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Registration Number 160128822
Family Name Zhang First Name Lisong
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2
The relationship between marital status and health
among elder: evidence from the English Longitudinal
Study of Ageing (ELSA)
A study submitted in partial fulfilment
of the requirements for the degree of
Msc Information Management
at
THE UNIVERSITY OF SHEFFIELD
by
LISONG ZHANG
September 2017
3
Abstract
Background
The previous studies suggested that marital status is associated with health outcomes. In general, married
people are healthier than unmarried people.
Aims
This research aimed to examine the association between marital status and health of old people; to test
whether the marital status is a risk factor for health. In addition, how the impact of marital status changes over
time will be tested by longitudinal analysis.
Methods
This study is conducted by using data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing(ELSA). The Chi-square
test was used to test whether marital status is statistically associated with health outcomes. Bivariate logistic
regression and multivariate logistic regression models are used to test the risk factors for older people’s health.
Results
The results showed that being married are strong risk factors for long-standing illness, mobility difficulties,
ADL and IADL difficulties, and depression. The longitudinal analysis successfully showed the impact of
marital status on health were becoming significant over time. In addition, social participation and exercising
are also strong risk factors for health. In most cases, people had a certain degree of social participation and
exercise have better health condition than people did not.
Conclusions
This study had concluded that marital status does have the impact on health outcomes, especially for the
mental health condition and physical function. As people grow older, being married is becoming more and
more important for their health. Further study required to explore the health outcomes and covariates to gain a
more comprehensive view of the impact of marital status on health.
Acknowledgements
I would like to thank Dr. Laura Sbaffi for her help during my study. Thanks to her support and patience, I can
manage to finish my dissertation properly.
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Contents
Abstract .......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 3
Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 3
Chapter 1: Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................... 7
1.1 The context of the study ..................................................................................................................................................................... 7
1.1.2 Definition of health ........................................................................................................................................................... 8
1.2 Research aims and objectives ........................................................................................................................................................... 9
Chapter 2: Literature review .................................................................................................................................................................... 10
2.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
2.2 Context ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
2.2.1 Ageing society ......................................................................................................................................................................... 10
2.2.2 The association between health and social relationships ............................................................................................... 10
2.3 The association between marital status and health ...................................................................................................................... 11
2.3.1 Married people are healthier than unmarried people ...................................................................................................... 11
2.3.2 The Impact of Marriage on old people’s health ............................................................................................................... 12
2.3.3 The impact of marriage on disability, mortality, and morbidity .................................................................................. 12
2.3.4 The reason why marriage benefits health .......................................................................................................................... 13
2.3.5 Selection and protection hypothesis ................................................................................................................................... 14
2.3.5.1 Selection hypothesis. ................................................................................................................................................. 14
2.3.5.2 Protection hypothesis ................................................................................................................................................ 14
2.3.6 Variations in unmarried groups ........................................................................................................................................... 16
2.3.7 Gender difference ................................................................................................................................................................... 16
2.4 An Overview of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) .................................................................................... 17
2.4.1 Health predictors in ELSA ................................................................................................................................................... 17
2.4.2 Health behaviours and marital status ................................................................................................................................. 17
2.4.3 The associations between health and physical activities ............................................................................................... 18
2.4.4 Factors that are associated with health outcomes ............................................................................................................ 18
Chapter 3: Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................................... 18
3.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 18
3.2 Research approach ............................................................................................................................................................................ 18
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3.3 The Methodology of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing(ELSA) .............................................................................. 19
3.3.1 Sample design ......................................................................................................................................................................... 19
3.3.2.1 marital status ............................................................................................................................................................... 19
3.4 Statistical analysis ............................................................................................................................................................................... 22
3.4.1 Descriptive statistics .............................................................................................................................................................. 22
3.4.2 Chi-squared test ...................................................................................................................................................................... 22
3.4.3 Logistic regression ................................................................................................................................................................. 22
3.5 Ethical aspects...................................................................................................................................................................................... 23
Chapter 4: Results ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 24
4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 24
4.2 Descriptive Statistics .......................................................................................................................................................................... 24
4.2.1 Group 1 ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 24
4.2.1.1 Gender distribution .................................................................................................................................................... 24
4.2.1.2 Age Distribution ......................................................................................................................................................... 24
4.2.1.3 Marital status distribution ........................................................................................................................................ 25
4.2.1.5 Health outcomes: ....................................................................................................................................................... 27
4.2.2 Descriptive Statistics Results in group 2 and group 3 .................................................................................................... 33
4.2.2.1 Age distribution in group 2 and group 3 ............................................................................................................... 33
4.2.2.2 Gender Distribution in Group 2 and Group 3 ...................................................................................................... 33
4.2.2.3 Marital status distribution in group 2 and group 3 ............................................................................................. 34
4.2.2.4 Health Outcomes Distribution in Group 2 and Group 3 ................................................................................... 34
4.3 Chi-squared test results .................................................................................................................................................................... 36
4.3.1 Chi-squared test results in group 1 ..................................................................................................................................... 36
4.3.1.1. Relationships between marital status and health outcomes ............................................................................. 36
4.4 Logistic Regression Results .............................................................................................................................................................. 41
4.4.1 Bivariate Logistic regression results .................................................................................................................................. 41
4.4.1.1 marital status and health outcomes ........................................................................................................................ 41
4.4.1.2 gender and health outcomes .................................................................................................................................... 44
4.4.1.3 age and health outcomes .......................................................................................................................................... 46
4.4.1.4 qualification and health outcomes .......................................................................................................................... 49
4.4.1.5 social participation and health outcomes .............................................................................................................. 50
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4.4.1.6 Social-economic class ............................................................................................................................................... 52
4.4.1.7 drinking, smoking and exercising .......................................................................................................................... 53
4.4.2 Multivariate model ................................................................................................................................................................. 58
4.4.2.1 self-reported general health ..................................................................................................................................... 58
4.4.2.2 Cardiovascular diseases ............................................................................................................................................ 60
4.4.2.3 Long-standing illness ................................................................................................................................................ 71
4.4.2.4 ADL and IADL difficulties ..................................................................................................................................... 72
4.4.2.5 Mobility difficulties ................................................................................................................................................. 74
4.4.2.6 Depression ................................................................................................................................................................... 75
4.4.3 Longitudinal analysis ............................................................................................................................................................ 76
Chapter 5: Discussion ............................................................................................................................................................................... 79
5.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 79
5.2 Cross-sectional analysis ..................................................................................................................................................................... 79
5.2.1 marital status and health outcomes ..................................................................................................................................... 79
5.2.2 The association between other variables and health outcomes .................................................................................... 81
5.3 Longitudinal analysis ......................................................................................................................................................................... 83
Chapter 6: Conclusion............................................................................................................................................................................... 84
Reference ..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 86
Appendix ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 99
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Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 The context of the study
1.1.1 Global ageing
With the development of medical technologies, improved sanitation, improved living standards, and declining
child mortality (Jin et al., 2015), there is a possibility of the ageing process becoming modifiable to ensure
that people lead longer lives without suffering from severe diseases (Christensen, Doblhammer & Vaupel,
2009).
Nowadays, it is widely known that the slowed ageing has become an irreversible trend in developed countries
(Baldassar et al., 2017). In 2013, the United Nations estimated that the number of ageing people would grow
to 2 billion people by 2050 (Ortman, Velkoff & Hogan,2014).
It has been two centuries since the life expectancy started to increase in developed countries (Christensen,
Doblhammer& Vaupel, 2009). According to data from the World Health Organization (WHO), the global life
expectancy is 71.4 years, an increase of five years since 2000. Europe has the highest life expectancy at 76.8
years on average. Although the increased life expectancy is likely to have a positive impact on human lives,
new challenges are emerging (Jin et al., 2015).
Since the elderly people perform differently compared to their younger counterparts in many aspects
(Grady,2012), it is important for policy makers to come up with ways of accommodating the needs of the
ageing people (Ezeh, Bongaarts, & Mberu, 2012).
Andrew (2000) pointed out that the increasing life expectancy poses significant challenges to global health
and economic status. Since ageing is a degenerative process, some diseases are more likely to appear during
old age. Christensen, Dobhammer and Vaupel (2009) pointed out that the prevalence of diseases among old
people has increased over time. Older people suffer from infectious diseases due to the declining immune
system (Weinberger et al. 2008). Therefore, it is important to research factors that are associated with health
conditions.
Social relationships, however, has been identified as an important factor that influences one’s health status
(Uchino, Cacioppo & Kiecolt-Glaser, 1996). Social isolation and living rearrangement are more likely to
8
occur during the old age (Korinek et al.,2011). As one of the most significant social relationships for most
adults (Kiecolt-Glase & Newton, 2001), marriage should be the focus of related research.
1.1.2 Definition of health
The proper definition of health is crucial for the purpose of management and implementation of policies (Karr,
1999).
The current WHO definition of health was formulated in 1948. According to WHO, health is “a state of
complete physical, mental, and social well-being,” in which the absence of disease should not be the only
indicator. However, there is a lot of criticism regarding this definition. One of the critics focus on the word
“complete”. Smith (2008) argued that most people would be considered unhealthy if the WHO definition was
to be followed. Larson (1999) indicated that the results of improved health should be more relevant to clients
and not just to health professionals.
Saylor (2004) summarised the western definition of health into three aspects: well-being, health promotion,
and multiple dimension of health. Some studies define well-being as a phycological state in which people can
lead happy and optimistic lives without worrying too much (Carlson, 2003).
In fact, the factors that determine health, especially for the elderly people are complex (Andrew, 2001).
Disability is the most used indicator of old people’s health trend (Parker & Thorslund, 2007). Stenholm et al.
(2014) indicated that there is a relationship between difficulties im physical functioning and a number of
diseases that the elderly people suffer with regard to both physical mobility and several diseases as two
important indicators of health. Luo et al. (2012) categorised health in three aspects: self-rated health,
depressive symptoms, and functional limitations. In summary, there is a need to have a multidimensional
definition of health.
However, few study has explored the association between marital status and a comprehensive set of health
outcomes among the older people. The same is the case for the changes in the impact of marriage on health
over time.
The study will be conducted by using data set from English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA), which is a
representative survey to study how people’s lives change over years. The sample includes people who are over
50 years old and live in private households in England. The survey involves multiple aspects, including health,
economic, and social circumstances (Steptoe et al., 2012).
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The association between multiple health outcomes and marital status will be examined. Also, the relationship
between health outcomes and other demographic factors will be tested. Furthermore, the change in the impact
of marital status will also be explored through longitudinal analysis.
1.2 Research aims and objectives
This study is mainly aimed at studying the association between marital status and health outcomes among the
older adults.
The objectives are as listed below:
Examine whether marital status is associated with health.
Examine what health outcomes are most likely to influenced by marital status
Examine whether being married is advantageous in term of health
Examine the association between other factors and health.
Explore how the impact of marital status changes cross time.
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Chapter 2: Literature review
2.1 Introduction
In the previous chapter, the introduction and research context have been presented. This chapter gives a
detailed description of the literature related to the relationship between marital status and health condition.
The findings that are summarised from this literature review will also be discussed. Also, the studies that were
conducted using the ELSA data set will be presented to give a more honest insight into this study.
2.2 Context
2.2.1 Ageing society
In an ageing society, people always wonder how to stay healthy as they get old (Haveman et al., 2003). Like
other developed countries, the life expectancy in England is increasing (Leon,2011). The effects of having an
ageing population are becoming the subject of endless debates especially the how many years will be spent
with disability (Steel et al., 2002). Such debates contribute to the concept of healthy ageing.
Healthy ageing, however, is normally discussed by explaining the general health condition followed by the
health status in relation to ageing (Haveman et al., 2003). As a multidimensional concept, it does not only
refer to the absence of disease and illness but also takes physical disability, cognitive function, and social
functioning into account (Rowe & Kahn, 1997).
Landefeld, Winker and Chernof (2009) indicated that the concept of healthy ageing plays an important part in
reducing the costs of health care the in the context of the elderly population. In this case, it is necessary to
explore the factors contribute to healthy ageing.
2.2.2 The association between health and social relationships
House, Landis, and Umberson (1988) indicate that it took a long time for scientists to notice the association
between health and social relationships. In 1897, Durkheim found out that the less socially integrated people
commit suicide more than the socially integrated people, and this was the very first empirical sociology
finding. In 1979, for the first time, Berman and Syme ruled out other possible explanations and confirmed the
association between social integration and mortality rate. Since then, studies have drawn consistent
conclusions regarding this topic (Uchino, 2006).
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Like other health risk factors such as unhealthy diet or excessive alcohol consumption, study shows that social
isolation is a risk factor for health as well (Holt-Lunstad, Smith & Layton, 2010). The association between
social relationships and health as well as mortality risk is as significant as smoking and obesity to health
(House, Landis & Umberson, 1988).
Franks et al. (2004) indicate that there was research to prove that social integration could influence an
individual’s health by influencing healthy behaviours and that the absence and presence of social partners have
different impacts on healthy behaviours. Since the marriage is one of the most important forms of social
relationships, the absence and presence of a spouse should be treated as a factor that influences health
outcomes.
Although different forms of social ties have been proven to be beneficial for health, marriage may be the most
important one (Lugaila, 1998). As an important type of social relationships, marriage is central for most adults
(Kiecolt-Glase & Newton, 2001). Therefore, the impact that marriage brings can be not be ignored.
2.3 The association between marital status and health
2.3.1 Married people are healthier than unmarried people
Many studies show that being married is more advantageous regarding health. For instance, Verbrugge (1979)
indicated that married people were the healthiest group in the United States. They enjoyed the lowest rates of
disability and tended to spend quite a short time in hospitals. By examining the data from the U.S.
Longitudinal Study of Ageing, Goldman et al. (1995) pointed out that the health outcomes and survival
outcomes are associated with marital status.
There are a large number of studies that focus on the association between marriage and health. Many of them
come up with the conclusions that married people have a higher level of health than those who are not married
(Goldman, Korenman, & Weinstein, 1995; Parker-Pope, 2010; Mata, Frank & Hertwig, 2015; Kiecolt-Glaser,
Gouin, & Hantsoo, 2010; Fu & Noguchi, 2016). Marital status is associated with several health outcomes, one
of which is self-rated health (SRH). Rohrer et al. (2008) indicated that married people have better self-rated
health than their unmarried counterparts.
Compared with cross-sectional analysis, longitudinal analysis can draw more persuasive conclusions. The
same person can be traced through years, and early health data can be treated as a constant (Fitzmaurice, Laird,
& Ware, 2012). After conducting a longitudinal analysis, Wilson and Oswald (2005) concluded that marriage
12
benefits people both physically and mentally because people who are married live longer, healthier, and
happier lives. Also, the advantage of marriage tends to exist over time (Liu & Umberson, 2008).
2.3.2 The Impact of Marriage on old people’s health
Since social changes are more likely to occur at an old age, including the rising divorce rate and changing
patterns of re-partnering, there is an increasing diversity in marital status among old people in the UK and
other areas (Robards et al., 2012).
Studies show that marital status and living arrangement are related to the health outcomes of old people
(Grundy, 2010; Moustgaard, & Martikainen, 2009). The combined effect of marital status and living
arrangements was pointed out by Wang et al. (2003). They examined a cross-sectional study in China and
found out that married elderly adults living with their children have the best functional status (such as ADLs),
while the unmarried counterparts have the worst.
Bookwala (2005) concluded from a sample of people aged above 50 years that uncaring and unhelpful spousal
behaviours have bad influences on their physical health. Therefore, when discussing the health of old people,
marriage is a crucial factor.
2.3.3 The impact of marriage on disability, mortality, and morbidity
Disability refers to a “restriction in a person’s ability to perform normal activities of daily living”(Verbrugge &
Jette, 1994). It is strongly associated with individual well-being (Gill et al.,2001). Therefore, good information
on disability and all functioning levels are important for policy responses to the ageing population (Steel et al.,
2002).
