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Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

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  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

    1/11

    Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1

    Particulars (` cr) 1QFY14 4QFY13 % chg (qoq) 1QFY13 % chg (yoy)NII 1,097 1,107 (1.0) 1,153 (4.9)Pre-prov. profit 859 565 52.2 840 2.3

    PAT 317 292 8.6 462 (31.3)Source: Company, Angel Research

    Indian Bank reported a weak operating performance for 1QFY2014, as its NII

    de-grew by 4.9% yoy. Boosted by treasury gains of `314cr as against `22cr in

    1QFY2013, the non-interest income grew strongly by 137.8% yoy to `530cr,

    thereby enabling a growth in pre-provisioning profit of 2.3% yoy. The bank

    witnessed moderate asset quality pressure, as Gross and Net NPA levels

    increased sequentially by around 4.4% each. The provisioning expenses for the

    bank more than doubled yoy, hence earnings de-grew by 31.3% yoy.

    NIM lower qoq; Asset quality pressures continue:During 1QFY2014, the banksadvances grew at a healthy pace of 16.3% yoy (up 3.4% qoq). Within advances,

    growth in the agriculture and retail book grew at a relatively higher 21.1% yoy.

    Deposits growth also came in healthy at 17.8% yoy (5.4% qoq), while the low-cost

    CASA franchise grew at a modest pace of 7.9% yoy (2.7% qoq).Consequently,

    the CASA ratio for the bank dipped by 245bp yoy (70bp qoq) to 26.9%.Reported

    NIM for the bank declined by 14bp qoq to 2.7%, on back of 16bp decline in yield

    on advances to 10.5%. During 1QFY2014, the banks non-interest income (excl.

    treasury) grew at a moderate pace of 7.4% yoy to `215cr. Growth in fee income

    was moderate at 6.8% yoy to`

    147cr, while recoveries from written off accountscame in at `21cr as against `32cr in 1QFY2013.During 1QFY2014, slippages

    for the bank declined sequentially, however remained elevated at `643cr

    (annualized slippage ratio of 2.8%) as against ~`1,306cr in 4QFY2013

    (annualized slippage ratio of 5.8%). Recoveries/upgrades came lower during the

    quarter at `217cr, as compared to `751cr in 4QFY2013. Gross NPA increased by

    8bp qoq to 3.4%, while net NPA increased by 5bp qoq to 2.3%. The banks PCR

    increased by 111bp qoq to 61.3%. Additionally, the bank restructured advances

    worth `601 during the quarter, thereby taking its restructured book (stated borrower

    wise, after upgrading satisfactorily performing accounts) to `10,020cr.

    Outlook and valuation:Recent liquidity tightening measures implemented by theReserve Bank of India (RBI) amidst an overall weak economic environment clearly

    suggests that the asset quality pressures for the banking sector are unlikely toabate as quickly as was expected earlier. Overall, we have a cautious view on the

    sector, with a positive bias towards more retail oriented banks on both assets as

    well as on liabilities. Hence, we recommend a Neutral rating on the stock.Key financials (Standalone)Y/E March (` cr) FY2012 FY2013 FY2014E FY2015ENII 4,418 4,524 4,533 5,071% chg 9.5 2.4 0.2 11.9

    Net profit 1,747 1,581 1,117 1,459% chg 1.9 (9.5) -29.4 30.7

    NIM (%) 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.7

    EPS (`) 39.6 35.8 24.9 32.9P/E (x) 1.9 2.1 3.1 2.3

    P/ABV (x) 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3

    RoA (%) 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.8

    RoE (%) 20.4 16.1 10.3 12.4

    Source: Company, Angel Research; CMP as of August 5, 2013

    NEUTRALCMP `71Target Price -

    Investment Period -

    Stock Info

    Sector

    Bloomberg Code

    Shareholding Pattern (%)

    Promoters 80.0

    MF / Banks / Indian Fls 6.0

    FII / NRIs / OCBs 8.4

    Indian Public / Others 5.6

    Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr

    Sensex (2.0) 11.5 5.6

    Indian Bank (56.8) (59.2) (70.0)

    Banking

    Market Cap (`cr) 3,030

    Beta 1.1

    52 Week High / Low 219/69

    Avg. Daily Volume 38,982

    Face Value (`) 10

    BSE Sensex 19,182

    Nifty 5,685

    Reuters Code INBA.BO

    INBK@IN

    Vaibhav Agrawal022 3935 7800 Ext: 6808

    [email protected]

