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7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
1/12
OfficePrOPerty Market OverviewiNDia
QUarterLy UPDate | JULy | 2012
Aelerating suess.
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
2/12www.coier.com
MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
GDP growth rate saw a sharp redution to
5.3% during 1Q 2012. The most impated
setor inluded agriulture, mining &
quarrying, manuaturing and onstrution.
Prime reasons attributed to this were
unertainties in domesti poliy, umulative
impat o monetary tightening and slaening
o eternal demand.
Ination as measured by the wholesale prie
inde (WPI), was 7.55%, 7.23% & 7.69% in
May, April & Marh 2012, respetively. There
was upward pressure on the WPI, due to
steep prie inrease o vegetable, mil, pulses
& protein based items. While ination remain
a onern, the WPI stands 200 basis lower in
2Q 2012 as ompared to the same period last
year.
Early in this quarter, RBI ut the repo and
reverse repo rates by 50 basis points eah to
boost the eonomy. However, the inreased
ination rate has let a limited sope or
urther redution in repo rates.
The rupee remained under pressure and
depreiated urther against both the EURO
and the US Dollar as oreign investors were
worried about persisting ination, and the
high sal and urrent aount deit. TheRupee losed at INR 55.68 to 1 USD and INR
70.04 to 1 Euro as on 15th June 2012.
The Department o Industrial Poliy and
Promotion (DIPP) reorded a total FDI inow
or April 2012 in at $ 1.85 billion whih is 41%
lower as ompared to $ 3.12 billion in April
2011. The housing and onstrution setors
ontributed only 2.96% to the total FDI
reeived.
ECONOMIC BAROMETER
RETuRN ON AlTERNATIVE INVEsTMENTs
RESEARcH & FOREcAST REPORTsYDNEY CENTRAl BusINEss DIsTRICT
INDIA OFFIcE MARkETREsEARCh & fORECAsT REpORT
Jn-11 Jn-12
REPO RATE 7.50% 8.00%
REVERSE REPO
RATE 6.50% 7.00%
cRR 6.00% 4.75%
INFLATION 9.51% 7.55%
PRIME
LENDING RATE9.25% - 10.00% 10.00% - 10.50%
DEPOSIT RATE
(
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
3/12
2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs
pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
cBD
AndheriEast
Bkc
LowerParel
Malad
NaviMumbai
Powai
Worli/Prabhdevi
Goregaon/JVLR
kalina
Thane/LBS
AndheriEast(IT)
LowerParel(IT)
Malad(IT)
NaviMumbai(IT)
Powai(IT)
Goregaon/JVLR(IT)
Thane/LBS(IT)I
NRPerSqtPerMonth
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2Q2008
1Q2008
INRperSqtperMonth
INRperSqtperMonth
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
4Q2010
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2011
3Q2011
2Q2011
1Q2011
3Q2010
70
20
120
170
220
270
320
370
420
cBD
Lower Parel Navi Mumbai
kalinaGoregaon
/ JVLR
Andheri East Malad
Powai
Bkc
Worli /
Prabhadevi
Thane / LBS2Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
2Q2012
4Q2012F
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
3Q2012F
1Q2012
4Q2009
1Q2008
1Q2010
2Q2010
3Q2010
Grade A Grade B
COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 3
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
Devon Supreme Business Par 56,000 Powai Lease
Famy care Peninsula corporate Par 15,000 Lower Parel Lease
Lodha I Thin 40,000 Thane Lease
Reliane Digital Times Square 26,000 Andheri Lease
Tata Teso kohinoor Business Par 50,000 Vidyavihar Lease
Vships Lotus Midtown 27,000 kalina Lease
MuMBAI
During 2Q 2012, approimately 9.4 million
sq.t. o grade A oe spae was available
or lease and sale, primarily onentrated in
Andheri East, Lower Parel and Thane/ LBS
Marg.
The itys grade A inventory was added by
0.2 million sq.t. o new supply in SBD this
quarter by Star Hub projet o Star
Developers at Andheri East.
During the surveyed quarter, onstrution
ativities remained moderate. Due to a
slowdown in the eonomy, developers
remained autious and hesitant in undertaing
urther onstrution ativities, thus, no new
projets were launhed in the maret.
Rental levels o grade A oe spae remained
stable aross all the miro marets eept
Bkc (Bandra-kurla-comple) where rents
inreased by 3% q-o-q due to limited supply
and demand rom orporates.
Going orward, the rental values or grade A
oe spae are epeted to remain stable in
almost all miro marets.
In this quarter, the state revenue department
revised the Land Lease Poliy and imposed a
7.5% premium on the maret value o the
land/plots leased or redevelopment o
residential, eduational and religious ativities,
whereas 10% or other ativities.
During the same period, Peninsula Land sold
of its oe building loated at Lower Parel to
various nanial servies rms namely Tata
capital, National Realty, India Nivesh Insurane
Broers and Tata AIG Lie Insurane.
AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs
Andheri East 24%
cBD 1%
Thane / LBS 22%
Worli / Prabhadevi 1%
Goregoan / JVLR 8%
Powai 4%
Malad 5%
Navi Mumbai 6%
Lower Parel 19%
Bkc 9%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
1Q 2012 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE
MUMBAI
0
35
70
140
105
210
245
175
Source: Colliers International India Research
kalina 1%
Foreast
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
4/12
Grade A Grade B
Nehru Plae Saet
Netaji Subhash
Jasola cannaught
plae
p. 4 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl
2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs
pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
Source: Colliers International India Research
DElhI
Approimately 1.0 million sq.t. o grade A
oe spae was ready or lease / sale in
2Q 2012 loated mainly in Saet and Jasola
neighborhoods o Delhi.
Fast paed onstrution ativities were
observed in a newly developed area near Delhi
Airport namely Aeroity. Two projets loated
at Aeroity suh as Aria Signature Oe
and IBIS commerial Tower developed by
JW Marriot and IBIS Hotel respetively, added
approimately 0.2 million sq.t. o ommerial
grade A oe during this quarter.
A new ommerial projet caddie commerial
Tower, was launhed by caddle Hotel with
an area o 0.1 million sq.t. in Aeroity. The
projet is epeted to be omplete by end o2013.
