increased. Yet with each successive
wave of regulation beginning with the New Deal and recently concluding with Dodd-
Frank, there seems to be no way to prevent white collar criminals and corporations from
finding new ways to bypass regulation and take advantage of innocent consumers with
financial activities such as derivatives. Whenever a regulation is created, there will
always be someone or some company trying to evade it. With the fracking example, we
have seen companies easily evade regulations. Since hydraulic fracturing typically
introduces a mixture of potentially toxic chemicals into the ground, it is supposed to be
regulated by the EPA under the Safe Drinking Water Act [5]. But due to another federal
law enacted in 2005, the EPA does not currently have the authority to regulate the
underground injection of chemicals during the hydraulic fracturing process.
This prohibition is a result of provisions within the 2005 National Energy Act,
which was enacted by Congress and signed into law by President George W. Bush. The
prohibition has been called the Halliburton Loophole, because it came from
recommendations made in 2001 by a Special Energy Policy Task Force headed by then
United States Vice President Richard B. Cheney, who had served as Chief Executive
Officer of the Halliburton Corporation, a leading energy company in Texas that initially
developed the modern hydraulic fracturing process [6]. Fracking companies evade
regulations by using this Halliburton Loopholewhich frees the fracking practice from
regulation of the EPA and allows them to circumvent the Safe Drinking Water Act.
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Also amended in the 2005 Energy Policy Act was the Clean Water Act. Congress
enacted the Clean Water Act back in 1972 as a way to regulate discharges into the
countrys rivers and streams [7]. The Clean Water Act was amended in 1987 to include
storm water run-off. But now oil and gas production are exempted from those
regulations. And in the 2005 Energy Policy Act, those exemptions included oil and gas
fracking sites [8]. Environmentalists have worried about run-off from well pads, pipelines
and construction sites. With all of these exemptions we see how part of federal
government wants to enable the fracking industry, while on the other hand part of the
government works to regulate the industry. Going forward we need to strike a healthy
balance between regulating and enabling the industry.
Fracking/Oil Production
History
The history of our oil industry started during the Gilded Age of American
industry, when John D. Rockefeller founded what was to become Standard Oil in 1860.
Rockefeller's innovative and competitive approach led Standard Oil to own upwards of
90 percent of the oil refining market but also dramatically lowered the price to consumers
from 58 cents to eight cents a gallon [9].
By the 1920s, oil prices had peaked causing many to believe that oil would soon
run out. This prompted Congress to put in place generous tax allowances for producers,
which prompted further investments and ultimately led to the discovery of large, new oil
reserves [10]. But then, with prices dropping, demands for price supports and restricted
competition emerged. Consequently, President Roosevelt, in 1933, created the
"Petroleum Code", allowing the government vast powers to fix prices, dictate wages and
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hours, limit production, and control the importation of oil. The Code enabled the
government, through local agencies, to restrict production. With production heavily
regulated, prices rose again [11].
Meanwhile, oil production elsewhere, particularly in the Middle East, took off. A
combination of high demand and rising domestic oil costs ushered in a willingness to
purchase oil from outside the United States: In 1948 the U.S. officially became a net
importer of oil [12]. As imports of lower cost oil surged, domestic producers lobbied
Congress to impose oil import quotas, which President Dwight Eisenhower established in
1959 [13]. The government quotas dictated how much crude oil and refined products
would gain entry into the country and gave preference to imports from Canada and
Mexico.
Excluding the oil producing states of the Persian Gulf from a free market
exchange depressed Middle Eastern oil prices. As a response to the U.S. import
regulation, four Persian Gulf countriesIran, Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabiaalong
with Venezuela, founded the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in
1960. In 1973 the world experienced an oil crisis when OPEC caused a sharp increase in
oil prices by reducing the crude oil output in order to raise profits. In essence, this has
been OPEC's agenda ever since [14].
