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© Sebastian Weindel Photographie Inequality and Fairness of Political Reforms December 8-9, 2016 Funded by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft DFG
© Sebastian Weindel Photographie
Inequality and Fairnessof Political Reforms
December 8-9, 2016
Funded by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
DFG
The SFB 884 “Political Economy of Reforms” is located at the University of Mannheim.It is funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG) for the period 2010-2017 with theopportunity for extension to 2021.The center’s researchers come from disciplines as diverse as economics, political science,sociology, statistics and computer science.
Content
Program ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….……2Keynote Speakers……………………………………………………………………………………………………………….7Scientific Committee………………………………………………………………………………………………………….8Conference Venue………………………………………………………………………………………………………………9Organizational Committee………………………………………………………………………………………………..11
Thursday, 8th December 09:30 – 10:00
Welcome & Opening Remarks Rittersaal
Thomas König, SFB 884 Speaker Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden, President of the University of Mannheim
10:00 – 11:00
Keynote 1: “Institutions and Trust – Does Trust Cause Lasting Improvements in Economic Outcomes?”
Ernst Fehr (University of Zurich) Chair: Markus Frölich (University of Mannheim)
11:00 – 11:30
Coffee Break Gartensaal
11:30 – 13:00
Panel 1: “Political Representation in Developing Countries” Rittersaal
Chair: Sabine Carey (University of Mannheim) Discussant: Jason Eichorst (University of Mannheim)
“Out of League Grassroots Democracy in India” Sayan Kundu (MIT/J-PAL North America) Jayanti Singh (University of Delhi)
“How Presidents Answer the Call of International Capital” Christian Arnold (University of Mannheim) David Doyle (University of Oxford), Nina Wiesehomeier (IE School of International Relations)
“Why do political dynasties persist? Theory and Evidence from India”
Dominic Ponattu (University of Mannheim) Siddharth George (Harvard University)
Panel 2: “Social Preferences & Fairness” EW 154
Chair: Thomas Gschwend (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Verena Fetscher, Moritz Drechsel-Grau, Marcel Preuß (University of Mannheim)
“Measuring Trust in Institutions: A-Lab-in-the-Field Study Using Time Preference Elicitation”
Maria Isabel Santana (University of Mannheim) Stefan Penczynski (University of Mannheim)
“Fairness Views and Political Preferences – A Representative Online Experiment”
Sander Renes (Erasmus University Rotterdam) Daniel Müller (University of Innsbruck)
“Fairness in a Winner-Takes-All Economy”
Erik Ø. Sørensen (Norwegian School of Economics NHH) Björn Bartling, Alexander W. Cappelen, Mathias Ekström, Bertil Tungodden (NHH)
Panel 3: “Stakeholders & Liberalization” EW 145
Chair: Nicole Baerg (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Jakob Willisch (University of Mannheim)
“Local Union Organization and Lawmaking in the U.S. Congress”
Michael Becher (University of Konstanz) Daniel Stegmueller (Duke University), Konstantin Käppner (University of Konstanz)
“The Distributional Consequences of Preferential Trade Liberalization: Firm-Level Evidence”
Leonardo Baccini (McGill University) Pablo M. Pinto (University of Houston), Stephen Weymouth (Georgetown University)
“The Global Diffusion of Inequality: US Multinationals as Exporters of the ‘Winner-Take-All-Economy’ ”
Lukas Linsi (London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE) Renira Angeles (Central European University), Jonathan Hopkin (LSE)
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13:00 – 14:00
Lunch Break Gartensaal
14:00 – 15:30
Panel 1: “Public Support for Policies” Rittersaal
Chair: Katja Möhring (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Verena Fetscher, Thomas Grauenhorst, Christopher Buß (University of Mannheim)
“The Effect of Immigration on Support for Redistribution: Survey Experiments in Three European Countries”
Elias Naumann (University of Mannheim) Lukas Stötzer (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
“Public Support for Social Assistance Benefits: The Role of (Mis)Information on Benefit amounts”
Bart Meuleman (University of Leuven) Koen Abts (University of Leuven)
“The Origins of Sociotropic Policy Preferences”
Roman Liesch (University of St. Gallen) Michael M. Bechtel (Washington University, St. Louis)
Panel 2: “Fairness & Political Reforms” EW 154
Chair: Ulrich Wagner (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Daniel Müller (University of Innsbruck), Sander Renes (Erasmus University Rotterdam), Valerio Dotti (University of Mannheim)