Guranik and Ferrucci (2003) defined disability as limitations in performing social roles and tasks. Considering
the close relationship between social relationship and disability, there is literature to suggest that a low-level
of social integration means a higher rate of disability (Avlund et al., 2004). For both genders, being married or
cohabiting has been proven to contribute to protecting people from disability (Mor et al.,1989).
For old people, disability is indicated by difficulties in carrying out daily activities (Millan-Calenti et al.,
2010). According to WHO, the basic consensus for assessing daily difficulties are activities of daily living
(ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living(IADL).
Marriage has a protective effect on both mortality and morbidity (Sengupta & Agree, 2002). Married people
are at a lower risk of mortality than people with any other marital status (Johnson et al. 2000). This conclusion,
13
however, is universal to some extent. In a meta-analysis of older people by Manzoli et al. (2007), a similar
conclusion is drawn and does not vary based on such demographic factors as gender and location.
Both men and women benefit from marriage. Married people are less likely to engage in risky activities. Also,
the gains from marriage can be influenced by the quality of marriage and prior beliefs (Wilson & Oswald,
2005).
2.3.4 The reason why marriage benefits health
Zheng and Thomas (2013) argue that the impact of marriage can be demonstrated in several pathways,
including providing information and sources related to health promotion (Cohen, 2004), buffering effect
(Schwerdtfeger & Friedrich-Mai, 2009), and promoting healthy behaviours directly (Berkman & Glass,
2000). There are several assumptions about how marriage promotes health, including economic support,
social support, and cohabitation (Ross, Mirowsky, & Goldsteen,1990).
Regarding pathways through which one’s marital status influences health, physiological ways are most
preferred. Through people’s cognitions, emotions, healthy behaviours, and coping behaviours, they can
influence people’s health both directly and indirectly (Kiecolt-Glaser & Newton, 2001). Both stress and
support in marital relationships have an impact on one’s health condition.
Notice that support and stress are mentioned at the same time. In the stress/social support hypothesis that
Burman and Margolin (1992) proposed, marital factor was identified as a main source of stress. Unhappy
marriage does more harm than being unmarried (Slatcher, 2010). Despite all the benefits that marriage brings
to health, marriage stress can also be a major factor for deteriorating physical health (Robles & Kiecolt-Glaser,
2003). Moreover, according to the findings of a national longitudinal study, the adverse effect of marital strain
exists over time, especially among older people. Despite the gender difference in other aspects, from life
course perspective, marital quality affects the health of men and women in a similar way (Umberson et al.,
2006). Studies show that the quality of marriage makes a big difference in the protective effect of marriage
(Williams, 2003). However, the level of health may influence the protective effect of marriage on morality if
one’s health problem is not severe (Zheng & Thomas, 2013).
Various literature focuses on the impacts of social exchange on health-related behaviours. There are two main
forms of social exchanges: social support and social control (Frank et al., 2014). Antonucci, Lansford, and
Akiyama (2001) indicated that intimate relationships play an important role as a source of support throughout
adulthood. There is a link between social support and lower rates of morbidity and mortality (Uchino,
Cacioppo, & Kiecolt,1996). To some extent, the level of social support can be a predictor of cardiovascular
diseases (Bowen et al., 2014).
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In the context of marriage and other partnered relationships, support is considered to be “responsiveness to a
loved one’s needs” as well as the acts that relate to caring (Cutrona, 1996). In terms of health-promoting
support, studies focus on the buffering effects of marriage, meaning that the negative effects of health
problems or stressful circumstance can be offset by marriage (Gremore et al., 2011; Uchino, Uno, &
HoltLunstad, 1999).
2.3.5 Selection and protection hypothesis
Demographic literature indicates that there are two main reasons for the differences between the married and
the unmarried groups: selection and protection hypothesis (Wilson, 2012). The selection hypothesis
emphasises that healthy individuals are more likely to be chosen as marriage partners than those who are
fragile (Horn et al.,2013). On the other hand, protection hypothesis focuses on the protective benefits that
marriage offers (Rendall et al.,2011). Married people are less involved in the health-hazard activities, which
make them healthier than unmarried people (Schone & Weinick, 1998).
2.3.5.1 Selection hypothesis.
Regarding evolutionary principles, better health does bring marriage; the selection effects are more complex
than that. Wilson and Oswald (2005) mentioned that selection hypothesis cannot be simply explained as a
correlation if panels are not long enough. By controlling other variables, there are inconsistent conclusions.
If marriage benefits one’s health, unhealthy people tend to look for spouses to improve their health which
forms “adverse selection effect” (Lilard & Panis, 1996).
Joung et al. (1998) assume that the selection hypothesis occurs when people choose spouses in an ‘assortative
mating’ way. Healthy people choose healthy spouses while the less healthy people choose less healthy spouses.
In this case, unhealthy couples are more likely to experience widowhood, leading to a false conclusion that
widowhood causes poor health. In conclusion, the evidence to support the selection hypothesis is quite
limited (Stutzer & Frey, 2006).
2.3.5.2 Protection hypothesis
Protection hypothesis can be described in several aspects:
Economic resources
15
To a large extent, the protective benefit of marriage in health equals economic support, especially for health
economic resource that is embedded in marriage (Stimpson, Wilson, & Peek, 2012). Married people are more
likely have access to sufficient economic resources (Waite & Lehrer, 2003). After controlling other variables,
married people earn much more than single people (Chu & Lee, 2001). They have higher incomes
(Greenwood, et al.,2014), accumulate more wealth (Lupton & Smith, 2003) and have a lower rate of poverty
(Sawhill & Thomas, 2002). It is obvious that two people who live together can gain from economies of scale
(Voena, 2015). With more disposable income, married people can afford higher standards of living, which
may be beneficial to their mental and physical health. Duflo (2012) also posits that women are more likely to
be affected by economic resource than men. The loss of economic resources has a negative impact on
women’s health and mortality.
Mental health
Some studies suggest that married people have better mental status. Diener et al. (2000) argue that married
people tend to report higher life satisfaction, lower negative emotion, and higher positive emotion than
divorced people. Also, married people lead happier lives than unmarried people. However, this difference is
not significant among old people (Taylor, Funk, & Craighill, 2006)
Soulsby and Bennett (2015) highlighted that marriage itself is not the key to delayed or decreased onset of
depression. Rather, it is the social support embedded in marriage that promotes mental health.
Health behaviour
Health behaviours are determinants of health and well-being. Health-damaging behaviours contribute to
increased disability and death rates (Watt et al., 2014). According to the World Health Organisation (2009),
bad health behaviours can be risk factors for death and disability, and they include alcohol abuse, sedentary
lifestyle, and poor diet.
Literature suggests that marriage reduces the health-hazard behaviours. Duncan et al. (2006) point out that the
possible mechanism behind this includes monitoring the spouses’ behaviours and the social norm that one
should clean up acts when they enter marriage.
Mortality
There are many research literature to suggest that protection hypothesis has a lot to do with the mortality rate.
Previous studies show that married people are less likely to commit suicide due to the protective effect, while
widowed people are very prone to committing suicide (Kachur et al., 1995).
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Marriage can provide social and emotional stability, which unmarried people cannot get access to. Also, it
offers social and community integration, thus reducing social isolation (Kposowa, Breault & Singh, 1995).
However, after the death of a spouse, the mortality rate of the survivor shoots up (Stahl et al.,2016).
2.3.6 Variations in unmarried groups
According to Wilson and Oswald (2005), there are some distinctions between married and non-married
partnership groups.
Even for the cohabitation, which is the closest relationship to marriage, differences exist. In the western
society, the number of unmarried people living together is growing. Brown and Booth (1996) point out that
people who are in cohabiting relationships have lower quality relationships and lower socioeconomic status
than married people (Rindfuss & VandenHeuvel, 1990).
Evidence shows that marriage is negatively associated with substance abuse, but cohabitation is not (Mullan,
Harris, Lee, & DeLeone, 2010). Studies that focus on the links between marriage and health behaviours show
that people change when they first get into marriage. Since the social norms that are associated with
cohabitation of are different from that of marriage, cohabitation is less consistent with health behaviours
(Duncan et al., 2006).
With regard to health, there are also variations in the unmarried group. In general, widowed people have the
worst health conditions. A person’s experience can be complex. Considering the diversity of personal
experience, the married people cannot be treated as a homogenous group (Robards et al., 2012).
Although widowhood, as well as divorce, negatively affect women's health (Lillard &Waite, 1995), things
could be more serious in the case of widowhood. Although widowers can get emotional support from their
adult children or other family members, the support from a spouse is irreplaceable. Widowers have few
emotional ties and experience more social isolation, which is harmful to their health (Bookwala, Marshall, &
Manning, 2014).
Also, gender differences emerge. Williams and Umberson (2004) posit that marriage transitions can be more
harmful to men than women among the elderly. Considering that women are usually the caregivers, men tend
to be more negatively affected by widowhood (Hu & Goldman, 1990).
2.3.7 Gender difference
After going through 48 relevant articles, Manfredini et al. (2017) concluded that most of them indicated that
single men are the most likely group of people to have cardiovascular diseases. William and Umberson (2004)
regarded entering marriage as a "complex balance of rewards and strains". Despite the benefits of marriage,
the adjustment process could be stressful. Considering that women perform more household chores before
marriage, they are more prepared for the stressful roles they may perform in future life than men (Lennon &
17
Rosenfield,1994). This may be the reason for the gender disparities regarding health outcomes during
marriage transitions.
Generally speaking, widowed men are more likely to be disabled than married men (Goleman et al., 1995).
Demographic research shows that married people have better health and mortality outcomes, especially
among men (Robards et al., 2012). However, some research findings suggest that older women are more
likely to experience functional disabilities as well as poor health than their male counterparts (Chatterji et
al.,2015).
For women who are not employed, the impact of marital status on health is particularly significant (Waldron,
Hughes, & Brooks, 1996). Jobless women who are unmarried suffer particularly from poor health and other
interacting disadvantages. However, men and women have different health risk factors (Sengupta & Agree,
2002), which may explain the gender disparities in terms of health and disability.
2.4 An Overview of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA)
As the first longitudinal study in the UK that covers a multidisciplinary topic, numerous studies have been
conducted using the ELSA data set (Steptoe et al., 2012). Some of them focus on exploring the risk factors of
health outcomes, but none of them studies the relationship between health outcomes and marital status. Also,
none of them uses wave 7 data to study the related topics. However, some studies have shed light on the
choice of health outcomes and covariates in ELSA data sets. Related studies are listed below:
2.4.1 Health predictors in ELSA
To identify the symptoms that lead to early retirement, Rice et al. (2010) included general health, diagnosed
diseases, mobility, pain and depression in their study. By using logistic regression analysis, depression and
impaired mobility appeared to be two specific symptoms that make older employees quit their jobs.
In a study that examines the relationship between health literacy and participation in colorectal cancer,
Kobayashi, Wardle, and von Wagner (2014) identify having limiting long-standing illness, having depressive
symptoms, six activities of daily life (ADL), self-reported general health, and having cancer as the health
variables.
2.4.2 Health behaviours and marital status
Jackson, Steptoe, and Wardle (2015) confirmed the consistency between individual’s health behaviour and
their partners’ health behaviours. Their sample consisted of 3722 couples who participated in ELSA’s wave 1
to wave 6. The health behaviours included in this study were smoking, physical inactivity, and obesity. They
18
used logistic regression analysis and found that both men and women are influenced by their partner’ change
in health behaviours. People will be more likely to make positive change to their health behaviours if they
have the support of their partners.
2.4.3 The associations between health and physical activities
Hamer, Lavoie, and Bacon (2014) conducted an 8-year follow-up research on the relationship between
physical activities and healthy ageing. The sample was made up of 3454 disease-free men and women aged
63.7±8.9 years at the baseline. Healthy ageing was defined as participants surviving without chronic diseases,
depression, as well as physical and cognitive impairment. They found that people who were more engaged in
physical activities in their later life were more likely to age healthily.
2.4.4 Factors that are associated with health outcomes
Factors that are associated with health outcomes were also examined. As an important indicator of health, the
instrumental activity of daily living (IADL) was studied (d'Orsi et al., 2014). By doing a longitudinal analysis
with a sample of 8154 individuals from ELSA wave1, d'Orsi et al. (2014) found that improved quality of life,
regular physical activities, and good self-rated memory were independently associated with IADL recovery,
while low socioeconomic position was an important indicator of IADLs.
Chapter 3: Methodology
3.1 Introduction
This chapter will introduce the methodological approaches that have been used in this study as well as the
reasons why they are suitable for this research. A detailed description of the variables chosen for this study
will be presented. Furthermore, statistical methods that are used in the data analysis section will also be
presented.
3.2 Research approach
According to Creswell (2013), quantitative research focuses on examining the relationship between variables
through statistical analysis while focusing on understanding the meaning of groups or individuals that indicate
social problem. To analyse causal relationship between variables, randomisation has to be ensured. Therefore,
19
the sample size for quantitative approach must be representative enough to make sure that statistical methods
can generate meaningful results (Sale, Lohfeld, & Brazil, 2002).
The English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) is a longitudinal study that is based on self-completion
questionnaires, and the answers were measured in numerical forms. Therefore, quantitative research should be
suitable for analysing the data from ELSA.
3.3 The Methodology of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing(ELSA)
According to ELSA’s official website (https://www.elsa-project.ac.uk/), the study primarily aims is to gather
multidisciplinary data from a sample of people who are over 50 years old in England. The data collected
covers health, diseases, well-being, financial circumstance, social participation, and social networks.
Two data collection methods are used: face-to-face interview, which is conducted using computer-assisted
personal interview (CAPI), followed by a self-completion questionnaire completed by pen and paper (PAPI).
A nurse visit takes place every four years, during which the biomarkers of respondent are assessed by
qualified nurses.
3.3.1 Sample design
The initial sample of ELSA is drawn from the respondents who took part in the Health Survey for England
(HSE) in 1998, 1999, and 2000. There were 11, 391 respondents in wave 1 who meet the ELSA criteria
(Steptoe et al.,2012). According to ELSA official website(https://www.elsa-project.ac.uk/), there were four
sample refreshments that took place in wave 3, wave 4, wave 6, and wave 7 respectively to maintain the size
and representativeness of the study.
For cross-sectional analysis, the latest available wave 7 data set was chosen and recorded as group 1. To
exclude the interference, only the core members that participated from wave 1 to wave 7 were chosen in the
longitudinal analysis. The results from wave 1 was recorded as group 2, and the results from wave 7 was
recorded as group 3.
3.3.2 Chosen variables
3.3.2.1 marital status
In ELSA wave 1, marital status is categorised into: single, married once, married twice, legally separated,
divorced, and widowed. However, in wave 7, civil partnership was included. To achieve a degree of
20
consistency, the marital statuses in the three groups were categorised into: single, married, separated, divorced,
and widowed.
3.3.2.2 Health outcomes
This study adapted Huber et al.’s (2011) theory. They divided the measurement of health into three domains,
namely physical health, mental health, and social health.
Physical health is measured as the ability to cope with physiological stress. If the physical health fails,
diseases will appear. Therefore, the indicator of physical health is the incidences of illness. Mental health
refers to the ability to keep and improve subjective well-being. The assessment of depression symptom will be
used.
3.3.2.2.1 Physical health
Self-reported general health
Although self-reported health is subjective, and different individuals can have different perceptions about their
health status, studies have indicated that self-reported health can reflect several objective health outcomes.
Wu et al. (2013) argued that SRH can measure global health status in a general population, which makes SRH
outstanding among other indicators. Schnittker and Bacak (2014) pointed out that self-rated health can be a
strong predictor of mortality.
In large cohort studies, SRH always serves as an indicator of general health because it is a reliable predictor of
mortality, morbidity, and physical functioning (Grol-Prokopczyk et al., 2011).
In ELSA, SRH was collected during the interview. Participants were asked the question, ‘Would you say your
health is ….’ to rate their general health on a five-point Likert scale (1=excellent, 2=very good, 3=good, 4=fair,
5=poor) (O'Doherty et al., 2017). In Chi-squared test and logistic regression model, self-reported health will
be recoded into binary, with “poor health” as 1 and all the rest as 0.
