Date post: | 29-Jun-2015 |
Category: |
Economy & Finance |
Upload: | redington |
View: | 301 times |
Download: | 1 times |
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Social Housing
Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment Conference
Robert Gardner
27th June 2013
1
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 2
Managing the End Game
Greatest Challenges Facing Pension Funds
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
The Seven Steps to Full Funding
3
Design an efficient
investment strategy
Destination for agile
hedging strategy
Transparency to make
timely decisions
Articulate clear objectives
and constraints
Mission Statement
To help our clients achieve full-funding with the minimum level of risk
CLEAR GOALS &
OBJECTIVES
ACCESS TO LDI
HUB
LIQUID ALPHA & BETA
STRATEGIES
LIQUID & SEMI-LIQUID
CREDIT STRATEGIES
ILLIQUID CREDIT
STRATEGIES
ILLIQUID ALPHA & BETA
STRATEGIES
ONGOING
MONITORING
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 4
LDI 1.0
Liability Immunisation
LDI 2.0
The LDI “Manager”
LDI 3.0
Holistic ALM
Managing the End Game
Integrating Social Housing into your LDI Strategy
Interest rate swaps
Nominal gilts
Inflation swaps
Index-linked gilts
Gilt repo and TRS
Swaptions
Unfunded asset exposures
Corporate linkers
Sophisticated option overlays
Flight Plan Consistent Assets
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Seven Steps to Traditional Asset Classes
5
Step
(2)
LDI
(3)
Liquid α & β
(4)
Semi-Liquid Credit
(5)
Illiquid Credit
(6)
Illiquid α & β
Collateral
Management Equities Corporate Bonds Infrastructure Debt Insurance-Linked
Hedging Multi Asset Asset Backed
Securities Social Housing Debt Private Equity
Active LDI Sovereign Bonds High Yield Direct SME Lending Infrastructure Equity
Gilts Commodities / CTA Leveraged Loans Mezzanine Finance Unlisted Property
Currencies Emerging Market
Debt Distressed Debt
Hedge Funds with
Longer Lock-Ups
Liquid Hedge Funds Commercial Real
Estate Debt
Long Leases /
Ground Rents
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
The Role of Liquid and Illiquid Credit
6
Corporate
Bonds
Direct
Lending
Corporate
Linkers
Infrastructure
Debt / Long
Leases / Social
Housing
Infrastructure Debt / Social Housing
Gilts
Cash
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 7
Secured Leases Social Housing Infrastructure Ground Rents
LDI 3.0
LDI 1.0
LDI 2.0
LDI 1.0
LDI 2.0
Managing the End Game
Integrating Social Housing into your LDI Strategy
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 8
• Access to high-quality, inflation-linked cash flows offering attractive real yields .
• Accessing such returns in traditional ways has become increasingly difficult in the recent market environment.
• Pension funds will also take into account
additional considerations such as the investment structure and the risk/return profile of each specific investment.
Benefits for Pension Funds
• Opportunity to access a new and potentially large source of financing with a long-term horizon.
Benefits for Housing Associations
Win/Win Opportunity
Managing the End Game
Why Invest in Social Housing?
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Investing in Illiquid Assets
9
Source: Red Manager Forum Survey
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Social Housing is a form of low cost, rental housing
typically provided by local councils and non-profit
organisations called housing associations.
10
• Housing associations issue inflation-linked debt
secured on a pool of housing units to finance activities
• Interest payments are matched by rental income that is
typically increased yearly at RPI + 0.5% (the legislation
indicates this may change).
• Illiquidity gives rise to a premium return over publicly
traded bonds by the same or similar issuers.
• Enjoys a large degree of government support, with
rental payments often heavily subsidised
• Combines social responsibility with returns
Social Housing investment features
Background
• Traditionally financed by state support and bank loans
• The financial crisis imposed losses and higher capital
requirements on banks, limiting their ability to lend
• The government has proclaimed an era of fiscal
austerity and is reducing spending
• This ‘funding vacuum’ has given pension funds an
opportunity to step in and provide financing
Managing the End Game
Background to Investing in Social Housing
10
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Investing in Social Housing
11
Pension Fund
Investor
Registered Social
Landlords
Capital
Interest payments
Rent
Payments
(linked to
inflation)
Capital used
to fund and
maintain
social houses
Indicator Private Social
Proportion of household reference persons (HRP) < 35 yrs old.