    Sourabh Taparia022 3935 7800 Ext: 6872

    [email protected]

    Harshal Patkar022 3935 7800 Ext: 6847

    harshal. atkar@an elbrokin .com

    Indian BankPerformance Highlights

    1QFY2014 Result Update | Banking

    August 6, 2013

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

    2/11

    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 2

    Exhibit 1:1QFY2014 performance (Standalone)1QFY14 4QFY13 % chg (qoq) 1QFY13 % chg (yoy) FY13 FY12 % chg

    Interest earned 3,666 3,562 2.9 3,374 8.7 13,893 12,231 13.6- on Advances / Bills 2,786 2,700 3.2 2,610 6.7 10,607 9,424 12.6- on investments 871 847 2.9 758 15.0 3,238 2,790 16.1

    - on balance with RBI & others 9 15 (39.8) 6 44.7 48 17 179.4

    Interest Expended 2,569 2,455 4.7 2,221 15.7 9,368 7,813 19.9Net Interest Income 1,097 1,107 (1.0) 1,153 (4.9) 4,524 4,418 2.4Other income 530 460 15.0 223 137.8 1,287 1,180 9.1Other income excl. treasury 215 334 (35.6) 200 7.4 1,074 1,066 0.7

    - Fee Income 147 263 (44.1) 138 6.8 849 933 (9.1)

    - Treasury Income 314 126 148.8 22 1,309.9 213 114 87.5

    - Recoveries from written off accounts 21 71 (69.8) 32 (33.8) 195 133 46.5

    Operating income 1,626 1,568 3.7 1,376 18.2 5,811 5,598 3.8Operating expenses 767 1,003 (23.5) 536 43.2 2,751 2,187 25.8- Employee expenses 576 781 (26.2) 369 56.1 1,974 1,484 33.0

    - Other Opex 191 222 (14.1) 166 14.8 777 703 10.5

    Pre-provision Profit 859 565 52.2 840 2.3 3,060 3,411 (10.3)Provisions & Contingencies 368 476 (22.6) 146 152.7 1,235 1,195 3.3PBT 491 89 452.1 695 (29.3) 1,825 2,216 (17.6)Provision for Tax 174 (203) (185.5) 233 (25.3) 245 469 (47.7)

    PAT 317 292 8.6 462 (31.3) 1,580 1,747 (9.6)Effective Tax Rate (%) 35.4 (228.3) 26373bp 33.5 186bp 13.4 21.1 (772)bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 2:1QFY2014 Actual vs Angel estimatesParticulars (` cr) Actual Estimates Var. (%)NII 1,097 1,129 (2.9)Non-interest income 530 278 90.3

    Operating income 1,626 1,408 15.5Operating expenses 767 635 20.7

    Pre-prov. profit 859 772 11.3Provisions & cont. 368 271 35.9

    PBT 491 501 (2.1)

    Prov. for taxes 174 130 33.3PAT 317 371 (14.5)Source: Company, Angel Research

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

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    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 3

    Exhibit 3:1QFY2014 Performance (Standalone)1QFY14 4QFY13 % chg (qoq) 1QFY13 % chg (yoy)

    Balance sheetAdvances (`cr) 109,213 105,643 3.4 93,876 16.3Deposits (`cr) 149,582 141,980 5.4 127,012 17.8

    Credit-to-Deposit Ratio (%) 73.0 74.4 (139)bp 73.9 (90)bp

    CASA deposits (`cr) 40,183 39,138 2.7 37,228 7.9

    CASA ratio (%) 26.9 27.6 (70)bp 29.3 (245)bp

    CAR (%) 13.1 13.1 (2)bp 13.0 8bp

    Tier 1 CAR (%) 10.8 10.9 (5)bp 10.7 11bp

    Profitability Ratios (%)Cost of deposits 7.1 7.1 4bp 7.0 9bp

    Yield on advances 10.5 10.6 (16)bp 11.3 (84)bp

    Reported NIM 2.7 2.9 (14)bp 3.3 (56)bp

    Cost-to-income ratio 47.2 64.0 (1682)bp 38.9 824bp

    Asset qualityGross NPAs (`cr) 3,723 3,565 4.4 1,554 139.6

    Gross NPAs (%) 3.4 3.3 8bp 1.7 175bp

    Net NPAs (` cr) 2,486 2,384 4.3 963 158.1

    Net NPAs (%) 2.3 2.3 5bp 1.0 127bp

    Provision Coverage Ratio (%) 61.3 60.1 111bp 75.1 (1383)bp

    Slippage ratio (%) 2.8 5.8 (294)bp 1.2 162bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Business growth remains healthy; NIM lower qoq

    During 1QFY2014, the banks advances grew at a healthy pace of 16.3% yoy (up

    3.4% qoq). Within advances, the agriculture and retail book grew at a relatively

    higher 21.1% yoy.