Overall absorption was restrained in 2Q
2012 in omparisons to last quarter as both
investors and end-users were ollowing wait
and wath poliy due to prevailing eonomi
unertainties.
In 2Q 2012, rental values or grade A
properties inreased in the range o 2 to 7%
on q-o-q in loations suh as connaught
Plae and Nehru Plae, however negative
orretions in the range o 4 to 10% wereregistered in Jasola and Saet.
Oe rent prognosis reveal urther stability
or grade A oe spae in the maret on
aount o eonomy slowdown and limited
supply.
AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs
connaught Plae 2%
Nehru Plae 10%
Saet 29%
Jasola 59%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
1Q 2012 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE
2Q2008
3Q2008
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
connaught
Plae
NehruPlae
Jasola
INRperSqFtperMonth
Saet
NetajiSubhash
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1Q2010
INRperSqtperMonth
0
35
70
105
140
175
210
245
280
INRperSqtperMonth
DELHI
2Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
3Q2012F
4Q2012F
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
3Q2010 1Q
2008
4Q2008
2Q2009
3Q2009
2Q2010
1Q2009
4Q2009
3Q2010
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2011
2Q2011
4Q2010
Foreast
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
Barista Independent Building 10,000 Ohla Phase I Lease
cPM c-126 12,000 Ohla Phase I Lease
Hitahi konnetus 25,000 Minto Road, c.P Lease
Mario DLF Towers 4,300 Jasola Lease
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
5/12
2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs
MGRoad
GolcourseRoad
/Ext/SohnaRoad
NH8/UdyogVihar
Manesar
InstitutionalSetors/
SushantLo
Golcourse
Road/Ext/Sohna
Road
DLFcybercity(IT)
NH8/UdyogVihar(IT)
Manesar(IT)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Grade A Grade B
MG Road
Gol course Road/Et /Sohna Road
NH8/Udyog Vihar (IT)
Institutional Setors /Sushant Lo
NH8/Udyog Vihar
DLF cyber city (IT)
Gol course Road/Et /Sohna Road (IT)
Manesar
Manesar (IT)
4Q2011
1Q2012
COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 5
Source: Colliers International India Research
GuRGAON
Nearly 13.8 million sq.t. o grade A oe
spae was available or t-out in 2Q 2012.
Most o this available supply was onentrated
in Gol course Road and its etension, Udyog
Vihar and NH8 up to Manesar.
Projets/parts o the projets ompleted
this quarter inludes: Asendas Onehub
developed by Asendas; JMD Megapolis by
JMD Group and Par View Business Par by
Besteh Group, loated on Sohna Road; and
Universal Business Par by Universal Group
on Gol course Road Etension. All o these
projets together ontributed approimately
2.8 million sq.t. o grade A oe spae to
the itys total oe inventory.
During this quarter no new grade A
ommerial projet was launhed in
Gurgaon.
Demand or grade A oe spae remained
stable and only ew large oor plate leases
were signed during the quarter.
On the rental side, grade A oe spae
values observed a negative orretion in the
range o 2 to 4% on quarter on quarter aross
all miro-marets, eept or Manesar where
rentals remained stable.
Looing orward, Demand or oe spae in
Gurgaon is liely to witness moderate growth
and rents are epeted to remain stable in the
near uture.
AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs
Institutional Setors /Sushant Lo
8%
DLF cyber city 4%
MG Road 2%
Manesar 18%
Gol course Road/Et /Sohna Road 47%
NH8/ UdyogVihar 21%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
1Q 2012 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
INRpersqtpermonth
INRpersqtpermonth
180
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
3Q2010
4Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2012F
4Q2012F
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
0
15
30
45
90
105
60
75
120
GURGAON
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
4Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
2Q2012
3Q2010
2Q2008
3Q2008
Foreast
INRperSqtperMonth
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
capgemini Spaze iTeh Par 80,000 Sohna Road Lease
childrens Plae cyber Terraes 12,000 DLF cyber city Lease
E&Y DLF yber Greens 100,000 DLF yber ity Lease
Hitahi Time Tower 3,000 M.G. Road Lease
Pepsi Pioneer Par 269,000 Gol ourse Road Etn. Lease
Stel Independent Building 4,000 Setor 29 Lease
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
6/12
Grade A Grade B
p. 6 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl
2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs
pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
NOIDA
In 2Q 2012, about 6 million sq.t. o grade
A and grade B oe spae was available
or sale or lease. 88% o this available oe
spae was dediated to IT/ITeS loated in
setors 16 A, 62 and 125 to 143 along theNOIDA epressway.
New grade A oe supply o more than
1.5 million sq.t. was added to NOIDAs total
oe inventory. contributors to the new
supply were, SDS tower by SDS Inrateh
Private Limited, Plot No. 8 by 3c Universal
Pvt. Ltd., Ansal corporate Par by Ansal API
and Plot No. 6, 12 & 21 at Setor 125 by ew
loal developers.
Nearly 1 million sq.t o grade A oe spae
were launhed during this quarter inludingLogi Riviera at setor 105 by Logi Group,
Jaypee commerial Spae at setor 128
by Jaypee Group and Assoteh Business
cresterra at Setor 135 by Assoteh.
Overall demand or grade A oe spae
remained subdued and only ew transations
were observed during the quarter. Leasing in
speial eonomi zone remained ative, and
vaany has signiantly dropped over the
quarter.
In 2Q 2012, rental values delined in almost all
the miro marets in the range o 2 to 5% due
to autious investor sentiments and downward
pressure o oe demand. However in the
Industrial Setor rentals appreiated by 4%
on quarter on quarter basis.
Going orward rental values or grade A
oe spae are epeted to remain stable on
aount o limited supply in the near uture.
Most o the under onstrution projets are
sheduled to omplete by the end o the year
2013.
AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs
commerial Setors(Se 18) 2%
Institutional Setors(Se.16A, 62, 125-142)
88%
Industrial Setors (Se.1-9, 57-60, 63-65)
(Grade B)10%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
1Q 2011 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
1Q2009
INRPerSqFtPerMonth
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
10
20
30
40
60
70
50
80
100
90
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
InstitutionalSetors
(Se16A,62,125-
142)(IT)
IndustrialSetors
(Se1-9,57-60,
63-65)
commerialSetors
(Se18)I
NRPerSqFtPerMonth
Institutional
Setors(Se.16A,62,
125-142)
2Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2010
3Q2010
Institutional Setors (IT)
Institutional Setors (Non IT)commerial Setors
Industrial Setor
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
3Q2012F
4Q2012F
1Q2012
2Q2012
4Q2010
3Q2010
INRperSqtperMonth
0
10
20
40
30
50
80
60
70
NOIDA
Source: Colliers International India Research
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
Foreast
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
I Yogi Oygen SEZ 50,000 Setor 144 Lease
Mererr Uniteh SEZ 120,000 Setor 135 Lease
United Health Group Oygen SEZ 60,000 Setor 144 Lease
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
7/12
2Q 2012 GRADE A IT AND NON ITRENTAl VAluEs
cBD
INRpersqtpermonth
Guindy(SBD)
Ambattur
OMR(ITcorridor)
GSTroad
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
IT NON IT
COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 7
ChENNAI
Over 13 million sq.t. grade A oe spae
was available or lease/sale in 2Q 2012.
Nearly 75% o this sto was dediated to IT/
ITeS oe spae mainly loated at OMR (IT
corridor) and Ambattur.
commerial projets launhed in chennai in
2Q 2012 inludes Gupta Towers in Guindy
by Gupta Builders admeasuring 0.2 million
sq.t. The projets ompletion is oreseen by
1Q 2013.
No new grade A oe spae was ompleted
during this quarter in chennai. The majority
o the projets that were epeted to be ready
or t out during 2Q 2012 were deerred until
the net quarter.
In 2Q 2012, the ommerial lease maret
remained ative and a number o mid-sized
ompanies were onsidering onsolidation
and looing or more ost efetive real estate
solutions.
Rental values remained stable in almost all
the miro marets. Going orward, rentals
are liely to remain stable on aount o the
limited supply sheduled or ompletion by
end o this year.
In this quarter, NHAI (National Highways
Authority o India) has nalised the si lane
chennai-Bangalore highway with a total ost
estimation o around INR 5,000 rore, whih
is antiipated to boost the real estate ativities
in the region.
AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs
cBD14%
Guindy (SBD) 5%
Velahery 1%Vadapalini 1%
GST Rd 3%
OMR (IT corridor) 51%
Ambattur 24%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
1Q 2011 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2011
3Q2011
2Q2011
1Q2011
4Q2010
3Q2010
2Q2008
1Q2008
INRpersqtpermonth
90
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
3Q2008
Ambattur GST road
OMR (IT corridor)
Guindy (SBD)cBD
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE
2Q2008
1Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
4Q2012F
3Q2012F
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2010
3Q2010
INRperSqtperMonth
0
10
20
30
40
60
50
cHENNAI
Source: Colliers International India Research
Foreast
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
Agility Logistis Temple Steps 19,500 Guindy Lease
Beroe Systems ASV chandilya 50,000 IT corridor Lease
Emirates Prestige Palladium Bayan 8,000 Greams Road Lease
GE onverteam Ramaniyam 40,000 Guindy Lease
kavian Systems khivaraj omple 11,000 Nandanam Lease
Laarge RR1 Towers 10,000 Guindy Sale
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
8/12p. 8 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl
1Q 2012 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs
pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
BENGAluRu (BANGAlORE)
About 8.6 million sq.t. o ommerial grade
A oe spae was available or t-outs in
2Q 2012. More than 60% o this total available
spae is onentrated in EPIP Zone and
Whiteeld.
New supply in Bengalurus grade A oe
spae or 2Q 2012 aounted or more
than 0.8 million sq.t. Projets/ parts o the
projets ontributing to this new supply were
condent Eletra and condent Aquila
developed by condent Group, Embassy
Vogue by Embassy Group and Neo Town
by Patel Realty.
During 2Q 2012, RMA corp launhed two
new towers in RMZ EcO WORLD with a
development potential o about 1.7 millionsq.t. Additionally, Bagmane Group launhed
a ommerial projet Bagmane constellation
Pheoni with a lettable area o about 0.4
million sq.t. Both these projets were loated
along Outer Ring Road and epeted to be
ready or lients by end o 2014.
The leasing maret remained ative with
a number o medium size deals in the a
range o 10,000 to 50,000 sq. t. Most o
the transation too plae in Whiteeld and
Eletroni city miro marets.
Average rentals or grade A oe premises
remained stable in almost all the miro
marets eept or cBD where an inrease o
6% was observed on quarter on quarter. This
inrease ould be attributed to the persistent
demand and limited supply in this region.
For the net quarter, absorption levels are
epeted to remain airly high. Despite the
elevated demand, rental values will remain
stable as signiant supply is epeted to enter
the maret in the near uture omplimenting
this way the epeted demand.
AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs
cBD 7%
Outer Ring Road 13%
Bannerghatta Road 3%
Eletroni city 10%
EPIP Zone/ Whiteeld 64% Hosur Rd 4%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
1Q2008
2Q2008IN
RPerSqFtPerMonth
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
3Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2009
4Q2009
2Q2010
3Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2010
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
OuterRingRoad
Grade A Grade B
Eletroni
city(IT)
BannerghattaRoad
EPIPZone/
Whitefeld
HosurRoad
INRPerSqFtPerMonth
cBD
cBD
Eletroni city
Outer Ring RoadEPIP Zone / Whiteeld
Hosur Road
Bannerghatta Road
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE
INRperSqtperMonth
15
20
25
30
50
40
45
35
BENGALURU
2Q2008
1Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
3Q2012F
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
4Q2012F
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2010
3Q2010
Source: Colliers International India Research
Foreast
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
Ais Aerospae Vaswani enterpolis 21,650 Langord Road Lease
Ellusion Prestige Zeenath 31,820 Rajaram Mohan Roy Road Lease
Tyo Prestige Shantinietan 25,000 Whiteeld Lease
VM Ware Forutna1 28,000 JP Nagar Lease
xentri Studios Private Limited Priteh - SEZ 21,125 Outer Ring Road Lease
Yoogawa IA Tehnologies Umiya Business Bay 30,000 Outer Ring Road Lease
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
9/12
2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs
pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
cBD(ParSt,cama
St,AJcBoseRd)
INRpersqtpermonth
Setor-5(IT)
Setor-5
PBD(New
Town,Rajarhat
Ballygunge
-cirularRD
PBDNewTown,
Rajarhat(IT)
Eastkolata
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Grade A Grade B
1Q2012
COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 9
KOlKATA
In 2Q 2012, 0.5 million sq. t. was added to
the grade A oe sto in kolata. Projets/
parts o the projets ontributing this supply
were New Town Square by PS Group, DLF
Galleria by DLF Ltd. both o these projetswere loated at New Town. Another projet
Merlin Legend by Merlin Group loated at
Bhowanipore.
