Institutional and Technological Institutional and Technological Innovations Innovations

to address Climate Changeto address Climate Change

Jerome C. Glenn

The Millennium ProjectWorld Federation of UN Associations

www.stateofthefuture.org

How can sustainable development be achieved for all?

1

How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict?

2

How can population growth and resources be brought into balance?

3

How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes?

4

How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives?

5

How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone?

6

How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor?

7

How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced?

8

How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change?

9

How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction?

10

How can the changing status of women improve the human condition?

11

How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises?

12

How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently?

13

How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition?

14

How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions?

15

15 Global Challenges–the Agenda today

How can sustainable development be achieved for all?

How can everyone have sufficient clean water without conflict?

How can population growth and resources be brought into balance?

How can genuine democracy emerge from authoritarian regimes?

How can policymaking be made more sensitive to global long-term perspectives?

How can the global convergence of information and communications technologies work for everyone?How can ethical market

economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor?

How can the threat of new and reemerging diseases and immune microorganisms be reduced?

How can the capacity to decide be improved as the nature of work and institutions change?

How can shared values and new security strategies reduce ethnic conflicts, terrorism, and the use of weapons of mass destruction?

How can the changing status of women improve the human condition?

How can growing energy demands be met safely and efficiently?

How can scientific and technological breakthroughs be accelerated to improve the human condition?

How can ethical considerations become more routinely incorporated into global decisions?

How can transnational organized crime networks be stopped from becoming more powerful and sophisticated global enterprises?

We Need A We Need A Global StrategyGlobal Strategy To Address Climate ChangeTo Address Climate Change

•Who leads? Who manages?

•United Nations?

•Bi-Lateral leadership?

•Coalitions of global corporations?

•What role for universities, NGOs, and Philanthropy?

Potential UN Global Climate Potential UN Global Climate Change Strategic Development & Change Strategic Development & ManagementManagement

• Connect government and UN agency future strategy Connect government and UN agency future strategy units via Web/intranet with the Offices of the SG and units via Web/intranet with the Offices of the SG and President of the GAPresident of the GA

• Create an interoperable global futures scanning Create an interoperable global futures scanning system in the SG’s Office and in each major UN organsystem in the SG’s Office and in each major UN organ

• Design a global situation room for the SG that might Design a global situation room for the SG that might initially focus on global climate change initially focus on global climate change

• Develop a UN integrated or collective intelligence Develop a UN integrated or collective intelligence system for just in time knowledge to support the system for just in time knowledge to support the Secretariat’s managementSecretariat’s management

• Use Real-time Delphi to rapidly collect best Use Real-time Delphi to rapidly collect best judgments world-wide to support decisionmakingjudgments world-wide to support decisionmaking

• Support the UN situation room the UN-Gov Strategic Support the UN situation room the UN-Gov Strategic Intranet, collective intelligence system, and RT Delphi Intranet, collective intelligence system, and RT Delphi

In Addition To The Usual In Addition To The Usual Suggestions On Climate Suggestions On Climate Change:Change:

• Carbon Tax and Carbon TradingCarbon Tax and Carbon Trading

• Reduce deforestation increase reforestrationReduce deforestation increase reforestration

• Industrial efficiencies and co-generationIndustrial efficiencies and co-generation

• Conservation and recyclingConservation and recycling

• Renewable energy sources like wind, ground Renewable energy sources like wind, ground solar, hydro, regular geothermal, tidal, etc.solar, hydro, regular geothermal, tidal, etc.

• Which all are good, but other steps are very Which all are good, but other steps are very important that are less well understoodimportant that are less well understood

Eleven Eleven AdditionalAdditional Steps To Steps To Turn Around GHG Emissions Turn Around GHG Emissions 1.1. US-China Global Energy StrategyUS-China Global Energy Strategy2.2. Saltwater AgricultureSaltwater Agriculture3.3. Carbon Sequestration Total MatrixCarbon Sequestration Total Matrix4.4. Low cost electric car batteriesLow cost electric car batteries5.5. Solar Power SatellitesSolar Power Satellites6.6. Enhanced GeothermalEnhanced Geothermal7.7. Animal protein without animals via stem cellsAnimal protein without animals via stem cells8.8. Urban Systems EcologyUrban Systems Ecology9.9. TransInstitutionsTransInstitutions10.10.Global Climate Change Collective Intelligence Global Climate Change Collective Intelligence 11.11.UN Global Climate Change Strategic CoordinationUN Global Climate Change Strategic Coordination

Can a global climate Can a global climate change collective change collective intelligence be created…intelligence be created…

so that it can help politicians, energy so that it can help politicians, energy experts, and the general public experts, and the general public understand the whole energy picture…understand the whole energy picture…

and get “just-in time knowledge” about and get “just-in time knowledge” about specifics…specifics…

to lead to better questions and decisions?to lead to better questions and decisions?

One Approach

1. Build on a Phase I study by the Millennium Project for a global energy network and information system (GENIS)

2. Create prototypes, conduct initial tests (in cooperation with additional organizations (MIT, SRI, others)

3. Establish the operational system by others such as Google, Microsoft, Oracle, Branson’s Climate Change War Room, UN situation room)

GENIS (Global Energy Network and Information

System)• The Global Energy Network (GEN), providing

communications and collaboration capabilities for a worldwide community of experts and others working on, or concerned with, energy issues;

• The Global Energy Information System (GEIS), a repository (knowledge base) and associated interactive access facility for as much of the world's total knowledge (actual content, pointers to external systems, and ability to mashup from other databases into one integrated set of outputs) about energy as can be accumulated.

Conventional user interface

will be offered

as well as alternatives

User interfaces should show relation of parts and the whole

An Information unit can be:

• linked with ‘attributes’ in the column at the right• edited wikipedia-like by GEN• Receive additional inputs to be added to open-

ended non-peer reviewed

Example of an Issue overviewExample of an Issue overview

An An Application of Application of GENISGENIS

in real-timein real-time

during a during a political political hearing for hearing for “just in time “just in time knowledge”knowledge”

Energy DashboardEnergy Dashboard

GENIS Phase I is completeGENIS Phase I is complete

we are now seeking funds we are now seeking funds to build the Phase II to build the Phase II prototypesprototypes

... ... is a new kind of think is a new kind of think

tanktank

The Millennium Project

It is Global...It is Global...

•GeographicallyGeographically

•InstitutionallyInstitutionally

•DisciplinarilyDisciplinarily

•Research focusResearch focus

UN

Organizations

NGOs

Universities

GovernmentsCorporations

Millennium Project

… May become a TransInstitution

Millennium Project Nodes... are groups of individuals and institutions that connect global and local views in:

Nodes identify participants, translate questionnaires and reports, and conduct interviews, special research, workshops, symposiums, and advanced training.

Enclosed CD contains over 6,000 pages

…invaluable insights into the future for the UN, States, and civil society.

--- Ban Ki-moon Secretary-General United Nations

For Further Information:For Further Information:

Jerome C. GlennJerome C. Glenn

The Millennium ProjectThe Millennium Project

JGLENN@IGC.ORGJGLENN@IGC.ORGwww.millennium-project.orgwww.millennium-project.org

Millennium Project Millennium Project ScenariosScenarios• S&T 2030S&T 2030

•The World Wakes UPThe World Wakes UP•Technology Develops a Mind of Its OwnTechnology Develops a Mind of Its Own

• Energy Scenarios 2020Energy Scenarios 2020•Business as UsualBusiness as Usual•Environmental BacklashEnvironmental Backlash•High Technology Pushes off LimitsHigh Technology Pushes off Limits•Political TurmoilPolitical Turmoil