    On the liabilities side, growth in deposits also came in healthy at 17.8% yoy (5.4%

    qoq), while the low-cost CASA franchise grew at a modest pace of 7.9% yoy (2.7%

    qoq).Consequently, the CASA ratio for the bank dipped by 245bp yoy (70bp qoq)

    to 26.9%.

    The Reported NIM for the bank declined by 14bp qoq to 2.7%, on back of a 16bp

    decline in yield on advances to 10.5%. Yields on advances declined primarily on

    account of interest reversal on slippages.

    Moderate growth in Non-interest income (excl. treasury)

    During 1QFY2014, the banks non-interest income (excl. treasury) grew at a

    moderate pace of 7.4% yoy to `215cr. Growth in fee income was moderate at

    6.8% yoy to `147cr, while recoveries from written off accounts came in at `21cr as

    against `32cr in 1QFY2013. Treasury gains came in at `314cr as against `22cr

    reported in 1QFY2013, thereby aiding strong growth of 137.8% yoy in overall

    other income for the bank to `530cr.

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

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    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 4

    Exhibit 4:Healthy business growth continues

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 5:CASA ratio declines sequentially by 70bp

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 6:Yields on advances declines by 16bp qoq...

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 7:...hence, Reported NIM declines by 14bp qoq

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Asset quality pressure continues

    During 1QFY2014, the bank witnessed moderate asset quality pressures, as the

    gross NPA and net NPA increased by 4.4% and 4.3% sequentially. During

    1QFY2014, slippages for the bank, though lower sequentially, however remained

    elevated at `643cr (annualized slippage ratio of 2.8%) as against ~`1,306cr in

    4QFY2013 (annualized slippage ratio of 5.8%). Recoveries/upgrades came lower

    during the quarter at `217cr, as compared to `751cr in 4QFY2013. Gross NPAincreased by 8bp qoq to 3.4%, while net NPA increased by 5bp qoq to 2.3%. The

    banks PCR increased by 111bp qoq to 61.3%.

    Additionally, the bank restructured advances worth `601cr during the quarter,

    thereby taking its restructured book (stated borrower wise, after upgrading

    satisfactorily performing accounts) to `10,020cr.

    13.8

    10.8

    13.3

    17.0

    16.3

    15.0

    12.9

    13.5

    17.5

    17.8

    73.9

    72.4

    73.3

    74.4

    73.0

    70.0

    72.0

    74.0

    76.0

    -

    5.0

    10.0

    15.0

    20.0

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    Adv. yoy chg (%) Dep. yoy chg (%) CDR (%, RHS)

    29.

    3

    29.

    0

    28.

    3

    27.

    6

    26.

    9

    8.89.8

    6.5 6.27.9

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    25.0

    26.0

    27.0

    28.0

    29.0

    30.0

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    CASA ratio CASA yoy growth (%, RHS)

    11.29

    11.13 11.13

    10.61

    10.45

    10.00

    10.50

    11.00

    11.50

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    (%)

    3.30

    3.12 3.07

    2.882.74

    2.00

    2.40

    2.80

    3.20

    3.60

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    (%)

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

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    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 5

    Exhibit 8:NPA ratio trends

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 9:Slippages remain elevated in 1QFY2014

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 10:Cost-to-income ratio higher yoy

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 11:Cost ratios trends

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Investment arguments

    Rural and semi-urban presence relatively high, moderate CASA

    Indian Bank opened 10 branches in the current quarter, taking its total branch

    network to ~2,100 as of 1QFY2014. The bank has a higher proportion of rural

    and semi-urban presence (~55% of its total branches).Aided by this, the bank has

    been able to maintain a moderate CASA in the vicinity of 27-28%, with the CASA

    registering a healthy CAGR of 15.2% during FY200913.

    Investment concerns

    Relatively high yields are now reducing esp. on risk adjusted

    basis

    A larger portion of SME and mid-corporate loans has contributed to the banks

    relatively high yield on advances. This has supported its NIM, which in FY2011 was

    higher than even larger banks having ~40% CASA deposits vs. Indian Banks

    ~30%.Past experience shows that banks that delivered high NIMs on the back of

    high yields later paid the price for the higher risk taken in the form of higher NPAs

    in subsequent years. The bank has felt the heat on the asset-quality front in the

    past one year, with significant slippages and continuing increase in its restructuring

    book. Consequently, its margins on a risk-adjusted basis, which were 3.0% in

    1.

