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InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2

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InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2 (Issue 7 | Volume 2 | 2013 )
6
Financial focus Weekly Newsletter InFINeeti ISSUE 7 2013 VOLUME 2 TOP STORIES….…........1 MARKET ACTIVTY .....2 ECONOMICS ....... …... 3 TERM OF THE WEEK ….4 TRADING CALLS ..…….5 A one stop guide to know about all the recent happenings in the finance world TOP STORIES : INDIA RAJYA SABHA CLEARS COMPANIES BILL The much-awaited Companies Bill aimed at protecting the interest of employees and small investors, was passed in the Rajya Sabha on Thursday amid much din. The Lok Sabha had passed the Companies Bill in 2012. Corporate affairs minis- ter Sachin Pilot said the legislation was progressive, forward-looking, encourages more disclosures and better governance. "After 100 years, this is the second time that a new companies law has been legislated," he said. Around 193 recommen- dations have been included in the Companies Bill. The new Companies Bill also paves the way for early winding up of entities and a quick merger process. Financial focus SERVICES PMI FALLS TO LOWEST SINCE APRIL 2009 Services PMI contracted to 47.9 pts in July from 51.7 pts in June on drop in new biz on weak economic sentiment, hurting chances of recovery. Companies in India's vast services sector suffered a fall-off in activity for the first time in near- ly two years in July, according to a survey released on Monday, hurting chances for a recovery in growth in Asia's largest economy. The latest PMI is the first time since October 2011 the headline index has fallen below the 50 mark that divides growth from contraction, and the lowest since April 2009, dashing hopes of a quick turnaround for Asia's third-largest economy. ECONOMIST IS TAPPED TO RUN INDIA'S CENTRAL BANK Raghuram Rajan, a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund who gave advance warning of the 2008 financial crisis, will run the Reserve Bank of India for the next three years. The University of Chicago professor warns that he has no "magic wand" to make India's economic problems go away quickly. As an adviser to the Finance Ministry, Rajan has suggested the issuance of bonds denominated in foreign currencies to strengthen India's ability to support the ru- pee.
Transcript
Page 1: InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2

Financial focus Weekly Newsletter

InFINeeti

ISSUE 7 2013 VOLUME 2

TOP STORIES….…........1 MARKET ACTIVTY ….....2

ECONOMICS ....... …... 3

TERM OF THE WEEK ….4 TRADING CALLS ..…….5

A o n e s t o p g u i d e t o k n o w a b o u t a l l t h e r e c e n t h a p p e n i n g s i n t h e f i n a n c e w o r l d

TOP STORIES : INDIA

RAJYA SABHA CLEARS COMPANIES BILL

The much-awaited Companies Bill aimed at protecting the interest of employees

and small investors, was passed in the Rajya Sabha on Thursday amid much din.

The Lok Sabha had passed the Companies Bill in 2012. Corporate affairs minis-

ter Sachin Pilot said the legislation was progressive, forward-looking, encourages

more disclosures and better governance. "After 100 years, this is the second time

that a new companies law has been legislated," he said. Around 193 recommen-

dations have been included in the Companies Bill. The new Companies Bill also

paves the way for early winding up of entities and a quick merger process.

Financial focus

SERVICES PMI FALLS TO LOWEST SINCE APRIL 2009

Services PMI contracted to 47.9 pts in July from 51.7 pts in June on drop in new

biz on weak economic sentiment, hurting chances of recovery. Companies in

India's vast services sector suffered a fall-off in activity for the first time in near-

ly two years in July, according to a survey released on Monday, hurting chances for a recovery in growth in Asia's largest economy. The latest PMI is the first

time since October 2011 the headline index has fallen below the 50 mark that

divides growth from contraction, and the lowest since April 2009, dashing hopes

of a quick turnaround for Asia's third-largest economy.

ECONOMIST IS TAPPED TO RUN INDIA'S CENTRAL

BANK

Raghuram Rajan, a former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund

who gave advance warning of the 2008 financial crisis, will run the Reserve Bank

of India for the next three years. The University of Chicago professor warns that

he has no "magic wand" to make India's economic problems go away quickly. As an adviser to the Finance Ministry, Rajan has suggested the issuance of bonds

denominated in foreign currencies to strengthen India's ability to support the ru-

pee.

Page 2: InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2

Financial focus Weekly Newsletter

InFINeeti

ASIAN-PACIFIC MARKETS MOUNT MODEST RECOVERY

Most stock markets rose Friday in Asia-Pacific amid cautious trading, reacting to

positive economic reports from China. Japan's Nikkei 225 edged up 0.1%. Hong

Kong's Hang Seng Index gained 0.7%. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 slid 0.2%. China's

Shanghai Composite rose 0.4%. South Korea's Kospi dropped 0.2%. India's Sensex

was up 0.7%.

