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HZL_de-facets of disinvestment of PSU

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    Due Diligence of Hindustan Zinc

    PSU Disinvestment through

    Stratergic sale

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    Overview of the presentation

    Brief Snapshot of Hindustan Zinc Limited (HZL)

    Analysis of mines/smelters, assets, employees

    Past Financials

    Zinc Industry

    Investment Perspective

    Valuation

    Time table for future

    Transaction Details

    Transaction Documents

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    Brief Snapshot of HZL

    Only integrated primary producer of zinc & lead in

    the country

    Accounts for almost 80% of the countrys zinc

    production

    Headquartered in Udaipur

    Owns 6 mines (operates 4) and 4 smelters

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    Capacities & Production

    11 mths 12 mths (est)

    Zn Ingots 161,300 MT 180,000 MT

    PRODUCT CAPACITY PRODN. 2000-01 PRODN. 2001-02(9 mths)

    Zn Ingots 169,000 MT 148,092 MT 132,542 MT

    Lead Ingots 43,000 MT 34,840 MT 28,993 MT

    Silver 86,000 kg 35,127 kg 36,946 kgSulphuric Acid 338,000 MT 271,714 MT 239,162 MT

    Cadmium Ingots 740 MT 277 MT 298 MT

    Copper Cathode 2,100 MT 213 MT 128 MT

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    Mines & Smelters

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    Mines - Details

    MINE RAMPURAAGUCHA RAJPURADARIBA ZAWAR AGNIGUNDALA

    Ore with Grade Lead-Zinc

    Zn 13.70%

    Pb 1.90%

    Lead-Zinc

    Zn 8.00%

    Pb 2.10%

    Lead-Zinc

    Zn 4.63%

    Pb 2.40%

    Lead

    Pb 2.10%

    Capacity 4500 tpd 2400 tpd 4000 tpd 240 tpdType Open Pit Underground Underground Underground

    Estimated Life 23 yrs 15 yrs 10 yrs (750,000 tpa)

    +8 yrs (300,000 tpa)

    11 yrs

    Lease renewed

    upto

    March 13, 2020 May 29, 2010 March 29, 2010 November 21, 2013

    Nearest City Bhilwara80 km Udaipur 80 km Udaipur 44 km Guntur 25 km

    Cost of

    Production

    (2001-02)

    Rs. 5,691 / MT Rs. 17,326 / MT Rs. 16,863 / MT Rs. 16,425 / MT

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    Global Mining Cost Comparison

    MINE RAMPURAAGUCHA

    RAJPURADARIBA

    ZAWAR

    Cost of Production (Rs./T of

    concentrate)

    5,691 17,326 16,863

    Concentrate Grade 54% 51% 55%

    Cost of Production ($/T of

    metal)

    216 697 629

    Breakeven cost at LME of

    $800/MT and related TC/RC

    321 321 321

    Breakeven cost at LME of$900/MT and related TC/RC 380 380 380

    Breakeven cost at LME of

    $1000/MT and related TC/RC

    439 439 439

    Scope for improvement ($/MT

    of metal)

    - 376 / 317 / 258 308 / 249 / 190

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    Smelters - Details

    SMELTER CHANDERIYA DEBARI VIZAG TUNDOO

    Metal Zinc & Lead Zinc Zinc Lead

    Capacity Zinc 70,000 tpa

    Lead35,000 tpa

    59,000 tpa 40,000 tpa 8,000 tpa

    Process Zinc

    ISP

    LeadPyro

    Electrowinning Electrowinning Pot Sintering

    Recovery

    (2000-01)

    Zinc 90.67%

    Lead89.86%

    95% 87% 87.15%

    Nearest City Bhilwara45 km Udaipur 15 km Vizag Dhanbad 36 km

    Cost of

    Production

    (2001-02)

    Zn - Rs. 35,379 / MT

    PbRs. 30,802 / MT

    Rs. 53,150 / MT Rs. 53,344 / MT Rs. 59,848 / MT

    http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/Zn_Capacities.xls
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    Global TC/RC Comparison

