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India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

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  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    1/12

    OfficePrOPerty Market OverviewiNDia

    QUarterLy UPDate | JULy | 2012

    Aelerating suess.

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    2/12www.coier.com

    MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

    GDP growth rate saw a sharp redution to

    5.3% during 1Q 2012. The most impated

    setor inluded agriulture, mining &

    quarrying, manuaturing and onstrution.

    Prime reasons attributed to this were

    unertainties in domesti poliy, umulative

    impat o monetary tightening and slaening

    o eternal demand.

    Ination as measured by the wholesale prie

    inde (WPI), was 7.55%, 7.23% & 7.69% in

    May, April & Marh 2012, respetively. There

    was upward pressure on the WPI, due to

    steep prie inrease o vegetable, mil, pulses

    & protein based items. While ination remain

    a onern, the WPI stands 200 basis lower in

    2Q 2012 as ompared to the same period last

    year.

    Early in this quarter, RBI ut the repo and

    reverse repo rates by 50 basis points eah to

    boost the eonomy. However, the inreased

    ination rate has let a limited sope or

    urther redution in repo rates.

    The rupee remained under pressure and

    depreiated urther against both the EURO

    and the US Dollar as oreign investors were

    worried about persisting ination, and the

    high sal and urrent aount deit. TheRupee losed at INR 55.68 to 1 USD and INR

    70.04 to 1 Euro as on 15th June 2012.

    The Department o Industrial Poliy and

    Promotion (DIPP) reorded a total FDI inow

    or April 2012 in at $ 1.85 billion whih is 41%

    lower as ompared to $ 3.12 billion in April

    2011. The housing and onstrution setors

    ontributed only 2.96% to the total FDI

    reeived.

    ECONOMIC BAROMETER

    RETuRN ON AlTERNATIVE INVEsTMENTs

    RESEARcH & FOREcAST REPORTsYDNEY CENTRAl BusINEss DIsTRICT

    INDIA OFFIcE MARkETREsEARCh & fORECAsT REpORT

    Jn-11 Jn-12

    REPO RATE 7.50% 8.00%

    REVERSE REPO

    RATE 6.50% 7.00%

    cRR 6.00% 4.75%

    INFLATION 9.51% 7.55%

    PRIME

    LENDING RATE9.25% - 10.00% 10.00% - 10.50%

    DEPOSIT RATE

    (

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    3/12

    2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs

    pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    cBD

    AndheriEast

    Bkc

    LowerParel

    Malad

    NaviMumbai

    Powai

    Worli/Prabhdevi

    Goregaon/JVLR

    kalina

    Thane/LBS

    AndheriEast(IT)

    LowerParel(IT)

    Malad(IT)

    NaviMumbai(IT)

    Powai(IT)

    Goregaon/JVLR(IT)

    Thane/LBS(IT)I

    NRPerSqtPerMonth

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    2Q2008

    1Q2008

    INRperSqtperMonth

    INRperSqtperMonth

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    4Q2010

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2011

    3Q2011

    2Q2011

    1Q2011

    3Q2010

    70

    20

    120

    170

    220

    270

    320

    370

    420

    cBD

    Lower Parel Navi Mumbai

    kalinaGoregaon

    / JVLR

    Andheri East Malad

    Powai

    Bkc

    Worli /

    Prabhadevi

    Thane / LBS2Q2008

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    2Q2012

    4Q2012F

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    3Q2012F

    1Q2012

    4Q2009

    1Q2008

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    3Q2010

    Grade A Grade B

    COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 3

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    Devon Supreme Business Par 56,000 Powai Lease

    Famy care Peninsula corporate Par 15,000 Lower Parel Lease

    Lodha I Thin 40,000 Thane Lease

    Reliane Digital Times Square 26,000 Andheri Lease

    Tata Teso kohinoor Business Par 50,000 Vidyavihar Lease

    Vships Lotus Midtown 27,000 kalina Lease

    MuMBAI

    During 2Q 2012, approimately 9.4 million

    sq.t. o grade A oe spae was available

    or lease and sale, primarily onentrated in

    Andheri East, Lower Parel and Thane/ LBS

    Marg.

    The itys grade A inventory was added by

    0.2 million sq.t. o new supply in SBD this

    quarter by Star Hub projet o Star

    Developers at Andheri East.

    During the surveyed quarter, onstrution

    ativities remained moderate. Due to a

    slowdown in the eonomy, developers

    remained autious and hesitant in undertaing

    urther onstrution ativities, thus, no new

    projets were launhed in the maret.

    Rental levels o grade A oe spae remained

    stable aross all the miro marets eept

    Bkc (Bandra-kurla-comple) where rents

    inreased by 3% q-o-q due to limited supply

    and demand rom orporates.

    Going orward, the rental values or grade A

    oe spae are epeted to remain stable in

    almost all miro marets.

    In this quarter, the state revenue department

    revised the Land Lease Poliy and imposed a

    7.5% premium on the maret value o the

    land/plots leased or redevelopment o

    residential, eduational and religious ativities,

    whereas 10% or other ativities.

    During the same period, Peninsula Land sold

    of its oe building loated at Lower Parel to

    various nanial servies rms namely Tata

    capital, National Realty, India Nivesh Insurane

    Broers and Tata AIG Lie Insurane.

    AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    Andheri East 24%

    cBD 1%

    Thane / LBS 22%

    Worli / Prabhadevi 1%

    Goregoan / JVLR 8%

    Powai 4%

    Malad 5%

    Navi Mumbai 6%

    Lower Parel 19%

    Bkc 9%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    1Q 2012 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE

    MUMBAI

    0

    35

    70

    140

    105

    210

    245

    175

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    kalina 1%

    Foreast

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    4/12

    Grade A Grade B

    Nehru Plae Saet

    Netaji Subhash

    Jasola cannaught

    plae

    p. 4 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl

    2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs

    pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    DElhI

    Approimately 1.0 million sq.t. o grade A

    oe spae was ready or lease / sale in

    2Q 2012 loated mainly in Saet and Jasola

    neighborhoods o Delhi.

    Fast paed onstrution ativities were

    observed in a newly developed area near Delhi

    Airport namely Aeroity. Two projets loated

    at Aeroity suh as Aria Signature Oe

    and IBIS commerial Tower developed by

    JW Marriot and IBIS Hotel respetively, added

    approimately 0.2 million sq.t. o ommerial

    grade A oe during this quarter.

    A new ommerial projet caddie commerial

    Tower, was launhed by caddle Hotel with

    an area o 0.1 million sq.t. in Aeroity. The

    projet is epeted to be omplete by end o2013.