    7

    2.

    1

    3.

    2

    3.

    3

    3.

    4

    1.

    0

    1.

    3

    2.

    2

    2.

    3

    2.

    3

    75.171.0

    61.260.1

    61.3

    -

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    0.2

    1.2

    2.2

    3.2

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    Gross NPAs (%) Net NPAs (%) NPA coverage (%, RHS)

    1.0 3

    .36.3

    5.8

    2.8

    -

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.06.0

    7.0

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    Slippages (%)

    369

    379

    445

    781

    576

    166

    197

    191

    222

    191

    38.9 38.945.9

    64.0

    47.2

    -

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    -

    150

    300

    450

    600

    750

    900

    1,050

    1,200

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    Staff exps (` cr) Other opex (` cr) CIR (%, RHS)

    38.9

    38.9

    45.9

    64.0

    47.2

    1.5 1.51.6

    2.5

    1.9

    -

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    -

    20.0

    40.0

    60.0

    80.0

    1QFY13 2QFY13 3QFY13 4QFY13 1QFY14

    Cost-to-income ratio (%) Opex to average assets (%, RHS)

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

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    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 6

    FY2011, have now reduced to 2.2% in FY2013. Going ahead, we remain cautious

    on the banks asset quality and NIM outlook as in case of other banks with

    unsustainably high yields.

    Outlook and valuation

    Recent liquidity tightening measures implemented by the Reserve Bank of India

    (RBI) amidst an overall weak economic environment clearly suggests that the asset

    quality pressures for the banking sector are unlikely to abate as quickly as was

    expected earlier. Overall, we have a cautious view on the sector, with a positive

    bias towards more retail oriented banks on both assets as well as on liabilities.

    Hence, we recommend a Neutral rating on the stock.

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

    7/11

    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 7

    Exhibit 12:Key assumptionsParticulars (%) Earlier estimates Revised estimatesFY2014E FY2015E FY2014E FY2015ECredit growth 15.0 15.0 13.0 15.0Deposit growth 13.0 13.0 12.0 13.0

    CASA ratio 26.9 27.0 27.2 27.2

    NIM 2.9 3.0 2.7 2.7

    Other income growth (3.9) 4.6 9.2 (5.8)

    Growth in staff expenses 5.0 3.0 8.0 5.0

    Growth in other expenses 5.0 3.0 6.0 2.5

    Slippages 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.3

    Coverage ratio 62.5 65.0 60.0 62.5

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 13:Change in estimatesParticulars(` cr)

    FY2014E FY2015EEarlierestimates Revisedestimates % chg Earlierestimates Revisedestimates % chg

    NII 4,840 4,533 (6.3) 5,551 5,071 (8.6)

    Non-interest income 1,237 1,407 13.7 1,295 1,325 2.3

    Operating income 6,077 5,940 (2.3) 6,845 6,396 (6.6)Operating expenses 2,888 2,955 2.3 2,975 3,083 3.6

    Pre-prov. profit 3,189 2,984 (6.4) 3,870 3,313 (14.4)Provisions & cont. 1,084 1,318 21.6 1,128 1,102 (2.3)

    PBT 2,105 1,666(20.8)

    2,743 2,211(19.4)

    Prov. for taxes 547 550 0.5 932 751 (19.4)

    PAT 1,558 1,117 (28.3) 1,810 1,459 (19.4)Source: Company, Angel Research

    Exhibit 14:P/ABV band

    Source: Company, Angel Research

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    Mar-07

    Aug-0

    7

    Jan-0

    8

    Jun-0

    8

    Nov-0

    8

    Apr-09

    Sep-0

    9

    Feb-1

    0

    Jul-10

    Dec-1

    0

    May-1

    1

    Oct-11

    Mar-12

    Aug-1

    2

    Jan-1

    3

    Jun-1

    3

    Nov-1

    3

    Price(`) 0.5x 0.8x 1.1x 1.4x 1.7x

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

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    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 8

    Exhibit 15:Recommendation summaryCompany Reco. CMP(`) Tgt. price(`) Upside(%) FY2015EP/ABV (x) FY2015ETgt. P/ABV (x) FY2015EP/E (x) FY2013-15EEPS CAGR (%) FY2015ERoA (%) FY2015ERoE (%)AxisBk Buy 1,121 1,302 16 1.2 1.4 7.1 19.1 1.6 18.1

