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ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance February 2009
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Page 1: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance

February 2009

Page 2: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

2

Agenda

Market developments & our response

Financial performance

Long term opportunities & strategy

Page 3: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

3

India: current economic scenarioSharp decrease in inflation from a peak of 12.9% to 5.6% with expectations of further decreaseAggressive monetary easing by RBI

CRR decreased by 400 bps, SLR decreased by 100 bpsRepo rate decreased by 350 bps, Reverse repo rate decreased by 200 bps

Two rounds of fiscal stimulus announced by the governmentHowever, risks remain due to slowdown in economic activity

Corporate profitability adversely impacted due to build up of inventory

Page 4: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

4

System liquidity, credit and depositsComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates

Reduction in retail deposit & lending rates by banksWholesale deposit rates declined from 12.0% at end Sep to 8.0%-8.5% currently

Non-food credit growth moderated from 23% (YTD annualised) at end-Nov 2008 to 15% at mid-Jan 2009Deposit growth moderated from 21% (YTD annualised) at end-Nov 2008 to 17% at mid-Jan 2009

However, demand deposits declined by 18% (YTD annualised)

Page 5: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

5

ICICI Bank: strategic response to market developments last year

Volatile liquidity conditions

Conscious moderation in credit growth ahead of cycle

Increased risks Tightened retail credit norms

over the last year; Active monitoring of corporate

portfolio

High wholesale deposit rates

Repayment of wholesale deposits

Slower revenue growth

Stringent cost control

Page 6: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

6

Agenda

Market developments & our response

Financial performance

Long term opportunities & strategy

Page 7: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Fundamental consumption and investment drivers present an attractive opportunity for the

financial services sector

Page 8: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

8

Opportunity spectrum for ICICI Group

Growing consuming classRural consumption on an uptrend; pay commission implementation to increase public sector incomeDecrease in inflation and interest rates to support consumption

Significant industrial and infrastructure requirements

Vast Indian diaspora spanning the globe Potential for remittances and NRI deposits

Low penetration of insurance and asset management

Page 9: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

9

Our franchise

Life Insurance(JV with Prudential)General Insurance(JV with Lombard)Asset Management(JV with Prudential)

Private Equity(Wholly owned)

Investment Banking & Broking(Wholly owned)

Second largest bank in IndiaICICI Bank

Multi specialist financial services group: well positioned to capitalise on opportunities

74%

74%

51%

100%

100%

Page 10: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

10

Retail banking: focus on liability franchise

Branches

Mar 04

469

CAGR 59%

Mar 05

562

Mar 06

614

Mar 07

755

Current

1,416

2010E

2,000+

E. Projected based on remaining branch licenses and 580 new branch licenses

Increase in branch network to drive next phase of deposit growth

Page 11: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

11

Corporate & investment bankingDomestic wholesale banking

Build sustainable recurring revenue streams by increasing market share in transaction banking and non-fund businessParticipate in selected domestic exposures by leveraging strong relationships

Service the demand for trade and foreign currency financing from Indian corporates using international presence

Leverage syndication capabilities to achieve risk diversification and return optimization

Active monitoring of portfolio Assessing impact of changing market conditions

Page 12: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

12

International retail banking

Non-resident Indians Technology & operating platform

NRI population of 20 mn

OpportunityInward remittance of over US$ 40 bn

Low cost technology platform

Large scale of operations in India

StrategyOffer remittance and India linked

wealth management

Build international retail deposit base

Performance20% market share in remittances into

India

Retail deposits in UK and Canada at

US$ 8.5 bn

Page 13: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

13

Agenda

Market developments & our response

Financial performance

Long term opportunities & strategy

Page 14: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

14

Q3-2009: Key highlights25% quarter-on-quarter increase in profit after tax to Rs. 12.72 billion in Q3-2009 from Rs. 10.14 billion in Q2-2009

Profit after tax of Rs. 12.30 billion in Q3-2008

Capitalised on opportunities in declining interest rate scenario: treasury gains of Rs. 9.76 billion in Q3-2009

19% year-on-year decrease in operating & direct marketing agency expenses despite substantial increase in branches

Net interest margin maintained at 2.4%

Strategy of conscious moderation in credit growthContraction in standalone loan book during the year to Rs. 2,125.21 billion at December 31, 2008

Net NPA ratio of 1.95% at December 31, 2008

Page 15: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Capital adequacyT

ier-

1 ra

tio

Tier-1 ratios at December 31, 2008

Capitalisation levels significantly higher than the market

Page 16: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

16

Looking ahead

Focus on rolling out branch network to enhance capability for retail deposit gathering & asset

origination

Actively monitor and manage existing portfolio for risks arising out of changing operating environment