    Overall absorption was restrained in 2Q

    2012 in omparisons to last quarter as both

    investors and end-users were ollowing wait

    and wath poliy due to prevailing eonomi

    unertainties.

    In 2Q 2012, rental values or grade A

    properties inreased in the range o 2 to 7%

    on q-o-q in loations suh as connaught

    Plae and Nehru Plae, however negative

    orretions in the range o 4 to 10% wereregistered in Jasola and Saet.

    Oe rent prognosis reveal urther stability

    or grade A oe spae in the maret on

    aount o eonomy slowdown and limited

    supply.

    AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    connaught Plae 2%

    Nehru Plae 10%

    Saet 29%

    Jasola 59%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    1Q 2012 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE

    2Q2008

    3Q2008

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    connaught

    Plae

    NehruPlae

    Jasola

    INRperSqFtperMonth

    Saet

    NetajiSubhash

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    1Q2010

    INRperSqtperMonth

    0

    35

    70

    105

    140

    175

    210

    245

    280

    INRperSqtperMonth

    DELHI

    2Q2008

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    3Q2012F

    4Q2012F

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    3Q2010 1Q

    2008

    4Q2008

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    2Q2010

    1Q2009

    4Q2009

    3Q2010

    4Q2011

    1Q2012

    2Q2012

    3Q2011

    2Q2011

    4Q2010

    Foreast

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    Barista Independent Building 10,000 Ohla Phase I Lease

    cPM c-126 12,000 Ohla Phase I Lease

    Hitahi konnetus 25,000 Minto Road, c.P Lease

    Mario DLF Towers 4,300 Jasola Lease

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    5/12

    2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs

    MGRoad

    GolcourseRoad

    /Ext/SohnaRoad

    NH8/UdyogVihar

    Manesar

    InstitutionalSetors/

    SushantLo

    Golcourse

    Road/Ext/Sohna

    Road

    DLFcybercity(IT)

    NH8/UdyogVihar(IT)

    Manesar(IT)

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Grade A Grade B

    MG Road

    Gol course Road/Et /Sohna Road

    NH8/Udyog Vihar (IT)

    Institutional Setors /Sushant Lo

    NH8/Udyog Vihar

    DLF cyber city (IT)

    Gol course Road/Et /Sohna Road (IT)

    Manesar

    Manesar (IT)

    4Q2011

    1Q2012

    COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 5

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    GuRGAON

    Nearly 13.8 million sq.t. o grade A oe

    spae was available or t-out in 2Q 2012.

    Most o this available supply was onentrated

    in Gol course Road and its etension, Udyog

    Vihar and NH8 up to Manesar.

    Projets/parts o the projets ompleted

    this quarter inludes: Asendas Onehub

    developed by Asendas; JMD Megapolis by

    JMD Group and Par View Business Par by

    Besteh Group, loated on Sohna Road; and

    Universal Business Par by Universal Group

    on Gol course Road Etension. All o these

    projets together ontributed approimately

    2.8 million sq.t. o grade A oe spae to

    the itys total oe inventory.

    During this quarter no new grade A

    ommerial projet was launhed in

    Gurgaon.

    Demand or grade A oe spae remained

    stable and only ew large oor plate leases

    were signed during the quarter.

    On the rental side, grade A oe spae

    values observed a negative orretion in the

    range o 2 to 4% on quarter on quarter aross

    all miro-marets, eept or Manesar where

    rentals remained stable.

    Looing orward, Demand or oe spae in

    Gurgaon is liely to witness moderate growth

    and rents are epeted to remain stable in the

    near uture.

    AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    Institutional Setors /Sushant Lo

    8%

    DLF cyber city 4%

    MG Road 2%

    Manesar 18%

    Gol course Road/Et /Sohna Road 47%

    NH8/ UdyogVihar 21%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    1Q 2012 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    INRpersqtpermonth

    INRpersqtpermonth

    180

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2Q2008

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    3Q2010

    4Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    1Q2012

    2Q2012

    3Q2012F

    4Q2012F

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    0

    15

    30

    45

    90

    105

    60

    75

    120

    GURGAON

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    4Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    2Q2012

    3Q2010

    2Q2008

    3Q2008

    Foreast

    INRperSqtperMonth

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    capgemini Spaze iTeh Par 80,000 Sohna Road Lease

    childrens Plae cyber Terraes 12,000 DLF cyber city Lease

    E&Y DLF yber Greens 100,000 DLF yber ity Lease

    Hitahi Time Tower 3,000 M.G. Road Lease

    Pepsi Pioneer Par 269,000 Gol ourse Road Etn. Lease

    Stel Independent Building 4,000 Setor 29 Lease

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    6/12

    Grade A Grade B

    p. 6 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl

    2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs

    pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    NOIDA

    In 2Q 2012, about 6 million sq.t. o grade

    A and grade B oe spae was available

    or sale or lease. 88% o this available oe

    spae was dediated to IT/ITeS loated in

    setors 16 A, 62 and 125 to 143 along theNOIDA epressway.

    New grade A oe supply o more than

    1.5 million sq.t. was added to NOIDAs total

    oe inventory. contributors to the new

    supply were, SDS tower by SDS Inrateh

    Private Limited, Plot No. 8 by 3c Universal

    Pvt. Ltd., Ansal corporate Par by Ansal API

    and Plot No. 6, 12 & 21 at Setor 125 by ew

    loal developers.

    Nearly 1 million sq.t o grade A oe spae

    were launhed during this quarter inludingLogi Riviera at setor 105 by Logi Group,

    Jaypee commerial Spae at setor 128

    by Jaypee Group and Assoteh Business

    cresterra at Setor 135 by Assoteh.

    Overall demand or grade A oe spae

    remained subdued and only ew transations

    were observed during the quarter. Leasing in

    speial eonomi zone remained ative, and

    vaany has signiantly dropped over the

    quarter.

    In 2Q 2012, rental values delined in almost all

    the miro marets in the range o 2 to 5% due

    to autious investor sentiments and downward

    pressure o oe demand. However in the

    Industrial Setor rentals appreiated by 4%

    on quarter on quarter basis.

    Going orward rental values or grade A

    oe spae are epeted to remain stable on

    aount o limited supply in the near uture.

    Most o the under onstrution projets are

    sheduled to omplete by the end o the year

    2013.

    AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    commerial Setors(Se 18) 2%

    Institutional Setors(Se.16A, 62, 125-142)

    88%

    Industrial Setors (Se.1-9, 57-60, 63-65)

    (Grade B)10%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    1Q 2011 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    1Q2009

    INRPerSqFtPerMonth

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    60

    70

    50

    80

    100

    90

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    InstitutionalSetors

    (Se16A,62,125-

    142)(IT)

    IndustrialSetors

    (Se1-9,57-60,

    63-65)

    commerialSetors

    (Se18)I

    NRPerSqFtPerMonth

    Institutional

    Setors(Se.16A,62,

    125-142)

    2Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2010

    3Q2010

    Institutional Setors (IT)

    Institutional Setors (Non IT)commerial Setors

    Industrial Setor

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    3Q2012F

    4Q2012F

    1Q2012

    2Q2012

    4Q2010

    3Q2010

    INRperSqtperMonth

    0

    10

    20

    40

    30

    50

    80

    60

    70

    NOIDA

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    Foreast

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    I Yogi Oygen SEZ 50,000 Setor 144 Lease

    Mererr Uniteh SEZ 120,000 Setor 135 Lease

    United Health Group Oygen SEZ 60,000 Setor 144 Lease

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    7/12

    2Q 2012 GRADE A IT AND NON ITRENTAl VAluEs

    cBD

    INRpersqtpermonth

    Guindy(SBD)

    Ambattur

    OMR(ITcorridor)

    GSTroad

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    IT NON IT

    COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 7

    ChENNAI

    Over 13 million sq.t. grade A oe spae

    was available or lease/sale in 2Q 2012.

    Nearly 75% o this sto was dediated to IT/

    ITeS oe spae mainly loated at OMR (IT

    corridor) and Ambattur.

    commerial projets launhed in chennai in

    2Q 2012 inludes Gupta Towers in Guindy

    by Gupta Builders admeasuring 0.2 million

    sq.t. The projets ompletion is oreseen by

    1Q 2013.

    No new grade A oe spae was ompleted

    during this quarter in chennai. The majority

    o the projets that were epeted to be ready

    or t out during 2Q 2012 were deerred until

    the net quarter.

    In 2Q 2012, the ommerial lease maret

    remained ative and a number o mid-sized

    ompanies were onsidering onsolidation

    and looing or more ost efetive real estate

    solutions.

    Rental values remained stable in almost all

    the miro marets. Going orward, rentals

    are liely to remain stable on aount o the

    limited supply sheduled or ompletion by

    end o this year.

    In this quarter, NHAI (National Highways

    Authority o India) has nalised the si lane

    chennai-Bangalore highway with a total ost

    estimation o around INR 5,000 rore, whih

    is antiipated to boost the real estate ativities

    in the region.

    AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    cBD14%

    Guindy (SBD) 5%

    Velahery 1%Vadapalini 1%

    GST Rd 3%

    OMR (IT corridor) 51%

    Ambattur 24%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    1Q 2011 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2011

    3Q2011

    2Q2011

    1Q2011

    4Q2010

    3Q2010

    2Q2008

    1Q2008

    INRpersqtpermonth

    90

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    3Q2008

    Ambattur GST road

    OMR (IT corridor)

    Guindy (SBD)cBD

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE

    2Q2008

    1Q2008

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    4Q2012F

    3Q2012F

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2010

    3Q2010

    INRperSqtperMonth

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    60

    50

    cHENNAI

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    Foreast

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    Agility Logistis Temple Steps 19,500 Guindy Lease

    Beroe Systems ASV chandilya 50,000 IT corridor Lease

    Emirates Prestige Palladium Bayan 8,000 Greams Road Lease

    GE onverteam Ramaniyam 40,000 Guindy Lease

    kavian Systems khivaraj omple 11,000 Nandanam Lease

    Laarge RR1 Towers 10,000 Guindy Sale

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    8/12p. 8 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl

    1Q 2012 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs

    pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    BENGAluRu (BANGAlORE)

    About 8.6 million sq.t. o ommerial grade

    A oe spae was available or t-outs in

    2Q 2012. More than 60% o this total available

    spae is onentrated in EPIP Zone and

    Whiteeld.

    New supply in Bengalurus grade A oe

    spae or 2Q 2012 aounted or more

    than 0.8 million sq.t. Projets/ parts o the

    projets ontributing to this new supply were

    condent Eletra and condent Aquila

    developed by condent Group, Embassy

    Vogue by Embassy Group and Neo Town

    by Patel Realty.

    During 2Q 2012, RMA corp launhed two

    new towers in RMZ EcO WORLD with a

    development potential o about 1.7 millionsq.t. Additionally, Bagmane Group launhed

    a ommerial projet Bagmane constellation

    Pheoni with a lettable area o about 0.4

    million sq.t. Both these projets were loated

    along Outer Ring Road and epeted to be

    ready or lients by end o 2014.

    The leasing maret remained ative with

    a number o medium size deals in the a

    range o 10,000 to 50,000 sq. t. Most o

    the transation too plae in Whiteeld and

    Eletroni city miro marets.

    Average rentals or grade A oe premises

    remained stable in almost all the miro

    marets eept or cBD where an inrease o

    6% was observed on quarter on quarter. This

    inrease ould be attributed to the persistent

    demand and limited supply in this region.

    For the net quarter, absorption levels are

    epeted to remain airly high. Despite the

    elevated demand, rental values will remain

    stable as signiant supply is epeted to enter

    the maret in the near uture omplimenting

    this way the epeted demand.

    AVAIlABlE supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    cBD 7%

    Outer Ring Road 13%

    Bannerghatta Road 3%

    Eletroni city 10%

    EPIP Zone/ Whiteeld 64% Hosur Rd 4%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    1Q2008

    2Q2008IN

    RPerSqFtPerMonth

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    3Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2009

    4Q2009

    2Q2010

    3Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2010

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    OuterRingRoad

    Grade A Grade B

    Eletroni

    city(IT)

    BannerghattaRoad

    EPIPZone/

    Whitefeld

    HosurRoad

    INRPerSqFtPerMonth

    cBD

    cBD

    Eletroni city

    Outer Ring RoadEPIP Zone / Whiteeld

    Hosur Road

    Bannerghatta Road

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE

    INRperSqtperMonth

    15

    20

    25

    30

    50

    40

    45

    35

    BENGALURU

    2Q2008

    1Q2008

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    3Q2012F

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    4Q2012F

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2010

    3Q2010

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    Foreast

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    Ais Aerospae Vaswani enterpolis 21,650 Langord Road Lease