    SMELTER CHANDERIYA DEBARI VIZAG

    Cost of Zn Production

    (Rs./MT)21,782 32,863 32,244

    Cost of Zn Production

    ($/MT)447 674 661

    TC/RC ($/MT of metal) at

    LME of $800/MT479 479 479

    TC/RC ($/MT of metal) at

    LME of $900/MT520 520 520

    TC/RC ($/MT of metal) atLME of $1000/MT

    561 561 561

    Scope for improvement

    ($/MT of metal)- 195 / 254 / 213 182 / 141 / 100

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    Employees

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    Employees

    WORKMEN EXECUTIVES TOTAL CONTRACT

    as on 30.6.01

    As on 30.9.2000 9,482 1,339 10,821 3,254

    As on 24.10.2001 8,625 1,306 9,931

    VRS Accepted &

    Paid

    1,348 228 1,576

    As on 1/3/02 7,277 1,078 8,355 3,254

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    Employees (as on 1/3/02)Break-upEXECUTIVES WORKMEN TOTAL CONTRACT

    (as on 30.6.01)

    Smelters:

    1. Chanderiya 184 631 815 652

    2. Debari 100 1,022 1,122 456

    3. Vizag 117 898 1,015 531

    4. Tundoo 33 514 547 45Mines:

    1. Rampura Agucha 110 606 716 490

    2. Rajpura Dariba 113 1,201 1,314 422

    3. Zawar Mines 180 1,822 2,002 375

    4. Agnigundala 19 170 189 130

    5. Sargipalli 32 1 33 0

    6. Maton 16 23 39 3

    Others 174 389 563 150

    TOTAL STAFF 1,078 7,277 8,355 3,254

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    Other Assets

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    Other AssetsCity Location Nos. Nature Area (sq.ft)

    Jaipur Bani Park (Flat) 2 Owned 1050 x 2

    Bani Park (Flat) 1 Owned 1,650

    Bangalore M. G. Road (Office) 1 Rented 1,139

    Vijaynagar (Flat) 1 Owned 1,075

    Vijaynagar (Flat) 1 Owned 1,278

    Vijaynagar (Garage) 1 Owned 203

    Delhi Nehru Place (Office) 1 Rented 1,290

    Nehru Place (Office) 1 Rented 645

    SCOPE-Lodi Road 1 Rented 1,079

    SCOPE-Laxmi Nagar 1 Rented 6,000

    Asiad Village (Flat) 1 Rented 1,241

    Ring Rd. Lajpat Nagar

    Guest House

    1 Rented 6,600

    Ghaziabad Devika Apartments 4 Owned 1020 x 4

    Hyderabad Saifabad (Office) 1 Owned 3,613

    Saifabad (Garage) 1 Owned 200

    Saifabad (Flat) 1 Owned 1,714

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    Other AssetsCity Location Nos. Nature Area (sq.ft)

    Mumbai Nariman Pt. (Office) 1 Rented 1,650

    Santacruz (East) - Flat 1 Owned 580

    Santacruz (East) - Flat 1 Owned 566

    Santacruz (East) - Flat 1 Owned 910

    Borivili (East) - Flat 1 Owned 1,100

    Borivili (East) - Flat 1 Owned 1,100

    Kolkata A. J. C. Bose Rd., Tollygunge 2 Owned 1159 x 2

    Car park 1 Owned

    CIC Bldg, (Flats) 2 Owned 2324 x 2

    (Car Park) 1 Owned 200

    Udaipur H OYashad Bhawan Owned approx. 30,000

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    Past Financials

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    Summary P&L AccountsPastRs. mn.