Maintain high capitalisation levels to be prepared for next round of growth

Continue to look for opportunities to reduce costs

Page 17: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

17

Certain statements in these slides are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Actual results may differ materially from those included in these statements due to a variety of factors. More information about these factors is contained in ICICI Bank's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

All financial and other information in these slides, other than financial and other information for specific subsidiaries where specifically mentioned, is on an unconsolidated basis for ICICI Bank Limited only unless specifically stated to be on a consolidated basis for ICICI Bank Limited and its subsidiaries. Please also refer to the statement of audited unconsolidated, consolidated and segmental results required by Indian regulations that has been filed with the stock exchanges in India where ICICI Bank’s equity shares are listed and with the New York Stock Exchange and the US Securities Exchange Commission, and is available on our website www.icicibank.com.

Page 18: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Thank you

Page 19: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

19

Annexure: Detailed financial results

Page 20: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

20

Profit & loss statement

(64.8)%2.296.51246.1%9.762.828.15- Treasury income

4.1%121.58116.742.7%45.0543.87161.15Total income

56.70

1.36

11.84

46.84

10.99

46.99

64.49

52.25

9M-2008

27.71

0.54

1.03

15.77

1.92

13.47

25.15

19.90

Q3-2009

22.59

0.47

4.16

16.65

3.60

17.85

24.27

19.60

Q3-2008

22.7%

14.9%

(75.2)%

(5.3)%

(46.7)%

(24.5)%

3.6%

1.5%

Q3-o-Q3

growth

19.4%

16.2%

(59.8)%

1.5%

(52.7)%

10.3%

(8.1)%

19.2%

9M-o-9M

growth

4.7615.43DMA expenses

67.70

1.58

47.54

5.20

51.81

59.30

62.28

9M-2009

79.61Operating profit

1.82Lease depreciation

64.29Operating expenses

13.69- Others

66.27- Fee income

88.11Non-interest inc.

73.04NII

FY 2008

(Rs. in billion)

Page 21: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

21

Profit & loss statement

3.4%

83.2%

17.7%

32.6%

22.7%

Q3-o-Q3

growth

30.08

7.05

37.13

19.57

56.70

9M-2008

12.72

4.91

17.63

10.08

27.71

Q3-2009

19.4%67.7022.5979.61 Operating profit

39.2%27.247.6029.05Provisions

12.30

2.68

14.98

Q3-2008

30.14

10.32

40.46

9M-2009

0.2%

46.4%

9.0%

9M-o-9M

growth

50.56Profit before tax

41.58Profit after tax

8.98Tax

FY 2008

(Rs. in billion)

Page 22: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

22

Balance sheet: Assets

55.9%111.0299.9381.3471.19Of which: equity investment in subsidiaries

1.2%1,065.38971.481,114.541,053.12Investments

3,767.00

248.69

2,155.17

310.02

Dec 31, 2007

3,744.10

282.67

2,125.21

270.83

Dec 31, 2008

(0.6)%

13.7%

(1.4)%

(12.6)%

Y-o-Y growth

3,849.70

302.25

2,219.85

356.13

Sep 30, 2008

3,997.95

246.84

2,256.16

380.41

Mar 31, 2008

Total assets

Fixed & other assets

Advances

Cash & bank balances

(Rs. in billion)

Figures include impact of exchange rate movement

Page 23: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Composition of loan book: Dec 31, 2008

Total loan book: Rs. 2,125 bn Total retail loan book: Rs. 1,145 bn

1

1. Small ticket personal loans

2. Vehicle loans includes auto loans 13%, commercial business 13% and two wheelers 2%

3. Retail business includes builder loans and dealer funding

Page 24: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Balance sheet: Liabilities(Rs. in billion)

3,767.00

184.30

469.70

816.27

2,297.79

3.50

454.01

11.12

465.14

Dec 31, 2007

3,744.10

158.91

578.49

990.69

2,090.65

3.50

489.22

11.13

500.35

Dec 31, 2008

(0.6)%

(13.8)%

23.2%

21.4%

(9.0)%

0.0%

7.8%

-

7.6%

Y-o-Y growth

948.49863.99Total borrowings

3,997.95

221.45

514.86

2,444.31

3.50

453.57

11.13

464.70

Mar 31, 2008

3,849.70

177.25

592.68

2,234.02

3.50

475.32

11.13

486.45

Sep 30, 2008

Total liabilities

Other liabilities

- of which: overseas

Deposits

Preference capital

- Reserves

- Equity capital

Net worth

Figures include impact of exchange rate movement

Page 25: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Capital adequacy (Basel II)

3.0%

11.0%

14.0%

September 30, 2008

2.2%

11.8%

14.0%

March 31, 2008

3.5%

12.1%

15.6%

December 31, 2008

- Tier II

- Tier I

Total Capital

As per Reserve Bank of India’s revised Basel II guidelines

Page 26: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

26

Key ratios

1.8

37.7

2.4

449.5

45.3

10.2

Q3-2009

2.2

50.9

2.2

418.4

38.6

11.4

9M-2008

1.8

43.6

2.4

449.5

35.9

8.3

9M-2009

418.4417.5 Book value (Rs.)

2.2

50.0

2.2

39.4

11.1

FY 2008

2.2

47.9

2.3

44.0

10.7

Q3-2008

Cost to average assets (incl. DMA expenses)

Cost to income (incl. DMA expenses)

Net interest margin

Weighted avg EPS (Rs.)