“Intergenerational Justice Considering Social Preferences – Applying Social Contract Theory to the Reform of the German Pension Insurance System”
Gerrit Reeker (University of Freiburg)
“Content and Coordination Censorship in Authoritarian Regimes”
Galina Zudenkova (University of Mannheim) Maxim Ananyev (University of California, Los Angeles), Maria Petrova (University Pompeu Fabra)
“Just Constitutional Reform and the Constitutional Fairness of Post-Constitutional Reform”
Bernhard Neumärker (University of Freiburg)
Panel 3: “Inequality & Effectiveness” EW 145
Chair: Marc Debus (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Sebastian Juhl and Tilko Swalve (University of Mannheim)
“Government Effectiveness, Middle Class and Poverty Dynamics in the EU. A Multilevel Analysis”
Bruno Bosco (University of Milan-Bicocca) Ambra Poggi (University of Milan-Biocca)
“Austerity for the win? The Effect of Fiscal Consolidation on Political Support for the Government”
Thomas Sattler (University of Geneva) Evelyne Hübscher and Achim Kemmerling (Central European University)
“Inequality in an OLG Economy with Heterogeneous Cohorts and Pension Systems”
Joanna Tyrowicz (University of Warsaw) Marcin Bielecki and Marcin Waniek (University of Warsaw), Krzysztof Mararski (National Bank of Poland)
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15:30 – 16:00
Coffee Break Gartensaal
16:00 – 17:30
Panel 1: “Inequality & Public Preferences” Rittersaal
Chair: Elias Naumann (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Nate Breznau, Hyeonho Hahm, Nick Lin (University of Mannheim)
“Ignoring Economics: Why rich countries find it easier to expand welfare states”
Bastian Becker (Central European University Budapest)
“Public Opinion towards the Rights and Responsibilities of the Unemployed: A Vignette Study on Perceived Deservingness of Target Groups in Germany”
Christopher Buß (University of Mannheim)
“Trust, Public Opinion, and Welfare State Reform”
Julian Garritzmann (University of Konstanz) Erik Neimanns and Marius R. Busemeyer (University of Konstanz)
Panel 2: “Distributional Preferences” EW 154
Chair: Hans Peter Grüner (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Tobias Etzel, Paul Schäfer, Inken Töwe (University of Mannheim)
“Distributional Preferences and Social Groups”
Daniel Müller (University of Innsbruck)
“Relative Earnings and Fairness”
Marcel Preuß (University of Mannheim)
“The Effects of the Exposure to the Tax-Benefit System on Shaping Preferences for Redistribution”
Javier Olivera (Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research) Francesco Andreoli (Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research)
17:30 – 18:00
Coffee Break Gartensaal
18:00 – 19:00
Keynote 2: “The Demand for Redistribution in Industrialised Democracies: Relative Income, Parochial Altruism and Ethnic Heterogeneity”
David Rueda (University of Oxford) Chair: Bernhard Ebbinghaus (University of Mannheim)
19:00 – 22:30
Conference Dinner (invitation only)
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Friday, 9th December 09:00 – 10:00
Keynote 3: “Studying Political Attitudes as Survey Methodology Transforms”
Jon Krosnick (Stanford University) Chair: Annelies Blom (University of Mannheim)
10:00 – 10:30
Coffee Break Gartensaal
10:30 – 12:00
Panel 1: “Probability & Non-Probability Panel Data” Rittersaal
Chair: Florian Keusch (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Barbara Felderer, Christian Bruch and Vlad Achimescu (University of Mannheim)
“Evaluating Reforms with Data from Probability and Non-Probability Online Panels”
Annelies Blom (University of Mannheim) Daniela Ackermann-Piek, Christian Bruch, Susanne Helmschrott (University of Mannheim), Joseph Sakshaug (University of Manchester)
“Same, Same But Different: Exploring the Influence of Respondents’ IT Affinity on Nonresponse in an Online Survey”
Jessica Herzing (University of Mannheim)
“Combining Probability and Non-Probability Samples for Survey Inference under a Bayesian Framework”
Joseph Sakshaug (University of Manchester) Diego Andres Perez Ruiz, Arkadiusz Wisiniowski (University of Manchester), Annelies Blom (University of Mannheim)
Panel 2: “Inequality & Political Reforms” EW 154
Chair: Andreas Peichl (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Mario Meier, Nils Werhöfer (University of Mannheim), Mathias Dolls (ZEW)
“The Effects of Day Care on Health During Childhood: Evidence by Age”
Gerard J. van den Berg (University of Mannheim) Bettina Siflinger (University of Mannheim)
„Evolutions in Consumption Inequality and Poverty in Greece: The Impact of the Crisis and Austerity Policies“
Georgia Kaplanoglou (University of Athens) Vassilis T. Rapanos (University of Athens)
“Upward Mobility and Legislator Voting Behavior on Education Reforms”