Diagnosed diseases and long-standing illness
In ELSA interviews, respondents were asked whether a doctor confirm that they have any cardiovascular
diseases (CVD) or chronic conditions. In this study, nine conditions were included, namely: high blood
pressure, high cholesterol, stroke, angina, congestive heart failure, heart attack, heart murmur, diabetes, and
abnormal heart rhythm.
21
Respondents were asked whether they have long-term illnesses.
Functional impairment
While studying the relationship between marital quality and health, Robles et al. (2014) included functional
impairment as one of the health measurements. In this study, the measurement functional impairments
include activities of daily living(ADL), instrumental activities of daily living(IADL) and mobility problems
However, there is some inconsistency between wave 1 and wave 7. The functional impairment variables will
not be included in longitudinal analysis.
3.3.3.2.2 Mental health
CES-D
The Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D) is a 20-items measurement to assess
depressive symptoms (Radloff,1977).
In ELSA, CES-D is an 8-items test. Participants were asked eight questions about whether they have had such
depressive symptoms during the past week.The final score ranges from 0 to 8. According to Zivin et al. (2010),
individuals who reported more than three symptoms will be considered to have significant depressive
symptoms. Therefore, the final score is recoded into binary variables: scores ranging from 0 to 3 were
assigned “1”, which means participants did not show depression symptoms, while scores ranging from 4 to 8
were assigned “0”.
3.3.3.2.3 Other variables
Socioeconomic status (SES), social participation and qualification
In the ELSA data set, the key socioeconomic variables are based on the Registrar General Socio-Economic
Classification (NS-SEC) (Steptoe et al., 2012). This study adopts the five-category classification which
includes “managerial and professional, intermediate, small employers and own-account workers, lower
supervisory and technical and semi-routine and routine staff ”. (Donkin, Yuan, & Toson, 2002).
22
The social participation will be measured by whether the respondent is a member of any organisation. Also,
the education level will be simply measured by whether the respondent qualifies.
Health behaviours
In this study, health behaviours will include smoking, alcohol consumption, and exercising regularly.
3.4 Statistical analysis
3.4.1 Descriptive statistics
Before conducting inferential statistics, descriptive statistics will be used to describing the basic
characteristics of the sample (Pallant, 2013).
All the variables related to this study will be described by descriptive statistics. Since the variables were all
recorded into categories, frequency distribution analysis will be conducted. The frequency and the percentage
will be displayed in tables.
3.4.2 Chi-squared test
According to Pallent (2013), Chi-square test conducted is to examine the relationship between two categorical
variables. The null hypothesis of Chi-squared test is: there is no associations between two categorical
variables. By comparing the observed frequency and the expected frequency under the null hypothesis, the χ²
value and p-value will be calculated. If the p-value is less than 0.01 at the same time, the null hypothesis
should be rejected (Altman, 1991, p. 246).
Since ELSA is an extensive survey with many participants, the expected cell count is far more than 20 and
variables are categorical. Therefore, the chi-square test is appropriate for this study.
The chi-squared test will be conducted to analyse the relationship between health outcomes and marital status,
as well as with other demographic factors. The results will be used in identifying the significant associated
factors. The relevant health outcome variables will be recoded into binary with the missing values taken out.
3.4.3 Logistic regression
By using Chi-squared test, the degree of associations will also be assessed. When the dependent variable is
binary and independent variables are categorical variables, logistic regression can be used. The reference
category should be assigned (the last one by a default setting in SPSS). The risk factors that are related to poor
23
self-reported health, the incidence of cardiovascular diseases, and mental health will be explored using these
logistic regression results.
For this particular study, there are three logistic regression models. The main one serves to explore the
relationship between marital status and health outcomes when other covariates are included. The other two
will be conducted to compare the impact of marital status changes with time using group 2 and group 3 data.
Also, sub models will be divided: sub model 1 includes marital status, age and gender; sub model 2
includes social participation, NSE-D, and education; while sub model 3 includes health behaviours.
3.5 Ethical aspects
This study is a no risk study. All data that is related to this study is secondary data gained from U.K. Data
Services (https://www.ukdataservice.ac.uk/). NHS Research Ethics Committees granted the ethical approval
of ELSA. Further information can be accessed from http://www.nres.nhs.uk/.
The data included in English Longitudinal Study of Ageing is absolutely anonymised, without any identifying
data. The data is stored in my personal computer, and I also have a copy on my hard drive. The ethic approval
letter is attached in the Appendix.
24
Chapter 4: Results
4.1 Introduction
As discussed in chapter three, this chapter will give detailed description of the statistical results.
This chapter will be divided into three sections, including the descriptive statistics carried out for all related
variables in this study; the bivariate analysis which includes chi-squared test for independence to examine the
relationship between categorical variables; multivariate analysis that includes the logistic regression to test the
risk factors that are related to the health conditions of old people.
4.2 Descriptive Statistics
4.2.1 Group 1
4.2.1.1 Gender distribution
The table below shows that female participants (55.2%) in ELSA wave 7 outnumbered their male counterparts
(44.8%).
Table 1 gender difference in group 1
Frequency Valid Percent
Male 4249 44.8
Female 5242 55.2
Total 9491 100.0
4.2.1.2 Age Distribution
Table 2 shows the age distribution of 9489 respondents aged over 50 in wave 7.
The age is categorised into 5 groups. In the ELSA dataset, the definitive ages of participants aged over 90
were not recorded to avoid disclosure. People who were between 60 to 69 years old consisted of the largest
25
age group, accounting for 38.2 % of total participants. The proportion of people aged 70-79 and 50-59 are
26.5% of 21.9% respectively. There were only 193 individuals who were older than 90.
Table 2: age distribution in group 1
Age Frequency Valid Percent
50-60 2081 21.9
60-70 3629 38.2
70-80 2515 26.5
80-90 1071 11.3
90+ 193 2.0
Total 9489 100.0
4.2.1.3 Marital status distribution
Table 3 shows that 66.4% of people were married in group 1. The second largest group are widowers,
accounting for 14.8% of total respondents. Divorced people and single people ranked the third and fourth
places. While, those who were separated were the smallest proportion (1.3%).
Table 3: Marital Status distribution in group 1
Frequency Valid Percent
single 593 6.2
married 6300 66.4
separated 122 1.3
divorced 1071 11.3
widowed 1403 14.8
Total 9489 100.0
4.2.1.4 Socio-economic factors
4.2.1.4.1 NS-CES classification
It can be seen from the table 4 that the largest proportion of respondents are the managerial and professional
26
class (33.3%). Interestingly, the second largest group is the lowest occupation class group, with 28.5% of
people from semi-routine and routine class. The figures for intermediate occupations, small employers or own
account workers are similar, 12.8% and 11.1% respectively.
Table 4 NS-CES distribution in group 1
NS-CES classification
Frequency Valid Percent
managerial and professional 3157 35.9
intermediate occupations 1213 13.8
small employers and own account workers 1053 12.0
lower supervisory and technical occupations 783 8.9
semi-routine and routine 2507 28.5
other 82 .9
Total 8795 100.0
Missing 694
Total 9489
4.2.1.4.2 Social participation
Table 5 shows that only 23.6% of respondents reported that they were not a member of any organization.
However, there are 1811 missing values.
Table 5: Social integration in group 1
Whether the respondent is a
member of any organization?
Frequency Valid Percent
No 5437 70.8
Yes 2241 29.2
Total 7678 100.0
Missing System 1811
Total 9489
4.2.1.4.3 Qualification attainment
27
Table 6 indicated that people who had gained qualifications consisted of 71.5% of total participants.
Table 6: qualification attainment in group 1
Whether the
respondent had
qualifications?
Frequency Valid Percent
yes 6584 71.5
no 2625 28.5
Total 9209 100.0
Missing System 280
Total 9489 100.0
4.2.1.5 Health outcomes:
4.2.1.5.1 Self-reported health
It can be seen from table 7 that people who responded “good” are the largest group, accounting for 31% of
respondents in total. There were 2588 and 1044 individuals who thought their health was “very good” and
“excellent” respectively. Only 674 (7.5%) individuals regarded their health condition as poor.
Table 7: self-reported general health in group 1
Frequency Percent
self-reported general
health
Excellent 1044 11.7%
Very good 2588 29.0%
Good 2940 31.0%
Fair 1670 18.7%
poor 674 7.5%
Total 8916
Missing 573
Total 9489
4.2.1.5.2 Cardiovascular diseases
28
Table 8 shows that high blood pressure is the most prevalent cardiovascular disease in group 1, with 31.7% of
respondents reporting it. High cholesterol has the second largest number, 28.7%. Diabetes, was the third
prevalent, only 9.2 % of people responded. In summary, the three dominant diseases are high blood pressure,
high cholesterol and diabetes.
Table 8 : Cardiovascular diseases distribution in group 1
Frequency Valid Percent
High blood pressure no 6482 68.3
yes 3007 31.7
Total 9489 100.0
High cholesterol No 6770 71.3
Yes 2719 28.7
Total 9489 100.0
Stroke No 9176 96.7
Yes 313 3.3
Total 9489 100.0
Abnormal heart rhythm No 8895 93.7
Yes 594 6.3
Total 9489 100.0
Angina No 9425 99.3
Yes 64 .7
Total 9489 100.0
Congestive heart failure No 9458 99.7
Yes 31 .3
Total 9489 100.0
Diabetes No 8613 90.8
29
Yes 876 9.2
Total 9489 100.0
Heart attack No 9086 95.8
Yes 403 4.2
Total 9489 100.0
Heart murmur No 9215 97.1
Yes 274 2.9
Total 9489 100.0
4.2.1.5.3 Long-standing illness
Table 9 shows that there more than half of people (55%) have long-standing illness.
Table 9: whether have long-standing illness in group 1
Frequency Valid percent
No 4274 45.0
Yes 5214 55.0
Total 9488 100.0
Missing value 1
9489
4.2.1.5.6 physical function
According to ELSA data set, there are ten mobility difficulties involved. Respondents were asked “whether
you have none of these mobility problems?”. The table 10 below indicates that the proportion of people who
reported difficulties (52.2%) or did not (47.8%) are similar, with slightly more people reported difficulties.
In ELSA data set, there are six activities of daily life(ADL), including dressing, walking, showering, using
toilet and getting in and out of bed. And there are seven instrumental activities of daily life (IADL), including
making telephone calls, shopping, preparing meals, reading maps, communicating, taking medications and
30
recognising in the case of physical danger. In terms of assessment, respondents were asked “whether have
none of listed difficulties ?”
Table 11 shows that 25.1% of people who responded “no”, which means that most of people did not have
difficulties in ADL and IADLs.
Table 10: whether have difficulties in mobility
Frequency Valid Percent
Yes 4949 52.2
No 4538 47.8
Total 9487 100.0
Missing 2
9489
Table 11: whether have difficulties in ADL&IADLs?
Frequency Valid Percent
Yes 2381 25.1
No 7106 74.9
Total 9487 100.0
Missing 2
9489
4.2.1.5.5 Mental health
People who have significant depression symptoms accounted for 25.3% of total respondents which is three
times fewer people than that who were not depressed.
31
Table 12: mental health in group 1
Frequency Valid Percent
Depressed 2223 25.3
Not depressed 6570 74.7
Total 8793 100.0
Missing value 696
Total 9489
4.2.1.6 Health behaviours
Smoking
Table 13 displays how the respondents answered the question: whether smokes cigarettes at all nowadays?
Most people did not smoke at all (53.5%).
Table 13: whether smokes cigarettes at all nowadays?
Frequency Valid Percent
no 5078 82.7
yes 1064 17.3
Total 6142 100.0
Missing 3347
Total 9489
Exercising
Table 14 shows how individual’s responding to the question: Did you go to walk or exercise yesterday?
Together, there were 7963 respondents who answer the question. Of all participants, 4693 individuals did
exercise the day before they were interviewed which accounted for 58.9%. While, 41.1% of them said they
had not.
32
Table 14: Did you go to walk or exercise yesterday?
Frequency Valid Percent
No 3270 41.1
Yes 4693 58.9
Total 7963 100.0
Missing 1526
Total 9489
Drinking
Table 15 below displays the alcohol intake results. In total, 6833 individuals responded to the question:
Whether respondent had an alcoholic drink in the seven days ending yesterday? 73.8% of them had consumed
an alcoholic drink in the seven-day periods.
Table 15: Whether had an alcoholic drink in the seven days ending yesterday?
Frequency Valid Percent
No 1793 26.2
Yes 5040 73.8
Total 6833 100.0
Missing 2656
Total 9489
33
4.2.2 Descriptive Statistics Results in group 2 and group 3
4.2.2.1 Age distribution in group 2 and group 3
In group 1, respondents aged 50 to 59 years old have reached their 60s, accounting for 38% of total
respondents. After 6 waves interviews, people aged 70 to 79 years old consisted of the largest proportion of
total respondents (38.6%). There was a significant rise in the 80 to 89 age group, increasing from 2.2% to
19.6%.
Table 16 age distribution in group 2 and group 3
Group 2 (wave7) Group 3(wave 1)
Frequency Percent Frequency Percent
50-59 2342 47.9
60-69 1704 34.8 1858 38.0
70-79 740 15.1 1888 38.6
80-89 107 2.2 957 19.6
90+ 1 .0 191 3.9
Total 4894 100.0 4894 100.0
4.2.2.2 Gender Distribution in Group 2 and Group 3
It can be seen from table 17 that more than half of respondents are female, accounting for 56.5% of total
participants. In group 2 and group 3, female respondents were slightly more than that of group1.
Table 17: gender distribution in group 2 and group 3
Frequency Valid Percent
Female 2767 56.5
Male 2127 43.5
Total 4894 100.0
34
4.2.2.3 Marital status distribution in group 2 and group 3
Table 18 below shows that there are two noticeable differences in marital status of group 2 and group 3. The
number of married people decreased by more than 10%, from 71.5% in group 3 to 61.3%. However, widowed
people increased by more than 11%, from 11.9% in group 2 to 23% in group3. 500 respondents who were
married in wave1 were no longer married in wave 7. Except for married people, the proportion of single,
divorced and separated people also declined. In summary, many people became widowed over time.
Table 18: marital status distribution in group 2 and group 3
Group 2 (wave 1) Group 3 (wave 7)
Frequency Frequency Valid Percent Valid Percent
single 236 4.8 220 4.5
married 3501 71.5 3001 61.3
separated 58 1.2 45 .9
divorced 516 10.5 500 10.2
widowed 582 11.9 1128 23.0
Missing 1 .0
Total 4894 100.0 4894 100.0
4.2.2.4 Health Outcomes Distribution in Group 2 and Group 3
Self-reported health
A significant difference can be identified in table 19 that the rates of “excellent” health have declined, from
18% in group 2 to 8.4 % in group 3. In addition, there is a slight decrease in “very good” health. On the
contrary, the proportion of the other four marital status have grown. It can be explained that people tend to
lower their self-assessment of health over time. However, there were only 2438 participants in group 2 who
responded, so this conclusion may be questionable.
35
Table 19: self-reported general health in group 2 and group 3
Group 2 Group 3
Frequency Valid Percent Frequency Valid Percent
Excellent 440 18.0 389 8.4
Very good 776 31.8 1319 28.4
Good 741 30.4 1564 33.7
Fair 368 15.1 1018 21.9
poor 113 4.6 355 7.6
Total 2438 100.0 4645 100.0
Missing System 2456 249
Total 4894 4894
Cardiovascular Diseases and long-standing illness
It can be seen from table 20 that the percentages of all diseases have increased. The figure for congestive
heart failure and heart murmur were zero in group 2, but there were increases in group 3. Among these
diseases, the proportion of diabetes and strokes increased significantly. Compared with 4.8% of people who
had a confirmed diabetes diagnosis, 11.1% of respondents reported that they have diabetes. The proportion of
stroke doubled, from 2.3% to 5%. It is noticeable that the percent of long-standing illness has increased from
54.1% to 60.7%.