SENSEX UP 125 PTS,SNAPS 2 DAYS OF LOSSES;RANBAXY UP 28%

Sensex ends at 18789.34, Nifty at 5565.65 helped by surge in Ranbaxy on upbeat

sales in U.S. Metals stocks like Tata Steel & Hindalco gained 5% each. Shardul

Kulkarni, senior technical analyst of Angel Broking expects the market should

move from the current levels to around 5,700-5,750, which is a relief rally. He

feels the bounce can last for seven-eight trading sessions, he adds.

TOP STORIES : WORLD JAPAN AIMS TO SLASH BUDGET DEFICIT BY FISCAL 2015

A government forecast suggests Japan might be able to deliver on an international

commitment to halve by fiscal 2015 its primary budget deficit of 6.6% of gross

domestic product from fiscal 2010. The total deficit for the central and regional

governments will decline to 17.1 trillion yen in fiscal 2015, the government says.

The forecast depends on revenue from a planned sales tax increase Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will decide whether to go ahead with the tax increase plan after look-

ing at the April-June GDP data

MEXICO READIES ENERGY REFORM TO ATTRACT PRI-

VATE CAPITAL

Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto said he will present to Congress wide-

ranging reform aimed at bringing private investment into oil, gas and electricity

markets and boosting economic growth. His proposal would amend the constitu-

tion, which prohibits private involvement in the energy sector, lawmakers said The

government's energy reform bill, expected on Wednesday, is expected to open electricity generation to more private participation, while keeping both transmis-

sion and distribution under state control.

AMAZON'S BEZOS TO PAY $250M FOR THE WASHINGTON

POST

The $250 million sale of The Washington Post to Jeff Bezos, founder and CEO of

online retailer Amazon, puts the influential newspaper into the hands of an entre-

preneur described by many as a technological visionary. Bezos immediately as-

sured the publication's employees and readers that while he will bring innovation

to the 135-year-old newspaper, he will safeguard its journalistic traditions. The

deal ends the Graham family's 80-year ownership of the newspaper.

MARKET ACTIVITY

Page 3: InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2

Financial focus Weekly Newsletter

InFINeeti

ECONOMICS GREEK UNEMPLOYMENT RATE REACHES A REC-

ORD 27.6%

Greece, after six years in recession, is seeing 27.6% of its workforce un-employed, another record high. Among those ages 15 to 25, almost two-thirds are jobless. The central bank expects unemployment to peak at

28%, then begin to decline in 2015 .Ordinary Greeks are suffering the aus-

terity imposed by international lenders to slash government debt levels, but only austerity means a downward economic spiral.

ANALYSIS: CARNEY MUST ACT TO ENCOURAGE

BUSINESS LENDING

The most urgent task awaiting Bank of England Governor Mark Carney is making business lending more attractive to financial institutions, according to The Economist. "With the mortgage market in good health, the Funding for Lending scheme that gives banks access to cheap money should be restricted to those that provide fresh loans to firms," the magazine says. "The scheme could also cover more of the outstanding business loans on banks' books. A really radical Mr Carney would buy up pools of business debt.

YES BANK: EGO WAR COSTS PROMOTERS RS.2,000

CR Even as Yes Bank maintains that Shagun Gogia’s nomination is being rejected on professional grounds, the ongoing spat is eroding the bank’s stock value. he Yes Bank Ltd stock has lost at least 40% in the past few weeks, more than double the loss of BSE’s banking index Bankex. Close toRs.8,000 crore worth of investors’ wealth has evaporated, and the two promoters of the bank, Rana Kapoor and the successors of the lateAshok Kapur, have lost around Rs.2,000 crore.

DID YOU KNOW?

The Big Mac Index 2012 :The Big Mac index is burger -based measure of whether currencies are over or undervalued. It comes from the theory of purchasing-power parity, which says that exchange rates should even-tually adjust to make the price of a basket of goods same in each coun-try. Here, the basket contains just one item: the Big Mac hamburger, which is pretty much the same around the world. The index works by calculating the exchange rate that would leave a Big Mac costing the same in each country.

RUPEE AT 60.88/$, UP 42P; POSTS BEST GAIN IN TWO WEEKS

The currency posted its best single-day gain in 2 wks, as hopes of a package

from govt & RBI soon would help bring much needed dollar inflows. “ RBI's

earlier measures have not been sufficient to stop rupee's fall. The news that

finance minister is going to speak soon, especially after the rupee hit the lat-

est record low, is raising hopes for more steps," said Pramod Patil, assistant

vice president, forex and money markets at United Overseas Bank.