Why We Need Energy Independence
Today, the same concerns we faced in the Gilded Age over the role oil should
play in the U.S. economy continue. The Left focuses mainly on the environmental
consequences of abundant use of and continued demand for oil, the rising profits from oil
to producers, the role of speculators, and the price increases to consumers. The Right
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warns of the security risk associated with purchasing oil from politically unstable or
outright hostile regimes and thus pushes for relaxation of domestic drilling restrictions.
Both views assert that oil's heyday as a cheap and plentiful fuel has ended, as the
earth's natural oil supply is running out and rising economies across the world ramp up
their oil demands. As developing nations of the world are seeing huge increases in energy
consumption, the rate of global capitalism also continues to rise. The needed global spare
capacity, which is a safeguard supply against oil market disruptions, could continue to
rise sharply alongside the devolving world and exceed 8 million barrels by 2030 based on
EIA estimates. The current global share capacity as of 2013 is 2.4 mbd [15]. This huge
gap in the global share capacity illustrates how the increasing demand will affect our
future. This gap also provides our business and government with an adequate reason to
develop our fracking technology, increase oil/gas production, and become energy
independent.
Going forward, we need to become energy independent so that a disruption in the
supply wont force us rely on spare capacity, because doing so could have devastating
effects to our own economy. We saw how close we can come to a disruption in the
supply when Iran threated to close the Strait of Hormuz, which is the most strategic oil
choke point in the world. Our dependence on volatile foreign oil market has been the
thorn in our side since we became a net importer in 1948. Unless the U.S. gains a large
share of the oil market, OPEC will continue to have the ability to increase prices and
control the flow of oil at the tip of their fingers. As of now there is no global spare supply
outside that of the OPECs, however, there is a strong possibility that if the U.S.
government enables oil and natural gas production, it would allow the industry to grow
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and would cause OPEC to lose price control. By allowing crude oil prices to collapse, it
would cause a major blow to the political power of OPEC. It will remain an important
strategy to take energy independence seriously, because if we fail to do so it will have
devastating effects to our national, human, and economic security going forward.
Fracking Boom or Bust
In the last five years the United States has seen a boom in oil and natural gas
production. This boom has taken place because of technological advancements in the
fracking process and new government policies that focus on energy independence. The
path to energy independence allows the government to enable energy production through
various investments and policies. Over the next 15-20 years the DOE estimates that
demand for energy will rise sharply by almost 50 percentlargely in response to the
capitalist economic growth in the developing world [16]. To keep up with the rising
demand, the private sector and government will need to work together. On one hand,
energy companies will need to increase production efforts, and on the other hand
government will need to ensure the flow of oil to consumers. As Joseph Schumpeter
would agree, capitalism and economic growth caused by the developments in fracking
technology essentially benefit those at the bottom by providing them with goods and
services that they previously would not have been able to afford. And perhaps more
importantly, it does this without coercion, force, or central authority to direct it. There is
still much to learn form hydraulic fracturing, as it is still a rather new technology. There
is a learning curve for all new innovations as Schumpeter argued, and going forward we
must understand this concept with Fracking.
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While it is clear that government wants to enable the fracking industry, they also
have a compelling interest to regulate the environmental damages caused by fracking.
The regulation of businesses that harm the environment has been a rising trend in our
political system since the 1960s. This environmental regulation trend is a good example
of how government intervention can protect the future sustainability of capitalism. If the
government does not regulate the environment, capitalism will run its course and dry up
every resource the environment has to offer. Going forward, it is important that the
government has oversight over production levels so that it is done at a sustainable rate. A
sustainable long-term supply that can avoid price shocks and environmental damages will
be a vital aspect of our growth. There can be a mutually beneficial relationship between
the government and the oil/natural gas industry if the two sides work together. The next
two sections will evaluate the regulatory process on the environment in terms of fracking
and whether or not increasing production is sustainable policy.