Bio Wonder projet was launhed in 2Q
2012 with an area o 0.4 million sq.t. o oe
spae loated at EM Bypass. Another projet
by Zion Realty at Par cirus connetor was
launhed with an area o 0.1 million sq.t. both
epeted to be ompleted by end o 2015.
Rentals in 2Q 2012 remained stable in almost
all the miro marets eept in cBD where anappreiation o 4% was mared on q-o-q. The
overall maret sentiments remained stagnant
during the quarter; while many ompanies
are ollowing the wait and wath strategy
until unertainties related to poliies will be
leared by the state government.
Epetations or the net quarter reveal stable
rentals in cBD while peripheral areas ould
witness a downward pressure on rental levels
due to massive upoming supply in pipeline.
Major land transations in 2Q 2012 inlude, a
2 are plot on EM Bypass was sold to AHW
Steels or INR 115 rore by kolata Muniipal
corporation and 10 are land parel was
sold to State Ban o India or INR 58 rore
or establishing a their training institute at
Rajarhat.
NEW supplY IN pRIME AREAs
PBD (New Town,Rajarhat)
95%
cBD (Par St,cama St,AJc Bose Road) 5%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
1Q 2012 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
1Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2008
2Q2009
3Q2008
3Q2009
4Q2008
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
4Q2010
3Q2011
2Q2012
4Q2011
2Q2011
1Q2011
3Q2010
INRpersqtpermonth
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Setor 5
East kolatta
Ballygunge cirular Rd
PBD (New Town, Rajarhat
cBD (Par St,cama St,AJc Bose Rd)
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE
INRperSqtperMonth
40
50
70
90
60
80
0
10
20
30
kOLkATA
1Q2008
2Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
2Q2010
1Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
3Q2012F
4Q2012F
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
4Q2010
3Q2010
Source: Colliers International India Research
Foreast
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
Aditya Birla Nova Haut Street 4,000 Topsia Lease
Bajaj Finane Tehnopolis 10,000 Setor 5, Salt Lae Lease
EBMIRON Building No.139 4,000 SP Muherjee Road Lease
HDFc Eo Spae 125,000 New Town, Rajarhat Lease
Learning Mate Eo Spae 30,000 New Town, Rajarhat Lease
TcS Eo Spae 33,000 New Town, Rajarhat Lease
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
10/12p. 10 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl
2Q 2012 GRADE A IT AND NON ITRENTAl VAluEs
puNE
About 6.0 million sq.t. o grade A oe
spae was available or t out in Pune during
2Q 2012. Nearly 76% o this supply was
evenly distributed in miro marets o kharadi,
Hinjewadi, Hadapsar/Fursungi, Nagar Roadand Airport Road.
No new supply was added to itys grade A
oe spae during the surveyed period.
Panhshil Realty launhed conve
admeasuring 0.4 million sq.t. in kharadi. The
projet is epeted to be ompleted by 4Q
2015.
Pune ontinued to eperiene high absorption
levels. Most o the small oor plate layout
oe leases were observed in Viman Nagar,Aundh, Wadewadi and Hadapsar.
In this quarter rental values o grade A oe
spae registered an inrease in the range o
5 to 6% on q-o-q in Baner and kalyani Nagar
loations primarily due to limited availability
o supply in cBD. However, rents in all other
miro marets remained stable.
Going orward, rentals are epeted to remain
stable in most o the miro marets barring
speial eonomi zones, where marginal
appreiation an be seen due to limitedsupply.
During this quarter, wor ommened or
operating the bus rapid transit system (BRTS)
on 11-m streth o the Pune-Mumbai highway
in Pimpri- chinhwad ommened and is
epeted to be ompleted by end o 2012. This
will urther interest in the real estate along the
Pune-Mumbai highway.
supplY IN pRIME AREAs
kalyani Nagar 5%Nagar Road 11%
Aundh 3%
Bund Garden 2%
Airport road/pune station 7%
Bavdhan 4%
Baner 5%
kharadi 21 %
Hinjewadi 26%
Hadapsar/Fursungi 11%
Senapati Bapat Road 4%
CITY OffICE BAROMETER
1Q 2012 2Q 2012
VACANCY
ABsORpTION
CONsTRuCTION
RENTAl VAluE
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
1Q2008
2Q2008IN
RPerSqFtPerMonth
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
3Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2009
4Q2009
2Q2010
4Q2010
2Q2011
2Q2012
1Q2012
4Q2011
3Q2011
1Q2011
3Q2010
pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
90
80
kharadi
kalyaniNagar
NagarRoad
Bavdhan
Hadapsar/Fursungi
Hinjewadi
SenapatiBapatRoad
Aundh
Airportroad/
punestation
BundGarden
INRPerSqFtPerMonth
Baner
Bavdhan Airport road/pune station
Baner
khardi
Nagar Road
Hinjewadi / Hadapsar/Fursungi
kalyani Nagar
Bund Garden
Aundh
Senapati Bapat Rd
GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE
INRperSqtperMonth
0
10
30
20
40
70
60
50
PUNE
2Q2008
1Q2008
3Q2008
4Q2008
1Q2009
2Q2009
3Q2009
4Q2009
1Q2010
2Q2010
1Q2011
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
3Q2012F
2Q2012
4Q2012F
2Q2013F
1Q2013F
4Q2010
3Q2010
IT Non IT
Source: Colliers International India Research
Foreast
MARKET TRANsACTIONs
cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)
LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE
Asent Group Saar 10 7,900 Bund Garden Road Lease
co & kings Mansoor Ali Tower 2,400 Dhole Patil Road Lease
DHL R B Business centre 4,000 Aundh Lease
HUAWEI Gera Emporia 8,000 Vimannagar Lease
kLINGELNBERG No.12 3,250 koregaon Par Lease
kONEcRANES Magarpatta 22,000 Hadapsar Whiteeld
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
11/12
Mumbai
The major business loations in Mumbai are the cBD (Nariman Point, Fort and Bal lard Estate), central Mumbai (Worli, Lower Parel and Parel), Bandra
kurla comple (Bkc) and Andheri kurla streth. Powai, Malad and Vashi are the preerred IT/ITES destinations, while Airoli at Navi Mumbai and Lal
Bahadur Shastri Marg are emerging as new oe and IT/ITES submarets.
