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INDONESIA INVESMENT FORUM 2018indo · PDF filescenario of transportation financing needs set...

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  • 3rd INDONESIA INVESMENT FORUM 2018

    PROF. WIHANA KIRANA JAYA,

    Special Advisor to the Minister of Transportation on Economic and Investment Affairs

  • OUTLINE

    WHERE DO WE

    WANT TO GO?

    CURRENT INDONESIAS MEGA PROJECT

    General Information How To Invest

    In Transport Sector

  • 3

    GENERAL INFORMATION

    1

  • INDONESIAS POTENTIAL ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH

    % of Economic Global Growth (2017-2019) (estimated)

    Source: visualcapitalist.com

    Over next three years, it is estimated that the $75 trillion global economy will

    expand by another %6,5 trillion.

    Indonesia will account for 2.5% of global GDP growth in 2017-2019 (estimated)

    The World Bank projects growth for the country at 5.3% this year, and 5.5% for the

    next two years.

  • Why Indonesia ?

    Indonesia has shown progressive achievement in the past years

    I do esias Ease of Doi g Business Rank, 2013-2017

    2013 2 2014

    Target in 2019

    Rank 40

    2017

  • Transport and Economic Development

  • INDONESIA GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS

    Global

    Competitiveness

    Index

    Ease of Doing Business (EODB)

    Logistics

    Performance Index

    (LPI) 2016

  • INDONESIAS INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT

    GENERAL INFORMATION

  • Indonesia elected as a

    member of the Council

    of IMO category C.

    Period2018-2019

    Operation of Eid

    Lebaran Guyun Rukun

    2017

    13 Sea Toll Route

    I. INDONESIAS INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT

    INTERNASIONAL DOMESTIC

    The Global

    Competitiveness Index

    rating Indonesia is

    INCREASED

    Transportation

    Contribution to GDP (%)

    2017 Quarter II: 5.48%

    Dwelling time

    decrease in 4

    major ports

    Improved ship-based

    digital services

    (Inaportnet)

    Transportation Of

    Cargo Ship Achieved world class flights.

    Flight safety audit results 81.15%

    2nd place for flight safety in ASEAN

  • I. INDONESIAS INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT ON

    SUB SECTOR

    LAND

    RAILWAY

    PORT

    AIRPORT

    The o stru tio of the rail ay li e . KM I pro e e t & Reha ilitatio of KA Trails . KM Co stru tio of Statio UNIT

    Sea Port De elop e t Co stru tio of Pio eer Ships u its Co ti ued Co stru tio of Pio eer Ships u its

    Co stru tio of Ne Airport Airports

    URBAN

    TRANSPORTATION

    Ter i al Reha ilitatio Lo atio s Port Crossi gs Lo atio s Ship Crossi g UNIT

    Sea Toll Program:

    Cement price in Wamena decrease

    40%

    Rice price in Biak decrease 29%

    Progress 77,31 % (8 des 17) Target Operation on Juny

    2018 PALEMBANG

    Develop e t of Settle e t Tra sport JRCONNEXION Regio s Develop e t of Area Traffi Co trol S ste ATCS Corridor phase I Pro ure e t of Natio al Road Safet Fa ilities 6 Seg e ts I tegratio of Bulk Pu li Tra sport S ste SAUM Masterpla of Top Dukuh TOD Pre iu Airport Tra sport Servi e 9 Fleet servi g 6 Routes Spe ial La e of Pu li Tra sport LKAU TRAYEK Li e si g O li e Re t Tra sportatio U its

  • 11

    WHERE DO WE WANT TO GO?

    CONNECTING INDONESIA THROUGH INTEGRATED TRANSPORT

    NETWORK

    2

  • CONNECTING INDONESIA THROUGH INTEGRATED

    TRANSPORT NETWORK

  • Access to various modes of transportation

    Prioritizing green public transport

    Integrated with technology

    Featured Program:

    TOURISTS DESTINATIONS CREATE NEW BALI OTHER MOT PROJECT

    POSSIBILITY COOPERATION BETWEEN INDONESIA-MALAYSIA

    SMART

    INFRASTRUCTURE

  • 14

    CURRENT INDONESIAS MEGA PROJECT TO STRENGTHENING CONNECTIVITY

    3

  • TOURISTS DESTINATIONS

    15

    TOBA LAKE THOUSAND ISLAND CAPE KELAYANG

    CAPE LESUNG BOROBUDUR MOUNT BROMO REGION MANDALIKA LABUAN BAJO

    WAKATOBI MOROTAI

    SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE (SEZ)

    NATIONAL STRATEGIC TOURISM ZONE (NSTZ)

    DESTINATIONS ADDED BY MINISTRY OF TRANSPORTATION

    BANYUWANGI

    RAJA AMPAT

    WAMENA

  • KUALANAMU International Hub Airport

    Advantages

    The second largest airport in west side of Indonesia after

    Soekarno-Hatta International Airport

    Connected by the North Sumatera Toll Road

    The first Airport in Indonesia with direct rail link to /from

    city center (Medan City)

    Official 4-Star Skytrax Airport.

