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Intellectual Property Strategy: Challenges and Opportunities
in the Cloud Efrat Kasznik, Founder & President
Foresight Valuation Group, LLC
December 12, 2012
Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
About Me: Efrat Kasznik
Founder and President, Foresight Valuation Group (Palo Alto, CA), a Silicon-Valley based intellectual property, valuation and start-up advisory firm.
Lecturer on IP Strategy, Stanford Graduate School of Business (MBA class)
Licensing Executives Society (LES), High Tech Sector - Leadership Committee; Chair, Nanotechnology Committee
Intellectual property (IP) valuation and strategy expert, with 20 years of experience analyzing IP portfolios for mergers & acquisitions, financial reporting, technology commercialization decisions, tax compliance, transfer pricing, litigation damages and business liquidations.
Work with corporate clients across industries, from Fortune 100 to start-ups, as well as law firms, universities, research institutions, inventors, IP brokers and patent funds. Extensive telecom expertise, including: AT&T, Avaya, Juniper Networks.
Co-founder, CFO and adviser to startups in the fields of telecom, media, cleantech and healthcare.
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Outline
The IP (Patent) Marketplace in the US Mobile Wars Ecosystem and Forces
Is the Cloud Market the next Litigation Battlefield? How is Cloud Similar to Mobile? Early Indicators of Patent/Litigation Activity
What to Expect in the Next 5 Years? Best Practices in IP Portfolio Management
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Source: The Guardian and New York Times
The Mobile Patent Wars
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Apple, Microsoft, Research in Motion, EMC, Ericsson, and Sony joined together in a consortium to win an auction for the 6,000 patents of the bankrupt Nortel at a price of $4.5 billion.
Google, the losing bidder in the Nortel auction, announced the $12.5 billion acquisition of Motorola Mobility, whose IP portfolio includes 17,000 issued patents and 7,500 patent applications.
June 2011 Aug 2011
Multi-Billion Dollar Deals Involving IP
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Mobile Market Patent Activity
Redistribution of IP holdings through Land-grab and Turf-wars…
Global Litigation Global court battles: Apple-Samsung (2011) Non-Practicing Entity (NPE=”Troll”) litigation: NTP-RIM
$612.5 MM in damages (2006)
Multi-billion Dollar IP-driven Transactions Patent acquisitions: Nortel patent auction (2011) Company Acquisitions: Google/Motorola mobility (2011)
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A “Perfect Storm” in the IP Marketplace
IP Marketplace
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
The New Patent Marketplace in 21st Century – Rise of the Intermediaries
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Intermediaries: •Non-practicing entities (NPEs) •Patent Funds/Aggregators (Intellectual Ventures) •Market Makers (Auctions, patent exchange) •Financial services (securitization, litigation finance)
IP Creators - Operating Companies - Independent Inventors - Universities - Research Institutions - Gov’t labs
IP Users - Operating Companies - Others
Patent Sales/licensing
Enforcement (Litigation)
Cross Licensing
Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Is Cloud the Next Patent Battleground?
Attribute Characteristics Mobile Cloud?
Market Size Explosive Market, large economic stakes ??
Products/ Services
Multiple features in one product Multiple layers of Services in Platform
IP Landscape Patent thicket – overlapping claims Business method patents – broad claims
?? ??
Competitive Dynamics
Incumbents with large IP holdings Newcomers entering markets without IP NPE (trolls) patent holders
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Market Size: Explosive Growth
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Products/Services: Multiple Cloud Service Layers
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Cloud Patent Landscape: Accelerated Patenting Activity
Note: The search has been conducted from 2003 onwards. Number of patents for 2011 & 2012 may be incomplete because some of the applications might not have been published yet. The counts are indicative and not comprehensive.
248 512
837
1143
1556
2090
2781
3867
4801
5154
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Cum
ulat
ive
Cou
nt o
f Pa
tent
Fam
ilies
Filing Year
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Note: The search has been conducted from 2003 onwards. The subsidiaries of the assignees have not been considered for the analysis. Number of patents for 2011 & 2012 may be incomplete as some of the applications might not have been published yet. The counts are indicative and not comprehensive.