Vigile Marie Fabella (University of Konstanz) Luna Bellani (University of Konstanz)
Panel 3: “Development Assistance & Social Policies in Developing Countries” EW 151
Chair: Friedrich Heinemann (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Zareh Asatryan, Sebastian Blesse (ZEW), Maria Isabel Santana (University of Mannheim)
“Foreign aid and income inequality: Evidence from Sub-saharan Africa”
Hanh Pham (University of Nantes)
“Pro-poor or Political Targeting? An Analysis of Social Assistance in Developing Countries”
Marina Dodlova (University of Passau/GIGA) Anna Giolbas, Jann Lay (German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA))
“Adverse Selection in Micro-Health Insurance Markets: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial in Pakistan”
Andreas Landmann (Paris School of Economics / J-PAL Europe) Torben Fischer and Markus Frölich (University of Mannheim)
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12:00 – 13:00
Lunch Break Gartensaal
13:00 – 14:00
Keynote 4: “Treatment Effect Heterogeneity” Jeffrey Smith (University of Michigan) Chair: Bettina Siflinger (University of Mannheim)
14:00 – 14:30
Coffee Break Gartensaal
14:30 – 16:00
Panel 1: “Nonresponse & Measurement Error in Survey Data” Rittersaal
Chair: Frauke Kreuter (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Ruben Bach, Ulrich Krieger (University of Mannheim)
“Endogeneity and Non-Response Bias in Treatment Evaluation: Nonparametric Identification of Causal Effects by Instruments”
Markus Frölich (University of Mannheim) Hans Fricke and Michael Lechner (University of St. Gallen), Martin Huber (University of Fribourg)
“Is it in the method? Testing five measures of survey representativeness”
Carina Cornesse (University of Mannheim) Tobias Enderle (GESIS), Annelies Blom (University of Mannheim)
“Using Paradata to Explain Attrition in the German Internet Panel”
Peter Lugtig (Utrecht University) Annelies Blom (University of Mannheim)
Panel 2: “Representation & Policymaking” EW 154
Chair: Thomas Bräuninger (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Roni Lehrer, Brittney Bolin (University of Mannheim)
“Committee Chairs and Opposition Agenda Power in Parliamentary Democracies”
Katsunori Seki (University of Mannheim) Thomas König and Nick Lin (University of Mannheim)
“Better for Whom? Explaining Stakeholders’ Policy Demands for a Better Regulation Policy in the European Union”
Adriana Bunea & Raimondas Ibenskas (University of Southhampton)
“The diminishing value of minority representation”
Andreas Wüst (Mannheim Centre for European Social Research-MZES) Stefanie Bailer (University of Basel), Christian Breunig (University of Konstanz), Nathalie Giger (University of Geneva)
Panel 3: “Taxation & Inequality” EW 151
Chair: Eckhard Janeba (University of Mannheim) Discussants: Andreas Landmann (Paris School of Economics / J-PAL Europe), Valerio Dotti (University of Mannheim), Laura Seelkopf (European University Institute)
“Learning Dynamics in Tax Bunching at the Kink: Evidence from Ecuador”
Jan Sebastian Nimczik (University of Mannheim) Albrecht Bohne (University of Mannheim)
“Tax Policy and Redistribution in Autocratic and Democratic Regimes, 1820-2013”
Laura Seelkopf (European University Institute) Hanna Lierse (Harvard University)
“Strategic Taxation in Autocracies: Pleasing the Elite or the Masses” Marina Dodlova (University of Passau/GIGA) Viola Lucas (GIGA), Galina Zudenkova (University of Mannheim)
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Keynote Speakers Ernst Fehr (University of Zurich) Ernst Fehr is Professor of Microeconomics and Experimental Economics at the University of Zurich. Currently, he serves as director of the UBS International Center of Economics in Society. Furthermore, he is a former president of the Economic Science Association and of the European Economic Association. His research focuses on the proximate patterns and the evolutionary origins of human altruism and the interplay between social preferences, social norms and strategic interactions. His recent work focuses on the role of bounded rationality in strategic interactions and on the neurobiological foundations of social and economic behavior. Jon A. Krosnick (Stanford University) Jon A. Krosnick is Frederic O. Glover Professor in Humanities and Social Sciences, Professor of Communication, Political Science, and (by courtesy) Psychology at the Stanford University. His research focuses on attitude formation, change, and effects, the psychology of political behavior, and the optimal design of questionnaires used for laboratory experiments and surveys, and survey research methodology more generally. His work was honored with the American Association for Public Opinion Research’s Lifetime Achievement Award.
