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Innovations for next 30 years and business

Date post: 02-Dec-2014
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This presentation talks about innovation for next 30 years based on TED inputs.

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  • 1. Dr.K.Prabhakar, Professor, SRM University Innovations for Next 30 Years and Business
  • 2. Let us do some flip learning 4/1/2014Annamalai University2 http://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/articles/ads- worth-spreading-that-really-did-spread.html http://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/ads- leaderboards/youtube-leaderboard-feb14.html
  • 3. Future way of getting information 4/1/2014Annamalai University3 One of the things about learning how to read we have been doing a lot of consuming of information through our eyes and so on that may be a very inefficient channel. So my prediction is that were going to ingest information. Youre going to swallow a pill and know English. Youre going to swallow a pill and know Shakespeare. The way to do it is through the bloodstream; once its in your bloodstream, it basically goes through and gets into the brain and when it knows its in the brain it deposits the information in the right places. Ive been hanging around with Ed Boyden and Hugh Herr and a number of people This isnt far-fetched. Nicholas Negroponte, founder, MIT Media Lab, speaking in Session 1 at TED2014
  • 4. What is the difference between virtual and physical worlds? 4/1/2014Annamalai University4 The seamless integration of our physical and virtual worlds. This will bring richer experiences and connectivity to the global population. Phil Wiser, chief technology officer, Hearst
  • 5. We will be connected 4/1/2014Annamalai University5 I hope it will be a rejection of technology that makes us more isolated from one another and more easily surveilled. I also hope we will have a sudden, dawning realization that we forgot to read books for a while and came to regret it. And I hope we will finally learn to accept our own shortcomings as a species, not in a way that results in complacency but, instead, a renewed commitment to making the planet a more just place to be an animal, human or otherwise. Laurel Braitman, writer, TED Fellow
  • 6. Progress in Medicine 4/1/2014Annamalai University6 Progress in medicine, global access to information and a global age pyramid that is already turning upside-down will create a global movement towards an increased demand for good health care. This in turn will increase life expectancy and drive innovation. This re- enforcing circle will change societies views on health care. Whereas today it is seen as a cost that needs to be controlled which potentially slows down progress it might become the global driving force of innovation and humanity, replacing other areas of public investment focus.
  • 7. Disease Diagnosis 4/1/2014Annamalai University7 What will blow my mind in the next 30 years is the ability to diagnose a disease before you know that something is wrong with you, treat it with medicines designed specifically for you and eradicate it so it never happens again. The concept of connected health, wearable technology and ingested medicines are all pointing us in that direction. The ability for someone to tie it all together, tailored for the individual is what is mind blowing. Doreen Lorenzo, president, Quirky
  • 8. We will understand everything better 4/1/2014Annamalai University8 We will see the big picture with more clarity and resolution than ever before. Whether for good or ill (and surely it will be both), ever greater legibility of everything around us, between us, and even in us, and in every system from the physical to the social, financial, commercial, environmental and more is going to transform our relationship to the world, each other and to every system of which we are part. [Read more about "The Legible Planet" in this separate piece, written just for TED.] Andrew Blau, managing director, Deloitte
  • 9. Disease and Diagnosis 4/1/2014Annamalai University9 We will have the opportunity to have an approved chip implanted in ourselves that will be a sensor, grabbing health data for early detection of disease or sickness, show our location to those we wish and provide all kinds of new real-time data. This will roll out with early adopters, and over time gain general acceptance. As a society, we wont really care if insurance companies have early access to our health data, as their costs will decline and they will be better at being fair, less litigious and more affordable. Thus we will grant several companies (such as tomorrows Google, Facebook, Twitter) access to even more personal data, and integrate their offerings into our day-to-day living. We wont at first like it, but the Supreme Court will allow police and rescue officials a reasonable-basis standard for their grabbing our microchip data (DUI tests roadside, etc). Also, perhaps related, we will be able to listen to live music, at any hour, all around the world, wherever we are, through some inner-ear adapter not unlike what we have with todays Google Glass. We will be able to hear street musicians from Ghana and live music in a bar from Reykjavik at lunchtime in San Francisco. Live music will bring the next generation closer together, with promises of global peace. Gregory Miller, co-founder, Spacebar, former managing director, Google.org