    Ellusion Prestige Zeenath 31,820 Rajaram Mohan Roy Road Lease

    Tyo Prestige Shantinietan 25,000 Whiteeld Lease

    VM Ware Forutna1 28,000 JP Nagar Lease

    xentri Studios Private Limited Priteh - SEZ 21,125 Outer Ring Road Lease

    Yoogawa IA Tehnologies Umiya Business Bay 30,000 Outer Ring Road Lease

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    9/12

    2Q 2012 GRADE A AND GRADE BRENTAl VAluEs

    pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    cBD(ParSt,cama

    St,AJcBoseRd)

    INRpersqtpermonth

    Setor-5(IT)

    Setor-5

    PBD(New

    Town,Rajarhat

    Ballygunge

    -cirularRD

    PBDNewTown,

    Rajarhat(IT)

    Eastkolata

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Grade A Grade B

    1Q2012

    COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 9

    KOlKATA

    In 2Q 2012, 0.5 million sq. t. was added to

    the grade A oe sto in kolata. Projets/

    parts o the projets ontributing this supply

    were New Town Square by PS Group, DLF

    Galleria by DLF Ltd. both o these projetswere loated at New Town. Another projet

    Merlin Legend by Merlin Group loated at

    Bhowanipore.

    Bio Wonder projet was launhed in 2Q

    2012 with an area o 0.4 million sq.t. o oe

    spae loated at EM Bypass. Another projet

    by Zion Realty at Par cirus connetor was

    launhed with an area o 0.1 million sq.t. both

    epeted to be ompleted by end o 2015.

    Rentals in 2Q 2012 remained stable in almost

    all the miro marets eept in cBD where anappreiation o 4% was mared on q-o-q. The

    overall maret sentiments remained stagnant

    during the quarter; while many ompanies

    are ollowing the wait and wath strategy

    until unertainties related to poliies will be

    leared by the state government.

    Epetations or the net quarter reveal stable

    rentals in cBD while peripheral areas ould

    witness a downward pressure on rental levels

    due to massive upoming supply in pipeline.

    Major land transations in 2Q 2012 inlude, a

    2 are plot on EM Bypass was sold to AHW

    Steels or INR 115 rore by kolata Muniipal

    corporation and 10 are land parel was

    sold to State Ban o India or INR 58 rore

    or establishing a their training institute at

    Rajarhat.

    NEW supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    PBD (New Town,Rajarhat)

    95%

    cBD (Par St,cama St,AJc Bose Road) 5%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    1Q 2012 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    1Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2008

    2Q2009

    3Q2008

    3Q2009

    4Q2008

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    4Q2010

    3Q2011

    2Q2012

    4Q2011

    2Q2011

    1Q2011

    3Q2010

    INRpersqtpermonth

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    Setor 5

    East kolatta

    Ballygunge cirular Rd

    PBD (New Town, Rajarhat

    cBD (Par St,cama St,AJc Bose Rd)

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE

    INRperSqtperMonth

    40

    50

    70

    90

    60

    80

    0

    10

    20

    30

    kOLkATA

    1Q2008

    2Q2008

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    2Q2010

    1Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    1Q2012

    2Q2012

    3Q2012F

    4Q2012F

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    4Q2010

    3Q2010

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    Foreast

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    Aditya Birla Nova Haut Street 4,000 Topsia Lease

    Bajaj Finane Tehnopolis 10,000 Setor 5, Salt Lae Lease

    EBMIRON Building No.139 4,000 SP Muherjee Road Lease

    HDFc Eo Spae 125,000 New Town, Rajarhat Lease

    Learning Mate Eo Spae 30,000 New Town, Rajarhat Lease

    TcS Eo Spae 33,000 New Town, Rajarhat Lease

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    10/12p. 10 | COllIERs INTERNATIONAl

    2Q 2012 GRADE A IT AND NON ITRENTAl VAluEs

    puNE

    About 6.0 million sq.t. o grade A oe

    spae was available or t out in Pune during

    2Q 2012. Nearly 76% o this supply was

    evenly distributed in miro marets o kharadi,

    Hinjewadi, Hadapsar/Fursungi, Nagar Roadand Airport Road.

    No new supply was added to itys grade A

    oe spae during the surveyed period.

    Panhshil Realty launhed conve

    admeasuring 0.4 million sq.t. in kharadi. The

    projet is epeted to be ompleted by 4Q

    2015.

    Pune ontinued to eperiene high absorption

    levels. Most o the small oor plate layout

    oe leases were observed in Viman Nagar,Aundh, Wadewadi and Hadapsar.

    In this quarter rental values o grade A oe

    spae registered an inrease in the range o

    5 to 6% on q-o-q in Baner and kalyani Nagar

    loations primarily due to limited availability

    o supply in cBD. However, rents in all other

    miro marets remained stable.

    Going orward, rentals are epeted to remain

    stable in most o the miro marets barring

    speial eonomi zones, where marginal

    appreiation an be seen due to limitedsupply.

    During this quarter, wor ommened or

    operating the bus rapid transit system (BRTS)

    on 11-m streth o the Pune-Mumbai highway

    in Pimpri- chinhwad ommened and is

    epeted to be ompleted by end o 2012. This

    will urther interest in the real estate along the

    Pune-Mumbai highway.

    supplY IN pRIME AREAs

    kalyani Nagar 5%Nagar Road 11%

    Aundh 3%

    Bund Garden 2%

    Airport road/pune station 7%

    Bavdhan 4%

    Baner 5%

    kharadi 21 %

    Hinjewadi 26%

    Hadapsar/Fursungi 11%

    Senapati Bapat Road 4%

    CITY OffICE BAROMETER

    1Q 2012 2Q 2012

    VACANCY

    ABsORpTION

    CONsTRuCTION

    RENTAl VAluE

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    1Q2008

    2Q2008IN

    RPerSqFtPerMonth

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    3Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2009

    4Q2009

    2Q2010

    4Q2010

    2Q2011

    2Q2012

    1Q2012

    4Q2011

    3Q2011

    1Q2011

    3Q2010

    pRIME OffICE spACE RENTAl TREND

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    90

    80

    kharadi

    kalyaniNagar

    NagarRoad

    Bavdhan

    Hadapsar/Fursungi

    Hinjewadi

    SenapatiBapatRoad

    Aundh

    Airportroad/

    punestation

    BundGarden

    INRPerSqFtPerMonth

    Baner

    Bavdhan Airport road/pune station

    Baner

    khardi

    Nagar Road

    Hinjewadi / Hadapsar/Fursungi

    kalyani Nagar

    Bund Garden

    Aundh

    Senapati Bapat Rd

    GRADE A AVERAGE RENTAl VAluE

    INRperSqtperMonth

    0

    10

    30

    20

    40

    70

    60

    50

    PUNE

    2Q2008

    1Q2008

    3Q2008

    4Q2008

    1Q2009

    2Q2009

    3Q2009

    4Q2009

    1Q2010

    2Q2010

    1Q2011

    2Q2011

    3Q2011

    4Q2011

    1Q2012

    3Q2012F

    2Q2012

    4Q2012F

    2Q2013F

    1Q2013F

    4Q2010

    3Q2010

    IT Non IT

    Source: Colliers International India Research

    Foreast

    MARKET TRANsACTIONs

    cLIENT BUILDING NAME AREA(SQ. FT.)