Table 20: cardiovascular diseases and long-standing illness in group 2 and group 3
Group 2 Group 3
yes No yes No
High blood pressure 1586(32.4%) 3308(67.6%) 1936(39.6%) 2958(60.4%)
Angina 330(6.7%) 4564(93.3%)
Heart attack 187(3.8%) 4707(96.2%) 301(6.2%) 4593(93.8%)
Congestive heart failure 0(0%) 4894(100%) 16(0.3%) 4878(99.7%)
Heart murmur 0(0%) 4894(100%) 188(3.8%) 4706(96.2%)
Abnormal heart rhythm 251(5.1%) 4643(94.9%) 393(8%) 4501(92%)
Diabetes 235(4.8%) 4659(95.2%) 545(11.1%) 4369(88.9%)
Stroke 112(2.3%) 4782(97.7%) 243(5%) 4651(95%)
Long-standing illness 1332(54.1%) 1129(45.9%) 2971(60.7%) 1923(39.3%)
Mental health
Table 19 indicates that respondents that reported more than three symptoms only accounted for about 25% in
both groups. Although the number of depressed individuals has declined, the proportion of depressed and non-
36
depressed people are similar in two groups.
Table 21: whether the respondent had depressive symptoms in group 2 and group 3?
Group 2(wave1) Group 3(wave 7)
Frequency Valid Percent Frequency Valid Percent
Yes 1242 25.9% 1228 26.8%
no 3555 74.1% 3356 73.2%
Missing system 97 310
Total 4894 4894
4.3 Chi-squared test results
4.3.1 Chi-squared test results in group 1
4.3.1.1. Relationships between marital status and health outcomes
4.3.1.1.1 Relationships between marital status and self-reported general health
According to table 22 below, the p value is less than 0.001, marital status is associated with poor self-reported
health. It can be seen that married group has the smallest proportion of people (6.2%) who reported poor
health, compared with the group of separated people who have the largest (11.2%). Also, the figures for
widowed and divorced were much higher than the married group, reaching 10.3% and 10% respectively in
this study (χ2=24.882, df=4, p<0.001)
Table 22:Relationships between marital status and self-reported general health
Poor self-reported health
Marital status Yes No Total
single 57 522 579 p<0.001
9.8% 90.2% 100.0% df=4
married 363 5492 5855 χ2=24.882
6.2% 93.8% 100.0%
separated 13 103 116
11.2% 88.8% 100.0%
divorced 104 935 1039
10.0% 90.0% 100.0%
widowed 1190 137 1327
89.7% 10.3% 100%
Total 8242 674 8916
92.4% 7.6% 100.0%
37
4.3.1.1.2 Relationships between marital status and cardiovascular diseases
According to the p value, marital status is associated with high blood pressure, high cholesterol, strokes,
abnormal heart rhythm diabetes, heart attacks, heart murmurs, long-standing illnesses, ADL&IADL, mobility
and depression.
Interestingly, the married group does not represent the smallest proportion of people with confirmed high
blood diagnosis. Only 70.2 % of them answered “no”. It is the separated group with the lowest rate (18.9%).
The widowed group has a significantly high percent of high blood pressure (43.8%), compared with the
divorced group (31%) and single group (27%) in this study (χ2=84.470, df=4, p<0.001).
.
As with high blood pressure, people who were separated reported the lowest rate (24%) of high cholesterol,
followed by single people (26%) married people (28%) and divorced people (28.3%). The widowed has the
largest proportion (34%) of people with high cholesterol in this study. There were only 3.3% of total
respondents who confirmed the stroke diagnosis. The figure for separated is the lowest (1.6%), widowed
people have the highest (6.3%). In addition, married group has 2.8% and single has 2.4% (χ2=36.757, df=4,
p<0.001).
In terms of diabetes, the married group is not fortunate, with 8.6% of people that have a confirmed diagnosis,
and only 0.1% less than divorce group. However, separated people have the best outcomes, with 6.5% of
people reported as not having a diabetes diagnosis. Widowers have the highest rate (13.3%).
Compared with other groups, divorced people have a significantly high rate of heart attacks (7.3%) in this
study (χ2=38.141, df=4. p<0.001). Single people have the lowest rate of heart attacks (2%), followed by
married (3.7%), divorced (4.4%) and separated (4.9%). In this case, divorced people performed better than
separated people.
Table 23: Relationships between marital status and cardiovascular diseases
Marital
status
single married separated divorced widowed 6482 p<0.001
High blood
pressure
No 433 4422 99 739 789 68.3% df=4
73.0% 70.2% 81.1% 69.0% 56.2% 3007 χ2=84.470
Yes 160 1878 23 332 614 31.7%
27.0% 29.8% 18.9% 31.0% 43.8% 9489
Total 593 6300 122 1071 1403 100.0%
38
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
High cholesterol .No 439 4542 93 768 928 6770 p<0.001
74.0% 72.1% 76.2% 71.7% 66.1% 71.3% df=4
Yes 154 1758 29 303 475 2719 χ2=17.105
26.0% 27.9% 23.8% 28.3% 33.9% 28.7%
Total 593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
stoke 579 6126 120 1036 1315 9176 p<0.001
97.6% 97.2% 98.4% 96.7% 93.7% 96.7% df=4
14 174 2 35 88 313 χ2=36.757
2.4% 2.8% 1.6% 3.3% 6.3% 3.3%
593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Abnormal heart
rhythm
NO 561 5931 118 1012 1273 8895 p<0.001
94.6% 94.1% 96.7% 94.5% 90.7% 93.7% dF=4
YES 32 369 4 59 130 594 χ2=15.265
5.4% 5.9% 3.3% 5.5% 9.3% 6.3%
593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
TOTAL 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Angina
NO 590 6260 120 1065 1390 9425 p=0.285
99.5% 99.4% 98.4% 99.4% 99.1% 99.3% df=4
YES 3 40 2 6 13 64 χ2=1.142
0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7%
593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Congestive heart
failure
No 591 6282 121 1068 1396 9458 p=0.707
99.7% 99.7% 99.2% 99.7% 99.5% 99.7% df=4
Yes 2 18 1 3 7 31 χ2=1.013
0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
diabetes No 548 5757 114 978 1216 8613 p<0.001
92.4% 91.4% 93.4% 91.3% 86.7% 90.8% df=4
χ2=23.850
yes 45 543 8 93 187 876
7.6% 8.6% 6.6% 8.7% 13.3% 9.2%
593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Heart attack No 581 6065 116 1024 1300 9086 p<0.001
98.0% 96.3% 95.1% 95.6% 92.7% 95.8% df=4
Yes 12 235 6 47 103 403 χ2=38.141
39
2.0% 3.7% 4.9% 4.4% 7.3% 4.2%
593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Heart murmur No 577 6136 119 1042 1341 9215 p=0.002
97.3% 97.4% 97.5% 97.3% 95.6% 97.1% df=4
Yes 16 164 3 29 62 274 χ2=9.555
2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.7% 4.4% 2.9%
Total 593 6300 122 1071 1403 9489
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4.3.1.1.3 Relationships between marital status and long-standing illness
In terms of incidence of long-standing illness, the advantage of marriage is quite obvious. 51.3% of married
people have long-standing illness, compared with 67% in the widowed group. Among singles, separated and
divorced people, singles reported the smallest proportion of long-standing illness (54.3%), while the figure for
divorced people reached 60% in this study (χ2=118.968, df=4, p<0.001).
Table 24: Relationships between marital status and long-standing illness
Whether have Long-standing
illness?
marital status
single married separated divorced widowed Total p<0.001
No 271 3065 54 428 456 4274 df=4
45.7% 48.7% 44.3% 40.0% 32.5% 45.0% χ2=118.968
Yes 322 3234 68 643 947 5214
54.3% 51.3% 55.7% 60.0% 67.5% 55.0%
Total 593 6299 122 1071 1403 9488
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4.3.1.1.4 Relationships between marital status and ADLs and IADLs difficulties
It can be seen from table 25 that married people are the least likely group to report difficulties in ADLs and
IADL (20.9%). Single group ranks the second (21%). Divorced and separated have a similar figure, with
around 72% of them reporting no impairments in ADL and IADL. Widowed people performed worse in terms
of ADL and IADL, with 43.6% of them reported difficulties in this study (χ2=283.505, df=4. p<0.001).
40
Table 25: Relationships between marital status and ADLs and IADLs difficulties
Whether have difficulties in ADL and IADLs?
marital status
single married separated divorced widowed Total
No 125 1313 34 297 612 2381 df=4
21.1% 20.8% 27.9% 27.7% 43.6% 25.1% χ2=283.505
Yes 468 4985 88 774 791 7106 p<0.001
78.9% 79.2% 72.1% 72.3% 56.4% 74.9%
Total 593 6298 122 1071 1403 9487
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4.3.1.1.5 Relationships between marital status and mobility problems
Married people reported the lowest rates (47.3%) of mobility difficulties. Widowed people were the most
vulnerable group in terms of mobility, with 72% of individuals reporting difficulties. The figures for singles,
separated and divorced did not (χ2=250.890, df=4, p<0.001).
Table 26: Relationships between marital status and mobility problems
Whether have difficulties in mobility?
marital status
single married separated divorced widowed Total
No 292 2984 63 598 1012 4949 df=4
49.2% 47.4% 51.6% 55.8% 72.1% 52.2% χ2=250.890
Yes 301 3314 59 473 391 4538 p<0.001
50.8% 52.6% 48.4% 44.2% 27.9% 47.8%
Total 593 6298 122 1071 1403 9487
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4.3.1.1.6 Relationships between marital status and depression
Marital status is associated with depression (χ2=237.862, df=4, p<0.001). It can be seen from table 27 that
married people reported the lowest proportion of depression (20.1%), while widowers reported the highest
(40.4%).
41
Table 27: Relationships between marital status and depression
Whether the respondent have depressive symptoms? Total
marital status
single married separated divorced widowed
Yes 147 1163 44 340 529 2223 df=4
26.2% 20.1% 39.3% 33.2% 40.4% 25.3% χ2=237.862
No 415 4622 68 685 780 6570 p<0.001
73.8% 79.9% 60.7% 66.8% 59.6% 74.7%
Total 562 5785 112 1025 1309 8793
100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4.4 Logistic Regression Results
In the last chapter, the association between marital status and health outcomes have been examined. Other
factors that significantly associated with health outcomes have also been introduced. In this chapter, the risk
factor for health will be explored using logistic regression.
In order to test if marital status is independently associated with health outcome variables, other related
variables should be taken account. In multivariate logistic regression models, all the variables that associated
with outcome variables will be included simultaneously. Before the conducting multivariate logistic
regression mode, bivariate logistic regression models will be used to test if the association still exist between
variables in the logistic regression.
4.4.1 Bivariate Logistic regression results
4.4.1.1 marital status and health outcomes
It can be seen that people who were married have 0.574 of risk to report poor health, compared with the
widowed ones (risk=1.00). Except for angina and congestive heart failure, marital status is significant for
other cardiovascular diseases. Separated people have the lowest risk of having high blood pressure, high
cholesterol, stroke, abnormal heart rhythm and diabetes. Married people have the lowest risk of having
mobility difficulties, ADL and IADLs difficulties, long-standing illness and depression.
42
Table 28: bivariate logistic regression model for marital status and health outcomes
Health outcomes p-value OR 95% C.I.for OR
Lower Upper
Poor Self-reported health
Marital
status
p<0.001
Single .750 .948 .685 1.314
Married .000 .574 .467 .706
Separated .765 1.096 .600 2.004
Divorced .802 .966 .738 1.264
Widowed . 1
High blood pressure
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single p<0.001 .475 .385 .586
Married p<0.001 .546 .485 .614
Separated p<0.001 .299 .187 .476
Divorced p<0.001 .577 .489 .682
Widowed . 1
High cholesterol
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single .001 .685 .553 .849
Married .000 .756 .668 .856
Separated .024 .609 .396 .938
Divorced .003 .771 .648 .916
Widowed . 1
Stroke
Marital
Status
. p<0.001
Single p<0.001 .361 .204 .640
Married p<0.001 .424 .326 .552
Separated .054 .249 .061 1.024
Divorced .001 .505 .338 .753
Widowed . 1
Abnormal heart rhythm
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single .004 .559 .375 .833
Married p<0.001 .609 .494 .751
43
Separated .033 .332 .121 .914
Divorced .001 .571 .415 .785
Widowed . 1
Angina
Marital
Status
.482
Single .343 .544 .154 1.915
Married .235 .683 .364 1.281
Separated .450 1.782 .397 7.989
Divorced .306 .602 .228 1.590
Widowed . 1
Congestive heart failure
Marital
Status
.650
Single .624 .675 .140 3.258
Married .210 .571 .238 1.371
Separated .642 1.648 .201 13.507
Divorced .402 .560 .145 2.171
Widowed . 1
Diabetes
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single p<0.001 .534 .380 .751
Married p<0.001 .613 .514 .732
Separated .036 .456 .219 .950
Divorced p<0.001 .618 .476 .804
Widowed . 1
Heart attack
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single p<0.001 .261 .142 .478
Married p<0.001 .489 .385 .621
Separated .322 .653 .280 1.519
Divorced .003 .579 .406 .826
Widowed . 1
Heart murmur
Marital
Status
.009
Single .073 .600 .343 1.048
Married p<0.001 .578 .429 .779
Separated .311 .545 .169 1.763
Divorced .026 .602 .384 .942
44
Widowed . 1
No ADL and IADL difficulties
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single p<0.001 2.897 2.316 3.623
Married p<0.001 2.937 2.601 3.318
Separated .001 2.003 1.330 3.016
Divorced p<0.001 2.016 1.700 2.391
Widowed . 1
No mobility difficulties
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single p<0.001 2.668 2.187 3.255
Married p<0.001 2.874 2.532 3.263
Separated p<0.001 2.424 1.668 3.522
Divorced p<0.001 2.047 1.731 2.421
Widowed . 1
Long-standing illness
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single p<0.001 .572 .470 .696
Married p<0.001 .508 .450 .574
Separated .009 .606 .417 .882
Divorced p<0.001 .723 .613 .854
Widowed . 1
Not depressed
Marital
Status
p<0.001
Single p<0.001 1.915 1.539 2.381
Married p<0.001 2.695 2.372 3.063
Separated .816 1.048 .706 1.556
Divorced p<0.001 1.366 1.152 1.620
Widowed 1
4.4.1.2 gender and health outcomes
Gender is not associated with self-reported general health. Compared with male ones, female one only had
56% of chance of not feeling depressed. As for cardiovascular diseases, female ones are more likely to have
heart murmur (OR=1.357). For abnormal heart rhythm, diabetes, heart attack and heart murmur, male
individuals have higher risks. Also, female respondents are less likely not to have mobility (OR=0.619) and
ADL/ IADLs problems(OR=0.806).
45
Table 29: bivariate logistic regression model for gender and health outcomes
Health outcomes p-value OR 95% C.I.for OR
Lower Upper
Poor Self-reported general health Gender
Male 1
Female .780 .978 .835 1.145
High blood pressure Gender
Male 1
Female .008 .888 .815 .969
High cholesterol
Gender
Male 1
Female .131 .933 .854 1.021
Stroke
Gender
Male 1
Female .108 .831 .664 1.042
Abnormal heart rhythm
Gender
Male 1
Female .004 .782 .662 .923
Angina
Male 1
Female .111 .669 .409 1.097
Congestive heart failure
Gender
Male 1
Female .069 .511 .248 1.053
Diabetes
Gender
Male 1
Female p<0.001 .675 .587 .776
Heart attack
Gender
Male 1
Female p<0.001 .388 .314 .479
Heart murmur
Gender
46
Male 1
Female . p<0.001 1.357 1.059 1.738
No ADL and IADL difficulties
Gender
Male 1
Female p<0.001 .806 .734 .886
No mobility difficulties Gender
Male 1
Female p<0.001 .619 .571 .672
Long-standing illness Gender
Male 1
Female p<0.001 1.018 .938 1.104
Not depressed Gender
Male 1
Female p<0.001 .565 .511 .625
4.4.1.3 age and health outcomes
Interestingly, people who were aged between 60 to 69 are most unlikely to feel depressed. People who aged
between 70 to 79 have the highest risk of high cholesterol (OR=2.629). However, 80 to 89 years old
individuals are most likely to have high blood pressure(OR=1.420) and diabetes (1.970). For heart murmur,
long-standing illness, depression, ADLs and IADLs and depression, people who younger than 90 years old
have significant reduced risk. In the case of ADL/IADL and mobility, the risks increases as the age get older.