    1

    2

    3

    4

    Expected to Become the new international transit center in south

    east Asia

    5

    II. CURRENT INDONESIAS MEGA PROJECT

  • KUALA TANJUNG Port

    II. CURRENT INDONESIAS MEGA PROJECT

    The development of Kuala Tanjung International

    Hub Port is one of Indonesia National Strategic

    Projects.

    Advantages:

    Port Location proximity to the international shipping route and will serve one of the biggest market in the world.

    One of Indonesia National Strategic Projects The integration between industrial zone and port. Therefore,

    increase accessibility for goods in and goods out.

    To be a key import/eksport gate way for the Sumatera Economic Corridor

    It has appropriated access to deep water

  • BALI UTARA International Airport

    II. CURRENT INDONESIAS MEGA PROJECT

    PROJECT COST DURATION PROJECT RETURN PPP STRUCTURE

    Rp 50 Trillion 30 50 years 14-17 % (DBFOM)

    Debt to Equity Ratio : 70 % Debt : 30 % equity PJPK MoT

    Alternative Ngurah

    Rai airport that has

    been over capacity

    Bali

    Utara

  • CREATE NEW BALI Lake Toba, North Sumatra Tanjung Lesung, Banten Kepulauan Seribu, Jakarta Tanjung Kelayang Beach, Bangka Belitung Borobudur Temple, Central Java Mount Bromo, East Java

    Mandalika, West Nusa Tenggara Labuan Bajo, East Nusa Tenggara Wakatobi, South Sulawesi Morotai Island, North Maluku

  • MOT TO SUPPORT 10 NEW BALI JAKARTA SURABAYA RAILWAY (EKSPRESS TRAIN)

    Description

    Scenario B: Adding One

    Track (single narrow

    gauge)

    Scenario C: Adding One

    Track (single standard

    gauge)

    Scenario D: Build a New

    Track (double standard

    gauge)

    Scenario D-1: Build a

    New Track (single

    standard gauge)

    B. Jakarta-Surabaya C. Jakarta-Surabaya D. Jakarta-Surabaya D1. Jakarta-Surabaya

    Design Speed 160 kpj 220 kpj 260 kpj 260 kpj

    investation Rp. 106,3 T Rp. 121,67 T Rp. 182,20 T Rp. 134,87 T

    Cooperation Scheme OM Sarana

    KPBU dg VGF 49% plus

    Dukungan Pemerintah 20% KPBU dg VGF 49% KPBU dg VGF 49%

    Passanger of

    EXPRES Train 3.351.735 People/Yr (2030) 5.499.900 People/Yr (2030) 17.172.754 People/Yr (2030) 17.172.754 People/Yr (2030)

    TREM SURABAYA No. Information Cost (Rp)

    Total 5,978,739,388,891

    cost per Km (17 Km) 351,690,552,288

    LRT MEDAN Total Investation:

    $ 302 Million

  • HOW TO INVEST IN TRANSPORT SECTOR

    4

  • KEBUTUHAN PEMBIAYAAN

    INFRASTRUKTUR TRANSPORTASI TAHUN 2015-2019

    55

    232

    101 71

    30

    Darat KA Laut Udara BPSDM0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    278

    169

    91

    563

    182

    KA Perkotaan ASDP Laut Udara

    Transportation infrastructure funding requirement of Rp.1,283 trillion was obtained through macro approach based on assumption

    of economic growth in 2019: 6-8%, inflation 2.5-4,5%, interest rate 4-5-6,5%. In addition, the calculation estimate also considers the

    scenario of transportation financing needs set forth in the Master Plan, Blueprint and Urban Transport Background Review.

    Sumber : Bappenas, 2015

    TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE

    FUNDING NEEDS

    Rp. 1,283 T

    (non-road)

    Rp. 491 T

    (non-road)

    Estimated Funding Capability APBN in

    accordance with RPJMN Year 2015-2019

    GAP

    Private Investment

    State Owned Enterprise

    PPP

    There is an investment financing gap of Rp.

    791 Trillion for the period 2015-2019

    TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE FUNDING NEEDS 2015 2019

  • BUDGET POLICY FOR TRANSPORTATION DEVELOPMENT

    GOVERMENT

    INVESTMENT

    STATE OWNED ENTERPRISES (SOE)

    INVESTMENT

    PRIVATE INVESTMENT

    commercially visible not commercially visible

    PRIVATE SECTOR

    KPBU

    JV BUMN

    (BROWNFIELD/GREENFIELD)

    BUMN

    APBN/APBD

    ALTERNATIVE

  • How To Invest In Transport Sector

  • 25

    PPP

    Conventional PPP

    Prepare by The Government

    PPP Strategic Alliance

    Government and Private

    Transport Investment

    APBN and Public Sector Expenditure

    Basic infrastructure, non-commercial, non-

    cost-recovery, economically viable,

    financially unfeasible, nationally strategic,

    access to underdeveloped and rural areas, enhances

    national and local economies and is a

    public service obligation (PSO)

    PPP

    Basic, commercial and non-commercial infrastructure, potential cost-

    recovery, economically feasible, financially feasible or inadequate, can be

    feasible where there is government

    support, national strategic, access to

    underdeveloped and rural areas, improving

    national and local economies ,

    supporting logistics and economic

    corridors

    Pure Private Investm

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