50% 20%
Size of sector (number of households)
2.5 mm 4.0 mm
Mean weekly gross incomes (HRP + partner)
£493 £247
Mean weekly rent £136 £72
Median length of time in current residence
1.5yrs 7.8yrs
Proportion of tenants receiving housing benefit
21% 62%
Proportion of HRPs working full time
61% 22%
Benefits
Secured Lending
LDI Hedging
Implicit UK government & regulatory support
Socially responsible investment
Source: Housing in England 2007-08 Report published in Sep-2009 by Communities and Local Government
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Managing the End Game
Accessing Social Housing through Pooled Opportunities
12
Range of Assets:
• Social Housing
• Infrastructure
• University Assets
• Commercial Assets
• Ground Rents
Returns Enhancing and Liability Matching Assets (REaLM) Social Housing Fund
Range of Assets:
• Social Housing
Asset/Fund Features:
• Maturity: 20-50+ years
• Inflation linked
• Illiquidity premium • Typically equity stake
• Higher public sector
exposure
Asset/Fund Features:
• Maturity: 30-40 years
• LPI linked
• Illiquidity premium
• Debt stake
• Focus on Registered
Social Landlords
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 13
Source: Canaccord Genuity, Redington
Social Housing
Risk and Return Profile
13
Mix of Social Housing Type
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013 14
Social Housing
Regulatory Concerns
14
- Recent political discussion has been erring towards government legislation that will change the inflation linkage of
the rental income from social housing from RPI to CPI. The repercussions of this change are twofold:
• Ratings agencies may decide to downgrade social housing debt.
• Investing in social housing is no longer a direct hedge for pension fund liabilities.
- European legislation has changed the way the government pays grants and provides support in the form of housing
allowance. Instead of paying the Registered Social Landlord (RSL) directly some of the money is now paid to the
tenant. This creates a risk that the money does not reach the housing association and therefore presents a risk to the
borrower.
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD Telephone : +44 (0) 20 7250 3331 www.redington.co.uk
Contacts
Robert Gardner
Founder & Co-CEO
Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7250 3331
15
THE DESTINATION FOR ASSET & LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
Disclaimer For professional investors only. Not
suitable for private customers.
The information herein was obtained from various
sources. We do not guarantee every aspect of its
accuracy. The information is for your private information
and is for discussion purposes only. A variety of market
factors and assumptions may affect this analysis, and
this analysis does not reflect all possible loss scenarios.
There is no certainty that the parameters and
assumptions used in this analysis can be duplicated with
actual trades. Any historical exchange rates, interest
rates or other reference rates or prices which appear
above are not necessarily indicative of future exchange
rates, interest rates, or other reference rates or prices.
Neither the information, recommendations or opinions
expressed herein constitutes an offer to buy or sell any
securities, futures, options, or investment products on
your behalf. Unless otherwise stated, any pricing
information in this message is indicative only, is subject
to change and is not an offer to transact. Where
relevant, the price quoted is exclusive of tax and
delivery costs. Any reference to the terms of executed
transactions should be treated as preliminary and
subject to further due diligence .
Please note, the accurate calculation of the liability
profile used as the basis for implementing any capital
markets transactions is the sole responsibility of the
Trustees' actuarial advisors. Redington Ltd will estimate
the liabilities if required but will not be held responsible
for any loss or damage howsoever sustained as a result
of inaccuracies in that estimation. Additionally, the client
recognizes that Redington Ltd does not owe any party a
duty of care in this respect.
Redington Ltd are investment consultants regulated by
the Financial Services Authority. We do not advise on
all implications of the transactions described herein.
This information is for discussion purposes and prior to
undertaking any trade, you should also discuss with
your professional tax, accounting and / or other relevant
advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. All
analysis (whether in respect of tax, accounting, law or of
any other nature), should be treated as illustrative only
and not relied upon as accurate.
©Redington Limited 2013. All rights reserved. No
reproduction, copy, transmission or translation in whole
or in part of this presentation may be made without
permission. Application for permission should be made
to Redington Limited at the address below. Redington
Limited (6660006) is registered in England and Wales.
Registered office: 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y
8RD
http://twitter.com/robertjgardner
http://uk.linkedin.com/in/robertjgardner
Private & Confidential Infrastructure, Social Housing & Property Investment 27 June 2013
Redington
Get To Know Us Better With Our Publications
16