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S h Ti S h Ti Stephen Timme Stephen Timme President FinListics Solutions CFOEd CFOEd
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Page 1: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

S h TiS h TiStephen TimmeStephen TimmePresident

FinListics SolutionsCFOEdCFOEd

Page 2: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

The FinancialThe Financial--SupplySupplyChain ManagementChain Management

ConnectionConnection

Page 3: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

The Financial-Supply Chain Management ConnectionManagement Connection

Dr. Stephen G. TimmePresident, FinListics Solutions and Adjunct Professor, President, FinListics Solutions and Adjunct Professor,

Georgia Institute of [email protected]

Page 4: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

PurposePurposeWhat retail executives really want from Supply Chain Management (SCM)Management (SCM).

The Financial-SCM Connection.

Much potential to unlock hidden value.

Total cost of holding inventory.

Supply chain financing.

Page 5: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

The Challenge

Many companies historically have not aligned supply chain management with financial performance goalschain management with financial performance goals.

• High performance

Revenue Revenue GrowthGrowth

Financial Financial P fP f

g pcompanies use supply chain management to achieve financial goals ProfitabilityProfitability PerformancePerformance

Higher Value Adding Revenue Growth

achieve financial goals through:

ProfitabilityProfitability

Higher Value-Adding Revenue GrowthImproved ProfitabilityGreater Capital Utilization

Capital Capital UtilizationUtilization

Page 6: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Polling Question Polling Question #1#1

Page 7: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Aligning SCM with Financial Goals: A Top-Down Approachp pp

Inventory, Revenue, SG&A, COGS, Fixed Assets, A/R, A/P

1 FinancialDrivers

Uses gaps in financialperformance drivers to determine potential for 2

SCMBusiness

improving SCM businessprocesses, activities, tasks

Business Processes

3 SCM Activities/Tasks

Page 8: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Financial-SCM ConnectionFinancial Metric Examples of How Supply Chain Management Adds Value

Revenue Growth (Same Store and New Store Sales)

•Fill rates•Forecasting•Customer Service

•Lead times•New Product Speed to Market

COGS as a Percentage of Revenue(Gross Profit Margin)

•Inbound Transportation Mgt.•Inventory Mgt.•Network Design

•Procurement•Reverse Logistics•Selective Outsourcing

SG&A as a Percentage of Revenue•Warehouse Mgt.•Outbound Transportation•Supply Chain Administration

•Customer Service•Information Technology

Days in Inventory (DII)•Transportation Mgt.•Warehouse Mgt.

•Inventory Visibility•Forecasting Accuracyays e to y ( )

(GMROII)g

•Network Designg y

•Demand Planning

Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)•Shipment Integrity•Fill Rate•Proof of Delivery

•Invoicing Accuracy•Internal Communications

Days Purchases Outstanding (DPO) •Procurement Terms •Payment Practices

Fixed Asset Utilization(Revenue / SF for stores)

•Warehouse Management•Transportation Management

•IT Management•Selective Outsourcing( )

Page 9: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

SCM – Who’s View?

CxO View of Supply Chain ManagementCxO View of Supply Chain Management

CEODeliver value-adding growing revenue.Like merchandise availability, new merchandise speed to market and customer service.

CFOBetter manage the balance sheet primarily in terms of inventory and fixed assets and the income statement in terms of SCM related expenses.S l l d l

MerchandisersSales, sales and more sales.Like visibility into current and future demand including both quantities and required lead times or replenishment times.

VP Supply Better plan and fulfill market demand for goods and service and do ffi i tlSupp y

Chainso more efficiently.Like SCM buy-side, sell-side, planning and execution.

Page 10: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Polling Question Polling Question #2#2

Page 11: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Much Potential to UnlockHidden ValueHidden Value

Page 12: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Much Potential to Unlock Hidden Value:Retailers’ Operating Income MarginRetailers Operating Income Margin

12%

1st Quartile Median

9.8%

7.4% 7.1%8.2%

7.5%8%

10%

5.0%4.2%

3.4%4%

6%

0%

2%

Apparel Electronics Non-Store DepartmentAnnual value of improving to 1st

Quartile*$23M $24M $29M $48M

Quartile**per $1,000 million in revenue

Page 13: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Much Potential to Unlock Hidden ValueRetailers’ Days In Inventory

105120

1st Quartile Mediany y

69 7487 86

6580

100

56

2940

60

-

20

Apparel Electronics Non-Store Department

Value of improving to 1st Quartile* $34M $63M $67M $60M

*per $1,000 million in revenue

Page 14: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

GMROI – Need for Supply Chain Speed

Apparel Electronics Non-Store Department

$ $ $ $ $$Revenue $1,000.0 $1,00 $1,000 $1,000

$Gross Profit 391 319 370 345$Inventory 145 159 112 188$Inventory 145 159 112 188

GMROI(GP / Inventory)

269% 201% 330% 183%

GP M i 39 1% 31 9% 37 0% 34 5%GP Margin(GP / Revenue)

39.1% 31.9% 37.0% 34.5%

X Inv Turn(Revenue / Inventory)

6.89 6.31 8.91 5.31(Revenue / Inventory)

= GMROIProfitability x SPEED

269% 201% 330% 183%

Page 15: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Need for SCM SPEED – A Retail Example*