    LOcATION TRANSAcTIONTYPE

    Asent Group Saar 10 7,900 Bund Garden Road Lease

    co & kings Mansoor Ali Tower 2,400 Dhole Patil Road Lease

    DHL R B Business centre 4,000 Aundh Lease

    HUAWEI Gera Emporia 8,000 Vimannagar Lease

    kLINGELNBERG No.12 3,250 koregaon Par Lease

    kONEcRANES Magarpatta 22,000 Hadapsar Whiteeld

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    11/12

    Mumbai

    The major business loations in Mumbai are the cBD (Nariman Point, Fort and Bal lard Estate), central Mumbai (Worli, Lower Parel and Parel), Bandra

    kurla comple (Bkc) and Andheri kurla streth. Powai, Malad and Vashi are the preerred IT/ITES destinations, while Airoli at Navi Mumbai and Lal

    Bahadur Shastri Marg are emerging as new oe and IT/ITES submarets.

    Delhi

    The ommerial areas in New Delhi metropolitan area an be broadly lassied into the cBD (connaught Plae), SBD Nehru Plae, Bhiaji cama

    Plae, Netaji Subhash Plae, Jasola and Saet .

    Gurgaon

    The prime business loations in Gurgaon are MG Road, Gol course Road, cyber city and Udyog Vihar. Manesar on the outsirts o Gurgaon is also

    emerging as the itys new oe destination.

    NOIDA

    NOIDA maret is omprised o setors broadly lassied as institutional, industrial and ommerial setors. Institutional setors inlude se 16A, 62

    and 125-142, industrial setors inlude se 1-9, 57-60 and 63- 65 while setor 18 is the most developed ommerial setor.

    ChennaiPrime oe properties in chennai are loated in our prinipal sub-marets: the cBD, the IT corridor, the SBD and the PBD. The SBD omprises

    Guindy, Manapaam, Velahery and other areas. The PBD primarily inludes Ambattur and GST Road, while the IT corridor is the Old Mahaballipuram

    Road (OMR) in south chennai.

    Bengaluru (Bangalore)

    Prime oe properties in Bengaluru an be divided into three prinipal sub-maret cBD, the SBD onsisting o Banerghatta Road & Outer Ring

    Road (ORR) and PBD inluding Hosur Road, EPIP Zone, Eletroni city and Whileeld.

    Pune

    The prime oe sub-marets o Pune inlude Dean Gymhana, Senapati Bapat Road & camp (SBD), while the PBD inludes Aundh, Bund Garden,

    Airport Road and kalyani Nagar, among other loations. The eastern orridor, along with Nagar Road and kharadi, have emerged as a preerred

    loation or nanial and IT/ITES ompanies.

    Kolkata

    The major business loations in kolata are cBD (Par Street, cama Street, chowranghee Rd), SBD (AJc Bose Rd, Ballygunge irular Rd, East

    kolata), East kolata and PBD (New Town & Rajarhat). The area around Par Street, cama Street and AJc Bose road houses number o high-rises

    ommerial buildings suh as chatterjee International centre, Tata centre, Everest House and Industry House among others.

    OffICE suBMARKETs

    COllIERs INTERNATIONAl | p. 11

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    CITY BAROMETER

    Inreasing as ompared to previous quarter

    Dereasing as ompared to previous quarter

    Remained stable rom previous quarter

  • 7/31/2019 India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

    12/12

    Aelerating suess.

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    GLOBAL RETAIL INDIA RESIDENTIAL APAc INDUSTRIAL GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL GLOBAL OFFIcE INDIA BUDGET

    Mumbai : Prabhu Raghavendra, Oe Diretor

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    31/A, 3rd oor, Film center, 68, Tardeo Road, Mumbai, India - 400 034.

    Tel : +91 22 4050 4500, a : +91 22 2351 4272

    Delhi NCR : Ajay Raheja, Oe Diretor

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    New Delhi :Statesman House, 4th Floor, Barahamba Road, connaught Plae,

    New Delhi, India - 110001

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    India - 560 042

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    Hotel Le Meridian, 101, R.B.M. Road, Pune, India - 411 001

    Tel : +91 20 4120 6438, a : +91 20 4120 6434

    Chennai : kaushi Reddy, Oe Diretor

    [email protected]

    Heavitree comple, Unit 1c, 1st oor, 23, Spurtan Road, chetpet, chennai,

    India - 600 031

    Tel : +91 44 2836 1064, a : +91 44 2836 1377

    Kolkata : Soumya Muherjee , Oe Diretor

    [email protected]

    Innity Business centre, Innity Benhmar, Room No 13, Level 18, Plot G - 1,

    Blo EP & GP, Salt Lae Setor V, kolata - 700 091 West Bengal, India

    Tel : +91 33 2357 6501, a : +91 33 2357 6502

    Recent Reports :

    This book is printed on 100% Recyclable paper

    iNDia | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE

    Aelerating suess.

    AUTHORS

    Amit Oberoi MRICSNational Diretor, Valuation & Advisory; ResearhEmail: [email protected]

    Surabhi Arora MRICSAssoiate Diretor, ResearhEmail: [email protected]

    Sachin SharmaAssistant Manager, ResearhEmail: [email protected]

    Heliana ManoAssistant Manager,Valuation & AdvisoryEmail: [email protected]

    For general queries and eedba :

    [email protected]: +91 124 456 7580

    This report and other researh materials may be ound onour website at www.olliers.om/India. Questions relatedto inormation herein should be direted to the ResearhDepartment at the number indiated above. This doumenthas been prepared by colliers International or advertisingand general inormation only. colliers International maesno guarantees, representations or warranties o any ind,epressed or implied, regarding the inormation inluding,but not limited to, warranties o ontent, auray andreliability. Any interested party should undertae theirown inquiries as to the auray o the inormation.

    colliers International eludes unequivoally all inerredor implied terms, onditions and warranties arising outo this doument and eludes all liability or loss anddamages arising there rom.

    copyright 2012 - 2013 All Rights Reserved.

