India’s Opportunity in the UN Decade of Action Presentation by David Ward Secretary General Global New Car Assessment Programme Road Map for Indian Automobile Industry College of Traffic Management, NCR Delhi 3 November 2014

In the major high income countries UN safety standards and consumer information promoted by NCAPs have made cars safer than ever before. This progress is the result of the combination of regulatory push” and “demand pull”. The challenge now is to extend this successful formula to the rapidly motorising regions of Asia, Africa and Latin America. This can be done by promoting both use of UN safety regulations and creating NCAPs.

Car Safety’s Winning Formula: Regulatory Push & Demand Pull

The Decade’s goal is to achieve a 50% reduction in the forecast level of road fatalities by 2020 which would avoid 5 million deaths, 50 million injuries. The Decade has a Global Plan with five pillars: 1. Building Management Capacity 2. Encouraging Safer User Behaviour 3. Building Safer Vehicles 4. Building Safer Roads 5. Improving Post Crash Care For safer vehicles the Decade Plan, inter alia, recommends applying minimum crash test standards and promoting NCAPs in all world regions.

UN Decade of Action 2011-2020

Crash Testing Front & Side Impact Crash tests for front and side impact are the most important passive safety assessment tools used both in legislation and consumer information programmes. The frontal impact simulates a car to car crash in which the test vehicle hits a barrier that replicates the soft front end of the other vehicle. The impact is ‘offset’ with a 40% overlap as many frontal crashes occur in this configuration. The UN Reg. 94 test speed is 56 km/h whilst NCAP tests usually use 64 km/h (the speed at which fatalities are most common). The side impact test uses a trolley that hits the vehicle just above the door sill area at 50 km/h.

NCAPs Promoting Safer Cars Worldwide NCAPs create a ‘market for safety’ by raising consumer awareness and helping auto makers to sell safer cars. The first NCAP was launched in 1978 in the USA. There are now nine NCAPs in Asia, Australia, Europe, Latin America and the USA. NCAPs rate cars with stars awarded based on scores recorded from instrumented dummies during the test. Some NCAPs also include crash avoidance systems, such as ESC . NCAPs are more stringent than legislative tests. For example a 5 star Euro NCAP car has been estimated to have a 36% lower fatality risk than a car that meets the UN front and side impact Regulations.

UN Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations

The Global Plan of the Decade supports wider application of the most important global standards available under the 1958 and 1998 agreements of the UN World Forum for Harmonisation of Vehicle Regulations (WP29). These are: Reg. 14 Seat belt anchorages Reg. 16 Safety belts & restraints Reg. 44 Child restraints Reg. 94 Frontal collision Reg. 95 Lateral collision Reg.13H (GTR 8) Electronic stability control Reg.127 (GTR 9) Pedestrian protection

On 18-19 November 2015 Brazil will host the 2nd Global Ministerial Conference on Road Safety to review progress of the UN Decade of Action. Global NCAP is preparing a ‘Road Map 2020 for Safer Cars’ which will be launched ahead of the 2015 Ministerial. It will focus on the challenge of improving car safety in the rapidly motorising middle income countries. Global NCAP will strongly recommend a phased (2015 to 2020) application to all new cars of the most important UN Regs. & GTRs , or equivalent national standards where applicable.

Global NCAP Road Map 2020

Global NCAP’s 2015 Road Map Regulatory Recommendations

Road Map for Safer Cars 2020

All New Car Models All Cars Produced

Stage 1 - UN Regulations* for: Frontal Impact (No.94) Side Impact (No.95) Seat Belts Anchorages and Seat Belts (Nos.14 & 16)

31 December 2015

31 December 2018

Stage 2 - UN Regulations* for: ESC (No. 13H or GTR No.8) Pedestrian Protection (No.127 or GTR No.9)

31 December 2018

31 December 2020

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Chassis Systems Control

Crash Avoidance: Global Overview of ABS/ESC Installation Rates

ESC

ABS

Passenger cars & LCV <6 Info: ESP contains ABS Based on production

72%

67%

59%

19%

23%

28%

2020

2017

2014

World

86%

30%

4%

14%

70%

96%

2020

2017

2014

Brazil

94%

92%

84%

4%

6%

12%

2020

2017

2014

Europe

71%

57%

19%

21%

36%

48%

2020

2017

2014

Russia

90%

87%

74%

7%

9%

19%

2020

2017

2014

Japan

57%

49%

32%

33%

39%

49%

2020

2017

2014

China

9%

5%

4%

43%

39%

26%

2020

2017

2014

India 100%

100%

100%

30%

44%

52%

93%

96%

97%

96%

98%

98%

81%

88%

90%

67%

93%

92%

87%

90%

91%

98%

97%

95%

2%

2%

4%

2020

2017

2014

North America 99%

99%

100%

Global NCAP’s Indian Road Map Recommendations for Safer Cars

Global NCAP welcomes the proposed initiative for a Bharat New Car Assessment Programme (BNVP) which is a very positive development. • We recommend that the BNVP be established as non-mandatory and used only

for consumer information. The frontal impact test speed should follow the best practice of other NCAPs and be at 64 km/h.

• We recommend that India applies UN regulation 94 (the 56 km/h frontal test )

and Regulation 95 to all new car designs by the end of 2015, and then to all cars in production by 2018.

• We further recommend that India mandates Anti Lock Brakes and Electronic

Stability Control in a similar phased manner so that they are both mandatory in all new car models by 2020.

Thank you for your attention