Return on average networth1

(Percent)

1. Based on quarterly average net worth

Page 27: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Asset quality and provisioning(Rs. in billion)

Consolidated net non-performing advances ratio of about 1.73%Gross retail NPLs at Rs. 65.68 bn and net retail NPLs at Rs. 29.10 bn at December 31, 200855% of net retail NPLs are from unsecured products

1.83%

42.99

59.72

102.71

Sep 30, 2008

1.49%

35.64

47.86

83.50

Mar 31, 2008

1.95%

44.65

51.75

96.40

Dec 31, 2008

Net NPA ratio

Net NPAs

Less: Cumulative provisions

Gross NPAs

Page 28: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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Key subsidiaries

Page 29: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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InsuranceMarket leadership in private sector with overall market share of 12.0%1

Total premium growth of 28% to Rs. 99.18 bnRenewal premium growth of 75%

Retail new business weighted received premium of Rs. 36.46 bn in 9M-2009New Business Profit (NBP) of Rs. 7.12 bn in 9M-2009 compared to Rs 7.48 bn in 9M-2008NBP margin at 18.9% in 9M-2009

Market leadership in private sector with overall market share of 12.0%1

Total premium growth of 28% to Rs. 99.18 bnRenewal premium growth of 75%

Retail new business weighted received premium of Rs. 36.46 bn in 9M-2009New Business Profit (NBP) of Rs. 7.12 bn in 9M-2009 compared to Rs 7.48 bn in 9M-2008NBP margin at 18.9% in 9M-2009

Life insurance

Continued leadership in private sector with overall market share of 12.2%2

Gross written premium3 of Rs. 27.22 bn in 9M-2009 compared to Rs. 26.14 bn in 9M-2008Achieved financial breakeven in 9M-2009 despite challenging market conditions post de-tariffing and event-related claims

Continued leadership in private sector with overall market share of 12.2%2

Gross written premium3 of Rs. 27.22 bn in 9M-2009 compared to Rs. 26.14 bn in 9M-2008Achieved financial breakeven in 9M-2009 despite challenging market conditions post de-tariffing and event-related claims

General insurance

1. For the period April - December 2008 on new business weighted received premium basis

2. For the period April – November 20083. Excluding TP motor pool remittances

Page 30: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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ICICI Bank UKTotal assets of USD 7.6 billion at December 31, 2008

Total deposits of USD 4.1 billion at December 31, 2008

Proportion of term deposits at 54%Increase of about USD 530 million in retail term deposits during Q3-2009

Net profit of USD 1.4 million in 9M-2009

Net MTM impact of USD 71 million (post tax) in reserves in Q3-2009

Capital adequacy ratio at 18.6%

Page 31: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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ICICI Bank UK asset profile1

1. Includes cash & advances to banksand certificates of deposit

100% of non-India investment portfolio (excl. Lehman Brothers bonds) rated investment grade; 90% rated A- or higher

Total assets:USD 7.6 billion

Page 32: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

3232

ICICI Bank Canada Total assets of CAD 6.5 billion at December 31, 2008

Total deposits of CAD 5.4 billion at December 31, 2008

Proportion of term deposits at 89%Increase of about CAD 550 million in retail term deposits during Q3-2009

Net profit of CAD 32.9 million in 9M-2009

Capital adequacy ratio at 16.1%

Page 33: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

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ICICI Bank Canada asset profile

1. Includes cash & advances to banks, government securities and banker’s acceptances/depository notes

Total assets:CAD 6.5 billion

1

Page 34: ICICI Group: Strategy and Performance · 4 System liquidity, credit and deposits zComfortable systemic liquidity and decline in interest rates zReduction in retail deposit & lending

34

Other subsidiaries(Rs. billion)

0.890.51ICICI Housing Finance Company

0.75

0.52

1.29

1.08

9M-2008

0.30ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company

0.25ICICI Securities Ltd.

1.42

3.23

9M-2009Profit after tax

ICICI Venture

ICICI Securities PD

Consolidated profit after tax of Rs. 28.28 billion in 9M- 2009


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