Delhi
The ommerial areas in New Delhi metropolitan area an be broadly lassied into the cBD (connaught Plae), SBD Nehru Plae, Bhiaji cama
Plae, Netaji Subhash Plae, Jasola and Saet .
Gurgaon
The prime business loations in Gurgaon are MG Road, Gol course Road, cyber city and Udyog Vihar. Manesar on the outsirts o Gurgaon is also
emerging as the itys new oe destination.
NOIDA
NOIDA maret is omprised o setors broadly lassied as institutional, industrial and ommerial setors. Institutional setors inlude se 16A, 62
and 125-142, industrial setors inlude se 1-9, 57-60 and 63- 65 while setor 18 is the most developed ommerial setor.
ChennaiPrime oe properties in chennai are loated in our prinipal sub-marets: the cBD, the IT corridor, the SBD and the PBD. The SBD omprises
Guindy, Manapaam, Velahery and other areas. The PBD primarily inludes Ambattur and GST Road, while the IT corridor is the Old Mahaballipuram
Road (OMR) in south chennai.
Bengaluru (Bangalore)
Prime oe properties in Bengaluru an be divided into three prinipal sub-maret cBD, the SBD onsisting o Banerghatta Road & Outer Ring
Road (ORR) and PBD inluding Hosur Road, EPIP Zone, Eletroni city and Whileeld.
Pune
The prime oe sub-marets o Pune inlude Dean Gymhana, Senapati Bapat Road & camp (SBD), while the PBD inludes Aundh, Bund Garden,
Airport Road and kalyani Nagar, among other loations. The eastern orridor, along with Nagar Road and kharadi, have emerged as a preerred
loation or nanial and IT/ITES ompanies.
Kolkata
The major business loations in kolata are cBD (Par Street, cama Street, chowranghee Rd), SBD (AJc Bose Rd, Ballygunge irular Rd, East
kolata), East kolata and PBD (New Town & Rajarhat). The area around Par Street, cama Street and AJc Bose road houses number o high-rises
ommerial buildings suh as chatterjee International centre, Tata centre, Everest House and Industry House among others.
OffICE suBMARKETs
COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 11
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
CITY BAROMETER
Inreasing as ompared to previous quarter
Dereasing as ompared to previous quarter
Remained stable rom previous quarter
7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
12/12
Aelerating suess.
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deliver ustomised servie solutions utilising loal and global nowledge in partnership with our
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GLOBAL RETAIL INDIA RESIDENTIAL APAc INDUSTRIAL GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL GLOBAL OFFIcE INDIA BUDGET
Mumbai : Prabhu Raghavendra, Oe Diretor
31/A, 3rd oor, Film center, 68, Tardeo Road, Mumbai, India - 400 034.
Tel : +91 22 4050 4500, a : +91 22 2351 4272
Delhi NCR : Ajay Raheja, Oe Diretor
New Delhi :Statesman House, 4th Floor, Barahamba Road, connaught Plae,
New Delhi, India - 110001
Tel : +91 11 4360 7500, a : +91 11 2335 6624
Gurgaon : Tehnopolis Building, 1st oor, DLF Gol course Main Road, Setor 54, Gurgaon,
India - 122002
Tel : +91 124 437 5807, a : +91 124 437 5806
Bengaluru : Goutam charaborthy, Oe Diretor
Prestige Garnet, Level 2, Unit No.201/202, 36 Ulsoor Road, Bengaluru,
India - 560 042
Tel : +91 80 4079 5500, a : +91 80 4112 3131
Pune : Suresh castellino, Oe Diretor
Hotel Le Meridian, 101, R.B.M. Road, Pune, India - 411 001
Tel : +91 20 4120 6438, a : +91 20 4120 6434
Chennai : kaushi Reddy, Oe Diretor
Heavitree comple, Unit 1c, 1st oor, 23, Spurtan Road, chetpet, chennai,
India - 600 031
Tel : +91 44 2836 1064, a : +91 44 2836 1377
Kolkata : Soumya Muherjee , Oe Diretor
Innity Business centre, Innity Benhmar, Room No 13, Level 18, Plot G - 1,
Blo EP & GP, Salt Lae Setor V, kolata - 700 091 West Bengal, India
Tel : +91 33 2357 6501, a : +91 33 2357 6502
Recent Reports :
This book is printed on 100% Recyclable paper
iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE
Aelerating suess.
AUTHORS
Amit Oberoi MRICSNational Diretor, Valuation & Advisory; ResearhEmail: [email protected]
Surabhi Arora MRICSAssoiate Diretor, ResearhEmail: [email protected]
Sachin SharmaAssistant Manager, ResearhEmail: [email protected]
Heliana ManoAssistant Manager,Valuation & AdvisoryEmail: [email protected]
For general queries and eedba :
[email protected]: +91 124 456 7580
This report and other researh materials may be ound onour website at www.olliers.om/India. Questions relatedto inormation herein should be direted to the ResearhDepartment at the number indiated above. This doumenthas been prepared by colliers International or advertisingand general inormation only. colliers International maesno guarantees, representations or warranties o any ind,epressed or implied, regarding the inormation inluding,but not limited to, warranties o ontent, auray andreliability. Any interested party should undertae theirown inquiries as to the auray o the inormation.
colliers International eludes unequivoally all inerredor implied terms, onditions and warranties arising outo this doument and eludes all liability or loss anddamages arising there rom.
copyright 2012 - 2013 All Rights Reserved.
522 oes in 62 ountries on 6 ontinents
United States: 147canada: 37Latin Ameria: 19Asia Pai: 201EMEA: 118
$1.8 billion in annual revenue2.55 billion square eet under management
Over 12,300 + proessionals
Accelerating success.