    1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01 2001-02(9 mths)

    Net Sales 11,258 13,144 14,436 9,179

    Other Income 368 499 198 237

    Total Income 11,625 13,643 14,634 9,415

    Total Expenditure 9,362 11,042 11,200 8,006

    PBDIT 2,263 2,601 3,434 1,409

    Depreciation 572 670 577 459

    Interest 152 105 25 168

    VRS amortised 290

    PBT 1,539 1,826 2,832 494

    PAT 763 904 1,692 218

    Cash profit excluding

    extraordinary items

    1,417

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    Summary Balance Sheet - Past

    Particulars(Rs. mn.)

    31.3.1999 31.3.2000 31.3.2001 31.12.2001(provisional)

    Share Capital 4,225 4,225 4,225 4,225

    Reserves & Surplus 5,572 6,218 7,377 7,642

    Loans 940 150 57 642

    Net Fixed Assets 6,557 6,482 6,642 6,485

    Investments 830 830

    Current Assets 7,163 8,676 7,649 7,045

    Current Liabilities 2,983 4,564 3,462 3,008

    Net Current Assets 4,180 4,112 4,186 4,037

    http://localhost/var/www/apps/conversion/tmp/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Internet%20Files/Content.IE5/U32LYBAT/Financial%20Projections_Final_March%202002.xls
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    Cashflow Statement - Past(Rs. mn.) 1999-2000 2000-2001 2001-02 Q1-3

    Opening Cash Balance 1257 1658 695

    Sources

    Net Cash Accruals 1574 2319 265

    Increase in Loan Funds - - 600

    Sale of Fixed Assets - - 158

    Total 1574 2319 1023Uses

    Decrease in Loan Funds 789 94 15

    Inc./(Dec.) in Net Working Capital -469 1038 1433

    Purchase of Fixed Assets 595 738 -

    Purchase of Investments - 830 0

    Dividend paid 258 582 -

    Total 1173 3282 1448

    Surplus/(Deficit) 401 (963) (435)

    Closing Cash Balance 1658 695 260

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    Key Ratios

    Ratio 1998-99 1999-2000 2000-01

    Current Ratio 2.18 1.53 2.14

    Debt:Equity 0.09 0.01 0.00

    RONW (%) 7.79 8.66 14.58

    ROCE (%) 14.97 20.01 26.33

    BVPS (Rs.) 23.19 24.72 27.46

    EPS (Rs.) 1.81 2.14 4.00

    Dividend (%) 4.25 5.5 12.5

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    Realisations2000-01Tonnage of Zn-Pb 182,932

    Rs. mn. Rs./MT %

    Realisation (incl. Other income) 14,634 79,998 100.00%Variable Costs Raw Materials 2,278 12,451 15.56%

    Power & fuel 2,628 14,368 17.96%

    Other factory expenses 109 597 0.75%

    Total 5,015 27,416 34.27%

    Contribution 9,619 52,582 65.73%

    Fixed Costs Salaries & Wages 2,790 15,254 19.07%

    Other fixed expenses 3,394 18,555 23.19%

    Total 6,185 33,809 42.26%

    Total Expenditure 11,200 61,225 76.53%

    PBDIT 3,434 18,773 23.47%

    Depreciation 577 3,156 3.95%

    Interest 25 135 0.17%

    PBT 2,832 15,481 19.35%

    Tax provision 1,130 6,177 7.72%

    PAT (incl. Prior items) 1,692 9,250 11.56%

    Net Cash Accruals 2,279 12,460 15.58%

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    Realisations31.12.2001Tonnage of Zn-Pb 161,535