Environment
Beginning in the late 1960s and early 1970s, the world, and specifically the U.S.
saw a growing trend in concerns for environmental issues caused by rapid industrial
growth [17]. The powerful social movement behind the trend argued that economic
growth caused environmental decline and could not be sustained forever. At the time
there was a vast amount of pollution from the increasing amount of cars, as well as from
the many companies who were dumping harmful waste. The pollution was creating what
we refer to as externality a cost the responsible party can escape, but that society as a
whole must bear. With the free market forces unable to correct these externalities, a large
amount of environmentalists argued that, the government has a moral obligation to
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protect the environment - even if doing so requires some economic growth to be
sacrificed [18]. A vast amount of new regulations were created by the government: from
the 1963 Clean Air Act, to the 1974 Safe Drinking Water Act, these regulations were all
designed to control the wide range of environmental damage.This current debate over fracking is an example of these long-standing tensions
between enabling business on one hand, and protecting the environment on the other. The
major obstacle that fracking will need to tackle if it wants to reach its full potential is the
public concern that it will negatively impact the environment through water
contamination, seismic inducement, and methane emissions [19]. The fear of
contamination of surface water and groundwater during operation and the risk to water
resources for all users in the area are the primary environmental concerns of government
regulators. Public concern over fracking rose dramatically after many environmental
experts argued that drinking water can be affected by the hydraulic fracturing process.
However, in response the EPA did extensive research on the effects fracking has on
drinking water. The results of their 2004 study showed no connection between
contaminated drinking water and fracking [20].
These are all examples of the long-standing tensions between the environmental
lobby, (which prefer more government regulation), and business (which prefer a more
enabling government approach), in terms of government intervention. It is clear that the
government and the fracking industry must work together going forward. Whether it is
from new technologies that allow them to increase their presence in the natural gas or oil
market, or whether government funded research allows the company to create new
technologies, the private sector and government must collectively work together to form
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a solution to fracking that poses less of a threat to the environment. Schumpeter would
agree, that innovation of the fracking process, by making it more environmental friendly,
is essential to fueling our capitalistic growth.
Sustainable Production
While the previous section viewed the environmental factors, this section will
view why how the government can enable the industry, but at the same time have
sustainable production rates. Increased production has its merits, but the government
needs to know the limitations of the market. We now know that there is enough
recoverable oil in the U.S. to last us the next 200 years [21], but instead of drilling
strategically we have tried to maximize profits without a long-term vision. You cannot
over saturate any market to quickly without causing a market imbalance in the supply.
The government regulators need to realize this market failure and improve regulations
that allow for sustainable outcomes. Gas producers have been able to take advantage of
the Halliburton loophole and drilled too many wells too quickly, which in turn caused the
price of gas to drop below the cost of production.
While many argue that the recent surge in production was originally driven by
new drilling technologies, many oil and natural gas companies argue it was due to the
high prices at the pumps, which reduced consumer confidence in the market. In the case
of oil and gas the demand for the goods had been increasing but the supply was
dwindling. With a limited future supply, the companies only way to make profits was by
driving down production costs and becoming more competitive. From the years 2005
through 2008, as conventional gas supplies dried up due to depletion, prices for natural
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gas soared to record highs - $13 per million BTU [22]. In the 1990s the price for natural
gas was around $2 per million BTU.
It was these record high prices that gave businesses an incentive to invest in
expensive new technologies that could access resources once thought of as unreachable.
For example, many oil companies flocked to the Haynesville shale formation in Texas,
bought up mineral rights, and drilled thousands of wells in short order [23]. Many of
these companies did not think of over producing because they were blinded by the
potential profits. High per-well decline rates and high production costs were masked by
the vast amount of new production. With companies having a surplus of supplies, gas
prices fell below $3 per million BTU, which was actually less than the cost of production
for most companies [24]. This dilemma forced U.S. oil and gas companies to find a way
to draw additional investment capital just to sustain their cash flows. The CEO of Exon
Mobil was quoted saying, We are all losing our shirts todaywere making no money.
Its all in the red. It was obvious that the gas producers drilled too many wells to quickly
and created a market imbalance. This is where government intervention in the market can
help businesses going forward, so that sustainable production rates are the norm and that
market imbalances are minimized.