Residential PropertyMarket OverviewINDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | MAY | 2012
ASIA PACIFIC
OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW
1Q 2012
Accelerating success.
HIGHLIGHTS
GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL
WWW.COLLIERS.COM
SECOND HALF2011| INDUSTRIAL
JAMES COOK Directorof Research| USA
GlobalIndustrialTrendForecastcGrowingglobaltradewillsteadydemandforqualitywarehousespaceinmanyregions.
cIndustrialvacancyrateswillfurtherdropinmostmarkets.
cSomemarkets,U.S.andAustraliaamongthem,willexperiencealackofnewsupplyinthefaceofgrowingdemand.
cPrimewarehouserentswillclimbinmostAsiaPacicmarkets,remainstableinEMEAandLATAM,andcontinuetostrengtheninNorthAmericanmarkets.
Citingdeterioratingnancialconditionsanddimminggrowthprospect,the InternationalMonetaryFunds(IMF)reviseditsSeptember2011WorldEconomicOutlookgrowth projectionsdownwardinJanuary2012.However,theIMFstillforecaststhatglobaltradevolumewillriseby3.8percentin2012and5.4percentin2013;asglobaltraderises,sotoowill demandforwarehousespace.
WhilewarehouserentshavestabilizedinmostEMEAand LatinAmericanmarkets, primewarehouserentsquotedin localcurrenciesincreasedinthemajorityofAsiaPacicandNorthAmericanmarketsin2011overthepreviousyear.Weexpectthistrendtocontinue,withprimewarehouserentsclimbinginmostAsiaPacicandNorthAmericanmarketsinthenextyear.
LatinAmericanRentsPoisedtoStabilizeInLatinAmerica,primewarehouserentalratestookafall.In71.4percentofthemarketswetrack,year-endrentsdecreasedin2011fromayearearlier. However,weexpectwarehouserentsinLatinAmericatostabilizeinthecomingyear.
SoPaulosawa12.4percentdropinwarehouserentsinlocalcurrency,duetoincreasedsupply.However,withabsorptionsettooutpacesupply,
weexpectoverallwarehouserentsintheSoPauloregiontorisebyasmuchasfourpercentinthecomingyear.
MexicoCitysawathreepercentdecreaseinitsindustrialvacancyrateinthesecondhalfof2011,downto4.8percent.MexicowasmorenegativelyaectedbytherecessionthanmostcountriesinNorthAmerica,anditseconomicfutureislargelytiedtothatofitskeytradingpartner,theUnitedStates.ButwithU.S. growthontheupswing,Mexicotooispoisedtogrowatamodestrateandweexpectthatvacanciescouldmakefurtherdropsinthecountry.
SteadyDemandinNorthAmericaSincepeakingin2010,growthinthemanufacturinganddistributionindustryhaskepttheU.S.vacancyratedroppinginamostlyregularfashion.Vacancydroppedto9.72percentin Q42011. Withconstructionproceedingatlowlevels,weexpectvacanciestocontinuetodropatameasuredrateinto2013.
Toronto,Canadasbiggestindustrialmarket,saw13.7millions quarefeetofindustrial spaceabsorbedin2011,andthecitysprimewarehouserentsgrewby7.1percentinthesecondhalfof2011.
DroppingVacanciesinMostAsianMarketsAsiaPacicsawdroppingvacanciesinnearlyeverymarket. Primewarehouserentsgrewinmorethanhalfofthemarkets,andobserversinmorethanhalfofthose marketsexpectthatwarehouserentswillcontinuetoclimboverthenextsixmonths.
Australianindustrialhasbeenespeciallystronginmostmajormarkets.Retailpurchases,mademoreattractivebytherelativelystrongAustraliandollar,havepushedupdemandforlargewarehousespaceinseveralportmarkets. Whilethereisgrowingdemandforlargemodernwarehouse
GlobalWarehouseDemandShows
Consistent Growth
GLOBAL INDUSTRIALCAPITALIZATION RATES(PrimeYield/Percent)
MARKET(SelectMarkets) REGION
DEC2011
DEC2010
HongKong AsiaPacic . . S i ng ap o re A s i aP a ci c . . L o n do n ( H ea t h ro w ) E M E A . . T ok yo A s ia Pa ci c . . LosAngelesInlandEmpire,CA
N A . .
C hi ca go ,I L N A . . Paris E ME A . . M un ic h E ME A . . V an co uv er , BC N A . . M ar se il le s E ME A . . Ne w J er se y No r t he r n NA . . Dallas-Ft.Worth,TX NA . . Shanghai Asi a Pac i c . . Seoul AsiaPacic . . M ad ri d E ME A . . Sydney Asi a Pac i c . . Mexico C ity L A TA M . . P ra gu e E ME A . . A th en s E ME A . . B u ch a re s t E M EA . .
GLOBAL TOP TEN INDUSTRIALWAREHOUSE RENTS
M AR K ET R EG I ON
RENT(USD/
PSF/Year)6-MONTHCHANGE*
T ok y o A s ia P ac i c . - . %L o n do n ( He a t hr o w ) E M E A . . %H on g Ko n g A s ia P ac i c . . %S i ng ap o re A s ia P ac i c . . %Z ur ic h E ME A . . %O sl o E ME A . . %M os co w E ME A . . %G en ev a E ME A . - . %
S oP a ul o L A TA M . - . %H el si nk i E ME A . . %M ar se il le s E ME A . . %P ar is E ME A . . %
*Localcurrency
Continuedonpage8
HIGHLIGHTSGLOBAL OFFICE
WWW.COLLIERS.COM
SECOND HALF2011| OFFICE
JAMES COOK Directorof Research| USA
GlobalOfceTrendForecast
cGlobalocevacancieswillcontinuetheirdecline,duetosteadydemandandlowlevelsofnewconstructioninNorthAmericaandEurope.
cTheighttoqualitytrendwillcontinueinmanymajormarkets,withoccupierstradinguptohigher-qualityspaceorabetterlocationastheirleasesexpire.
cTheEuropeansovereigndebtcrisiswilllikelypushtheEurozoneintoamildrecessioninearly2012.Thiscontractionwillbefeltmostprofoundlyinahandfulofcommercialpropertymarketswithinthemosttroublednations.
