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ICLR Friday Forum: Wildfire interface mapping for Canada (February 17, 2017)

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National Interface Mapping for Canada ICLR Friday Forum Webinar February 17, 2017
Transcript

National Interface Mapping for Canada

ICLR Friday Forum WebinarFebruary 17, 2017

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Data: National Fire Database

Wildland Fire BackgroundYearly average:

7000+ fires

2.5 million ha

but…by area human (15%) vs. lightning (85%)

Fire causes:

Human (65%) vs. lightning (35%)

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Fuels

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland Fire

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Evacuations

Data: Beverly and Bothwell(2011)

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Structure Ignition

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Fire Mitigation

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Fire Management

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Fire Research

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Knowledge Gap

Where are we most

vulnerable/at risk to wildfire?

?

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland-Urban Interface

Infrastructure InterfaceIndustrial Interface

Wildland-Urban Interface

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Research Objective

Produce maps of interface

areas across Canada.

?also…

Provide basic statistics on the interface and

perform analysis of spatial patterns.

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Mapping the Interface Area

Fuels Values

Calculate

interface area

Infrastructure

interface

Wildland-industrial

interface

Wildland-urban

interface

Product: three national

maps of interface areas

Data source: LandCover 2000

land cover types and CanVec+

Data source: CanVec+

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Fuels and values:

Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence –Canada.

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Cost distance:

Fuel Weight

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Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence –Canada.

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland-Urban Interface:

Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence –Canada.

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Interface Maps

116.5million hectares

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Interface Maps

32.3million hectares

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Interface Maps

10.5million hectares

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Interface Maps

108.9million hectares

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Provincial/Territorial Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Custom and Small Scale Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Local Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Local Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Local Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Local Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Local Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Local Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Local Interface Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Provincial/territorial Choropleth Maps

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Fuels

Burnable wildland fuels: 562 million hectares

= 67% of total land area

Wildland FuelsRelative Fuel Weight

1234567

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

6% of burnable wildland fuel is

wildland-urban interface

2% of burnable wildland fuel is

wildland-industrial interface

Fuels

20% of burnable wildland fuel is

infrastructure interface

Wildland FuelsRelative Fuel Weight

1234567

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Structures

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Structures

Of all “Populated Places” across Canada…

60%have at least 500 hectares of

wildland-urban interface within 5 km

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland Fires

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland Fires

17% of fire polygons from 1980-2014 are

“wildland-urban interface fires”

but 6% for lightning-caused fires

and 39% for human-caused fires

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland Fires

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland Fires

6% of fire polygons from 1980-2014 are

“wildland-industrial interface fires”

but 3% for lightning-caused fires

and 12% for human-caused fires

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland Fires

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Wildland Fires

38% of fire polygons from 1980-2014 are

“infrastructure interface fires”

but 25% for lightning-caused fires

and 65% for human-caused fires

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Risk

Future Work

Fire Risk in Interface Areas Change Detection and

Future PredictionInterface

Areas

FWI

Ignition

Probability

FBP

Detailed fuel information

Structure Value/Potential

Loss

Suppression/ Values Protection

Capacity

Structure Ignition

Historic

Fires

Homogenous

Fire Regime

Zones (HFZ)

Topography

Burn

Probability

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Applications of the Interface MapsThe three maps of interface areas (urban, industrial,

and/or infrastructure) will be freely available.

Can easily be combined with other spatial data.

Can be used in multiple applications:

• FireSmart• Fuel treatments• Building codes• Municipal bylaws• Industrial fire regulations• Infrastructure fire mitigation

• Resource prepositioning • Fire prioritization• Interface fire alerts• Values protection• Incorporate into risk models

• City planning• Evacuation planning• Insurance• Fire management budgeting, purchases• Railway policy/planning• Powerline safety

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Thank You!

Mike FlanniganTara McGeeJen BeverlyKelsy Gibos

Canadian Forest Service

Joshua JohnstonXianli WangFrancois RobinneKaren BlouinLaura GrayEmily TuomiJeremy JohnstonBrian Wiens

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© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Minister of Natural Resources, 2016

Questions?


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