    Rs. mn. Rs./MT %

    Realisation (incl. Other income) 9,882 61,172.55 100.00%

    Variable Costs 4,243 26,266.32 42.94%

    Contribution 5,639 34,906.23 57.06%

    Salaries & Wages 2,265 14,020.24 22.92%

    Other fixed expenses 1,964 12,161.32 19.88%

    Fixed Costs 4,229 26,181.56 42.80%

    Total Expenditure 8,472 52,447.88 85.74%

    PBDIT 1,409 8,724.67 14.26%

    Depreciation 459 2,840.87 4.64%

    Interest 168 1,038.17 1.70%

    PBT 289 1,789.33 2.93%

    Tax provision 494 3,056.30 5.00%

    PAT 211 1,308.08 2.14%

    Net Cash Accruals 959 5,938.28 9.71%

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    Unit-wise Profitability

    MINES SMELTERS

    Zawar RD RA Debari Vizag Chanderiya

    Employees

    Workmen 1822 1201 606 1022 898 631

    Executives 180 113 110 100 117 184

    Base Production (T) Zn Concentrate Zn Metal

    43,457 36,091 306,052 57,000 37,000 86,000

    Cash profit (Rs. mn.) -127.78 -170.06 1,014.02 210.01 189.52 1,027.58

    Pb Concentrate Pb Metal

    17,605 7,799 18,325 33,000

    Cash profit (Rs. mn.) 73.24 22.96 164.12 220.92

    Total Cash Profit (Rs.

    mn.)-54.53 -147.11 1,178.14 210.01 189.52 1,248.50

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    Unit-wise Profitability

    MINES SMELTERS

    Zawar RD RA Debari Vizag Chanderiya

    Production with capex

    (T)Zn Concentrate Zn Metal

    54,322 57,745 306,052 57,000 37,000 86,000

    Cash profit (Rs. mn.) -103.26 -179.93 1,014.02 210.01 189.52 1,027.58

    Pb Concentrate Pb Metal

    22,007 12,478 18,325 33,000

    Cash profit (Rs. mn.) 101.36 36.73 164.12 220.92

    Total Cash Profit (Rs.

    mn.)

    -1.90 -143.20 1,178.14 210.01 189.52 1,248.50

    VRS Cost (Rs. mn.) 1,591.5 1,042.0

    Production of RD & Zawar mines can be substituted by increasing RA

    production from 18 lakh tonnes to 23 lakh tonnes

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    Major World CapacitiesRefined ZincCOMPANY CAPACITY (MT) %

    Pasminco 656,000 12.59%

    Korea Zinc 628,000 12.06%Union Miniere 476,000 9.14%

    Cominco 391,000 7.51%

    Asturiana (now with Xstrata) 335,000 6.43%

    Glencore 307,000 5.89%

    Falconbridge 245,000 4.70%

    Noranda 244,000 4.68%Mitsui 239,000 4.59%

    Outokumpu 225,000 4.32%

    Metaleurope 224,000 4.30%

    Industrias Penoles 220,000 4.22%

    MIM 174,000 3.34%

    Hindustan Zinc 169,000 3.24%

    Zinc Corp America 148,000 2.84%

    Norzink 143,000 2.75%

    Grupo Mexico 105,000 2.02%

    MG 100,000 1.92%

    Padaeng 95,000 1.82%

    Anglo American 85,000 1.63%

    5,209,000 100.00%

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    Consumption Pattern

    49%

    20%

    14%

    9%

    8%

    Galvanizing Brass & Bronze Zinc Alloys Chemicals Semi-manufactures

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    Current Global Scenario

    USA is the single largest consumer of Zinc (1.6 mn.

    tonnes)

    Europe is the single largest continent which consumes

    Zinc (

    2.3 mn. tonnes) World Production has grown by 6.4% in 2000 and

    2.4% (in 2001)

    World Zinc Consumption which grew by 6.3% in 2000

    has reduced by 1.1% in 2001

    Zinc prices continue to slide. In real terms, the lowest

    level since the early 1940s

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    LME Prices (Current Levels)

    Cash = $ 813 / MT

    18 mth Forward = $ 883 / MT

    27 mth Forward = $ 913 / MT

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    Current Indian Scenario

    Zinc consumption in India higher compared toproduction

    70% met internally, rest imported

    Lower per capita consumption implies potential for

    growth (0.24 kg compared to 0.8 kg in Brazil and 4 kg

    in USA)

    HZL & Binani Zinc, the only domestic producers, with

    HZL being around 6 times the size of Binani

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    Zinc - Production in India

    29.