    FedBk Neutral 356 - - 0.8 - 6.9 2.9 1.0 12.3

    HDFCBk Buy 632 745 18 3.0 3.5 14.0 26.3 1.9 22.8

    ICICIBk* Buy 903 1,068 18 1.3 1.5 9.3 15.8 1.6 15.4

    SIB Neutral 21 - - 0.8 - 5.0 5.7 0.9 16.2

    YesBk Accumulate 299 321 7 1.3 1.4 6.0 16.9 1.3 22.8

    AllBk Reduce 70 66 (6) 0.3 0.3 2.3 12.6 0.6 12.4

    AndhBk Reduce 59 51 (13) 0.4 0.4 3.5 (15.1) 0.5 10.0

    BOB Neutral 504 - - 0.6 - 4.1 8.3 0.8 14.2

    BOI Neutral 176 - - 0.4 - 2.8 16.2 0.7 13.9

    BOM Neutral 42 - - 0.5 - 3.3 10.0 0.6 15.3

    CanBk Neutral 249 - - 0.4 - 2.9 15.4 0.8 14.2CentBk Reduce 55 52 (5) 0.6 0.5 3.5 40.1 0.5 12.8

    CorpBk Neutral 284 - - 0.3 - 2.9 2.3 0.7 13.5

    DenaBk Neutral 48 - - 0.3 - 2.2 (3.3) 0.6 13.2

    IDBI# Neutral 61 - - 0.3 - 2.7 25.1 0.8 13.3

    IndBk Neutral 71 - - 0.3 - 2.1 (4.2) 0.8 12.4IOB Neutral 40 - - 0.3 - 2.7 57.5 0.5 10.5

    J&KBk Neutral 1,122 - - 0.8 - 5.5 (3.5) 1.3 16.3

    OBC Neutral 145 - - 0.3 - 2.3 17.0 0.8 12.9

    PNB Neutral 538 - - 0.5 - 3.3 10.8 1.0 15.7

    SBI* Accumulate 1,682 1,930 15 0.9 1.1 5.9 17.5 1.0 17.0

    SynBk Neutral 79 - - 0.4 - 3.3 (16.0) 0.6 12.8

    UcoBk Neutral 58 - - 0.5 - 3.7 66.4 0.6 13.5

    UnionBk Neutral 120 - - 0.4 - 3.0 6.2 0.6 13.4

    UtdBk Neutral 34 - - 0.3 - 1.7 54.6 0.6 14.7

    VijBk Neutral 38 - - 0.4 - 4.2 (0.4) 0.4 9.8

    Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *Target multiples=SOTP Target Price/ABV (including subsidiaries),# Without adjusting for SASF

    Company Background

    Indian Bank is a Chennai-based mid-sized public sector bank, with 2,099branches (1417 ultra small branches) and a balance sheet size of ~`1.7lakh cr.

    Around two-thirds of the bank's branches are spread across the southern states

    with majority being in the parent state of Tamil Nadu.

  • 7/27/2019 Indian Bank, 1Q FY 2014

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    Indian Bank | 1QFY2014 Result Update

    August 6, 2013 9

    Income statement (Standalone)Y/E March (` cr) FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15ENII 3,161 4,036 4,418 4,524 4,533 5,071- YoY Growth (%) 21.2 27.7 9.5 2.4 0.2 11.9Other Income 1,316 1,182 1,232 1,288 1,407 1,325- YoY Growth (%) 27.1 (10.2) 4.3 4.5 9.2 (5.8)

    Operating Income 4,478 5,218 5,650 5,812 5,940 6,396- YoY Growth (%) 22.9 16.5 8.3 2.9 2.2 7.7

    Operating Expenses 1,730 1,926 2,187 2,751 2,955 3,083- YoY Growth (%) 22.3 11.3 13.5 25.8 7.4 4.3

    Pre-Provision Profit 2,747 3,292 3,463 3,061 2,984 3,313- YoY Growth (%) 23.3 19.8 5.2 (11.6) (2.5) 11.0

    Prov. & Cont. 396 657 1,195 1,235 1,318 1,102- YoY Growth (%) (10.6) 66.1 81.9 3.3 6.7 (16.4)

    Profit Before Tax 2,352 2,634 2,268 1,826 1,666 2,211- YoY Growth (%) 31.7 12.0 (13.9) (19.5) (8.7) 32.7