Page 4: InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2

Financial focus Weekly Newsletter

InFINeeti

Source : FLIP

Page 5: InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2

Financial focus Weekly Newsletter

InFINeeti

Cipla Period CMP Call Target Stop Loss

1 week 412.7 Buy 425 405

Avneet’s Call

Cipla Q1 net profit rose by 10%, revenue jumped by 19% higher than

analysts estimation. Its results were very good from both topline and

bottom line perspective. There was a huge build up in Open Interest on

the long side with huge increase in volume, signifying a strong up

move. It has also crossed its 20 DMA, 50 DMA & 100 DMA with

strong volumes strengthening the possibility of breakout on the upside.

Apollo Tyres

Period CMP Call Target Stop Loss

1 week 61.6 Buy 65 60.4

Apollo Tyres Q1 net up rose higher-than-expected 20% to Rs 166cr .

Revenues from domestic and South Africa were largely flat while Eu-

rope's revenues increased to Rs 726.3 crore from Rs 654.54 crore Y-o-

Y. Lower cost of rubber also added to strong bottom line growth.

Though there is lack of clarity on the impact on its B/L sheet due to

acquisition of Cooper Tyres, good results may give some respite to

already much beaten down stock (discount of 35-40% than its fair val-

ue). The high % of Deliverables (56%) than 30 day average of 38%,

with formation of Bullish Harami candle on daily chart may signify a

reversal in the trend.

Maruti Suzuki Period CMP Call Target Stop Loss

1 week 1385 Buy 1415/20 1360

Maruti had posted strong Q1 results with net profit jumping 49% to Rs

632cr, but due to the strong bearish market it was trading very slug-

gishly but was holding on to its strong support of 1300-1320. Now with

the market closing letting off its downward steam on Thursday, it

showed a strong up move breaking upward from its trading range of

some days of 1290-1320. There is accumulation happening in the coun-

ter, and the stock has hust closed below its 20 DMA of 1393, above

which it may rally to its next resistance level of 1450 in short term

Page 6: InFINeeti Newsletter August Week 2

Financial focus Weekly Newsletter

InFINeeti

Bhushan’s Call

Gujarat Gas Co Ltd

Period CMP Call Target Stop Loss

1 week 195.40 Buy 203 188

Gujarat Gas Q2 Net jumped 91% to Rs 101 crore which beat ana-

lyst expectations. The stock has formed a big green candle with a

huge upmove and broke its strong resistance of 165 with ease. It

has broken its 20 DMA of 189.5 with high volumes, and only buy-

ers were available in NSE as it had hit upper circuit on Thursday

due to its excellent results. RSI is still around 48 signifying that

buying may not still be over.

STCI

Period CMP Call Target Stop Loss

1 week 119.15 Buy 126 114

STCI has crossed 20 DMA of 88.85 & 100 DMA of 104 amid high

volumes. The three white soldiers candle formation on daily charts

confirms the uptrend, and the stock had hit the upper circuit on

Thursday session with only buyers on NSE. Government has al-

lowed 20 lac tons of wheat export and will be executed by

state owned entities viz; STC/MMTC etc. Companies which are

exporting will remain insulated from rupee depreciation against US

dollars. It is expected to post strong Q1 results on Aug 13.

Wipro

Period CMP Call Target Stop Loss

1 week 447.90 Sell 425 460

The further steps taken by RBI for strengthening of rupee by tight-

ening liquidity will bring about correction in IT stocks which have

rallied to much higher levels in past couple weeks. A formation of

Doji in Wipro signifies weakening of the uptrend. If the stock

closes in red on Monday, it would signify a reverse in the trend

with the correction coming to the tune of 30-40 Rs i.e Rs 400-410,

as it will get immediate support at 400 levels.

Avneet Bhulania and Bhushan Kanathe are 2nd year students of IIFT (Kolkata campus)

Disclaimer : InFINeeti and IIFT do not take any responsibility regarding the authenticity of above calls. Please consult your financial

advisor before taking any investment decisions

Stock Name Call Target Price

Financial Tech Sell 120 TARGET HIT Hexaware Tech Buy 124

Last Week’s Stock Calls that hit

their target levels

InFINeeti Team

Aakanksha Hajela | Bhushan Kanathe| Kunal Maheshwari| Vaibhav Garg| Md. Umair Ansari


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