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© ECMWF May 3, 2018 Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analyses Kirsti Salonen and Anthony McNally [email protected]
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Page 1: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

© ECMWF May 3, 2018

Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analyses

Kirsti Salonen and Anthony McNally

[email protected]

Page 2: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014

Motivation

• The upcoming hyper-spectral IR instruments on geostationary satellites will provide information with high vertical and temporal resolution.

• Positive impact on wind analysis/forecasts has been demonstrated with– Geostationary radiances (Peuby and McNally 2009, Lupu and McNally 2012, Lupu and McNally 2013)

– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

• Here focus is on the current hyper-spectral IR instruments on board polar orbiting satellites.

2EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Page 3: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 3

Radiance observations in 4D-Var, impact on wind analysis

xa = xb + K (y - Hxb) 220 270 220 270 -5 5

K = BHT(HBHT+R)-1

Example: IASI channel 3002

• Adjustments in the mass fields of the atmosphere.

• Assimilation system has freedom to adjust the wind field of the initial conditions directly.

Page 4: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 4

Example: 300 hPa R and wind analysis increments 1.11.2016 00 UTC

-50% 0 50% -50% 0 50%

WV absorption band channels from IASI, CrISand AIRS used in assimilation

No WV absorption band channels from hyperspectral IR instruments used in assimilation

Page 5: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014

Experimentation setup

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Metop-A IASI

Metop-B IASI

Aqua AIRS

Suomi-NPP Cris

IFS cycle 43R3, 1.11-31.12.2016 Baseline: Conventional observations + AMSU-A

HyIR: Baseline + IASI (Metop-A, Metop-B), Cris, AIRS

AMV: Baseline + all operationally used AMVs

All: Full observing system 12-hour sample coverage of active hyperspectral IR data

Page 6: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014

Differences in the mean wind analysis (HyIR-Baseline, 1.11-31.12.2016)

6EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

850 hPa

-2 -1 0 1 2

300 hPa

-2 -1 0 1 2

Page 7: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 7EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Wind analysis scores

• Wind analysis error: departure from the ECMWF analysis using full observing system.

• The analysis error is compared to that of Baseline experiment.

– Wind analysis score = 0%, no improvement over the baseline experiment (conventional + AMSU-A)

– Wind analysis score = 100%, no error with respect to the full observing system analysis

( )[ ]∑ =−+−=

n

irii

riij vvuu

nRMSE

1221 )(

=

=

−=∆ m

j

Basej

m

j

Basejj

RMSE

RMSERMSERMSE

1

1)(

Page 8: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 8EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Wind analysis score (%)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Wind analysis score (%) Wind analysis score (%)

NH TR SH

Wind analysis scores

Page 9: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 9EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)Impact on short range wind forecasts

FG sdev (%, normalised) FG sdev (%, normalised) FG sdev (%, normalised)

Wind, NH Wind, TR Wind, SH

HyIR: CTL + 2 IASI + CrIS + AIRSAMV: CTL + All operatinally used AMVs

Good Bad

Page 10: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 10EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Metop-A

Role of spatial and temporal samplingCTL: Conv + AMSU-AEXP: CTL + Metop-A IASI

Verification over Meteosat-11 disc

Wind

FG sdev (%, normalised)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Page 11: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 11EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Role of spatial and temporal samplingCTL: Conv + AMSU-AEXP: CTL + 2 IASI

Verification over Meteosat-11 discMetop-A Metop-B

Wind

FG sdev (%, normalised)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Page 12: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 12EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Role of spatial and temporal samplingCTL: Conv + AMSU-AEXP: CTL + 2 IASI + CrIS

Verification over Meteosat-11 discMetop-A Metop-B CrIS

Wind

FG sdev (%, normalised)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Page 13: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014 13EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

Role of spatial and temporal samplingCTL: Conv + AMSU-AEXP: CTL + 2 IASI + CrIS + AIRS

Verification over Meteosat-11 discMetop-A Metop-B CrIS AIRS

Wind

FG sdev (%, normalised)

Pres

sure

(hPa

)

Page 14: Impact of hyperspectral IR radiances on wind analysescimss.ssec.wisc.edu/iwwg/iww14/talks/04_Thursday/1140...– Microwave instruments in the all-sky framework (Geer et al, 2014).

October 29, 2014

Conclusions• Assimilation of humidity sensitive radiance observations in 4D-Var impact the wind analysis via

– Adjustments in the mass fields of the atmosphere.

– Adjustments in the wind field directly

• Hyperspectral IR observations from polar orbiting satellites have clear positive impact on wind analysis and forecasts.

– Majority of the impact comes from the water vapour channels

– Currently only 10 water vapour channels from IASI and 7 channels both from CrIS and AIRS are used operationally

• Upcoming hyperspectral IR instruments on geostationary satellites will provide observations up to 30 min time resolution and have enormous potential for NWP.

14EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS


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