    273

    28.

    321

    31.

    175

    29.

    162

    29.

    923

    111.149

    136.271 141.806 145.796

    148.092

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    125

    150

    1996-97

    1997-98

    1998-99

    1999-00

    2000-01

    '000

    tonnes

    BZL HZL

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    Expected Global Scenario

    Demand for Zinc is expected to remain stagnant

    LME price to remain depressed in the short-term due to

    surplus production and stocks

    Future Outlook bright

    2002 2003 2004 2005

    Consumption (tonnes) 9,025,000 9,408,000 9,663,000 9,927,000

    Supply (tonnes) 9,400,000 9,625,000 9,770,000 9,943,000

    Supply/Demand Balance (tonnes) 375,000 217,000 107,000 16,000

    LME Cash ($/tonne) 900 1050 1100 1150

    Source: Barclays Capital

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    Expected Indian Scenario

    Indian Zinc demand expected to remain in line with the

    economy though in the future it is expected to increase

    due to infrastructural projects taking shape.

    Supply-demand scenario unlikely to affect productionunless domestic prices continue to fall, in line with

    LME price

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    Overall Assessment of Investment

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    Investment Perspective

    Strengths

    Track record of profit making

    Ore grade in Rajpura Dariba and Rampura Aguchamines fairly high compared to grades availableinternationally

    The Company has sites where preliminary explorationwork has commenced and indicates quality reserves

    The Rampura Agucha mine has substantial reserves ofhigh quality and the cost of mining is also low

    Debt-free company

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    Investment Perspective

    Strengths

    Has net working capital exceeding Rs. 4000 mn.

    Assets are available when Zinc LME at historical low

    Reasonably professional management with faircommercial orientation

    Conservative accounting practices maintained

    Unforeseen liability unlikely write-backs possible

    Huge other properties in terms of offices, residentialpremises/housing colonies

    The staff members have not exhibited any overt signs ofhostility towards the process of privatisation

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    Investment Perspective

    Concern Areas

    Zinc industry highly dependent on steel industry

    Demand forecast for Zn not encouraging

    Scattered locations of mines and smelters

    Analysis of cost structures reveals that only RA mine is

    viable at current LME levels

    Profitability of the company sensitive to changes in

    import duty structure(reduction) or fall in world prices Quality of rock at the RD mine

    The availability of water in Rajasthan dependent on

    annual rainfall.

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    Investment Perspective

    Concern Areas

    Power costs are high

    Salaries and wages is a large component of the total costs

    Sargipalli and Maton mines are being closed. The non-VRS costs of the closure, if any, would need to be

    examined in detail. Agnigundala mine and Tundoo

    smelter are also in the process of being closed. The

    closure costs of these have to be examined.

    Company produces significant amount of PW grade zinc

    which has low demand and lower margins

    Companys equity base is very high

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    Assumptions Underlying Future

    Projections and Valuation

    A i

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    Assumptions

    ProductionBased on capacity

    Pricing

    LME-based, landed cost

    Insurance & Freight etc is assumed at USD 30/t

    Import Duty Structure as below

    2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

    Rate (%) 35 25 25 20 20 20 20

    Clearance and domestic costs have been assumed at Rs. 1500/tCVD and SADD assumed at flat 16% and 4% respectively in the

    calculation of effective duty

    INR to depreciate at 5% p.a. against the USD

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    Valuation

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    Valuation

    Book Value

    Discounted Cash Flows

    Comparable multiples Market Price

    Other qualitative factors

    Intangibles

    Contingent and hidden liabilities

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    DCF Valuation

    DCF Valuation Parameters

    Risk free rate = 8.00%

    Market rate of return = 14.39%

    Stock Beta = 1.2 (or 120%) Growth rate to perpetuity = 2.00%

    Cost of Equity = 15.67%

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    Transaction Details

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    Shareholding on offer

    GoI disinvestment in HZL26%

    Open offer to be made subsequent to acquisition of

    GoI stakeMinimum 20% Buyers Call Option: 6 months from Closing Date for

    a period of 1 year - Upto 18.92%

    GoIs Put Option: 30 months from Closing Date for a

    period of 1 year Upto GoI stake of 26%

    Buyers Second Call Option: 5 years from Closing

    DateAll remaining GoI shares

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    Share Purchase Agreement