35%fit

Base case: 30% Gross Profit Margin x 7 Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII

33%

31%30%os

s Pr

of

1Inventory Turnover

Increases to 8.5:25% GPM x 8 5 = 212%

29%27%

25%25%

30%

en %

Gro

2

25% GPM x 8.5 = 212% GMROI

325%24%

22%

20%

25%

Bre

akev

e

Competition Lowers GPM to 25% but no change in Inventory Turnover: 25% x 7 = 175% GMROI

2 3

20%

6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

(SPEED) I t T

B

(SPEED) Inventory Turnover*Graph for 200% minimum GMROII

Page 16: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Total Cost of Holding Inventory

Page 17: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Total Cost of Holding InventoryTotal Cost of Holding Inventory

Non-Capital Carrying Charges

+

Capital Charges

Page 18: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Inventory Trade-Offs

OperatingRevenue OperatingExpenses

CapitalCapitalInvestment

Page 19: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Total Cost of Holding Inventory:Electronics Stores

Inventory $160Pre-Tax Cost of Capital 15%

Electronics Stores

Inventory Non-Capital Carrying Charge 10% 25%

Total Annual Costs $40

Adjusted Operating Income* $66Total Annual Costs Absorption

of Adjusted Operating Income 60%

7 months of sales needed to fund total inventory costs.y

*Reported Operating Income + Non Capital Carrying Costs*Reported Operating Income + Non-Capital Carrying Costs.

Page 20: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Retail Business Processes to Explore Closing Financial Performance GapsClosing Financial Performance Gaps

Business ProcessRevenue Growth

% Cost of Goods Sold

% SG&A Days Sales Outstanding

Days In Inventory

Days Purchases

Outstanding

Fixed Asset

Utilization

Merchandising

Marketing

Customer Relationship Mgt

Store Operations

Order Fulfillment

Warehouse Management

Transportation

Finance & Accounting

Human Resources

Information Technology

Corporate

+ = Capital Utilization= Growth = Profitability

Page 21: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Reduce COGS through Improving Logistics & WarehousingLogistics & Warehousing1. What is major cost drivers in the warehouse and its impact on COGS

a) Warehouse cost as a % of revenueb) Warehouse layout and conduciveness to efficient flow of goods) y gc) # of employees required to run the warehouse and labor costsd) average pick timee) Fill ratef) Damage rate

2. How much is inventory costing you?a) % of inventory that is dead stockb) # of SKUs

3. Is your transportation/Logistics strategy aligned with you business strategy?a) How many orders are you shipping that are less than full loadb) transportation throughput commensurate with your needsc) Is selection and utilization of shippers, for both inbound and outbound product,

i ldi th b t f i tiyielding the best for your organization

4. What role does information technology play in managing your logistics and warehousing?a) Does the warehouse have visibility into the production schedule or customer order

system? yb) How do you receive the information for picking orders

Page 22: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Polling Question Polling Question #3#3

Page 23: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Supply Chain Financingpp y g

Page 24: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Retailing Supply Chain FinancingRetailing Supply Chain Financing

Sourcing from Asia-Pacific comprises the majority of d f N th A i t ilspend for many North American retailers.

For many retailers implicit trade financing charges For many retailers, implicit trade financing charges comprise 4%-6% of cost of goods sold.

Reducing these charges 10% increases Gross Profit Margin 30 bps for the average retailer - $3M per $1B in revenue. revenue.

Page 25: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Polling Question Polling Question #4#4

Page 26: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Use of Supply Chain Finance (SCF)

13%Actively using SCF

31%13%

No action taken

Firm plans to15%

Firm plans to enhance

41%41%Investigating

tioptionsSource: “Financing the Chain,” CFO Magazine, February 2007, pp 46-53. From study by Aberdeen Group.

Page 27: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Who’s view – Top actions planned to improve financing of supply chain

Negotiate price reduction with suppliers for earlier

Implement a program that enables both streamlined

Buyers Suppliers

51% 67%pppayment transaction processing and

access to financing

Implement a scorecard Find a cheaper source of

51% 67%

system to track supplier performance

financing

Implement new technology for better automation and

Implement new technology for better automation and

41%

40%

49%

44%for better automation and visibility

for better automation and visibility

Extend payment terms Obtain additional financing from a financial institution

40%

39%

44%

37%Implement program that enables both streamlined transaction processing and

Use purchase-order performance milestones to trigger buyer payment or 32% 26%g

access to financinggg y y

export finance

Source: “Financing the Chain,” CFO Magazine, February 2007, pp 46-53. From study by Aberdeen Group.

Page 28: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Questions?

Page 29: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

The Financial-Supply Chain Management ConnectionManagement Connection

Dr. Stephen G. TimmePresident, FinListics Solutions and Adjunct Professor, President, FinListics Solutions and Adjunct Professor,

Georgia Institute of [email protected]

Page 30: i Sh TS tephen Ti mme - Retail Industry Leaders Association Presentations/Logistics 2008... · Inventory Turnover = 210% GMROII 33% 31% o 30% ss Pro 1 Inventory Turnover Increases

Title Sponsor:

February 10‐ 13, 2008 ● Gaylord Palms Resort & Convention Center ● Kissimmee, Florida


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