EconomicprospectsintheEurozonehaveslightlyreducedoverallposit iveglobalexpectationsformarketperformancein2012.Weexpectcontinuingmodestdemandforocespace,withmostcit iesseeingadropinvacancyrates.Butglobalaveragesdonotspeaktothenuancesofindividualmarkets,andwhileweexpectposit iveabsorptionduetobusinessgrowthandexpansionintheUnitedStates,ChinaandAustraliasomeEurozonecountriesmayseenegativeabsorptionandincreasedvacancyastheregionentersamildrecession.
GlobalOfceDemandGrowthSlowandSteady
GLOBAL CAPITALIZATION RATES /PRIME YIELDS: 10 LOWEST CITIES
MARKET(RankedbyDec2011)
DEC2011
JUNE2011
DEC2010
T ai pe i . . .
H on g Ko n g . . .
Vienna . . .
L o n do n West E n d . . .
Zurich . . .
S i ng ap o re . . .
Geneva . . .
B ei ji ng . . .
P ar is . . .
M un ic h . . .
T ok yo . . .
GLOBAL OFFICE OCCUPANCY COSTS:TOP 10 CITIES
MARKET(RankedbyDec2011)
DEC2011
JUNE2011
DEC2010
H o ng K o n g . . .
LondonWestEnd.. .
P ar i s . . .
R i o d e Ja n e ir o . . .
M os c ow . . .
L o n do n C i ty . . .
Perth . . .
S i n ga p o re . . .
G e ne va . . .
S o Pau l o . . .
CBD CAP RATE (%)
LatinAmericaBoaststheTightestOfceMarketsSomeoftheworldslowestocevacancyratesarefoundinLatinAmericancit ies.Santiago,Chile;RiodeJaneiro,Brazil;SoPaulo,Brazil;andLima,Peruallhavevacancyratesbelowthreepercent,result inginamarketthatstronglyfavorslandlords,promptsnewconstructionandmightsqueezesometenantsthatdesiretoexpand.Forthemostpart ,weexpectthestrengthofthesemarketstopersist.WhiledecreasesinEuropeandemandforitscommoditieswilllikelyhurtLatinAmerica,thiswill betemperedbycontinueddemandfromChina.InSoPaolo,heighteneddemandhasspurredthehighestratesofnewdevelopmentintheregion,whichwill eventuallyputdownwardpressureonaskingrents.
SelectAsiaPacicMarketsSeeBigVacancyDropsTheglobaltrendindroppingvacancyratesshouldbeevi-dentinAsiaandcontinuethrough2012.Marketsthatsawadropinvacancyinthesecondhalfof2011outnumberedbyatwo-to-onemarginthosewherevacancyincreased.
Oftheworldsmostpopulousmarkets,thosewiththemostsignicantdeclinesinsix-monthvacancyrateswerenearlyallintheAsiaPacicregion. Chengdu,propelledbyitsstrongmanufacturingsector,sawitsvacancyratedropby7.8percentintheperiod,andShanghaisawa3.2percentdropinvacancy.
TwootherlargeAsianmarketssawvacancyratesdropby1.5percentormore: Jakarta,whichhasalso seensustainedgrowthinCBDrentalratesandrenewedglobalinvestorinterest;andSingapore,whereoccupanciesare
expectedtostabilize.
MarqueeMarketsSeeRentDeclineWhileHongKong,LondonsWestEndandPariscommandthetopthreehighestaskingrentsforClassAocespace,
eachhasshownapparentdeclineinrentsbetweenJuneandDecemberof2011,whenquotedin U.S.dollars.Substantialdeclines,infact:ledbya$10.87USD dropinParisianClassArents.
Buthowsignicantarethesegures?ThechangeinLondonandParisrentsisduetothestrengtheningdollarrelativetotheeuroandpoundsterling.Inlocalcurrency,primerentsinthesemarketsareholdingground.Althoughsmaller,thedeclineinHongKongof$7.56USD($5.10HKD)persquarefootmaybeamoreimportantindicatorofthingstocome,asdemandfromthebankingandnancialsectorcontinuetoweaken.
EMEAandAsiaPacicLeadGlobalConstructionAsignicantpercentageofthe ocespaceunderconstructionisinEurope,theMiddleEastand Africa(EMEA),andmuchofthatisoccurringinMoscowandDubai.Whilebothofthesemarketsshouldexpectstrongeconomicgrowthin2012,thefactthatDubaiwithavacancyrateof50percentisconstructingatsuchapaceleadsustoexpectthatsupplywillcontinuetooutpacedemandinthatmarket.
TheothertwotopmarketsforoceconstructionareintheAsiaPacic region. GuangzhouChinasleadingcommercialportcityandTokyohave19.6and15.6millionsquarefeetunderconstructionrespectively.Asianeconomicgrowthrateswillremainstronginthecomingmonths,withChinaandIndialeadingthepack. Rentsareontheriseinmostcit iesintheregion.However,droppingrentsinSeoulandHongKongareapotentialindicatorofglobaleconomic
uncertainty.InTokyo,wherenewsupplyhasbeenincreasingforthepastthreeyears,weexpectconstructiontopeakandbegintodeclineinthecomingyear.
CLASSA/NETRENT(USD/SQFT)
www.colliers.com/india
Budget Highlights |RealEstate
FinanceMinisterPran abMukherjeestarted his budgetspeech2012-13 in the
backdropof challenging macroeconomic scenario.Thenancemini sterprojects
theeconomyto grow by7.6% in thenextscal upfrom 6.9% in 2011-12.Hementioned thatduetoadver seglobalecono mic sentiments therehas been a
slowdown in theIndian Economybutthefacti s India stillremains among the
frontrunners in theeconomic growthin anycross countrycomparison. The
budgetaims atfaster,sustainableand moreinclusivegrowth across sectors
emphasizing on vefocus areas including revivalof domestic consumption,
rapid revivalof highgrowthin privateinvestment,removalof supplybottlenecks,
addressing malnutrition in 200 highburden districts and expediteimprovementin deliverysystem,governanceand transparency.