    522 oes in 62 ountries on 6 ontinents

    United States: 147canada: 37Latin Ameria: 19Asia Pai: 201EMEA: 118

    $1.8 billion in annual revenue2.55 billion square eet under management

    Over 12,300 + proessionals

    Accelerating success.

    Residential PropertyMarket OverviewINDIA

    QUARTERLY UPDATE | MAY | 2012

    ASIA PACIFIC

    OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW

    1Q 2012

    Accelerating success.

    HIGHLIGHTS

    GLOBAL INDUSTRIAL

    WWW.COLLIERS.COM

    SECOND HALF2011| INDUSTRIAL

    JAMES COOK Directorof Research| USA

    GlobalIndustrialTrendForecastcGrowingglobaltradewillsteadydemandforqualitywarehousespaceinmanyregions.

    cIndustrialvacancyrateswillfurtherdropinmostmarkets.

    cSomemarkets,U.S.andAustraliaamongthem,willexperiencealackofnewsupplyinthefaceofgrowingdemand.

    cPrimewarehouserentswillclimbinmostAsiaPacicmarkets,remainstableinEMEAandLATAM,andcontinuetostrengtheninNorthAmericanmarkets.

    Citingdeterioratingnancialconditionsanddimminggrowthprospect,the InternationalMonetaryFunds(IMF)reviseditsSeptember2011WorldEconomicOutlookgrowth projectionsdownwardinJanuary2012.However,theIMFstillforecaststhatglobaltradevolumewillriseby3.8percentin2012and5.4percentin2013;asglobaltraderises,sotoowill demandforwarehousespace.

    WhilewarehouserentshavestabilizedinmostEMEAand LatinAmericanmarkets, primewarehouserentsquotedin localcurrenciesincreasedinthemajorityofAsiaPacicandNorthAmericanmarketsin2011overthepreviousyear.Weexpectthistrendtocontinue,withprimewarehouserentsclimbinginmostAsiaPacicandNorthAmericanmarketsinthenextyear.

    LatinAmericanRentsPoisedtoStabilizeInLatinAmerica,primewarehouserentalratestookafall.In71.4percentofthemarketswetrack,year-endrentsdecreasedin2011fromayearearlier. However,weexpectwarehouserentsinLatinAmericatostabilizeinthecomingyear.

    SoPaulosawa12.4percentdropinwarehouserentsinlocalcurrency,duetoincreasedsupply.However,withabsorptionsettooutpacesupply,

    weexpectoverallwarehouserentsintheSoPauloregiontorisebyasmuchasfourpercentinthecomingyear.

    MexicoCitysawathreepercentdecreaseinitsindustrialvacancyrateinthesecondhalfof2011,downto4.8percent.MexicowasmorenegativelyaectedbytherecessionthanmostcountriesinNorthAmerica,anditseconomicfutureislargelytiedtothatofitskeytradingpartner,theUnitedStates.ButwithU.S. growthontheupswing,Mexicotooispoisedtogrowatamodestrateandweexpectthatvacanciescouldmakefurtherdropsinthecountry.

    SteadyDemandinNorthAmericaSincepeakingin2010,growthinthemanufacturinganddistributionindustryhaskepttheU.S.vacancyratedroppinginamostlyregularfashion.Vacancydroppedto9.72percentin Q42011. Withconstructionproceedingatlowlevels,weexpectvacanciestocontinuetodropatameasuredrateinto2013.

    Toronto,Canadasbiggestindustrialmarket,saw13.7millions quarefeetofindustrial spaceabsorbedin2011,andthecitysprimewarehouserentsgrewby7.1percentinthesecondhalfof2011.

    DroppingVacanciesinMostAsianMarketsAsiaPacicsawdroppingvacanciesinnearlyeverymarket. Primewarehouserentsgrewinmorethanhalfofthemarkets,andobserversinmorethanhalfofthose marketsexpectthatwarehouserentswillcontinuetoclimboverthenextsixmonths.

    Australianindustrialhasbeenespeciallystronginmostmajormarkets.Retailpurchases,mademoreattractivebytherelativelystrongAustraliandollar,havepushedupdemandforlargewarehousespaceinseveralportmarkets. Whilethereisgrowingdemandforlargemodernwarehouse

    GlobalWarehouseDemandShows

    Consistent Growth

    GLOBAL INDUSTRIALCAPITALIZATION RATES(PrimeYield/Percent)

    MARKET(SelectMarkets) REGION

    DEC2011

    DEC2010

    HongKong AsiaPacic . . S i ng ap o re A s i aP a ci c . . L o n do n ( H ea t h ro w ) E M E A . . T ok yo A s ia Pa ci c . . LosAngelesInlandEmpire,CA

    N A . .

    C hi ca go ,I L N A . . Paris E ME A . . M un ic h E ME A . . V an co uv er , BC N A . . M ar se il le s E ME A . . Ne w J er se y No r t he r n NA . . Dallas-Ft.Worth,TX NA . . Shanghai Asi a Pac i c . . Seoul AsiaPacic . . M ad ri d E ME A . . Sydney Asi a Pac i c . . Mexico C ity L A TA M . . P ra gu e E ME A . . A th en s E ME A . . B u ch a re s t E M EA . .

    GLOBAL TOP TEN INDUSTRIALWAREHOUSE RENTS

    M AR K ET R EG I ON

    RENT(USD/

    PSF/Year)6-MONTHCHANGE*

    T ok y o A s ia P ac i c . - . %L o n do n ( He a t hr o w ) E M E A . . %H on g Ko n g A s ia P ac i c . . %S i ng ap o re A s ia P ac i c . . %Z ur ic h E ME A . . %O sl o E ME A . . %M os co w E ME A . . %G en ev a E ME A . - . %

    S oP a ul o L A TA M . - . %H el si nk i E ME A . . %M ar se il le s E ME A . . %P ar is E ME A . . %

    *Localcurrency

    Continuedonpage8

    HIGHLIGHTSGLOBAL OFFICE

    WWW.COLLIERS.COM

    SECOND HALF2011| OFFICE

    JAMES COOK Directorof Research| USA

    GlobalOfceTrendForecast

    cGlobalocevacancieswillcontinuetheirdecline,duetosteadydemandandlowlevelsofnewconstructioninNorthAmericaandEurope.

    cTheighttoqualitytrendwillcontinueinmanymajormarkets,withoccupierstradinguptohigher-qualityspaceorabetterlocationastheirleasesexpire.

    cTheEuropeansovereigndebtcrisiswilllikelypushtheEurozoneintoamildrecessioninearly2012.Thiscontractionwillbefeltmostprofoundlyinahandfulofcommercialpropertymarketswithinthemosttroublednations.

