INTEGRATION OF LNG TERMINAL IN THE LITHUANIAN GAS SYSTEM22ND MAY, 2018
Mantas ŠabanasProject Analytics Manager
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KN – AN OIL PRODUCT AND LNG TERMINAL OPERATOR
Traditional business Focus on strategic expansion – development, construc tion and operation of LNG terminals
Klaipeda LNG terminal based on FSRU Independence
LNG transport and bunkering vessel project for the Baltic Sea
LNG reloading and bunkering station under commissioning in Klaipeda
LNG terminal developmentand Advisory services
50+ years of oil product terminal operations
State fuel reserves terminal
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THE RATIONALE LNG TERMINAL
Diversified energy sources
Import prices reflect the global market price level
Ensured security of energy supply
Third party access to spur competition
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KLAIPEDA LNG TERMINAL INFRASTRUCTURE
FSRU operator
Terminal operator
Transmissionsystem operator
FSRU
Gas Metering Station
Onshore pipelineSubterranean, 15 km
Gas meteringstationOffshore connecting pipeline
FSRU andjetty operation
Jetty
– Terminal commissioned by KN in Dec 2014– 170.000 m3 of LNG storage– 4 bcm/y regasification capacity– Open third party access
– FSRU leased until 2024, KN holds a purchase option
MARKET BENEFITS BROUGHT BY THE TERMINAL
– Ended the 100% reliance on monopoly supplier– Transparent third party access mechanism
– Effective price cap– Baltic gas users have access to international LNG markets
– Near-complete ability to supply the gas market need– Combined with Incukalns UGS for seasonality
– Access to clients with limited size portfolios– Joint use of LNG in the terminal
– Enabling the small scale LNG development– Break bulk of high quality LNG for further distribution
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BalticconnectorFrom 2020
GIPLFrom 2021
FSRU Independence4 bcm import capacity
2,3bcm
1,3bcm
0,5bcm
Incukalns UGS
15bcm
33bcm
Poland
Ukraine
3bcm
Finland
SECURITY OF SUPPLY FOR THE BALTIC STATES
Source: Energy Security Stress Test 2014 coordinated by the European Commission: Joint report by Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Finland (adjusted by Klaipėdos Nafta to reflect post-Stress Test conditions)
Gas supply disruption 6 months, cold spell scenario
– Baltic states are now protected against a major gas supply disruption from the east
– Security provided by a combination of key infrastructure elements– Alternative gas import route via
Klaipeda LNG terminal
– Seasonal storage in Incukalns
– Upgraded transmission pipeline network
– Full supply in cold winter– District heating operating as usual
– No interruption to either residential or industrial customers
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GAS MARKET CHANGES SINCE INTRODUCTION OF LNG
The market situation in 2018 is very different to 2 012
– Wholesale gas price benefits– Reflective of EU hub prices rather than oil-indexation
– Lithuanian prices are now similar to other markets
– LNG competes with pipeline gas
– Security of Supply benefits– No longer dependent on a single supply source
– Further improvements with access to Inčukalns and GIPL
– Regulatory arrangements– Implementation of EU directives has established competition
– Prospects of regional gas markets
– Retail competition still to be established
Baltics, EU15 and NBP gas prices (€/MWh)
Source: OIES and Pöyry analysis
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PRICE CONVERGENCE TO EUROPEAN HUBS DUE TO LNG TERMINAL IN KLAIPEDA
Source: European Commission Q3 2017 Gas market report
– Gas prices in the Baltic region have converged closer to the main European gas trading hubs– Benefit is felt in all Baltic states, due to available
interconnection capacity and regulated 3rd party access to the LNG terminal
– Klaipeda LNG terminal allows regional gas consumers to source gas from global markets– Klaipeda LNG terminal can cover 90% of
regional demand
– Former incumbent and monopoly gas supplier is unable to charge premium prices– LNG terminal provides bargaining power, even if
some physical volumes still come from the east
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ENABLING REGIONAL GAS STORAGE INFRASTRUCTURE
– Klaipeda LNG import terminal is a proven alternative supply route for seasonal storage in Inčukalns UGS
– Maximises the use of overall regional gas infrastructure
– Immediately after the Latvian gas market opening in April 2017, first injections to Inčukalns were enabled by gas flow from LT
– Lietuvos Duju Tiekimas brought two spot LNG cargoes in part to supply Latvian customers directly and via seasonal storage
– First half of May 2018 all gas flows into the Latvian transmission system were coming form Lithuania*, largely coming via the LNG terminal
Source: Conexus Baltic Grid website*No Russian flows and no gas storage withdrawal for 12 consecutive days
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Time period
Regasification rate, Nm 3/h
Inventory level in tanks, m 3
Terminal user No.1 delivers LNG and lends it
Terminal user No. 2 delivers LNG and returns it
COMMERCIAL INNOVATION - JOINT USE OF LNG TO ENABLE LNG ACCESS FOR SMALLER REGIONAL USERS
– Advantages of SWAP model– Terminal can be simultaneously used by several
clients– Decouples client regasification profile from
physical LNG delivery– Enables relatively small regional gas traders to
access LNG markets
– Process– Borrowed / returned LNG quantities are indicated
in approved schedules– Terminal users provide bank guarantees to each
other to ensure LNG delivery
– Access to terminal– Nominations open for upcoming gas year on 25th
of April – Annual schedules approved no later than 2
months before gas year– Schedules published on KN website– Spot capacity booking no later than 60 day prior
to use
KLAIPEDA LNG TERMINAL – SMALL SCALE LNG ENABLER
– Klaipeda LNG terminal enables further small scale LNG developments in the Baltic Sea region– Break-bulk of internationally traded LNG cargoes
– Eight reloading operations since 2017
– Small scale LNG reloading station commissioned in 2018– 5.000 m3 LNG storage capacity
– Truck loading and vessel bunkering
– LNG bunkering transportation vessel to be launched in Q4 2018– Ice-class multi purpose vessel
– 7.500 m3 capacity
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Gate
Risavika
Ora
LysekilNyneshamn
Swinoujscie
Pori
Gavle
Hamina
Tornio
Klaipeda
Estonia
2 day voyage fromKlaipeda
1 day voyage fromKlaipeda
Large scale LNG terminal
Existing small scale LNG terminal
Planned small scale LNG terminal
KLAIPEDA LNG TERMINAL HUB IN ITS 4TH YEAR OF OPERATIONS
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2015 2016 2017 2018 / 2022
Natural gas regasified, bcm 0.5 1.3 1.1 >0.9
Capacity utilization 13% 35% 30% >25%
Terminal users Multiple users
LNG reload services to - - Multiple users
Access to regas markets
Reloaded LNG delivered to Multiple countries
LNG suppliers Multiple suppliers
LNG truck loading station users
Multiple users
LNG truck loading services for Multiple users
Operational regime Energy securityEnergy security
Commercial regas
Energy securityCommercial regas
Commercial reloadingCommercial truck loading
Energy securityCommercial regas
Commercial reloadingCommercial truck loading
Oilterminal
Forecast
Booked capacity
Spare capacity
averageNm
3/day
2018 Approved LNGT regasification schedule + additional capacity booking forecast
Forecasted additionalutilization
2016
2015
2017
UTILIZATION OF KLAIPEDA LNG TERMINAL
2018eLNG cargo delivery
Reload operation
Forecast delivery/reload
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FUTURE CHALLENGES
Regional gas market integration
Building the small scale LNG market
Ensured continued operations post 2024
Gas in the future energy mix