Table 30: bivariate logistic regression model for age and health outcomes
p value OR 95% C.I.for OR
Lower Upper
Health outcomes
Poor Self-reported general health Age p<0.001
50-59 .948 .978 .465 1.729
60-69 .744 .896 .615 2.299
70-79 .606 1.189 .948 3.621
80-89 .071 1.853 .948 3.621
90+ 1
High blood pressure Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .321 .235 .439
60-69 .002 .627 .465 .845
47
70-79 .519 1.104 .818 1.490
80-89 .028 1.420 1.038 1.942
90+ 1
High cholesterol
Age p<0.001
50-59 .361 .834 .565 1.231
60-69 p<0.001 1.989 1.364 2.900
70-79 p<0.001 2.629 1.799 3.841
80-89 p<0.001 2.593 1.754 3.833
90+ 1
Stroke
Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .102 .052 .202
60-69 p<0.001 .195 .111 .345
70-79 .051 .583 .339 1.003
80-89 .993 1.003 .575 1.748
90+ 1
Abnormal heart rhythm
Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .248 .146 .422
60-69 .001 .446 .274 .726
70-79 .335 .788 .486 1.279
80-89 .528 1.174 .713 1.933
90+ 1
Angina Age .123
50-59 .995 16469010.128 .000 .
60-69 .996 6705304.938 .000 .
70-79 .995 12950152.062 .000 .
80-89 .996 12158280.110 .000 .
90+ 1
Congestive heart failure
Age .034
50-59 .092 .092 .006 1.482
60-69 .420 .424 .053 3.409
70-79 .891 1.152 .151 8.768
80-89 .942 1.082 .130 9.035
90+ 1
Diabetes
Age p<0.001
50-59 .168 .666 .373 1.188
60-69 .532 1.194 .685 2.083
70-79 .044 1.771 1.015 3.091
80-89 .020 1.970 1.112 3.490
90+ 1
48
Heart attack
Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .121 .061 .239
60-69 .001 .374 .214 .655
70-79 .154 .668 .383 1.163
80-89 .139 1.526 .872 2.670
90+ 1
Heart murmur
Age p<0.001
50-59 .001 .341 .177 .655
60-69 .001 .362 .194 .674
70-79 .040 .521 .279 .972
80-89 .270 .692 .360 1.331
90+ 1
No ADL and IADL difficulties
Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 15.763 11.164 22.257
60-69 p<0.001 12.927 9.249 18.068
70-79 p<0.001 7.496 5.359 10.486
80-89 p<0.001 3.000 2.123 4.238
90+ 1
No mobility difficulties Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 15.129 9.442 24.241
60-69 p<0.001 10.232 6.411 16.330
70-79 p<0.001 5.685 3.554 9.094
80-89 p<0.001 2.379 1.464 3.865
90+ 1
Long-standing illness Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .246 .176 .345
60-69 p<0.001 .360 .258 .502
70-79 p<0.001 .534 .382 .747
80-89 .088 .737 .519 1.047
90+ 1
Not depressed Age p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 2.334 1.645 3.311
60-69 p<0.001 2.909 2.062 4.105
70-79 p<0.001 2.112 1.494 2.985
80-89 .045 1.444 1.009 2.068
90+ 1
.
49
4.4.1.4 qualification and health outcomes
Except for heart murmur, angina and congestive heart failure, qualification is significant. People with
qualification have reduced risk of diseases, ADL/IADL and mobility problems and being depressed.
Table 31: bivariate logistic regression model for qualification and health outcomes
p-value OR 95% C.I.for OR
Lower Upper
Health outcomes Whether have qualification?
Poor Self-reported general health
Yes p<0.001 2.499 2.125 2.939
No 1
High blood pressure
Yes .000 1.546 1.407 1.699
No 1
High cholesterol
Yes .000 1.412 1.282 1.556
No 1
Stroke
Yes .000 1.869 1.485 2.352
No 1
Abnormal heart rhythm
Yes .760 1.029 .857 1.236
No 1
Angina
Yes .770 1.084 .632 1.860
No 1
Congestive heart failure
Yes .739 .872 .390 1.952
No 1
Diabetes
Yes .000 1.664 1.441 1.923
50
No 1
Heart attack
Yes .000 1.727 1.407 2.120
No 1
Heart murmur
Yes .597 1.074 .826 1.396
No 1
No ADL and IADL difficulties
Yes .000 .385 .349 .425
No 1
No mobility difficulties
Yes .000 .424 .385 .466
No 1
Long-standing illness
Yes .000 1.820 1.657 1.999
No 1
Not depressed
Yes .000 .489 .441 .543
No 1
4.4.1.5 social participation and health outcomes
Except for abnormal heart, angina, congestive heart failure which social participation is not significant, being
a member of organisations does reduce the risk of poor health.
Table 32: bivariate logistic regression model for social participation and health outcomes
p-value OR 95% C.I. OR
Lower Upper
51
Poor Self-
reported general
health
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .000 2.383 1.988 2.857
No 1
High blood
pressure
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .071 .909 .819 1.008
No 1
High cholesterol
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .005 .859 .773 .954
No 1
Stroke
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .001 .637 .489 .831
No 1
Abnormal heart
rhythm
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .546 1.064 .871 1.300
No 1
Angina Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .943 .979 .545 1.759
No 1
Congestive heart
failure
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .543 .778 .346 1.748
No 1
Diabetes
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .000 .734 .624 .864
No 1
Heart attack
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .000 .655 .519 .826
52
No 1
Heart murmur
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .518 1.100 .824 1.470
No 1
No ADL and
IADL difficulties
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .000 1.601 1.430 1.793
No 1
No mobility
difficulties
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .000 1.564 1.416 1.728
No 1
Long-standing
illness
Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .000 .764 .692 .844
No 1
Not depressed Whether the respondent is a
member of an organization?
Yes .000 1.745 1.561 1.951
No 1
4.4.1.6 Social-economic class
Interestingly, social-economic class is not significant with any health outcomes(p>0.05). So the table for it is
not included.
53
4.4.1.7 drinking, smoking and exercising
Not smoking people have reduced risk in self-reported health, high blood pressure, abnormal heart rhythm and
depression. People who did not smoke are also more likely not to have ADL and IADL difficulties. Not
exercising people have higher risk of high blood pressure, diabetes, heart attack, long-standing illness. Also,
people who did not reported they exercised the day before the interview have less chance of not having ADL
and IADL difficulties. It is worth to notice that people who reported that they have been drinking for the last
seven days have better health outcomes than people they did not.
Table 33: bivariate logistic regression model for smoking and health outcomes
p-value OR 95% C.I. OR
Lower Upper
Health outcomes Smoking
Poor Self-reported general
health
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .496 .405 .608
High blood pressure
Yes 1
No p<0.001 1.412 1.216 1.639
High cholesterol
Yes 1
No .731 1.026 .887 1.187
Stroke
Smoking
Yes 1
No .837 .965 .684 1.361
Abnormal heart rhythm
Smoking
Yes 1
No p<0.001 1.839 1.310 2.579
Angina
yes 1
54
no .473 .774 .384 1.561
Congestive heart failure
Smoking
Yes 1
No .484 1.539 .460 5.151
Diabetes
Smoking
Yes 1
No .251 1.145 .908 1.444
Heart attack
Smoking
Yes 1
No .118 1.297 .936 1.796
Heart murmur
Smoking
Yes 1
No .712 1.079 .721 1.615
No ADL and IADL
difficulties
Smoking
Yes 1
No .013 1.199 1.039 1.385
No mobility difficulties Smoking
Yes 1
No .259 1.080 .945 1.234
Long-standing illness Smoking
Yes 1
No .085 .888 .776 1.017
Not depressed Smoking
Yes 1
No p<0.001 1.715 1.483 1.985
55
Table 34: bivariate logistic regression model for exercising and health outcomes
p-value OR 95% C.I. OR
Lower Upper
Health outcomes
Poor Self-reported general
health
Exercising
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .299 .248 .361
High blood pressure Exercising
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .774 .704 .850
High cholesterol
Exercising
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .842 .765 .927
Stroke
Exercising
Yes 1
No .006 .705 .550 .904
Abnormal heart rhythm
Exercising
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .676 .566 .808
Angina Exercising
yes 1
no .059 .602 .355 1.019
Congestive heart failure
Exercising
Yes 1
No .564 .803 .382 1.691
Diabetes
Exercising
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .587 .505 .683
Heart attack Exercising
56
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .652 .524 .812
Heart murmur
Exercising
Yes 1
No .134 .822 .637 1.062
No ADL and IADL
difficulties
Exercising
Yes 1
No .013 1.199 1.039 1.385
No mobility difficulties Exercising
Yes 1
No .259 1.080 .945 1.234
Long-standing illness Exercising
Yes 1
No p<0.001 .620 .566 .679
Not depressed Exercising
Yes 1
No p<0.001 1.755 1.581 1.948
Table 35 bivariate logistic regression model for drinking and health outcomes
p-value OR 95% C.I. OR
Lower Upper
Poor self-reported general
health
Drinking
Yes 1
No .000 2.444 1.972 3.029
High blood pressure Drinking
Yes 1
No .000 1.328 1.186 1.486
57
High cholesterol
Drinking
Yes 1
No .002 1.204 1.073 1.351
Stroke
Drinking
Yes 1
No .001 1.635 1.215 2.199
Abnormal heart rhythm
Drinking
Yes 1
No .881 1.017 .816 1.266
Angina Drinking
Yes 1
No .039 1.920 1.034 3.564
Congestive heart failure
Drinking
Yes 1
No .090 2.114 .889 5.025
Diabetes
Drinking
Yes 1
No .000 1.772 1.480 2.122
Heart attack
Drinking
Yes 1
No .048 1.309 1.002 1.710
Heart murmur
Drinking
Yes 1
No .004 1.565 1.156 2.119
No ADL and IADL
difficulties
Drinking
Yes 1
58
No .000 .524 .462 .595
No mobility difficulties Drinking
Yes 1
No .000 .552 .495 .616
Long-standing illness Drinking
Yes 1
No .000 1.584 1.420 1.767
Not depressed Drinking
Yes 1
No .000 .468 .413 .529
4.4.2 Multivariate model
4.4.2.1 self-reported general health
In model 1, marital status is significant for self-reported health. Married people have 0.680 of risk to report
poor health. In model 2, the marital status remained significant after adapted qualification and social
participation variables. Compared with widowed people, married people only have 0.693 chance of having
poor self-rated health. In model 3, marital status is no longer significant.
Table 36: multivariate logistic regression model for poor self-reported general health
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p
value
OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher
Age .000 .007 .420
50-59 .746 1.120 .565 2.221 .255 1.848 .641 5.322 .998 101982472.025 .000 .
60-69 .908 1.040 .531 2.039 .306 1.719 .609 4.851 .997 114230310.125 .000 .
70-79 .364 1.363 .699 2.659 .160 2.096 .746 5.888 .997 149454229.555 .000 .
80-89 .040 2.025 1.034 3.969 .042 2.934 1.038 8.292 .997 141607160.139 .000 .
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
59
female .261 .910 .773 1.072 .046 .817 .669 .996 .152 .812 .611 1.080
Marital
status
.000 p<0.001 .204
Single .421 1.154 .814 1.635 .442 1.194 .760 1.878 .358 1.355 .709 2.590
Married .001 .680 .540 .858 .079 .775 .584 1.030 .410 .832 .537 1.289
divorced .299 1.387 .748 2.572 .318 1.495 .679 3.291 .824 .843 .187 3.801
Separated .222 1.199 .896 1.604 .082 1.371 .961 1.956 .501 1.202 .703 2.057
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes p<0.001 .469 .382 .577 .002 .623 .463 .839
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes p<0.001 .495 .406 .603 .005 .663 .498 .884
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.900 .187
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial
and
professional
.980 1.012 .391 2.619 .561 1.556 .350 6.915
intermediate .898 .938 .355 2.477 .412 1.881 .415 8.514
Small
employers/
own
account
worker
.862 .917 .345 2.438 .526 1.636 .358 7.469
Lower
supervisory
and
technical
.928 .955 .356 2.563 .744 1.293 .277 6.028
Semi-
routine
.771 .868 .334 2.255 .911 1.090 .243 4.882
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .012 .650 .464 .910
Drink
alcohol
yes 1
No p<0.001 1.869 1.400 2.494
Exercise? Yes 1
No p<0.001 3.177 2.376 4.247
60
4.4.2.2 Cardiovascular diseases
4.4.2.2.1 High blood pressure
In model 1, the p-values of marital status, age and gender are less than 0.05 which means that all of them are
risk factors. In model 3, marital status is not significant after included all the variables simultaneously.
However, other variables remained significant. Not having qualifications, not exercising and smoking are the
risk factors for high blood pressure. Notice that people that drank still less likely to have high blood
pressure(risk=1.00), relative to people they did not drank (risk=1.334).
Table 37: multivariate logistic regression model for high blood pressure
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher
Age p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .385 .278 .532 p<0.001 .310 .196 .489 .002 .352 .184 .671
60-69 .048 .731 .536 .997 p<0.001 .452 .291 .701 .065 .559 .301 1.038
70-79 .160 1.247 .917 1.697 .292 .790 .510 1.224 .877 .952 .514 1.765
80-89 .010 1.515 1.104 2.077 .853 1.043 .666 1.633 .895 1.044 .554 1.964
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .002 .863 .787 .946 p<0.001 .786 .708 .873 p<0.001 .746 .645 .862
Marital status .000 p<0.001 p<0.001
Single .011 .747 .597 .935 .442 1.194 .760 1.878 .002 .352 .184 .671
Married p<0.001 .754 .659 .862 .079 .775 .584 1.030 .065 .559 .301 1.038
divorced .004 .498 .308 .804 .318 1.495 .679 3.291 .877 .952 .514 1.765
Separated .119 .866 .723 1.038 .082 1.371 .961 1.956 .895 1.044 .554 1.964
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes p<0.001 .469 .382 .577 .027 .831 .706 .979
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes p<0.001 .495 .406 .603 .401 .935 .799 1.094
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.900 .097
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.980 1.012 .391 2.619 .541 1.277 .583 2.795
intermediate .898 .938 .355 2.477 .416 1.391 .628 3.082
61
Small
employers/ own
account worker
.862 .917 .345 2.438 .654 1.201 .540 2.670
Lower
supervisory and
technical
.928 .955 .356 2.563 .152 1.801 .805 4.029
Semi-routine .771 .868 .334 2.255 .420 1.381 .630 3.027
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .014 1.307 1.057 1.616
Drink alcohol yes 1
No p<0.001 1.352 1.150 1.590
Exercise? Yes 1
No p<0.001 1.313 1.139 1.513
4.4.2.2.2 High cholesterol
In model 1, marital status is not significant. However, in model 2, age, qualification and social participation
remained significant. People who aged between 80 to 89 years have the highest risk of high cholesterol
(risk=2.040). Qualification and social participation were still risk factors for high cholesterol, with reduced
risks of 0.779 and 0.827 respectively. In model 3, age, qualification, social participation, exercising are
significant.
