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Naples, October 2011

Our Urban Future

Key issues and challenges for sustainability

Nicholas.You@Citistates.com

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The Challenges

Getting There

The Barriers

Overcoming Them

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The Challenges

@

Urbanisation

Globalisation

Climate Change

Mega-trends

of the 21st

century

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The Challenges

@ World Population:

2000 - 6.1 billion

2015 - 7.2 billion

2030 - 8.1 billion

Percentage of Rural and Urban Population

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2000 2015 2030

Years

Pe

rc

en

tag

e

Urban Population

Rural Population

World is now

50% urban and

urbanising rapidly

Mega-trend: Urbanisation

Urban Population:

2000 - 2.9 billion

2015 - 3.8 billion

2030 - 5.0 billion

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The Challenges

@

Mega-trend: Globalisation

Economic growth but:

• Urbanisation of poverty & social exclusion

• 30% to 60% urban population living in slums

• Rising perceptions of injustice leading to crime & violence

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The Challenges

@

Mega-trend: Climate Change

• Urbanisation = irreversible changes in the way we use land, water & energy

• Cities generate 80% of all waste & 70% of GHG emissions

• Cities are both the cause and the victims of climate change

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The Challenges

@

Mega-trend: Governance

Inability to predict

and contain:

• Energy crisis

• Food crisis

• Financial crisis

• Political crisis

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Smart Infrastructure

Smart Communities

@

Top 5 : 5.68 kg/yr (C$ 2.74)

Bottom 5: 328 kg/yr (C$ 158)

[Δ = >57]

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Looking Forward

Integrated

Sectoral

vs

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Getting There

Sustainable

urban

development

policies

new

business

models

@

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Getting There

PPP

Creating Value

locally & globally

@

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The Barriers

Social/Cultural Political & Institutional

&

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Overcoming the barriers

Alternative

Policy

Options &

Education

Greater Region

Agreements & Planning

@