    1. Non-disposal Undertaking of 3 years2. Lock-in of shares for 3 years

    3. Subsequent to successful bid, Open Offer for a

    minimum of 20% stake mandatory4. Buyers Call Option - 6 months after closing date upto

    18 months (Upto 18.92%). {at higher of Bid Price or

    Market Value}

    5. GoIs Put Option - 30 months after closing date upto

    42 months (GOI retaining stake of 26 % to 31%). {at

    the higher of Bid Price or Market Value}

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    Critical clauses in the Agreements

    6. SP Second Call Option5 years after closing dateall remaining shares of GoI {Fair Market Value asdetermined by independent valuer}

    7. Right of First Refusal continues between SP & GoI

    for 18 months from closing date8. No Tag-along or Drag-along clause

    9. Post Closing adjustment removed. (Existing inBALCO)

    10. GoIs right to inspect accounts removed

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    Critical clauses in the Agreements

    11. Embargo on further Capitalization for 2 years*

    12. Only the items requiring 75% majority are listed as

    veto rights under the SHA

    13. GoI has reserved the right to offer 5% of the Sharesto HZL employees directly

    * (except with the consent of the GoI)

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    Future Projections

    Profitability Projections

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    Profitability ProjectionsRs. mn. 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05

    LME Price of Zn SHG

    ($/t)

    H1880

    H2

    765

    800 850 900

    Tonnage of Pb-Zn 218,000 218,000 218,000 219,000

    Net Sales 12,619 11,961 13,511 15,170

    Other Income 292 150 150 150

    Total Income 12,911 12,111 13,661 15,320

    Total Expenditure 11,082 11,439 11,996 12,802

    EBITDA 1,829 672 1,665 2,518

    Depreciation 687 717 758 771

    Interest 28 0 0 0

    Other Liabilities 139 0 0 0

    VRS Amortised 289 405 405 405

    PBT 685 -449 502 1,342

    PAT 508 -449 464 825

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    Profitability Projections

    Rs. mn. 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05PBDIT / Sales 14.16% 5.55% 12.19% 16.44%

    PAT / Sales 3.94% -3.71% 3.39% 5.39%

    EPS (Rs.) 1.20 -1.06 1.10 1.95

    Net Cash Accruals (Rs. mn.) 1,484 672 1,627 2,001

    RONW 4.36% -3.85% 3.82% 6.37%

    ROCE 5.58% -3.85% 3.82% 6.37%

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    Balance Sheet Projections

    Particulars

    (Rs. mn.)

    31.3.2002 31.3.2003 31.3.2004 31.3.2005

    Share Capital 4,225 4,225 4,225 4,225

    Reserves & Surplus 7,886 7,436 7,900 8,725

    Loans 0 0 0 0

    Gross Fixed Assets 14,887 15,547 16,207 16,407

    Net Fixed Assets 6,395 6,339 6,240 5,669

    Current Assets 6,737 6,106 7,134 9,023

    Current Liabilities 3,008 2,943 3,004 3,092

    D:E Ratio 0 0 0 0

    Current Ratio 2.45 2.52 2.36 2.65

    C hfl P j ti

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    Cashflow ProjectionsParticulars (Rs. mn.) 2001-02 2002-03 2004-05 2005-06