David Rueda (University of Oxford) David Rueda is Professor of Comparative Politics at the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Oxford and a Fellow of Nuffield College. Furthermore, he is one of the editors of the Socio-Economic Review. His research focuses on comparative political economy, the politics of industrialized democracies and comparative methods. Currently, he is examining the relationship between government partisanship and economic policy in industrialized democracies. Additionally, he is working on projects analyzing the politics of inequality and the influence of institutional configurations over political and economic outcomes. Jeffrey Smith (University of Michigan) Jeffrey Smith is a Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan and has an appointment at the Ford School. His research focuses on experimental and non-experimental methods for the evaluation of interventions, with particular application to social and educational programs. He has consulted to governments in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Australia on evaluation issues.
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Scientific Committee Annelies Blom Annelies Blom is an Assistant-Professor in Methods of Empirical Social Research, in particular Internet Panel Surveys at the University of Mannheim. She is principal investigator of the projects Z1 “German Internet Panel (GIP)” and A8 “Evaluating Political Reforms Using Surveys” at the Collaborative Research Center 884 “Political Economy of Reforms” (SFB 884). In April 2011, she founded “Survex – Survey Methods Consulting” which offers consulting on various aspects of survey methods and statistics. Bernhard Ebbinghaus Bernhard Ebbinghaus holds the Chair in Macrosociology at the School of Social Sciences of the University of Mannheim since 2004. In January 2017, he will take over a position as Professor of Social Policy at the Department of Social Policy and Intervention and Fellow at the Green Templeton College at the University of Oxford. He is principal investigator of the project A6 “Welfare state reform support from below: linking individual attitudes and organized interests in Europe” at the SFB 884. Markus Frölich Markus Frölich is Professor for Econometrics at the University of Mannheim and Visiting Professor for Econometrics at the University of St. Gallen. He is the deputy spokesperson and leader of the projects A9 “Survey mode, survey technology and technology innovations in data collection”, B5 “Robust methods for the evaluation of policy reforms” and B7 “Health insurance, reforms, expectations, and impacts” at the SFB 884. Thomas König Thomas König holds the Chair of Political Science II at the University of Mannheim and focuses on international and legislative politics from a comparative perspective. He is the spokesperson of the SFB 884 and principal investigator of the projects C1 “Legislative reforms and party competition” and C6 “The domestic foundation of governmental preferences over European politics”. Since September 2016, he is lead editor of the American Political Science Review. Bettina Siflinger Bettina Siflinger is research fellow at the Collaborative Research Center 884 “Political Economy of Reforms” and principal investigator of project A9 “Survey mode, survey technology and technology innovations in data collection”. Her research interests are in the fields of applied health economics, labor economics, the economics of aging and applied microeconomics and her work includes the empirical analysis of policy interventions on health, labor force participation, and economic inequality over the life cycle.
