Southern California Water Summit

Planning for More Sustainable Communities

Hasan IkhrataExecutive DirectorNovember 8, 2014

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION of GOVERNMENTS

About SCAG

Nation’s largest Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) Governed by a

Regional Council of 84 local elected officials

Nation’s Global Gateway for Trade

Recently adopted the 2012-2035 RTP/SCS

SCAG Deals With These Regional Issues

SCAG’s Primary Role in Climate Change Policy

Develop Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Communities Strategy (RTP/SCS)

RTP/SCS includes Integrated Land-Use and Transportation Plan

RTP/SCS must meet GHG reduction targets for 2020, 2035

First RTP/SCS adopted April 2012

Unanimous vote of the RTP/SCS by the SCAG Regional Council

A Game Changer for Southern California?

Certified by federal agencies for conformity

Achieves GHG Targets

Praised in Wall Street Journal, LA Times, Huffington Post, and more

RTP/SCS Bottom-Up Development Process

Data gathering sessions & planning workshops in 2011

29

Regional Council and Joint Policy Committee Meetingsin 2011

6

Cities met withto update and develop land use and SED forecasts

175

Policy Committee and Subcommittee Meetingsin 2011, including CEHD, EEC, TC, RTP Subcommittee, High-Speed Rail Subcommittee

30

Technical Committee Meetingsin 2011, including Aviation TAC, P&P TAC, Transit TAC, Subregional Coordinators, Transportation Conformity Working Group

40

Cities and counties County Transportation

Commissions Respective state agencies Business community Development Community Affordable housing Air quality Public health

Key Support for the RTP/SCS

Advancing Jobs in Our Region

Construction

Network Benefits Commuting Accessibility Transportation

174,500Annual Jobs

354,000Annual Jobs

Outcomes of the RTP/SCS A More Sustainable Region

Exceeded requirements

Reduced GHG and Vehicle Miles Traveled

Improved health outcomes

Economic growth and jobs

Fresh outlook on transportation finance

Many other co-benefits

• Energy, water, open space conservation

Year Target2012

RTP/SCS Results

2020 8% 9%2035 13% 16%

State MandateSB 375 GHG Reduction

focus over50%

growth within3%

land area

HQTAs (2035)

2008 2035

1822

8 96 7

People Jobs Households

Millions

change of4.2 million

change of1.7 mil-

lion change of

1.5 mil-lion

To Sustainably Accommodate Future Growth

Adding the population of approximately one and a half times Chicago to Southern California

3 Overarching Strategies

allocate

ONLY 13%capital investment

to highways

focus over

50%growth within

3%land area

FROM 7:3single- vs. multi-

family units

TO 3:7

Major Demographic Changes

1. Slower growth

2. Immigration is plunging

3. Rise of the second generation immigrant

4. Growth from native Californians

5. Slower racial and ethnic change

6. Fewer children

7. A soaring senior population

Millennials

Millennials

Rapid adoption of new communication technologies

Rapidly adapting to the “shared” economy Less interested in car and homeownership Travel fewer miles and make fewer trips Favor low-travel urban lifestyles with emphasis

on walking, cycling, ride-sharing and transit

Millennials Compared to Baby Boomers

Projected Housing Demand by Housing TypeSCAG Region

Source: AC Nelson. The New California Dream: How Demographic and Economic Trends May Shape the Housing Market,. Urban Land Institute, 2011

Multifamily Townhome Small Lot Large Lot -2,000,000

-1,000,000

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

Supply 2010

Demand 2035

Additional Demand 2010-2035

Dwel

ling

Uni

ts in

Mill

ions

RTP/SCS, Urban Form & Water

RTP/SCS affects water and related infrastructure needs in a significant way

Type of housing Size of housing Location of development Open space Transportation infrastructure Urban runoff/water quality

through pervious and impervious land

Average Residential Water Use by Housing Types

Single Housing

Multiple Housing

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

302

217

144

42

19

5 OthersIrrigationIndoor

Climate Zones in Southern California

Annual Average Precipitation in Southern California1964-1990

Source: Oregon Climate Service, 1995

Inches per year

270

365

465

Average Residential Water Use by Climate Zones

Gallo

ns

Per

House

hold

Per

Day

250-290Coastal

360-370Inland Valley

450-480Desert

2012 RTP/SCS Review – Scenarios Snapshot

1

2

3

4

Water ConsumptionAnnual in 2035

3.06

2.91 2.902.86

Bill

ions

(Acr

e F

eet)

1 2 3 4

Water-related energy use in California consumes approximately 20 percent of the state’s electricity, and 30 percent of the state’s non-power plant natural gas (i.e. natural gas not used to produce electricity).-California Energy Commission

Land Consumed

251

127 84

46

Squ

are

Mile

s

1 2 3 4

Local Infrastructure CostsCapital & Operations & Maintenance Costs for New

Growth 2008-2035

Includes capital costs and general fund O&M expenditures for local roads, wastewater and sanitary sewer, water supply, and parks & recreation

$35,195,539,965.5 $30,753,0

12,677.5$29,472,877,482.3 $24,867,0

45,156.1

$ B

illio

ns

1 2 3 4

Household CostsAnnual Costs for Transportation, Building Energy and

Water, 2035

1 2 3 4

$15,120

$13,620 $13,370 $13,150

200

9 D

olla

rs

Key Observations: 2012 RTP/SCS

Absolute demand for water still rising, but on a slower pace

Per capita demand could decrease steadily with efforts in:• Planning for more compact and

efficient development patterns• Conservation and education• Green building technology

One-size does not fit all Collaboration is key

Add pics of well-designed, green buildings Long Beach

Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSCompact Development & Conservation

Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSCompact Development & Conservation

Perris: Metrolink Station Area Plan Trigger high density

development Transform an existing

transit center into a transit focused mixed use hub

Redlands: Transferring Development from Greenfields to Infill Conserve open space

and natural storm water management facilities

Facilitate Infill Development

EXAMPLES:

Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSGreen Streets, Greenways & Stormwater

Management

Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSGreen Streets, Greenways & Stormwater

Management

Metro Urban Greening Plan & Toolkit Strategies to integrate

with station area improvements: park and ride lots, first-last mile

Improve groundwater infiltration and reduce the heat island effect

San Gabriel Valley Greenway Network Proposed plan to

transform 135 miles of flood control channels to active transportation freeways

Green “treatments” to filter stormwater, replenish groundwater

EXAMPLES:

Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSOpen Space Planning & Water Quality

Commitment in the 2012-2040 RTP/SCS for an Open Space Strategic Planning process

Recently completed an Open Space Framework and Assessment, which includes a pilot conservation assessment of Prado Basin, the largest woodland riparian habitat in the SCAG region

In SCAG region, riparian and wetland habitats feature rich biodiversity but are least protected

EXAMPLE:

OCTA: Measure M2 Freeway Environmental Mitigation Program Allocates funds to

acquire land and fund habitat restoration

Streamlines freeway project approvals

Achieves multiple benefits - ecosystem preservation, hydrological function

Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSOpen Space Planning & Water Quality

Assist Local Government to Implement SCS

• Active Transportation

• Compass Blueprint

• Green Region Initiative

$24 million awarded to support integrated planning

Opportunity Areas: 2016 RTP/SCSLocal Innovations

Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund (Cap & Trade)

Active Transportation Program

Enhanced Infrastructure Financing Districts

Water Bond

New Local Resources

Thank you!

For More Information Please Visit

www.scag.ca.gov