From a realestateperspective,thebudgetremained silenton mostof themajorissues including status of STPIs (SoftwareTechnologyParks of India),RealEstateRegulatoryBill, Land Billetc.however,itmentioned thateorts areon toarriveat a politicalconsensus on theissueof allowing 51% Foreign Direct
Investment(FDI)in multi-brand retail.
THE KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF THE BUDGET WHICH MAY IMPACT REAL ESTATE
SECTOR ARE AS FOLLOWS:
- ExternalCommercialBorrowings (ECB)forlow costaordablehousingprojects. Impact:Real estatecompanies developinglargeaordablehousing
projects with largefund requirements will benet the most from theeasingof
external commercial borrowing(ECB) norms as interest ratecharged is lower incaseofexternal borrowings in comparison to rates charged by domestic
institutions.
- Increasein provision underRural Housing Fund toINR4,000 crorefrom theexisting INR3,000 crore. Impact:It will providehousingnanceto targeted
groupsinruralareasatcompetitiverates.
- Extension of theexisting schemeof interestsubven tion of 1% on housing
loans uptoINR15lakhwhere thecostof thehousedoes notexceed INR25
lakhforanother year. Impact:This will boost the aordablehousingsegmentby providingcheaper loan to theend users.
MARKETREACTIONTO BUDGET
Q1 2012 | RESEARCH
Source: www.bseindia.com | Mar16, 2012
C o mp a ny C h an g e (% )
BSESENSEX -1.19
RealtyIndex -1.26
AnantRajInds -6.04
DBRealty -2.02
DLF 0.15
GodrejProperties -2.82
HDIL -5.21
HubtownLtd. -4.13
IndiabullsRealEstate -1.95
MahindraLifespaces -0.72
OrbitCorp. -3.37
ParsvnathDevelopers -4.04
PeninsulaLand -3.18
PhoenixMills -2.65
S o bh a De v el o pe r s 3 . 04
SunteckRealty -1.13
Unitech -1.68
UNIONBUDGET2012 -13
ASNEAK PREVIEW
P. 1 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
STREET/PRECINCT
RENT
(USD)**
ANNUAL
CHANGE
(%)
New York FithAvenue , .
Hong Kong Queen'sRoad Central,Central(tie)
, .
Hong Kong Canton Road (t ie)
, .
London Old Bond St.*** , .
Paris Avenuedes***Champs-lyses
, f a t
Hong Kong -CausewayBay
, .
New York Madison Avenue
.
Z u r i ch Ba h nh o s tr a sse f a t
Milan Via MonteNapoleone
(.)
Sydney PittStreetMall (.)
HIGHLIGHTSGLOBAL
www.colliers.com
MID-YEAR 2012 | RETAIL
ANNT. NATUNEWICZ Manager| RetailResearch| USA
cColliers2012GlobalRetailStreetssurveyoundthato129locationstracked,51postedhigheryearoveryearaveragerentalrates,49wereat,and24weredown(5lackedcomparabledata).
cRetailersenteringnewmarketsbothdevelopedanddevelopingcontinuetohedgeriskbytargetingthesameoneortwopremierlocations,generatingheatedcompetitionandoutsizedrentalrategrowth
inahandulospace-constrainedcorridors.
cCompanieswiththemostambitiouslong-termexpansionplansremainocusedonemergingmarketswithrapidlygrowingmiddle-classpopulations,butrecentlyinstitutionalcapitalhaspulledbacksomewhattoavorcoremarketsandinvestments.
cWhileeconomicandpoliticalturmoildidaectrentalratesinheadline-generatingmarkets(such
asCairoandAthens),highstreetswithstrongundamentalsremainedremarkablyresilient,suggest-ing,atleastornow,someseparationbetweenmacroeconomicissuesandunderlyingreal
estateundamentals.
cSinceweconductedoursurvey,however,weakeningconsumersentimentamongauentshoppershasalreadybeguntoimpactretailersrevenuesandcouldhinderlandlordsnear-termabilityto
raiserents,suggestingatteninggrowthratesorthecomingyear.
This spring proved to be a tricky time to conduct global benchmarking, as market sentiment hasdeteriorated markedlysince April. During the past year, virtuallyeveryentity making a orecastincludingColliersinour2012U.S.RetailOutlookincludedacaveatrelatedtonot-yet-quantifableglobalallout romEuropesfscal issues. Asthepast ewmonthshaveillustrated, thetimeto aceEurozoneissueshasfnallyarrived,spawninganewwaveofnancialuncertainty.
More than two years post-recession, though, results rom ourannual surveyo High Street rentsillustratethattheworldspriciestretailcorridorscontinuetoattractthemostsought-atertenantsatlotyrentalrates.EightoCollierstoptenGlobalRetailStreetsin2011madethelistagainthisyear.Thebigstory,however,lieswiththeexplosiveyearoveryearrentalgrowthachievedinahandulomarkets.SixoourTop10grewatdouble-digitlevelsyearoveryearinlocalcurrencyunits,fveothembymorethan20%.
At a regional level, streets in areas that entered 2007-08 better-positioned economicallyAustralia,Canada,partsoEasternEuropehadahigherpercentageothisyear'sat-to-higherrentsthanthoseslowertoemergeromtherecession.Wewillbewatchingtheseareasclosely.Evenastheyrepresentsomeo themost attractivedestinationsorexpansion-mindedcompaniesandyield-seekinginvestors,theytooarevulnerabletosoteningconsumerdemandand,orthosewithreliabledata,encroachmentoe-commerce.
This report contains two parts. The frst summarizes the results o ourannual Global Retail Streetssurvey,conductedinApril2012.ThesecondincorporatescontentromColliersbrokerageandresearchteamsworldwidewhocontributedmarketoperationalmetrics,nuancedcommentaryonretailconditions,
andorward-lookingopinionsonwhatthenextyearwillholdorconsumers,landlords,andinvestors.
RecordRentsfor TopRetailCorridors;Global
SlowdownImpactsMomentumElsewhere
TOP 10 GLOBALRETAILSTREETS*
(USD PER SQUARE FOOTPER YEAR)
REGIONALRETAILRESEARCH CONTACTS
AMERICAS> Ann [email protected]
EUROPE/MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA> Zuzanna [email protected]
ASIA> Simon [email protected]
AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND> Nora Farren
Source:Colliers International* selected cities** exchangerateas o March31,2012*** ZoneA rents