    Opening Balance 695 5 633 1,557

    Sources of Funds

    Funds from operations 1,829 672 1,665 2,518

    Inc. in term loans 0 0 0 0

    Dec. in NWC 409 658 0 0

    Total 2,238 1,330 1,665 2,518

    Use of Funds

    Inc. in Fixed Assets 440 660 660 200

    Inc. in NWC 0 0 144 179

    Dec. in term loans 57 0 0 0

    VRS Payments 1,445 578 0 0

    Other Payments 926 0 39 517

    Total 2,868 1,238 843 896

    Surplus/(Deficit) (630) 92 822 1,622

    Closing Balance 65.00 157.00 979.00 2,601.00

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    Cost Structures

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    RD MinesCost Structure

    38%

    17%

    8%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    9%

    12%

    Salaries & Wages

    Power

    Royalty

    Stores

    R&M

    Depreciation

    Others

    Admn. Expenses

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    Zawar MinesCost Structure

    46%

    18%

    8%

    8%

    3%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    Salaries & Wages

    Power

    Royalty

    Stores

    R&M

    Depreciation

    Others

    Admn. Expenses

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    RA MinesCost Structure8%

    18%

    29%

    7%

    7%

    0% 4%

    27%

    Salaries & Wages

    Power

    Royalty

    Stores

    R&M

    Depreciation

    Others

    Admn. Expenses

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    Debari SmelterCost Structure

    35%

    45%

    3%

    4%0% 4%

    9%Power & Fuel

    Feed Material

    Stores & Chemicals

    Salaries & Wages

    R&M

    Depreciation

    Others

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    Chanderiya SmelterZn Cost Structure

    23%

    43%

    13%

    5%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    Power & Fuel

    Feed Material

    Stores & Chemicals

    Salaries & Wages

    R&M

    Depreciation

    Others

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    Chanderiya SmelterPb Cost Structure

    21%

    51%

    9%

    5%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    Power & Fuel

    Feed Material

    Stores & Chemicals

    Salaries & Wages

    R&M

    Depreciation

    Others

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    Comparable Multiples

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    Comparable Multiples

    COMPANY EV / EBITDA PRICE / BV2002

    Pasminco 1.60 0.10

    Falconbridge 5.40 1.00

    Penoles 4.20 0.50Teck Cominco 5.10 0.70

    Noranda 4.40 0.80

    Xstrata 6.50 1.00

    MIM 5.10 0.70

    Grupo Mexico 10.70 0.50

    Average 5.38 0.66

    HZL Value (Rs. / Share) 16.53 18.61

    Share Values

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    Book Value (31.3.2001) Rs. 25.46

    Book Value (30.9.2001) Rs. 27.06

    Market Price as per SEBI Guidelines Rs. 18.39

    (Rs. / Share) Full Equity

    (@ 15.47%)

    D:E = 1

    WACC =

    12.94%

    D:E = 1.5

    WACC =

    13.26%

    Fully

    Levered

    11%

    1) LME plateau at $900/t 18.07 19.73 20.18 22.69

    2) LME plateau at $1000/t 27.41 30.10 30.83 34.91

    3) LME constant at $765/t 2.13 2.29 2.33 2.59

    4) 1 + VRS for 2118 people 19.78 21.66 22.18 25.02

    5) 1 + closure of condemned units 19.05 20.83 21.32 24.02

    6) RA Mine + 3 Smelters 21.70 23.72 24.27 27.31

    7) RA Mine+Chanderiya&Debari Smelters 20.90 22.84 23.37 26.30

    8) RA Mine+Chanderiya&Vizag Smelters 20.75 22.69 23.22 26.15

    9) RA Mine + Chanderiya only 20.51 22.44 22.96 25.88

    10) LME at $750/t, Rupee dep. @ 3%,

    import duty 35/25/20/15/10, COP/t to reduce

    to Rs. 50,000/Rs. 45,000

    15.61 17.08 17.48 19.70

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    Past Financial Analysis

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    Strategic Perspective

    Sterlites presence in non-ferrous metals CopperOriginally present

    AluminiumAcquisition of BALCO

    GoldProspecting in Armenia

    ZincNatural extension of presence in the non-ferrous area

    Zinc industry less volatile than those of Copper andAluminium


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