Introduction

Clare Stirling

15-16 April 2015

Nairobi

Integrated Agricultural Production and Food Security Forecasting System for East Africa Planning Workshop

What is CCAFS?

• Strategic partnership involving all 15 CGIAR Centers

• World’s largest research program addressing the challenge of climate change and food security

• 5 target regions across the developing world

2. Climate information services and climate-informed safety nets

4. Policies and institutions for climate-resilient food systems

1. Climate smart technologies, practices, and

portfolios

CIMMYT-CCAFS Projects: Flagship 1: Climate smart technologies & practices

South Asia:

• Developing adapting and targeting portfolios of climate smart agricultural practices (CSAPs) for sustainable intensification.

• Recommendation domains, incentives and institutions for equitable local adaptation planning at sub-national level.

East Africa:

• Participatory evaluation and application of portfolios of CSAPs in mixed smallholder systems.

Global:

• ‘Bridging funds’ Understanding and evaluating the response of wheat to climate change in time and space, and generating comprehensive breeding strategies for wheat improvement through a combination of modelling, expert consultation and stakeholder dialogue.

• ‘Bridging funds’ Targeted dissemination of adapted maize varieties with tolerance to heat and drought stress and farmer-preferred traits in hotspots of climate vulnerability in Eastern and Southern Africa and the Indo-Gangetic Plain.

Flagship 2: Climate information services and safety nets.

East Africa:

• Integrated Agricultural Production and Food Security Forecasting System for East Africa.

• Develop Index insurance for drought-prone maize and bean-based farming systems in East Africa to enhance farmer adoption of climate-adapted germplasm.

Flagship 3: Low emissions agriculture South Asia

• Agro-economic analysis of climate change mitigation options in India.

• ‘Bridging funds’ Quantification of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission in contrasting tillage, residue and nutrient management scenarios in wheat, maize and rice-based cropping systems.

Global

• Improving estimates of N2O emissions from wheat and maize-based systems.

Regional CIMMYT-CCAFS Flagship Projects - Africa

• FP1.1 Participatory evaluation and application of portfolios of CSAPs in mixed smallholder systems (PEACSA).

• FP2. Develop Index insurance for drought-prone maize and bean-based farming systems in East Africa to enhance farmer adoption of climate-adapted germplasm.

• FP 2. Integrated Agricultural Production and Food Security Forecasting System for East Africa.

FP 1.1 Participatory evaluation and application of portfolios of CSAPs in mixed smallholder systems in East & Southern Africa (PEACSA). Aim: to develop and scale integrated, gender-sensitive portfolios of climate smart agricultural practices for climate vulnerable regions of ESA. • Identify maize, bean, cassava and livestock interventions that can be

integrated to form climate smart portfolios. • Determine recommendation domains for these portfolios of CSAPs

through systems modelling and participatory evaluation. • Determine the combinations of participatory approaches required

(involving key actors in the public, non-government and private sectors) to ensure that women and socially marginalised groups are appropriately targeted.

Partners CG centres: CIMMYT, CIAT, ILRI, IITA Partnering to test CSAPs, and distil lessons for scaling different options Users: NGOs (CRS, World Vision, local NGOs) - Partnering for participatory testing and scaling - Close linkages with SIMLESA

FP 1.1 Participatory evaluation and application of portfolios of CSAPs in mixed smallholder systems in East & Southern Africa (PEACSA).

FP 2 Index insurance for drought-prone maize and bean-based farming systems in East Africa.

Aim: to determine if a viable index-based insurance model can be developed to help farmers manage their risks and invest in inputs/technology to increase average yields and income. • Ex-post impact assessment of existing crop index insurance targeted at

resource-poor farmers (e.g. Kilimo Salama, now called ACRE, in Kenya and possibly HARITA in Ethiopia).

• Development of appropriate index-insurance instruments bundled with drought-tolerant germplasm.

Partners CG centres: CIAT IRI (International Research Institute for Climate and Society) – Dan Osgood Kilimo Salama (ACRE). 3R/Acacia Water Bilateral projects - Drought Tolerant Maize for Africa (DTMA); the Sustainable Intensification of Maize-Legume Cropping Systems for Food Security in Eastern and Southern Africa (SIMLESA) and Pan-African Bean Research Alliance (PABRA).

FP 2 Index insurance for drought-prone maize and bean-based farming systems in East Africa.

FP2 - committed ~$6M/year to 9 Flagship projects - 2015-2018 (plus externally-funded projects)

Adaptation to climate change - two broadly overlapping areas for action:

• accelerated adaptation to progressive climate change over decadal time scales, for example integrated packages of technology, agronomy and policy options for farmers and food systems.

• better management of agricultural risks associated with increasing climate variability and extreme events, for example improved climate information services and safety nets, and

Thank you