Table 38: multivariate logistic regression model for high cholesterol
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher
Age .000 .000 .000
50-59 .607 .900 .603 1.344 .414 .806 .481 1.352 .177 1.950 .740 5.140
60-69 .000 2.131 1.447 3.138 .065 1.602 .972 2.642 .002 4.374 1.693 11.299
70-79 .000 2.779 1.890 4.085 .005 2.045 1.242 3.367 .001 5.319 2.062 13.720
80-89 .000 2.672 1.804 3.957 .003 2.141 1.288 3.556 .000 5.491 2.108 14.303
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .264 .948 .864 1.041 .007 .866 .779 .961 .023 .846 .732 .977
Marital status .460 .703 .828
Single .468 .919 .732 1.155 .472 .909 .699 1.180 .296 .820 .565 1.189
Married .075 .882 .768 1.013 .256 .913 .781 1.068 .493 .925 .740 1.156
62
divorced .475 .850 .545 1.327 .257 .733 .428 1.254 .471 .755 .351 1.623
Separated .515 .940 .781 1.132 .328 .900 .728 1.112 .460 .895 .668 1.200
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes .000 .779 .692 .877 .089 .867 .735 1.022
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes .001 .827 .738 .927 .051 .856 .732 1.001
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.110 .006
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.161 .689 .409 1.160 .015 .407 .197 .840
intermediate .267 .740 .435 1.259 .053 .483 .231 1.010
Small employers/
own account worker
.246 .729 .427 1.243 .034 .448 .214 .941
Lower supervisory
and technical
.676 .892 .520 1.528 .217 .624 .296 1.319
Semi-routine .271 .746 .442 1.257 .049 .482 .233 .997
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .923 .990 .805 1.217
Drink alcohol yes 1
No .082 1.156 .982 1.362
Exercise? Yes 1
No .013 1.198 1.038 1.381
4.4.2.2.3 stroke
In model I, marital status is not significant. People who were at early old ages show significant reduced risk of
stroke. Model 2 and model 3 showed that marital status was no longer significant.
Table 39: multivariate logistic regression model for stroke
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p value OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher
Age p<0.001 .000 .000
63
50-59 .000 .118 .058 .240 .000 .111 .044 .277 .007 .144 .035 .596
60-69 .000 .219 .120 .398 .000 .169 .077 .369 .011 .191 .053 .685
70-79 .119 .640 .365 1.122 .072 .506 .241 1.062 .400 .588 .171 2.023
80-89 .848 1.056 .603 1.852 .728 .876 .416 1.845 .656 1.324 .385 4.553
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .032 .771 .608 .978 .100 .792 .600 1.046 .032 .651 .439 .964
Marital status .217 .393 .316
Single .367 .761 .420 1.379 .129 .533 .237 1.201 .854 1.101 .393 3.086
Married .068 .756 .561 1.020 .290 .828 .583 1.175 .418 1.253 .726 2.161
divorced .493 .606 .145 2.535 .411 .431 .058 3.208 .722 1.456 .184 11.556
Separated .764 1.068 .696 1.638 .837 1.055 .635 1.753 .042 2.071 1.026 4.181
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes .511 .906 .676 1.215 .754 .937 .622 1.411
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes .001 .619 .467 .820 .393 .840 .563 1.253
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.928 .994
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and professional .865 1.134 .266 4.830 .746 1.403 .180 10.952
intermediate .694 1.343 .309 5.831 .751 1.402 .174 11.286
Small employers/ own
account worker
.890 1.110 .251 4.907 .704 1.500 .186 12.125
Lower supervisory and
technical
.887 1.115 .250 4.975 .641 1.648 .202 13.425
Semi-routine .727 1.294 .304 5.517 .751 1.394 .179 10.884
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .271 .739 .432 1.265
Drink alcohol yes 1
No .433 1.181 .779 1.790
Exercise? Yes 1
No .287 1.221 .846 1.764
4.4.2.2.4 Abnormal heart rhythm
Model 3 indicates that gender, marital status, smoking, exercising are risk factors for abnormal heart rhythm.
Single people were least likely to have abnormal heart, with 0.374 of risk compared with widowed ones.
Table 40: multivariate logistic regression model for abnormal heart rhythm
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
64
p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher
Age .000 .000 .000
50-59 .000 .270 .155 .470 .000 .215 .106 .437 .001 .207 .079 .542
60-69 .004 .473 .284 .786 .001 .337 .176 .647 .010 .331 .143 .770
70-79 .444 .823 .500 1.355 .191 .652 .344 1.237 .197 .581 .255 1.326
80-89 .481 1.198 .725 1.980 .994 1.003 .524 1.917 .377 .684 .294 1.591
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .003 .766 .644 .911 .003 .748 .617 .908 .018 .709 .533 .943
Marital status .726 .726 .022
Single .609 .896 .589 1.363 .291 .766 .467 1.257 .020 .374 .163 .855
Married .240 .868 .685 1.099 .410 .895 .688 1.165 .002 .562 .390 .809
divorced .313 .590 .212 1.643 .695 .812 .287 2.300 .626 .693 .158 3.029
Separated .581 .909 .647 1.276 .226 .783 .526 1.163 .064 .598 .347 1.031
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes .082 1.218 .975 1.521 .402 1.148 .832 1.583
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes .689 .958 .775 1.183 .375 1.153 .842 1.580
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.665 .981
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.900 .942 .368 2.408 .933 1.066 .244 4.651
intermediate .547 .744 .284 1.949 .977 .978 .218 4.383
Small employers/
own account worker
.834 .902 .344 2.366 .882 1.120 .250 5.025
Lower supervisory
and technical
.944 1.035 .393 2.728 .869 1.136 .250 5.163
Semi-routine .883 .931 .363 2.388 .971 .973 .222 4.263
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .011 1.993 1.169 3.397
Drink alcohol yes 1
No .857 .971 .703 1.341
Exercise? Yes 1
No .001 1.575 1.202 2.064
65
4.4.2.2.5 angina
For angina, only gender remained significant in three models. After including all the variables, females are
less likely to have angina than males (OR=0.352, 95% CI 0.137, 0.902).
Table 41: multivariate logistic regression model for angina
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher
Age .079 .079 .087 .087 .044 .044
50-59 .995 26305209.679 .000 .995 .997 24752941.497 .000 .997 .998 58360261.498 .000 .998
60-69 .996 9901001.230 .000 .996 .997 7277325.597 .000 .997 .998 7125007.850 .000 .998
70-79 .995 17260699.074 .000 .995 .997 18525397.362 .000 .997 .998 26355921.114 .000 .998
80-89 .995 13885877.873 .000 .995 .997 16268767.293 .000 .997 .998 15549506.983 .000 .998
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .034 .575 .344 .959 .035 .517 .280 .955 .030 .352 .137 .902
Marital
status
.212 .198
Single .121 .350 .092 1.321 .313 .377 .137 .179 .019 1.730
Married .054 .497 .244 1.012 .227 .477 .077 1.838 .019 .261 .085 .802
divorced .764 1.269 .269 5.995 .067 1.092 .216 1.053 .998 .000 .000 .
Separated .148 .467 .166 1.310 .935 .337 .133 8.982 .103 .236 .042 1.339
Widowed 1 1 .088 1.285 1
1
Qualification Yes .825 .925 .463 1.848 .364 1.696 .542 5.299
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes .876 .950 .496 1.818 .493 1.408 .529 3.751
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.702
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial
and
professional
.344 .344 .998 9252516.773 .000
intermediate .997 12113535.150 .000 .997 .998 9612887.753 .000
Small
employers/
own account
worker
.997 7432876.696 .000 .997 .998 5879112.393 .000
Lower
supervisory
and technical
.997 10450822.410 .000 .997 .998 16480276.115 .000
Semi-routine .997 15616424.208 .000 .997 .998 5147549.736 .000
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .645 1.354 .372 4.926
66
Drink
alcohol
yes 1
No .199 1.810 .733 4.469
Exercise? Yes 1
No .147 1.872 .802 4.368
4.4.2.2.6 Congestive heart failure
For congestive heart failure, all the variables are not significant.
Table 42: multivariate logistic regression model for congestive heart failure
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher
Age .046 .024 .639
50-59 .114 .101 .006 1.741 .997 898507.013 .000 . 1.000 1.086 .000
60-69 .478 .457 .052 3.977 .997 2436827.068 .000 . .998 5043406.613 .000
70-79 .841 1.238 .155 9.912 .997 9519987.694 .000 . .998 11187916.829 .000
80-89 .906 1.137 .134 9.635 .997 7500585.339 .000 . .998 3610558.676 .000
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .062 .489 .230 1.038 .129 .527 .231 1.204 .102 .358 .105 1.224
Marital status .677 .493 .793
Single .936 1.069 .208 5.495 .545 1.729 .293 10.186 .774 .705 .065 7.649
Married .517 .726 .276 1.912 .939 .955 .295 3.096 .234 .418 .099 1.757
divorced .305 3.096 .358 26.790 .134 5.692 .587 55.225 .998 .000 .000 .
Separated .856 .877 .212 3.626 .729 1.317 .277 6.253 .758 .740 .109 5.022
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes .639 1.245 .499 3.106 .568 .715 .226 2.262
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes .393 .694 .300 1.606 .772 1.200 .350 4.116
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.172 .291
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.997 5736578.091 .000 . .998 4108901.366 .000
intermediate .997 5155764.930 .000 . .998 7747160.832 .000
Small employers/
own account
.997 10882796.202 .000 . .998 15254108.251 .000
67
worker
Lower
supervisory and
technical
.997 3922525.045 .000 . 1.000 .953 .000
Semi-routine .998 1258491.632 .000 . .998 2454791.445 .000
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .267 .462 .119 1.803
Drink alcohol yes 1
No .725 1.244 .368 4.211
Exercise? Yes 1
No .942 .959 .312 2.946
4.4.2.2.7 diabetes
In model 1, gender, marital status and age are all significant. Single people have the lowest risk of diabetes
(0.614), relative to divorced people (risk=1). In addition, being married and divorced also have lower risks.
People who aged 70 to 79 and 80-89 are 2 times more likely to have diabetes than people aged 90 and over.
The odds ratio for female ones is 0.635, indicating that male ones have higher risk. In model 2, social
participation and qualification turned out to have reduced risk (OR=0.746, OR=0.691). Model 3 indicates that
marital status, age, exercising and drinking are the risk factors for diabetes. Divorced people have the lowest
risk of having diabetes, with odds ratio of 0.574, followed by married people (OR=0.680). Not exercising
increase the chance of diabetes to 171.8%. However, not drinking also increase the risk to 194.8%.
Table 43: multivariate logistic regression model for diabetes
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher
Age p<0.001 p<0.001 .002
50-59 .688 .885 .487 1.607 .460 1.393 .578 3.354 .823 1.155 .327 4.082
60-69 .163 1.502 .848 2.663 .176 1.803 .767 4.241 .165 2.361 .702 7.936
70-79 .010 2.116 1.200 3.730 .054 2.305 .984 5.399 .109 2.689 .803 9.002
80-89 .009 2.157 1.213 3.834 .027 2.630 1.114 6.210 .217 2.168 .634 7.414
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .p<0.001 .635 .549 .734 p<0.001 .574 .486 .677 p<0.001 .486 .381 .620
Marital status .001 .049 .014
Single .008 .614 .429 .879 .116 .723 .482 1.083 .568 .853 .494 1.472
68
Married .p<0.001 .641 .525 .783 .004 .711 .563 .896 .008 .636 .455 .891
divorced .153 .581 .276 1.223 .284 .623 .262 1.480 .123 .204 .027 1.539
Separated .019 .715 .540 .946 .014 .657 .471 .917 .004 .483 .296 .788
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes p<0.001 .679 .568 .812 .662 .943 .725 1.226
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes .002 .760 .639 .903 .607 1.069 .830 1.376
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.172 .226
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.385 .701 1.271 .375 4.312
intermediate .824 1.103 .465 2.615 .851 1.127 .325 3.911
Small
employers/ own
account worker
.832 1.100 .457 2.647 .861 1.118 .321 3.898
Lower
supervisory and
technical
.966 1.020 .421 2.470 .489 1.555 .445 5.428
Semi-routine .445 1.412 .583 3.421 .941 .955 .280 3.260
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .593 1.097 .781 1.539
Drink alcohol yes 1
No p<0.001 1.948 1.523 2.491
Exercise? Yes 1
No p<0.001 1.718 1.369 2.156
4.4.2.2.8 Heart Attack
In model 1, single people have the lowest risk of heart attack(OR=0.400), while the figure for married people
is 0.632, relative to widowed people. Model 3 indicated that gender, exercising are the two risk factors for
heart attack. Females were much less likely to have heart attack(OR=0.273) than males. Not exercising
increase the chance of diabetes to 163.9%.
69
Table 44: multivariate logistic regression model for heart attack
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher
Age p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .149 .073 .304 p<0.001 .143 .055 .367 .344 .462 .093 2.283
60-69 .004 .417 .231 .754 .013 .364 .164 .806 .905 .914 .207 4.035
70-79 .287 .731 .411 1.302 .396 .714 .328 1.554 .495 1.670 .383 7.278
80-89 .095 1.626 .919 2.878 .403 1.395 .640 3.038 .236 2.444 .557 10.721
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female p<0.001 .338 .270 .423 p<0.001 .322 .248 .418 p<0.001 .273 .188 .399
Marital status p<0.001 .030 .226
Single .004 .400 .213 .749 .028 .441 .212 .916 .075 .370 .124 1.107
Married .001 .632 .480 .833 .048 .720 .520 .997 .428 .828 .519 1.322
divorced .534 1.320 .550 3.170 .303 1.679 .626 4.502 .776 .741 .094 5.835
Separated .994 .999 .678 1.470 .924 .978 .616 1.553 .541 1.215 .651 2.269
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes .043 .765 .590 .991 .201 .796 .561 1.129
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes p<0.001 .631 .491 .809 .178 .793 .566 1.111
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.231 .077
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.656 .783 .267 2.297 .766 .794 .175 3.612
intermediate .837 .892 .298 2.668 .781 1.243 .269 5.748
Small
employers/ own
account worker
.730 .823 .271 2.494 .997 1.003 .214 4.695
Lower
supervisory and
technical
.939 1.044 .345 3.159 .659 1.415 .303 6.604
Semi-routine .408 .633 .214 1.869 .680 .726 .159 3.320
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .349 1.279 .764 2.142
Drink alcohol yes 1
No .823 1.043 .719 1.514
Exercise? Yes 1
No .002 1.639 1.199 2.239
70
4.4.2.2.9 Heart Murmur
In model 1, marital status is not significant. The odds ratio for women is 1.308 which means females are more
likely have heart murmur condition. Also, people who aged 50-59 and 60-69 have reduced risk of heart
murmur (OR=0.393, OR=0.422). In model 3, only age remained to be significant. People who aged 50 to 79
years old are significantly less to have heart murmur.
Table 45: multivariate logistic regression model for heart murmur
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p
value
OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher
Age .005 .004 .002
50-59 .009 .393 .196 .789 .002 .276 .122 .624 .002 .174 .058 .524
60-69 .010 .422 .218 .817 p<0.001 .251 .117 .542 .001 .173 .064 .468
70-79 .110 .590 .309 1.126 .004 .331 .156 .702 .002 .217 .082 .577
80-89 .372 .741 .383 1.431 .041 .447 .207 .968 .094 .431 .161 1.154
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .039 1.308 1.013 1.689 .019 1.410 1.059 1.876 .240 1.279 .848 1.929
Marital status .854 .698 .777
Single .680 .884 .491 1.590 .236 .650 .318 1.325 .809 .895 .363 2.204
Married .252 .819 .581 1.153 .205 .785 .539 1.141 .213 .710 .415 1.217
divorced .706 .795 .242 2.614 .596 .676 .159 2.874 .734 .700 .090 5.466
Separated .509 .851 .526 1.375 .398 .794 .465 1.356 .385 .709 .326 1.540
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes .575 1.095 .797 1.504 .291 1.289 .805 2.066
No 1 1
Social participation Yes p<0.001 .631 .491 .809 .440 1.195 .761 1.878
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.788 .587
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and professional .458 2.129 .290 15.632 .955 .943 .123 7.244
intermediate .486 2.045 .273 15.334 .886 .858 .106 6.921
Small employers/ own account
worker
.439 2.218 .295 16.700 .948 .932 .115 7.575
Lower supervisory and technical .454 2.171 .285 16.530 .851 1.223 .151 9.935
Semi-routine .353 2.573 .350 18.897 .759 1.375 .180 10.487
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .457 .808 .461 1.417
Drink alcohol yes 1
No .057 1.508 .988 2.303
Exercise? Yes 1
No .796 1.054 .709 1.566
71
4.4.2.3 Long-standing illness
In model 1, age is not significant. Married people 71.1% of chances to have a long-standing illness, relative to
widowed people (risk=1). However, all the other categories are no longer significant. In model 2, after taking
qualification and social participation into account, the 50 to 59 age group appeared to be significant, people at
that age group have the 0.473 risk of having a long-standing illness compared with people who aged 90 years
old. Married people have 77.9% chance of having a long-standing illness, relative to those who were widowed.