Moving Forward- Recommendations
In the future, finding sustainable production rates and minimizing market
imbalances will call for government intervention in the market. While Joseph Schumpeter
argued government intervention in the market tends to slow down innovation and prevent
growth, I think he would also realize that an efficient government regulation could
actually create growth, as well as be protective of the collective good and private
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sector. An example, and possible recommendation for how the government can regulate
to create growth in fracking is by regulating the type of equipment they use. The
government can regulate the equipment and production process so that it is
environmental friendly, while at the same time enabling business through government
research. This regulation can clearly be balanced if the government enables business by
increasing funding in research of: efficient equipment, environmental friendly
production, and cost effective ways of fracking. This relationship between business and
government will be essential for our capitalist system going forward.
While the core of previous recommendation called for the government to regulate
equipment and the production process, I believe we can still create policies that
encourage production. As long as the production process meets the environmental and
sustainability requirements, the government can continue to enable the industry. If the
environmental standards trend becomes the new norm, then government should look to
incentivize companies for meeting these standards. Obviously these companies
currently do not follow all regulations, so incentivizing will help the private sector
become more efficient and eco-friendly. We want the industry to grow responsibly,
because it will benefit our economy in the long run by creating jobs and reducing
environmental damage. The U.S. will have enough natural gas and oil to meet the
domestic demand and generate potential global exports for the next century only if the
government continues enabling production at a sustainable rate. The sustainable rate has
been a core argument of this report because it is essential to our long-term growth. If we
do indeed increase production at a sustainable level, we will reduce our foreign oil
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imports and will cause a substantial reduction in the U.S. net trade balance, thus leading
to faster economic expansion.
Going forward, if the government can enable fracking, while at the same time
keep the environmental lobby happy, it would allow for bipartisan cooperation in
Congress. The goal of energy independence set in place by our last two presidents could
be momentous opportunity for bi-partisan support. The cooperation between both sides of
Congress on the issue would allow for other realms of politics to be handled bi-partisanly
and could eventually lift us from the political gridlock problem we see in American
capitalism today. This recommendation will not be an easy process, as both the
environmental lobby and oil lobby respectively hold a lot of congressional bargaining
power.
It is clear that, in order to achieve the goal of energy independence by 2030, the
government will need to invest more in the research of safer fracking methods that
guarantee protection of the environment. This research could be done through a race to
the top initiative, which would create more competition to innovate. The government can
help enable the competition needed to promote a sustainable and efficient growth rate.
In terms of production to achieve energy independence, the government can
intervene by allowing each company a certain percentage of wells, based of how well
they follow regulations. This is turn would force companies to comply with regulations.
While the government could also step aside and let the free hand of the market work itself
out, I would argue that intervening would allow for the distribution of resources to spread
out among the market. This would be a true way for the government to enable small
business, which is the backbone of the American economy.
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As you can see it is very easy for oil companies and the government to say, drill
baby drill, but as Adam Smith would agree, there will always be externalities, or loose
rocks that companies overlook as they climb the mountain of potential profits. This is the
defining reason why it is so important for the government to play an efficient role when
regulating oil and gas companies. While environmental regulation may in fact slow down
growth, it will remain an important factor for our long-term survival. If society keeps up
the tragedy of the commons strategy, we will eventually rid the entire earth of its
resources. Government after all is the main allocator of these scarce resources and if the
government can get those resources to the maximum amount of people at an affordable
cost, then society will become more efficient as a whole.
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Conclusion
Over the course of this report I have argued for increased efforts of
government-funded research in fracking that will allow the private sector to
take new technologies and develop them further into products for the
marketplace. Technology advancements can sufficiently boost economic
productivity to prevent a long-term slowdown. Going forward, this
prevention of a long-term slowdown will enable us to invent alternative fuel
sources such as water or algae that are easily renewable. A renewable energy
source will slow down the consumption of scare resources and allow society
to progress more rapidly. If we are to ever address serious issues like climate
change or other pressing environmental concerns, and, at the same time,
ensure energy access and security for the American people without
overburdening the U.S. economy, alternative sources of energy must be
developed, energy conservation must be encouraged, and advanced
technologies must be developed and deployed. I remain a strong believer
that the U.S. can see an economic turnaround due advancements in
technologies that enable our businesses to grow.
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