  • 10. Dreams 4/1/2014Annamalai University10 Well understand what creates dreams not just its your brain cleaning up its cache for the day, but really understand why we dream in vivid detail, why the stories make perfect sense while we are dreaming, but are nonsensical upon awakened-review, and what occurrences in the day were selected to be dreamed about that evening. It will all be understood, and no longer will we think, Wow, that was so bizarre that I dreamed about some man Ive never seen before, playing golf, which I could care less about, and he asked me to marry him in front of a crowd of 50 people, in a place Ive never been or seen. Geraldine Carter, co-founder, director, Climate
  • 11. Three Choices 4/1/2014Annamalai University11 Humans face three choices in the exponential growth of information in the next 30 years: 1.To deny the power of technology to counter the feared effects of the information explosion (like certain religions today). 2. To delegate more to machines and live a more hedonistic lifestyle (chasing leisure makes us more lazy). 3. To see the power of new tools in the explosion of data to unlock the promise of humans (through augmenting human capability). Jim Hackett, Steelcase
  • 12. Phtosynth and Its applications 4/1/2014Annamalai University12 How will our minds be blown in the next 30 years? Well, thats quite a long time, given the acceleration in history. Still, Ill be brave and make six hypotheses. [Read all six of them in this separate piece, written just for TED.] Blaise Agera y Arcas, Google Photosynth (https://www.ted.com/talks/blaise_aguera_y_a rcas_demos_photosynth) You search and then the machine remembers and connects.
  • 13. Autonomous Vehicles 4/1/2014Annamalai University13 What is next? Perhaps counterintuitively, Im guessing its a visionary idea from the late 1930s thats been revived every decade since: autonomous vehicles. Now youre thinking, give me a break. How can a fancy version of cruise control be profound? Well, much of our world has been designed around roads and transportation. These were as essential to the success of the Roman Empire as the interstate highway to the prosperity and development of the US. Today, these roads that interconnect our world are dominated by cars and trucks that have largely unchanged for 100 years. Although perhaps not obvious today, autonomous vehicles will be the key technology that enables us to redesign our cities and by extension civilization. Heres why. Once they become ubiquitous, each year vehicles will save tens of thousands of lives in the United States alone, and a million globally. Automotive energy consumption and air pollution will be cut dramatically. Much of the road congestion in and out of our cities will disappear. They will enable compelling new concepts in how we design cities, work and the way we live. We will get where were going faster and society will recapture vast amounts of lost productivity now spent sitting in traffic, basically polluting. But why now? Why do we think this is ready? Because over the last 30 years people from outside the automotive industry have spent countless billions creating the needed miracles, but for entirely different purposes. It took folks like DARPA, universities and companies completely outside of the automotive industry to notice if you were clever about it, autonomy could be done now. Bran Ferren, co-chairman, Applied Minds, speaking in session 2 of TED2014
  • 14. Personalization 4/1/2014Annamalai University14 People will live in a bubble of personalized experience, where what each of us sees and hears of the world will be different from anyone else. This will result from a combination of factors, most notably personalized advertising and the gradual evolution of our personal electronic devices. By 2040, we will be surrounded by personalized advertisements/offerings being constantly pushed to us; many surfaces will become active and display content based on who is looking at them at a given moment. They may even be able to simultaneously steer a different image to each observer. We will also deliberately augment our experience of the world with our personal electronic devices. Glass-like devices which project images into our eyes will be joined by unobtrusive audio and haptic feedback devices that we will use to inform, remind and connect ourselves. The net effect will be that each of us will fundamentally experience a different view of reality. In many ways that will be to our advantage, allowing us to live more informed and potentially more connected lives. But this individualized experience may also bring a risk of social fragmentation. The explosion of media choices over the past 30 years has led to narrowcasting that in turn allows us to consume media that reinforce our beliefs and interests, leading to the increased polarization of our society. We may find in the next 30 years, when each of us has a different experience of the augmented world, that we will further fragment and each only see that which reinforces our world view. This seems like an unavoidable future based on where technology is heading. I hope we can find a way to accentuate the positives, share experiences and viewpoints, and prevent us from being increasingly