People with qualifications and social have reduced risks of long-standing illness, with the odds ratios of 0.719
and 0.800 respectively. Model 3 indicates that marital status, qualification, drinking and exercising are risk
factors for long-standing illness. The odds ratio for married people is 0.730 which means married people are
73.0% less likely to have a long-standing illness. Qualification and exercising made people are less likely to
have long-standing illness. Interestingly, people who drank have the reduced risk of long-standing illness
(OR=1.434).
Table 48: multivariate logistic regression model for long-standing illness
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher
Age p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 .292 .206 .414 .002 .473 .295 .760 .385 .752 .395 1.430
60-69 p<0.001 .425 .302 .600 .077 .659 .415 1.047 .520 1.228 .657 2.295
70-79 .006 .617 .438 .870 .646 .897 .565 1.425 .113 1.659 .888 3.100
80-89 .230 .805 .565 1.147 .589 1.140 .709 1.834 .051 1.895 .996 3.607
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .604 .978 .898 1.064 .744 1.017 .921 1.122 .940 .995 .867 1.141
Marital status p<0.001 .000 .011
Single .212 .875 .710 1.079 .769 .964 .752 1.234 .336 .843 .595 1.194
Married p<0.001 .711 .620 .815 .002 .779 .667 .911 .006 .730 .584 .912
divorced .885 .972 .662 1.428 .118 .685 .426 1.101 .184 .629 .318 1.246
Separated .472 1.067 .894 1.275 .506 1.072 .873 1.317 .750 .954 .716 1.272
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes p<0.001 .719 .640 .808 .069 .861 .733 1.012
No 1 1
Social
participation
p<0.001 .800 .718 .892 .506 .950 .818 1.104
72
NS-SEC
classification
.040 .686
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.987 .761 1.121 .537 2.336
intermediate .622 .879 .526 1.469 .670 1.177 .557 2.484
Small
employers/ own
account worker
.750 .918 .544 1.550 .611 1.215 .574 2.572
Lower
supervisory and
technical
.715 .907 .536 1.534 .905 .955 .447 2.038
Semi-routine .716 .906 .532 1.542 .749 1.127 .540 2.354
Other 1 1
total
Smoke Yes 1
No .111 .853 .702 1.037
Drink alcohol yes 1
No p<0.001 1.486 1.267 1.742
Exercise? Yes 1
No p<0.001 1.655 1.442 1.898
4.4.2.4 ADL and IADL difficulties
In model 1, single and married individuals are advantageous in terms of ADL and IADL, with 142% and
1.539 chances of not having IADL and IADL difficulties. Female ones were less likely to have difficulties in
IADL and IADL. It can be seen that younger ones are more likely to do ADLs and IADLs without any
difficulties. After adding qualification and social participation in model 2, marital status remained significant.
Single and married people have about 1.423 times more likely to do ADLs and IADLs without difficulties.
Also, qualification and social participation help people to gain advantages in terms of ADLs and IADLs.
Model 3 indicates that marital status, age, qualification, smoking, drinking and exercising are risk factors for
ADL and IADL. People who are married have 1.377 chance of not having difficulties in ADLs and IADLs.
Not smoking people are 1.284 times more likely to conduct ADLs and IADLs without difficulties. Not
drinking and not exercising make people less likely to have ADL and IADLs problems(OR=0.703,
OR=0.526).
73
Table 46: multivariate logistic regression model for ADL and IADLs difficulties
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p
value
OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p
value
OR lower higher
Age .005 .004 .002
50-59 .009 .393 .196 .789 .002 .276 .122 .624 .002 .174 .058 .524
60-69 .010 .422 .218 .817 p<0.001 .251 .117 .542 .001 .173 .064 .468
70-79 .110 .590 .309 1.126 .004 .331 .156 .702 .002 .217 .082 .577
80-89 .372 .741 .383 1.431 .041 .447 .207 .968 .094 .431 .161 1.154
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female .039 1.308 1.013 1.689 .019 1.410 1.059 1.876 .240 1.279 .848 1.929
Marital status .854 .698 .777
Single .680 .884 .491 1.590 .236 .650 .318 1.325 .809 .895 .363 2.204
Married .252 .819 .581 1.153 .205 .785 .539 1.141 .213 .710 .415 1.217
divorced .706 .795 .242 2.614 .596 .676 .159 2.874 .734 .700 .090 5.466
Separated .509 .851 .526 1.375 .398 .794 .465 1.356 .385 .709 .326 1.540
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes .575 1.095 .797 1.504 .291 1.289 .805 2.066
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes p<0.001 .631 .491 .809 .440 1.195 .761 1.878
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.788 .587
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.458 2.129 .290 15.632 .955 .943 .123 7.244
intermediate .486 2.045 .273 15.334 .886 .858 .106 6.921
Small employers/
own account
worker
.439 2.218 .295 16.700 .948 .932 .115 7.575
Lower supervisory
and technical
.454 2.171 .285 16.530 .851 1.223 .151 9.935
Semi-routine .353 2.573 .350 18.897 .759 1.375 .180 10.487
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .457 .808 .461 1.417
Drink alcohol yes 1
No .057 1.508 .988 2.303
Exercise? Yes 1
No .796 1.054 .709 1.566
74
4.4.2.5 Mobility difficulties
In model 1, married people have 140% chance of not having difficulties in mobility. The odds ratio for the
female is 0.619 which means female ones are less likely have mobility problem than their male counterparts.
As one gets older, the chance of not having difficulties in mobility decreases. In model 2, marital status
remained significant. The odd's ratio for married people is 1.228. Model 3 indicates that gender, age,
qualification, social participation, exercising and drinking are risk factors for mobility. Female ones have
59.9% chance of not having difficulties in mobility. People who do not exercise or not drinking have 55.0%
and 69.1% chance of not having mobility problems. Qualification and social participation have increased the
chance of not having mobility problems, with odds ratios of 1.423 and 1.326.
Table 47: multivariate logistic regression model for mobility problems
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher
Age p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
50-59 p<0.001 13.135 8.111 21.272 p<0.001 10.303 5.327 19.927 p<0.001 5.462 2.498 11.942
60-69 p<0.001 8.534 5.298 13.747 p<0.001 7.085 3.693 13.594 .001 3.724 1.730 8.017
70-79 p<0.001 4.825 2.996 7.771 p<0.001 4.260 2.221 8.172 .048 2.169 1.007 4.670
80-89 .002 2.128 1.304 3.471 .053 1.927 .991 3.748 .603 1.232 .561 2.709
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female p<0.001 .619 .567 .676 p<0.001 .589 .532 .652 p<0.001 .599 .521 .689
Marital
status
p<0.001 .005 .656
Single .272 1.129 .909 1.403 .601 1.071 .829 1.384 .307 1.205 .842 1.725
Married p<0.001 1.399 1.214 1.613 .010 1.240 1.054 1.460 .161 1.179 .936 1.484
divorced .851 1.038 .703 1.533 .923 1.024 .629 1.669 .728 1.132 .562 2.282
Separated .661 .960 .799 1.153 .803 .973 .787 1.204 .597 1.082 .807 1.451
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes p<0.001 1.569 1.391 1.769 p<0.001 1.423 1.206 1.680
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes p<0.001 1.566 1.400 1.753 p<0.001 1.326 1.137 1.547
75
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.040 .409
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial
and
professional
.267 .056 .472 .218 1.018
intermediate .045 .576 .336 .988 .072 .488 .223 1.066
Small
employers/
own account
worker
.112 .641 .370 1.110 .105 .522 .238 1.145
Lower
supervisory
and technical
.088 .619 .356 1.074 .135 .546 .247 1.207
Semi-routine .136 .654 .375 1.143 .084 .507 .235 1.096
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .936 1.008 .827 1.230
Drink
alcohol
yes 1
No p<0.001 .691 .588 .813
Exercise? Yes 1
No p<0.001 .550 .478 .633
4.4.2.6 Depression
In model 1, marital status remained significant after adding age and gender. People who were married are two
times more likely not to be depressed, compared with widowed ones. In model 2, married people still have the
highest chance of not being depressed (OR=1.996). People who aged 60 to 69 have 175.5% chance of not
being depressed. Female ones are less likely to avoid depression(OR=0.647). Qualification and social
participation make people more likely not be depressed, with odds ratios of 1.602 and 1.577 respectively.
Model 3 indicated that marital status, gender, qualification, smoking, drinking were risk factors for depression.
Married people are almost 2 times more likely not to be depressed. Odds ratios for female ones, qualification,
not smoking and not drinking are 0.616, 1.428, 1.274 and 0.616.
Table 49: multivariate logistic regression model for depression
variables categories Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
95%CI 95%CI 95%CI
p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher p value OR lower higher
76
Age p<0.001 p<0.001 .017
50-59 .012 1.608 1.111 2.328 .140 1.441 .886 2.344 .538 1.249 .616 2.534
60-69 p<0.001 1.966 1.368 2.824 .020 1.755 1.094 2.814 .259 1.484 .748 2.943
70-79 .020 1.533 1.070 2.196 .174 1.384 .866 2.213 .706 1.140 .577 2.251
80-89 .315 1.207 .836 1.744 .725 1.090 .675 1.760 .900 .957 .477 1.919
90+ 1 1 1
Gender Male 1 1 1
female p<0.001 .636 .573 .705 p<0.001 .647 .573 .731 p<0.001 .656 .555 .776
Marital status p<0.001 p<0.001 p<0.001
Single .002 1.453 1.152 1.832 .001 1.595 1.199 2.123 .131 1.356 .913 2.014
Married p<0.001 2.065 1.788 2.384 .000 2.007 1.702 2.368 p<0.001 1.964 1.544 2.498
divorced .387 .836 .557 1.255 .415 .813 .495 1.337 .995 1.002 .476 2.108
Separated .416 1.080 .898 1.299 .223 1.145 .921 1.422 .326 1.167 .858 1.588
Widowed 1 1 1
Qualification Yes p<0.001 1.602 1.408 1.823 p<0.001 1.461 1.217 1.755
No 1 1
Social
participation
Yes p<0.001 1.577 1.393 1.785 .074 1.175 .984 1.403
No 1 1
NS-SEC
classification
.040 .911
NS-SEC
classification
Managerial and
professional
.980 .510 1.309 .587 2.921
intermediate .448 1.250 .703 2.222 .683 1.185 .523 2.686
Small
employers/ own
account worker
.446 1.257 .699 2.262 .650 1.210 .531 2.754
Lower
supervisory and
technical
.526 1.210 .670 2.185 .756 1.141 .497 2.621
Semi-routine .535 1.208 .665 2.197 .639 1.212 .543 2.707
Other 1 1
Smoke Yes 1
No .032 1.274 1.021 1.590
Drink alcohol yes 1
No p<0.001 .616 .517 .736
Exercise? Yes 1
No p<0.001 .646 .549 .760
4.4.3 Longitudinal analysis
77
It can be seen that marital status is becoming significant in more health outcomes as time goes by. In group 2
(wave 1 data), marital status only remained significant (p<0.05) for depression, heart attack, angina, high
blood pressure. While, marital status stayed significant in most cases in group 3, except for abnormal heart
rhythm, angina, congestive heart failure and heart murmur.
Also, being married are becoming important in keeping good health. In group 2, married people have the
lowest risks of high blood pressure(OR=0.676). While, single ones have the lowest risk in more health
outcomes, including heart attack(OR=0.338), angina(OR=0.410) and not being depressed(OR=2.454). In
group 3, married people are the least likely group to have poor self-reported health(OR=0.564),
stroke(OR=0.414), diabetes(OR=0.726) and long-standing illness (OR=0.600). They have increased chance of
not being depressed (OR= 2.662).
There are also noticeable changes in the value of odds ratio. Marital status is significant for high blood
pressure in both groups. Married people had 66.1% of chance to have high blood pressure in group 2. While
the figure for group 3 is 70.1%. In terms of not being depressed which being married have the highest
chances in both groups, the advantage of being married was getting significant as the odds ratios is 2.454 in
group 2 and 2.662 in group 3. But there is also similarity among these two group: widowed people have the
worst health outcomes means that the disadvantage of being widowed had not changed during time.
Table 50: longitudinal analysis
Group 2 Group 3
p-value OR 95% C.I.for OR p-value OR 95% C.I.for OR
Poor self-
reported
health
Lower Upper Lower Upper
Marital
status
.084 p<0.001
Single .161 2.100 .744 5.926 .184 .691 .400 1.193
Married .225 1.580 .755 3.309 p<0.001 .564 .439 .724
Separated .232 2.654 .535 13.155 .095 1.964 .888 4.340
Divorced .013 2.900 1.246 6.749 .520 .888 .618 1.276
widowed 1 1
Long-
standing
illness
Marital
status
.221 p<0.001
Single .314 1.246 .812 1.911 .001 .619 .461 .833
Married .290 .880 .695 1.115 p<0.001 .600 .519 .694
Separated .313 1.570 .654 3.769 .353 .747 .404 1.383
78
Divorced .869 .974 .709 1.337 .301 .888 .710 1.112
widowed 1 1
Angina
Marital
status
.002 .863
Single .008 .410 .212 .793 .995 .000 .000 .
Married p<0.001 .571 .424 .767 .332 .666 .294 1.512
Separated .198 .457 .139 1.506 .998 .000 .000 .
Divorced .006 .536 .342 .840 .375 .499 .107 2.319
widowed 1 1
Abnormal
heart rhythm
Marital
status
.800 .292
Single .359 .713 .346 1.468 .517 .842 .500 1.417
Married .410 .853 .585 1.245 .029 .765 .602 .974
Separated .456 .576 .135 2.460 .878 .921 .324 2.622
Divorced .875 .960 .576 1.599 .199 .777 .528 1.142
widowed 1 1
Diabetes
Marital
status
.803 .042
Single .281 .646 .292 1.430 .106 .672 .416 1.088
Married .803 .951 .638 1.416 .002 .726 .590 .894
Separated .572 .657 .153 2.823 .637 .797 .310 2.050
Divorced .591 .858 .492 1.498 .330 .853 .619 1.175
widowed 1 1
High blood
pressure
Marital
status
p<0.001 p<0.001
Single .016 .676 .492 .929 .047 .741 .552 .996
Married p<0.001 .661 .552 .790 p<0.001 .701 .610 .805
Separated .116 .628 .351 1.121 .013 .428 .219 .838
Divorced .002 .679 .531 .870 .032 .792 .639 .980
widowed 1 1
Congestive
heart failure
Marital
status
.602 .433
Single .664 .615 .068 5.530 .633 1.469 .303 7.120
Married .101 .372 .114 1.213 .354 .643 .252 1.637
Separated .998 .000 .000 . .232 3.640 .438 30.226
Divorced .507 .562 .103 3.082 .961 .967 .249 3.754
widowed 1 1
Murmur Marital
status
.172 .138
Single .802 .910 .433 1.910 .123 .481 .190 1.219
Married .171 .742 .485 1.137 .035 .691 .490 .975
Separated .321 .361 .048 2.703 .525 1.478 .443 4.926
Divorced .551 1.179 .686 2.029 .192 .684 .387 1.210
79
widowed 1 1
Stroke
Marital
status
.109 .002
Single .034 .114 .015 .850 .028 .414 .189 .907
Married .037 .593 .363 .969 p<0.001 .570 .429 .758
Separated .463 .469 .062 3.549 .998 .000 .000 .
