Integrating Climate Risks in Agricultural Value Chains : Policy

and Management Dr. A.K Enamul Haque SANDEE Advisor and

Professor, East West University Presented at the Regional Consultation Workshop on Bridging the Climate Information and Communication Gaps for Effective Adaptation Decisions: An Integrated Climate

Information Management System jointly organized by The Institute of Public Policy, South Asian Network for Development and Environmental Economics and Department of

Meteorology of Sri Lanka Colombo, 21-22 June 2016

Agricultural Value Chain

• From production to consumption changes in agricultural produces

– Transformation

• Physical volumes

• Monetary values

• Value chain

– Analysis of value creation at every state of transformation.

Value chain

• Affected by

– Weather

• Bad weather vs good weather

– Technology

• Improved technology vs traditional technology

• Energy use in agriculture

– Climate risks

• Long term changes in temperature

• Climate Variability

• Loss and Damages

Risks to agriculture

• Long term changes in temperature

– Rainfed agriculture

– Nature’s role compromised

• Climate Variants

– Reduces agricultural output

– Crop losses

• SOCE – slow onset climate events

– Loss and damages.

No of Natural Disasters since 1900

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

No of Natural Disasters by Continents

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

Economic Damages since 1900 Constant 2014 $

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

Damages by Flood, Drought and Storm

(constant 2014 $)

Source: http://www.emdat.be/disaster_trends/index.html

Loss and Damage in Agriculture

Loss and Damage by sub-sectors

Loss and Damage in crops by Disasters

Loss and Damage in Livestock by Disasters

Loss and Damage in Fisheries by Disasters

Production Loss by regions

Policies and Strategies

• Dealing with risks – Production risks

• Early Warning Systems for agriculture – Need to change – forecasts by fortnights – Geocoding of warnings – Adaptations

– Financial risks • Insurance schemes • Adaptations

• Redefining agricultural disasters – Loss and damages

• Beyond adaptations • Rehabilitation/compensation schemes