    EconomicprospectsintheEurozonehaveslightlyreducedoverallposit iveglobalexpectationsformarketperformancein2012.Weexpectcontinuingmodestdemandforocespace,withmostcit iesseeingadropinvacancyrates.Butglobalaveragesdonotspeaktothenuancesofindividualmarkets,andwhileweexpectposit iveabsorptionduetobusinessgrowthandexpansionintheUnitedStates,ChinaandAustraliasomeEurozonecountriesmayseenegativeabsorptionandincreasedvacancyastheregionentersamildrecession.

    GlobalOfceDemandGrowthSlowandSteady

    GLOBAL CAPITALIZATION RATES /PRIME YIELDS: 10 LOWEST CITIES

    MARKET(RankedbyDec2011)

    DEC2011

    JUNE2011

    DEC2010

    T ai pe i . . .

    H on g Ko n g . . .

    Vienna . . .

    L o n do n West E n d . . .

    Zurich . . .

    S i ng ap o re . . .

    Geneva . . .

    B ei ji ng . . .

    P ar is . . .

    M un ic h . . .

    T ok yo . . .

    GLOBAL OFFICE OCCUPANCY COSTS:TOP 10 CITIES

    MARKET(RankedbyDec2011)

    DEC2011

    JUNE2011

    DEC2010

    H o ng K o n g . . .

    LondonWestEnd.. .

    P ar i s . . .

    R i o d e Ja n e ir o . . .

    M os c ow . . .

    L o n do n C i ty . . .

    Perth . . .

    S i n ga p o re . . .

    G e ne va . . .

    S o Pau l o . . .

    CBD CAP RATE (%)

    LatinAmericaBoaststheTightestOfceMarketsSomeoftheworldslowestocevacancyratesarefoundinLatinAmericancit ies.Santiago,Chile;RiodeJaneiro,Brazil;SoPaulo,Brazil;andLima,Peruallhavevacancyratesbelowthreepercent,result inginamarketthatstronglyfavorslandlords,promptsnewconstructionandmightsqueezesometenantsthatdesiretoexpand.Forthemostpart ,weexpectthestrengthofthesemarketstopersist.WhiledecreasesinEuropeandemandforitscommoditieswilllikelyhurtLatinAmerica,thiswill betemperedbycontinueddemandfromChina.InSoPaolo,heighteneddemandhasspurredthehighestratesofnewdevelopmentintheregion,whichwill eventuallyputdownwardpressureonaskingrents.

    SelectAsiaPacicMarketsSeeBigVacancyDropsTheglobaltrendindroppingvacancyratesshouldbeevi-dentinAsiaandcontinuethrough2012.Marketsthatsawadropinvacancyinthesecondhalfof2011outnumberedbyatwo-to-onemarginthosewherevacancyincreased.

    Oftheworldsmostpopulousmarkets,thosewiththemostsignicantdeclinesinsix-monthvacancyrateswerenearlyallintheAsiaPacicregion. Chengdu,propelledbyitsstrongmanufacturingsector,sawitsvacancyratedropby7.8percentintheperiod,andShanghaisawa3.2percentdropinvacancy.

    TwootherlargeAsianmarketssawvacancyratesdropby1.5percentormore: Jakarta,whichhasalso seensustainedgrowthinCBDrentalratesandrenewedglobalinvestorinterest;andSingapore,whereoccupanciesare

    expectedtostabilize.

    MarqueeMarketsSeeRentDeclineWhileHongKong,LondonsWestEndandPariscommandthetopthreehighestaskingrentsforClassAocespace,

    eachhasshownapparentdeclineinrentsbetweenJuneandDecemberof2011,whenquotedin U.S.dollars.Substantialdeclines,infact:ledbya$10.87USD dropinParisianClassArents.

    Buthowsignicantarethesegures?ThechangeinLondonandParisrentsisduetothestrengtheningdollarrelativetotheeuroandpoundsterling.Inlocalcurrency,primerentsinthesemarketsareholdingground.Althoughsmaller,thedeclineinHongKongof$7.56USD($5.10HKD)persquarefootmaybeamoreimportantindicatorofthingstocome,asdemandfromthebankingandnancialsectorcontinuetoweaken.

    EMEAandAsiaPacicLeadGlobalConstructionAsignicantpercentageofthe ocespaceunderconstructionisinEurope,theMiddleEastand Africa(EMEA),andmuchofthatisoccurringinMoscowandDubai.Whilebothofthesemarketsshouldexpectstrongeconomicgrowthin2012,thefactthatDubaiwithavacancyrateof50percentisconstructingatsuchapaceleadsustoexpectthatsupplywillcontinuetooutpacedemandinthatmarket.

    TheothertwotopmarketsforoceconstructionareintheAsiaPacic region. GuangzhouChinasleadingcommercialportcityandTokyohave19.6and15.6millionsquarefeetunderconstructionrespectively.Asianeconomicgrowthrateswillremainstronginthecomingmonths,withChinaandIndialeadingthepack. Rentsareontheriseinmostcit iesintheregion.However,droppingrentsinSeoulandHongKongareapotentialindicatorofglobaleconomic

    uncertainty.InTokyo,wherenewsupplyhasbeenincreasingforthepastthreeyears,weexpectconstructiontopeakandbegintodeclineinthecomingyear.

    CLASSA/NETRENT(USD/SQFT)

    www.colliers.com/india

    Budget Highlights |RealEstate

    FinanceMinisterPran abMukherjeestarted his budgetspeech2012-13 in the

    backdropof challenging macroeconomic scenario.Thenancemini sterprojects

    theeconomyto grow by7.6% in thenextscal upfrom 6.9% in 2011-12.Hementioned thatduetoadver seglobalecono mic sentiments therehas been a

    slowdown in theIndian Economybutthefacti s India stillremains among the

    frontrunners in theeconomic growthin anycross countrycomparison. The

    budgetaims atfaster,sustainableand moreinclusivegrowth across sectors

    emphasizing on vefocus areas including revivalof domestic consumption,

    rapid revivalof highgrowthin privateinvestment,removalof supplybottlenecks,

    addressing malnutrition in 200 highburden districts and expediteimprovementin deliverysystem,governanceand transparency.