Divorced .301 .690 .342 1.393 .039 .607 .378 .976
widowed 1 1
Depression Marital
status p<0.001 p<0.001
Single p<0.001 2.363 1.666 3.350 p<0.001 2.325 1.647 3.284
Married p<0.001 2.454 2.040 2.951 p<0.001 2.662 2.283 3.105
Separated .306 1.344 .763 2.368 .713 1.127 .597 2.126
Divorced .002 1.475 1.150 1.892 .002 1.426 1.137 1.789
widowed 1 1
Chapter 5: Discussion
5.1 Introduction
In this chapter, the results from Chi-square test, bivariate logistic regression model and multivariate logistic
regression models will be discussed. This chapter will be divided into two sections: cross-sectional analysis
and longitudinal analysis.
5.2 Cross-sectional analysis
5.2.1 marital status and health outcomes
In general, being married does benefit older people’s health in some cases, which is supported by Goldman,
Korenman and Weistein (1995).
Previous studies indicated that married people are happier and healthier than unmarried ones (Waite &
Gallagher, 2002) which is in consistent with the Chi-square test results in this study. In the Chi-square test
section, married people have the smallest proportion in poor self-reported health, long-standing illness, and
depression.
80
However, for self-reported health, this may be because married people tend to overestimate their health.
Zheng and Thomas (2013) pointed out several possible reasons for this over estimation. The social
relationship embedded in marriage makes people feel that they can always get help when they have health
problems. Also, married people are regarded as a type of “advantaged group” which have higher thresholds for
poor health. In addition, married people tend to engage in better health behaviours which makes them feel
optimistic towards the condition of their health.
Marital status is significantly associated with less depressive symptoms and being married makes people less
likely to report depression which is in consistent with the study of Luppa et al. (2012).
Also, the percentages of ADL, IADL and mobility difficulties are the lowest among married people in Chi-
square test. The results from the bivariate logistic regression model suggest that the married group is the least
likely group to have ADL and IADL difficulties. Even in multivariate logistic regression, the results are
similar.
There are many findings that suggest that married people tend to receive more help than unmarried people so
they can recover from the ADL and IADL problems (Neuman & Werner, 2016). However, this study explored
this in a different direction. The results of the bivariate and multivariate logistic regression models indicate
that being married reduce the risk of function impairment which means being married would reduce the
incidences. According to Bratti and Mendola (2014), ADL is less likely to be subjective than other health
outcome variables which means that the impacts of marriage on ADL or IADL are objective to some extent.
In Chi-square test, marital status is associated with high blood pressure, high cholesterol, strokes, abnormal
heart rhythm, diabetes, heart attacks and heart murmurs. In the bivariate logistic regression models, being
married only have the lowest risk of heart murmur (OR=0.578) which is not consistent with the current study.
According to Capistrant et al. (2012), caregiving from a spouse can significantly predicted cardiovascular
incidence which means that at least married people should have lower risks than unmarried people. However,
variables that relate to caregiving were not included in this study, future studies are required.
The associations between other marital status and health outcomes
The results of the bivariate logistic regression models are in consistent with that Chi-square test. Married are
least likely to have mobility, ADL and IADLs difficulties, long-standing illness, depression and poor self-
reported health, relative to widowed people. Compared with other marital status groups, widowed people
have the worst physical and mental health outcomes in Chi-square test and logistic regression which is in
consistent with some previous research. For example, Manzoli et al. (2007) suggested that widowhood is
81
linked with an increase of in the mortality of the elderly. Schoenborn (2004) indicates that widowhood
increase the risk of functional impairment.
Stroebe, Schut and Stroebe (2007) pointed out that bereavement makes people more likely to suffer from
physical and mental health problems. Their findings are based on recent widowhood. The reduction of social
participation after bereavement is the main reason for health deterioration (Bennett,1998). However, the
duration of widowhood is not covered in this study.
But for separated or single people, this is not always the case. The results from this study is in agreement with
the study of Robards et al. (2012) which indicates that there are variations existing in the unmarried group.
In Chi-square test, single people reported the smallest proportion of heart attacks. In the bivariate logistic
regression model, separated people are the least likely group to have high blood pressure, high cholesterol,
stroke, abnormal heart rhythm and diabetes. After including age, gender, social participation, qualifications,
social-economic class and health behaviours, separated people still have the lowest risk of all the diseases that
mentioned above. Few study specifically focus on the health of separated people.
Previous studies had pointed out several possible reasons. One of them involves the equalities in sociocultural
factors (Artazcoz et al.,2011). However, the exception of separated and single people may be merely based on
the statistical results which are not meaningful. Further research is needed in this area.
5.2.2 The association between other variables and health outcomes
Age
Interestingly, people aged 60 to 69 years old have the lowest risk of depression. According to Jorm et al.
(2005), incidences of depression decreases in the 40-44 to 60-64 age groups. They also pointed out that bad
social relationships from work may be the reason for it. According to the retirement age in the UK, people
who were aged between 50 to 59 years old may still be working. While, people aged 60 to 69 years old just
begin their retirement life.
In the case of ADL/IADL and mobility, the risks increase as people get older which is in consistent with the
finding of Webber, Porter and Menec (2010).
Gender
In Chi-squared test and the bivariate logistic regression model, females are more likely to have physical
function problems. Millan-Calenti et al. (2010) indicates that the female gender is a strong predicator of
82
disability that leads to dependence. Also, Choi and Wodarski (1996) point out that female ones are more
likely to have ADLs and IADLs difficulties.
Except for heart murmur, females are less likely to have cardiovascular diseases which is in consistent with
females performing better in terms of subjective assessment of health (Crimmins, Kim & Solé-Auró, 2010).
Qualification
The results from Chi-square test, logistic regression models suggest that older people with qualifications have
better health outcomes than people who did not which is in agreement with Kye et al. (2014)’s findings. In the
multivariate logistic regression model, the odds ratios for qualifications decrease when all the variables had
been included which means that the degree that qualifications can predict health outcomes decreased.
Specifically, qualification is no longer significant for long-standing illnesses, heart attacks, diabetes and high
cholesterol. And not significant for heart murmurs, congestive heart murmur, angina, abnormal heart rhythm
and stroke.
Social participation
In the multivariate logistic regression models, social participation only remained significant in self-reported
general health, ADL, IADL difficulties and mobility difficulties when all the variables are taken into account.
This conclusion, however, is in consistent with Cornwell and Waite (2009)’s finding which suggested that the
social support does make people feel optimistic about their health. There are studies that suggest that social
participation is linked to mobility problems. Rosso et al. (2013) point out that low levels of any forms of
social participation is associated with low mobility.
NS-SEC classification
In Chi-squared test and bivariate logistic regression models, NS-SEC classification is not significant. In the
multivariate logistic regression models, NS-SEC is significant in high cholesterol (p=0.006) in model 3.
People who were in the managerial and professional class have the lowest risk of having high cholesterol
(OR=0.407). While people of lower class have higher risk, with odds ratios for small employers and semi-
routine at 0.448 and 0.482 respectively. However, the results are inconsistent with the finding of Chandola
and Jenkinson (2000) suggesting that the NS-SEC shows differences in health.
Health behaviours
83
Smoking is independently associated with most cardiovascular diseases mentioned in this study which is in
agreement with Chen and Boreham (2002)’s finding that indicates smoking is a strong risk factor for
cardiovascular diseases. However, the most mentioned cardiovascular diseases that is linked to smoking in
many studies is atherosclerosis (Messner & Bernhard,2014) which was not covered in this study.
Exercising is the most likely risk factors for health outcomes. Although in this study the variable is based on
the question that “whether walked or exercised yesterday”, the results indicated that doing exercise or not does
have an impact on health which is in consistent with the finding of Pendo and Dahn (2005). Hamer,
Stamatakis and Steptoe (2009) suggest that the physical activity is associated with a low risk of psychological
distress which is also reflected in the results of this study.
The results of drinking were interesting. Except for mobility problems, people who drank during the last
week had better health outcomes, especially for cardiovascular diseases. However, previous study suggests
that drinking or even high level of alcohol consumption have a cardioprotective effect (Britton & McKee,
2000) which may be the reason for that.
5.3 Longitudinal analysis
Longitudinal analysis shows that marital status is becoming more and more associated with health across time
which is in agreement with Waite and Lehrer (2003)’s findings which suggest that marriage have far-reaching
positive effects on people’s health.
In addition, being married is becoming more and more important for health from a longitudinal perspective.
As a risk factor for health, marriage’s impact on health changes in accordance with the changing odds ratios.
For example, with depression, in group 2 the odds ratio is 2.454, while in group 3 it is 2.662 which is
consistent with the study of Wilcox et al. (2003). Their study suggested that women who remain married show
stability in terms of mental health. However, the odds ratio for high blood pressure is 0.661 in group 2 and
0.701 in group 3 which means that marriage did not continue to be advantageous. This may be due to the fact
that high blood pressure is more of an age-related disease (Odden et al.,2012).
The results from the Chi-square test and bivariate logistic regression suggested that older people are more
likely to have high blood pressure which may partly explain the difference. Also, there were about 500 of
individuals who used to be married in group 2 and became widowed in group 3.
84
However, there are also studies that indicate that the cohort change does not interfere with the study results.
On the contrary, the change of health which is imposed by the change of marital status distribution actually
indicates the importance of marital status on health. Iwashyna and Christakis (2003) suggest that the impact of
marital status on health is becoming important because more people are becoming widowed over time.
Chapter 6: Conclusion
The main aim of this study is to examine the association between marital status and health outcomes. The data
used is from The English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) wave 1 and wave 7. There are three groups of
data. Group 1 data is used in cross-sectional analysis in which the association between marital status and
health outcomes are investigated in Chi-square tests and Logistic regression. The results show that being
married are strong risk factors for long-standing illness, mobility, ADL and IADL difficulties, and depression.
The longitudinal analysis successfully how the associations between marital status and health change over
time. In group 2, the health variables associated with marital status is much less than that of group 3 which
means that marital status becomes significant. More importantly, the positive effect of marriage had been
reflected. In group 2, singles were more advantageous than married ones, while that is not the case in group 3.
However, among these health variables, high blood pressure and depression are two variables that stayed
associated with marital status. In which married people performed the best. This suggests that unmarried
people should pay attention to their blood pressure and mental health.
In addition, social participation and exercise are also strong risk factors for health. In most cases, people who
had a certain degree of social participation and exercise were better in health condition than people that did
not.
85
There are many limitations in this study. Some of them are due to the characteristics of the ELSA data set
itself. Since the ELSA interviews had been changed over time, there are inconsistencies that exist between
wave 1 and wave 7 which make some variables appear differently in group 2 and group 3. For example, there
were many people with a confirmed angina diagnosis in wav1 and marital status and other variables were
associated with it. While, in group 7, there were only a few people with reported angina and the there is no
associations between it and other independent variables. Also, in some variables, missing data accounted for a
large proportion. Apart from the limitations that embedded in the ELSA data set, this study itself also has
limitations.
In ELSA, marital status has categories that described the times of getting married. Considering the time
limitation and scope limitation of this study, some details had been neglected.
Except for marital status, the choice of other variables also had limitations. Some of the more meaningful
variables had too many missing values which may have impacted on the results.
Because of the multidimensional definition of health, there are several health outcome variables. Among these
dependent variables, some variables are associated which may interfere with the final results of this study. For
example, study shows that the existence of chronic physical diseases increases the risk of depression
(Moussavi et al.,2007).
Also, the independent variables in this study need to be expanded. Lum and Lighfoot (2005) suggests that
volunteering activities significantly improved self-reported health, mental health and physical function. The
ELSA data set includes a list of variables that describe the volunteering activities in more detail. While, this
study chose a general social participation variable due to the time constraints.
Further study could be carried out to analyses why separated people have better outcomes in terms of
cardiovascular diseases. Considering the NS-SEC classification is not significant for most health outcomes,
study that focus on the association between NS-SEC classification and health may not be necessary for ELSA
data. The health outcomes that were chosen for this study need to be explored. As mentioned above, health is
a multidimensional definition. Also, the factor sets that were chosen in multivariate logistic regression models
also need to be expanded.
In this study, people who have drinking habits have better health which is not in consistent with common
sense. If researchers want to find some evidence that supports the view that “drinking is hazardous to health”,
the ELSA data set may need variables that depict whether the respondent has an alcohol abuse condition.
Word count: 11954
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Appendix
Downloaded: 29/08/2017
Approved: 09/06/2017
Lisong Zhang
Registration number: 160128822
Information School
Programme: Msc Information Management
Dear Lisong
PROJECT TITLE: The relationship between marital status and health among elder: evidence from the
English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA)
APPLICATION: Reference Number 014478
On behalf of the University ethics reviewers who reviewed your project, I am pleased to inform you that on
09/06/2017 the above-named project was approved on ethics grounds, on the basis that you will adhere to
the following documentation that you submitted for ethics review:
University research ethics application form 014478 (dated 08/06/2017).
If during the course of the project you need to deviate significantly from the above-approved documentation
please inform me since written approval will be required.
Yours sincerely
Larah Hogg
Ethics Administrator
Information School
100
Access to Dissertation A Dissertation submitted to the University may be held by the Department (or School) within which the
Dissertation was undertaken and made available for borrowing or consultation in accordance with University
Regulations.
Requests for the loan of dissertations may be received from libraries in the UK and overseas. The
Department may also receive requests from other organisations, as well as individuals. The conservation of
the original dissertation is better assured if the Department and/or Library can fulfill such requests by sending
a copy. The Department may also make your dissertation available via its web pages.
In certain cases where confidentiality of information is concerned, if either the author or the supervisor so
requests, the Department will withhold the dissertation from loan or consultation for the period specified
below. Where no such restriction is in force, the Department may also deposit the Dissertation in the
University of Sheffield Library.
To be completed by the Author – Select (a) or (b) by placing a tick in the appropriate box
If you are willing to give permission for the Information School to make your dissertation available in these
ways, please complete the following:
✓
(a) Subject to the General Regulation on Intellectual Property, I, the author, agree to this
dissertation being made immediately available through the Department and/or University Library
for consultation, and for the Department and/or Library to reproduce this dissertation in whole or
part in order to supply single copies for the purpose of research or private study
(b) Subject to the General Regulation on Intellectual Property, I, the author, request that this
dissertation be withheld from loan, consultation or reproduction for a period of [ ] years from the
date of its submission. Subsequent to this period, I agree to this dissertation being made
available through the Department and/or University Library for consultation, and for the
Department and/or Library to reproduce this dissertation in whole or part in order to supply single
copies for the purpose of research or private study
Name Lisong Zhang
Department Information School
Signed Lisong Zhang Date 31/08/2017
To be completed by the Supervisor – Select (a) or (b) by placing a tick in the appropriate box
(a) I, the supervisor, agree to this dissertation being made immediately available through the
Department and/or University Library for loan or consultation, subject to any special restrictions
(*) agreed with external organisations as part of a collaborative project.
*Special
restrictions
(b) I, the supervisor, request that this dissertation be withheld from loan, consultation or
reproduction for a period of [ ] years from the date of its submission. Subsequent to this period,
I, agree to this dissertation being made available through the Department and/or University
Library for loan or consultation, subject to any special restrictions (*) agreed with external
organisations as part of a collaborative project
Name
Department
Signed Date
THIS SHEET MUST BE SUBMITTED WITH DISSERTATIONS IN ACCORDANCE WITH DEPARTMENTAL
REQUIREMENTS.