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Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and Hazards (ISAIAH) 7 th NDRRMC IM-TWG Meeting Office of Civil Defense, Camp Aguinaldo, Quezon City 27 June 2016
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Page 1: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and ...digitaleducation.net/im-twg/documents/DOST_NOAH_062716.pdf · • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident ...

Integrated Scenario-based

Assessments of Impacts and

Hazards (ISAIAH)

7th NDRRMC IM-TWG Meeting

Office of Civil Defense, Camp Aguinaldo, Quezon City

27 June 2016

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What is Project NOAH?

Specifically, Project NOAH aims to provide:

• flood mitigation system, specifically targeting a 6 hour flood

early warning system for communities along 18 major river

systems;

• enhancement of geohazard maps and;

• enhancement of storm surge vulnerability maps

As per President Aquino’s directive

to put in place a responsive

program for disaster prevention &

mitigation, the Department of

Science & Technology launched

Project NOAH last July 2012 in

Marikina City.

Nartea, 2012

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More than 1500

Automated Weather

Stations,

Rain Gauges and

Water Level Sensors

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LiDAR Mapping

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Hazard Maps

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How many people / households are in flood, landslide and

storm surge hazard areas?

Which critical facilities (schools, health facilities, evacuation

centers) may be affected by impending hazards?

How many houses made of light materials are inside of

areas covered by Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal?

How many children, senior citizens, PWDs and other at-risk

groups are needed to be evacuated in anticipation of

hydrometeorological hazards?

What are the gaps of local governments units in preparing

and responding for extreme weather events?

Let us consider these questions…

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Risk = f (Hazard , Exposure , Vulnerability

- World Risk Index Report 2013

, Capacity)

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Program Title: Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazard

Project Title: Integrated Scenario-based Assessments of Impacts and Hazards (ISAIAH)

Implementing Agency: UP National Institute of Geological Sciences

Project Leader: Dr. Alfredo Mahar Francisco A. Lagmay

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Cooperating Agencies

1. National Disaster Risk Reduction

Management Center (NDRRMC)

2. Department of the Interior and Local

Government (DILG)

3. Department of Social Welfare and

Development (DSWD)

4. Ateneo Java Wireless Competency Center

5. Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)

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Objectives • To create municipal level risk assessment and incident

reporting and visualization tools

• To map exposure elements such as population, buildings and critical facilities

• To assess vulnerability to hydrometeorological hazards based on available datasets

• To evaluate the Disaster Risk Reduction and Management capacities of local government units

• To train and communicate with end-users in the use of the NOAH website and its allied tools

• To provide data and risk information required by NDRRMC during extreme weather events thru the PDRA system

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Population Exposure Mapping

DSM

DTM

Remotely

Sensed

Data

Census

Datasets

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Building Exposure Mapping

Open

StreetMap Remotely Sensed Data

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Exposure Mapping Results

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Exposure Mapping Results

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Vulnerability

The characteristics and circumstances of a

community, system or asset that make it

susceptible to the damaging effects of a

hazard (UNISDR, 2007)

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RA 10121 (Philippine DRRM Act of 2010)

pinpoints the source of vulnerability from:

• Physical factors

• Social factors

• Economic factors and

• Environmental factors

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Vulnerability Indicators

Dependent Age Group

Household Head Qualities

Unemployment

Literacy

Poverty Incidence

At-Risk Population

Housing

Environmental Factors

Census & Other

Surveys Datasets Source:

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Capacity Assessment

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WebSAFE

WebSAFE allows users to

calculate the number of

population exposed to a

particular risk such as flood

hazard in question format.

For example: In the event of a

100-year flood in Quezon City,

how many people (population)

will need evacuation?

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WebSAFE

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WebSAFE

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Risk

Assessment

Hazard

Exposure

Vulnerability Capacity

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Target Provinces

Abra

Aurora

Bataan

Batangas

Biliran

Camiguin

Cavite

Ilocos Norte

Ilocos Sur

La Union

Leyte

Metro Manila

Misamis Oriental

Samar

Zambales

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NOAH is part of the PDRA System

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NOAH-WISE

Wind

Forecast

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NOAH-WISE

Rainfall

Forecast

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NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

June 25 Saturday

June 26 Sunday

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NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

June 27 Monday

June 28 Tuesday

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NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

June 29 Wednesday

June 30 Thursday

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NOAH-WISE

Accumulated Rainfall Forecast

July 01 Friday

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198 Municipalities in

13 regions

AREAS WITH >= 100 mm OF RAIN THAT MAY

TRIGGER LANDSLIDES & FLOODS

Based on

NOAH-WISE Simulations

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