    From a realestateperspective,thebudgetremained silenton mostof themajorissues including status of STPIs (SoftwareTechnologyParks of India),RealEstateRegulatoryBill, Land Billetc.however,itmentioned thateorts areon toarriveat a politicalconsensus on theissueof allowing 51% Foreign Direct

    Investment(FDI)in multi-brand retail.

    THE KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF THE BUDGET WHICH MAY IMPACT REAL ESTATE

    SECTOR ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    - ExternalCommercialBorrowings (ECB)forlow costaordablehousingprojects. Impact:Real estatecompanies developinglargeaordablehousing

    projects with largefund requirements will benet the most from theeasingof

    external commercial borrowing(ECB) norms as interest ratecharged is lower incaseofexternal borrowings in comparison to rates charged by domestic

    institutions.

    - Increasein provision underRural Housing Fund toINR4,000 crorefrom theexisting INR3,000 crore. Impact:It will providehousingnanceto targeted

    groupsinruralareasatcompetitiverates.

    - Extension of theexisting schemeof interestsubven tion of 1% on housing

    loans uptoINR15lakhwhere thecostof thehousedoes notexceed INR25

    lakhforanother year. Impact:This will boost the aordablehousingsegmentby providingcheaper loan to theend users.

    MARKETREACTIONTO BUDGET

    Q1 2012 | RESEARCH

    Source: www.bseindia.com | Mar16, 2012

    C o mp a ny C h an g e (% )

    BSESENSEX -1.19

    RealtyIndex -1.26

    AnantRajInds -6.04

    DBRealty -2.02

    DLF 0.15

    GodrejProperties -2.82

    HDIL -5.21

    HubtownLtd. -4.13

    IndiabullsRealEstate -1.95

    MahindraLifespaces -0.72

    OrbitCorp. -3.37

    ParsvnathDevelopers -4.04

    PeninsulaLand -3.18

    PhoenixMills -2.65

    S o bh a De v el o pe r s 3 . 04

    SunteckRealty -1.13

    Unitech -1.68

    UNIONBUDGET2012 -13

    ASNEAK PREVIEW

    P. 1 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL

    STREET/PRECINCT

    RENT

    (USD)**

    ANNUAL

    CHANGE

    (%)

    New York FithAvenue , .

    Hong Kong Queen'sRoad Central,Central(tie)

    , .

    Hong Kong Canton Road (t ie)

    , .

    London Old Bond St.*** , .

    Paris Avenuedes***Champs-lyses

    , f a t

    Hong Kong -CausewayBay

    , .

    New York Madison Avenue

    .

    Z u r i ch Ba h nh o s tr a sse f a t

    Milan Via MonteNapoleone

    (.)

    Sydney PittStreetMall (.)

    HIGHLIGHTSGLOBAL

    www.colliers.com

    MID-YEAR 2012 | RETAIL

    ANNT. NATUNEWICZ Manager| RetailResearch| USA

    cColliers2012GlobalRetailStreetssurveyoundthato129locationstracked,51postedhigheryearoveryearaveragerentalrates,49wereat,and24weredown(5lackedcomparabledata).

    cRetailersenteringnewmarketsbothdevelopedanddevelopingcontinuetohedgeriskbytargetingthesameoneortwopremierlocations,generatingheatedcompetitionandoutsizedrentalrategrowth

    inahandulospace-constrainedcorridors.

    cCompanieswiththemostambitiouslong-termexpansionplansremainocusedonemergingmarketswithrapidlygrowingmiddle-classpopulations,butrecentlyinstitutionalcapitalhaspulledbacksomewhattoavorcoremarketsandinvestments.

    cWhileeconomicandpoliticalturmoildidaectrentalratesinheadline-generatingmarkets(such

    asCairoandAthens),highstreetswithstrongundamentalsremainedremarkablyresilient,suggest-ing,atleastornow,someseparationbetweenmacroeconomicissuesandunderlyingreal

    estateundamentals.

    cSinceweconductedoursurvey,however,weakeningconsumersentimentamongauentshoppershasalreadybeguntoimpactretailersrevenuesandcouldhinderlandlordsnear-termabilityto

    raiserents,suggestingatteninggrowthratesorthecomingyear.

    This spring proved to be a tricky time to conduct global benchmarking, as market sentiment hasdeteriorated markedlysince April. During the past year, virtuallyeveryentity making a orecastincludingColliersinour2012U.S.RetailOutlookincludedacaveatrelatedtonot-yet-quantifableglobalallout romEuropesfscal issues. Asthepast ewmonthshaveillustrated, thetimeto aceEurozoneissueshasfnallyarrived,spawninganewwaveofnancialuncertainty.

    More than two years post-recession, though, results rom ourannual surveyo High Street rentsillustratethattheworldspriciestretailcorridorscontinuetoattractthemostsought-atertenantsatlotyrentalrates.EightoCollierstoptenGlobalRetailStreetsin2011madethelistagainthisyear.Thebigstory,however,lieswiththeexplosiveyearoveryearrentalgrowthachievedinahandulomarkets.SixoourTop10grewatdouble-digitlevelsyearoveryearinlocalcurrencyunits,fveothembymorethan20%.

    At a regional level, streets in areas that entered 2007-08 better-positioned economicallyAustralia,Canada,partsoEasternEuropehadahigherpercentageothisyear'sat-to-higherrentsthanthoseslowertoemergeromtherecession.Wewillbewatchingtheseareasclosely.Evenastheyrepresentsomeo themost attractivedestinationsorexpansion-mindedcompaniesandyield-seekinginvestors,theytooarevulnerabletosoteningconsumerdemandand,orthosewithreliabledata,encroachmentoe-commerce.

    This report contains two parts. The frst summarizes the results o ourannual Global Retail Streetssurvey,conductedinApril2012.ThesecondincorporatescontentromColliersbrokerageandresearchteamsworldwidewhocontributedmarketoperationalmetrics,nuancedcommentaryonretailconditions,

    andorward-lookingopinionsonwhatthenextyearwillholdorconsumers,landlords,andinvestors.

    RecordRentsfor TopRetailCorridors;Global

    SlowdownImpactsMomentumElsewhere

    TOP 10 GLOBALRETAILSTREETS*

    (USD PER SQUARE FOOTPER YEAR)

    REGIONALRETAILRESEARCH CONTACTS

    AMERICAS> Ann [email protected]

    EUROPE/MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA> Zuzanna [email protected]

    ASIA> Simon [email protected]

    AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND> Nora Farren

    [email protected]

    Source:Colliers International* selected cities** exchangerateas o March31,2012*** ZoneA rents


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