  • 15. Energy 4/1/2014Annamalai University15 In 30 years, we could have our minds totally blown by what a high-energy planet would be like. if energy were clean, cheap and dense, we could lift everyone out of poverty, desalinate as much water as we need, incinerate trash completely so wed have no waste and do many other amazing things limited only by our imaginations. Wed be able to leave large portions of the earth to nature and still live high quality, modern lives on an ecologically vibrant planet. This isnt inevitable though. It will take breakthroughs in energy technologies and major investments in scaling them up. Government, civil society and business will have to prioritize innovation and be realistic about the energy needs of 9 billion people living modern lives. Rachel Pritzker, president, Pritzker Innovation Fund
  • 16. Pervasive Technology 4/1/2014Annamalai University16 Im so astonished by the last 30 years that its hard to imagine what might blow our minds in the next 30. Thats how pervasive technology has become for many of us. Nevertheless, if we agree that we (in the developed world) enjoy a richness of resources like: ever-greater storage and compression power ever tinier and more powerful chips a growing Internet of things (energy, lighting, cars, medical devices, quantified self devices for health) a proliferation of robotics applications Then what *should* happen in the next 30 years is that this richness evolves and extends to places that today stumble along on 2G, dialup, or nothing at all. Im optimistic about broadband over power lines and by balloon. I know, though shoulda, woulda, coulda, right? So I think that what will truly astonish me is if we humans bring ourselves to collectively care enough to *make technology pervasive and useful for everyone throughout the world in accordance with their needs and desires*. What would be astonishing is if we can put aside excessive margins and corporate amenities to the degree it takes to do the world as a whole good. I love what access to technology can do I just want it to be evenly distributed. That would blow my mind, and I bet Im not alone. Karen Wickre, editorial director, Twitter
  • 17. Connected World 4/1/2014Annamalai University17 In the next 30 years, everyone in the world will be connected. Even the most remote communities that today can only be reached on foot will be in contact with the rest of the world thanks to mobile connections and delivery systems. Though I dont expect that our traditional infrastructure (roads, landlines, postal services) will reach all corners of the earth, new modes of transportation will proliferate, allowing anyone to reach anyone else. Unmanned Ariel Vehicles (UAVs) or drones are just one such mode of transport. Recently, with the support of the Wasserman Foundation, IDEO.org explored how drones could play a role in last-mile health delivery. We see an astoundingly bright future for drones, one that recasts them from agents of war to agents of change. Jocelyn Wyatt, co-lead, executive director, IDEO.org
  • 18. China 4/1/2014Annamalai University18 A democratic China with a GDP that exceeds Americas. A geopolitical landscape that will see a return to inter-state warfare as dictators push back against the tide of democracy in a desperate attempt to hang on. Unfortunately, that wont mean the end of intra-state warfare either. Those wars will continue, unabated. The disappearance of small island developing states like the Maldives due to climate change. Sitting in traffic, but not driving; instead working in ones car-office with a 100 gigabit wireless connection. Thinking its normal to speak to a machine; Siri is only the tip of the iceberg. Her is already here. And, since Im Cambodian-American, the total transformation of Cambodia from a country where one political leader has been in charge for nearly a quarter of a century to a pluralistic society where good governance and human rights are the norm. Hope springs eternal. Sophal Ear, professor, author, speaker, US Naval postgraduate school
  • 19. Search and Internet 4/1/2014Annamalai University19 Five to ten years from now, search engines will be based not just on looking for combinations of words and links but actually on reading for understanding the billions of pages on the web and in books. So youll be walking along, Google will pop up, and say, Mary, you expressed concern to me a month ago that your glutathione supplement wasnt getting past the blood/brain barrier. Well, new research came out 13 seconds ago that shows a whole new approach to taking glutathione; let me summarize it for you. 20 years from now, well have nanobots another exponential trend is the shrinking of technology that go into our brain through the capillaries and basically connect our synthetic neocortex and the cloud, providing an extension of our neocortex. Now today you have a computer in your phone but if you need 10,000 computers for a few seconds to do a complex search, you can access that for a second or two in the cloud. In the 2030s youll be able to connect to that directly from your brain. I m walking along, theres Chris Anderson, hes coming my way, Id better think of something clever to say. Ive got three seconds my 300 million modules in my neocortex wont cut it I need a billion more. Ill be able to access that in the cloud. Our thinking then will be a hybrid of biological and non-biological thinking. Ray Kurzweil, inventor, futurist, CEO, KurzweilAI, speaking in session 8 of TED2014
  • 20. Thank you 4/1/2014Annamalai University20

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