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II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012...

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II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets
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Page 1: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

II: Equities I

6: Primary Equity Markets

Page 2: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Introduction

Introduction to Stock Market Investment designed for people who suspect that the

New York Stock Exchange is in New York www.business.illinois.edu/finance_dev/

Page 3: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Begin With A Business

Discovery Café Use the Surveying Building as a Cyber Café

Dean’s permission I need $$

or Partner with $$

Page 4: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Partnership

Two equal Partners Joe W. Partner ($10,000) Elisabeth Entrepreneur ($10,000)

Two equal shares

Par Value

Page 5: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Potential Buyer

Price? Par Value Book Value

Assets – Liabilities = Shareholders Equity Earnings Earnings per Share (EPS)

Page 6: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Price – Note 1

I am using information from the past to make educated guesses about what will happen in the future. You can't just graph all the past data and draw a straight line though it. A lot will depend on how I evaluate the company's ability to grow and change over an uncertain future.

Page 7: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Price – Note 2

Price really is irrelevant unless someone wants to buy or sell.

Page 8: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Share Prices

Decreasing Prices Dean gets food poisoning

Page 9: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Share Prices

Increasing Prices Dean schedules the Faculty meetings in the

Discovery Café

Page 10: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Expansion

Opportunity to expand to three new sites on campus.

We need $$$or another partner with $$$

Page 11: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Private Equity

Accredited Investors: investors sophisticated enough to analyze the risks of a new business and who control enough money to be able to take these risks.

Angel: one venture capitalist as opposed to a group or consortium

Finance 423: Financing Emerging Businesses

Page 12: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Venture Capitalist

Negotiates 40% partnership for the $50,000 we need to expand to three new sites.

Page 13: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Pricing

What is my share worth? What is the company worth?

(Market Capitalization)

Page 14: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Success at Last

Opportunity to expand to other campuses We need $$$$$

or more partners with $$$$$

Page 15: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Public Equity Market

Individual Investors: smaller investors who would normally not have the opportunity to invest in businesses

IPO: Initial Public Offering

Page 16: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Investment Banking

Underwriter: financial advisers, lawyers, and marketers all rolled into one. The Underwriter takes us through the procedure of carving out a piece of the company to sell and making sure we do so legally and advantageously.

Page 17: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Going Public

We decide to issue 300,000 shares. The original investors retain 180,000 shares. The other 120,000 shares will be offered to the

public.

Page 18: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

SEC

Securities Exchange Commission to ensure that all investors have equal access

to the information they need to make informed investment decisions,

and to administer the federal securities laws and

regulate firms that provide investor services

Page 19: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

EDGAR

Electronic Data Gathering And Retrieval

sec.gov/edgar/searchedgar/webusers.htm

Annual and Quarterly Filings made available to the investing public.

Page 20: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

SEC Registration Statement

Prospectus Red Herring

Page 21: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

SEC

Registration Statement Prospectus Red Herring

Road Show Registration becomes “Effective”

Page 22: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Setting the Price

Too High (?%$^#*&) Investors may not buy all the shares we offer.

Then the underwriter will be stuck with shares it can not sell,- or at least not at a profit.

Too Low (?%$^#*&) We will not generate as much money as we

might have done to finance our expansion.

Page 23: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Setting the Price

$50/share

Page 24: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

IPO: Hot

By 9:30 all 120,000 shares are sold. Secondary market Prices rise.

Page 25: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Hot IPO: Netscape (NSCP) Netscape Communications

(NSCP) was the classic hot issue. It went public August 9, 1995 at an offer price of $28. On the same day it hit a high of $74¾ and closed at $58¼. Netscape hit an all time high of $174 in December 1995 and split 2:1 February 7, 1996.

A year later NSCP was trading at $30

Merged with AOL in March 1999

Page 26: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Cold IPO: Cyberian Outpost (COOL)

was the classic cold issue. It went public July 31, 1998 at an offer price of $26. It closed the same day at $20 1/4. This represents a drop of 20% in one day. In September it hit a low of $5 5/16 before closing at $10 7/16 at the end of the month.

Acquired by Fry’s Electronics in November 2001 for 25c per share

Page 27: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Ice Cold IPO

Underwriter cannot sell all the shares offered

Underwriter can not sell enough shares to make the issue worth while and the offering may be pulled.

Page 28: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Discovery Café

Price hovers right around the offer price of $50

Page 29: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Discovery Café

What is my share worth? What is the Market Capitalization? How much money did we raise?

Page 30: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012

Pricing

IPO at $50$15,000,000

Page 31: II: Equities I 6: Primary Equity Markets. Chapter 6: Primary Equity Markets © Oltheten & Waspi 2012 Introduction  Introduction to Stock Market Investment.

II: Equity Markets I


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