    Prov. for Taxation 797 920 521 245 550 751- as a % of PBT 33.9 34.9 23.0 13.4 33.0 34.0

    PAT 1,555 1,714 1,747 1,581 1,117 1,459- YoY Growth (%) 24.9 10.2 1.9 (9.5) (29.4) 30.7

    Preference Dividend 46 46 46 42 46 46PAT avl. To equity sh. 1,509 1,668 1,701 1,540 1,070 1,413- YoY Growth (%) 25.5 10.5 2.0 (9.5) (30.5) 32.0

    Balance sheet (Standalone)Y/E March (` cr) FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15EShare Capital 830 830 830 830 830 830

    Equity 430 430 430 430 430 430

    Preference 400 400 400 400 400 400

    Reserves & Surplus 7,442 8,691 9,972 11,143 11,961 13,045

    Deposits 88,228 105,804 120,804 141,980 159,018 179,690

    - Growth (%) 21.6 19.9 14.2 17.5 12.0 13.0

    Borrowings 657 800 3,783 1,773 1,976 2,225

    Tier 2 Capital 300 1,300 1,090 1,090 1,063 1,036

    Other Liab. & Prov. 3,932 4,293 4,941 6,007 6,680 7,599

    Total Liabilities 101,389 121,718 141,419 162,823 181,527 204,426Cash Balances 7,061 6,878 6,319 7,064 7,156 8,086

    Bank Balances 1,052 1,684 2,494 2,574 3,177 3,577

    Investments 28,268 34,784 37,976 41,805 45,480 48,403

    Advances 62,146 75,250 90,324 105,643 119,376 137,283

    - Growth (%) 20.8 21.1 20.0 17.0 13.0 15.0

    Fixed Assets 1,580 1,606 1,631 1,691 1,828 1,997

    Other Assets 1,282 1,516 2,676 4,046 4,511 5,080

    Total Assets 101,389 121,718 141,419 162,823 181,527 204,426- Growth (%) 20.5 20.1 16.2 15.1 11.5 12.6

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    Ratio AnalysisY/E March FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15EProfitability ratios (%)NIMs 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.1 2.7 2.7Cost to Income Ratio 38.6 36.9 38.7 47.3 49.8 48.2

    RoA 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.8

    RoE 25.6 23.5 20.4 16.1 10.3 12.4

    B/S ratios (%)CASA Ratio 32.2 30.9 30.6 27.6 27.2 27.2

    Credit/Deposit Ratio 70.4 71.1 74.8 74.4 75.1 76.4

    CAR 12.7 13.6 13.5 13.1 12.5 12.0

    - Tier I 11.1 11.0 11.1 10.9 10.5 10.2

    Asset Quality (%)Gross NPAs 0.8 1.0 2.0 3.3 4.1 4.5

    Net NPAs 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.6 2.4

    Slippages 1.1 1.5 2.5 3.2 2.5 2.3

    Loan loss prov. /avg.assets

    0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5

    Provision Coverage 93.6 84.3 70.1 60.1 60.0 62.5

    Per Share Data (`)EPS 35.1 38.8 39.6 35.8 24.9 32.9

    ABVPS 154.7 184.4 210.4 222.2 235.1 261.4

    DPS 6.5 7.5 7.5 6.6 5.0 6.5

    Valuation RatiosPER (x) 2.2 2.0 1.9 2.1 3.1 2.3

    P/ABVPS (x) 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3

    Dividend Yield 8.5 9.8 9.8 8.7 6.6 8.5

    DuPont Analysis (%)NII 3.4 3.6 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.6

    (-) Prov. Exp. 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.6

    Adj. NII 3.0 3.0 2.4 2.2 1.9 2.1

    Treasury 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0

    Int. Sens. Inc. 3.4 3.2 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.1

    Other Inc. 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.6

    Op. Inc. 4.4 4.1 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.7

    Opex 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6

    PBT 2.5 2.4 1.7 1.2 1.0 1.1

    Taxes 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4

    RoA 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.8Leverage (x) 15.3 15.3 15.3 15.5 15.9 16.4

    RoE 25.6 23.5 20.4 16.1 10.3 12.4

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    Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com

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    Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions andtrading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company'sfundamentals.

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    Disclosure of Interest Statement Indian Bank

    1. Analyst ownership of the stock No

    2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No

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    4. Broking relationship with company covered No

    Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)Reduce (-5% to -15%) Sell (< -15%)

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    1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors


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