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Conference Venue
Conference Rooms
All Keynotes: Rittersaal (Palace, central entry, upper floor)
Lunch & Coffee Breaks: Gartensaal (Palace, central entry, ground floor)
Registration: In front of the Gartensaal
Panel 1: Rittersaal Panel 2: EW 154 Panel 3:
8.12.: EW 145 9.12.: EW 151
EW = Ehrenhof West / Western Courtyard
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Getting to the University of Mannheim
Mannheim's main station is in close reach of the University of Mannheim and enables access to ICE trains. The trams number 1 and 5 take you to the university where you can get out at the stop “Universität". You can get your own timetable here: www.vrn.de
By foot
The university is a 10 minute walk from the main station: Leave the main station in direction of the town center. Cross the tram lines and turn left. Follow the road straight on for about 300m passing a car park on the way, continue to the end of the road. Here you will come across a creme-coloured house with blue window-frames. Turn right in front of this house and go straight on until you get to a multi-lane road, the Bismarckstraße. Taking a left turn and walking past two blocks of houses at the Bismarckstraße you will reach the university castle directly. Pass the east wing of the castle until you get to the center of the castle with the large courtyard (“Ehrenhof”) in front of you. The Rittersaal/Gartensaal and thereby the conference registration are located at the center entrance (“Mittelbau”). For more details, please have a look at the map above.
By car
By car the university can be reached via the A6, leaving the motorway at the exit "Mannheim Mitte". After the planetarium follow the signs to the left indicating "Universität". After passing the main train station you will lead you to the baroque palace which accomodates large parts of the university. The main entrance of the university lies in the east wing, the first wing coming into sight driving along the Bismarckstraße. Unfortunately the university does not have a car park for visitors. You can park your car in the multi-storey car park directly by the Bismarckstraße next to the west wing of the baroque palace or in the car park in N2.
By plane
Mannheim has got a "city airport" with direct connections to and from Berlin and Hamburg. Frankfurt International Airport is to be reached via train within 40 minutes time.
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Contact Details
Address: Sonderforschungsbereich 884 University of Mannheim L13, 17 68131 Mannheim
Mail: [email protected] Web: reforms.uni-mannheim.de Facebook: facebook.com/PoliticalEconomyOfReforms
Organizational Committee Marina Jesse SFB Office Administration Tel.: +49 (0) 621-181-3450
Margarita Maklakova SFB Management Tel.: +49 (0) 621-181-3442
Pauline Dukatz Student Assistant
Lea Pradella Student Assistant
WiFi Internet Access The University of Mannheim is part of the Eduroam WiFi network. Those who do not have Eduroam access will be provided with a conference password.
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SFB 884 RESEARCH PROGRAM
The Goal
The aim of this Collaborative Research Center is to gain novel insights into the constraints onpolitical reforms in welfare states. To this end, the multidisciplinary Center brings together morethan 40 senior and junior researchers from economics, political science, sociology, andcomputer science. These projects hosted at the Center address various aspects of the politicaleconomy of reforms, including individual attitudes on reforms and the aggregation of theseattitudes into organized interests (project group A), the context and spatial dimension ofreforms in welfare states (project group B), and the political process of reform making with afocus on the role of political parties (project group C).
Interdisciplinary Approach
The research projects share the common approach of evaluating competing theoretical modelsfrom a political economy perspective. Through interdisciplinary cooperation, the Centerpromotes research that empirically evaluates to what extent actors (citizens, interest groups,political parties, governments) rationally evaluate reforms based on their available informationand to what extent they fail to fully understand the consequences of complex reform proposals.The research findings will have important implications for both the scientific understanding ofreform-making and the practical advice for policy makers.
Methodological Rigour
The Collaborative Research Center stands for a rigorous methodological approach in studyingreform making and the projects involved aim to overcome the terminological blurrinesssurrounding the term reform. Empirically, the projects avoid the selection bias generated by thetendency to focus on reform failures rather than on both failures and success. Since theempirical evaluation of competing views of reform-making is a challenging econometricendeavour, the Center promotes the development of novel econometric tools for the analysis ofcomplex decisions involving multiple issues and actors with changing positions over time. TheData Center of the Research Center collects and manages the vast amount of quantitative dataon reform-making in Germany and other welfare states.
Collaborative Research Center "Political Economy of Reforms" (SFB 884)University of Mannheim | L13, 15-17 | 68131 Mannheim | GermanyPhone: +49 621 181-3442 | [email protected] | facebook.com/PoliticalEconomyOfReforms