694
333 293
125 103 97 82 78 75 51
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
IBM MICROSOFT HEWLETT PACKARD
HITACHI ORACLE Hon Hai Precision Industry
CISCO FUJITSU LTD AMERICAN POWER
CONVERSION
NEC CORP
Cou
nt o
f U
S pa
tent
s Fa
mili
es
Assignee
Cloud Competitive Dynamics: Incumbents with Large Patent Holdings
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Cloud Computing – Taxonomy Cloud Computing
Architecture (1237)
Management (1761) Security (889) Services (2412) Storage (584)
Deployment Models
Cloud Engineering
Virtualization
Provisioning
Load Balancing
Resource Management
Performance Management & Billing
Scalability & Maintenance
Bandwidth Management
Access Control
Fault Tolerance
Cryptography & Secure Transmission
Cloud Firewall/Gateways
APIs
Web Services & Enterprise Applications
Mobile Applications
Cloud Client Software
Software as a Service
Infrastructure as a Service
Platform as a Service
Storage System/Hardware
Storage Platform
Storage Virtualization
Data Storage
• Dell Service Cloud Implementation Packages
• Oracle Automatic Storage Management
• VMware vSphere
• Citrix Cloud Platform
• Amazon CloudWatch
• Amazon EC2
• BMC Cloud Lifecycle Management
• VMware vCenter Operations Management Suite
• IBM Hosted Application Security Management
• Citrix Cloud Gateway
• Symantec.cloud
• Symplified Cloud Access Manager
• Amazon Relational Database Service (RDS)
• Apple iCloud
• AWS Amazon Cloud Drive
• IBM Sterling B2B Integration Services
• Cisco MDS 9000 Family Solution
• Amazon EC2 Instance Storage
• EMC VPLEX
• IBM SmartCloud Archive
Tech
nolo
gies
Pr
oduc
ts*
* Product list is indicative and not comprehensive
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Cloud Patents by Technology Area (Since 2003)
1237
1761
889
2412
584
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Architecture Manangement Security Services Storage
Cou
nt o
f Pa
tent
Fam
ilies
Note: The search has been conducted from 2003 onwards. Number of patents for 2011 & 2012 may be incomplete because some of the applications might not have been published yet. The counts are indicative and not comprehensive.
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Cloud Litigation/Collaboration Trends
No signs of litigation between any of the large IP holders, not likely either Cross Licensing between large players Likely to see litigation between startups/large players
Early signs of troll litigation Early signs of collaboration:
Facebook’s Open Compute Project technologies as open hardware: “… our goal is to develop servers and data centers following the model traditionally associated with open source software projects…”
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Troll Litigation is a Serious Problem!
“This year, about 61% of all patent lawsuits
filed through December 1 were brought by patent-assertion entities, as compared to 45% in 2011 and 23% five
years ago”
Source: Patent Troll Cases Now Dominated by “Trolls”, Study by Colleen Chien, Reuters, December 10, 2012
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Are Trolls Coming to the Cloud?
Clouding IP LLC (2012) Rackspace Hosting
Amazon.com / Amazon Web Services
Apple
Microsoft
Oracle
Motorola Mobility
PersonalWeb Technologies (2011-2012)
Amazon/Amazon Web Services
Autonomy
Caringo
EMC
Google/YouTube
NEC Corporation of America
NetApp
VMware
Apple
Dropbox
Microsoft
IBM
Nexsan Technologies
Rackspace
Yahoo
“Patent Trolls Are Hindering Innovation at Rackspace—And Our Customers”
-Alan Schoenbaum, SVP, General Counsel and Secretary at Rackpsace (October, 2012)
Source: Pacer, CRN.com
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
IP portfolio building
Portfolio commercialization & monetization
Portfolio liquidation
IP Strategy Throughout the Lifecycle
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Portfolio commercialization & monetization
Portfolio liquidation
The Chasm as a Critical IP Juncture: Liquidation or Litigation?
Litigation
Liquidation
“About 35% of startups that have raised $50 - $100
million have been sued on a patent, as have
20% of the companies that have raised $20
- $50 million”
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
IP portfolio building
Portfolio Building – Early Phase
Goals: • Freedom to operate • Block competitors • Support future products • Hedge against litigation • Attract buyers, investors
Sources of IP: • Internal R&D filing patents • Buying patents • In-licensing (university,
government labs, etc)
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
IP Best Practices: Early Phase
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Rely on patent analytics Guide future R&D >> white spaces
Know your competition>> patent landscape (by family, industry)
Identify external sources of IP
Identify potential buyers
Seek legal advice Patentability assessments, prior art searches, claim drafting
Don’t do it (all) by yourself!
Start early! AIA (First to File) kicks in 3/16/2013 Don’t compromise key filing deadlines by lack of funding
Use “roadmap” approach to filing
Don’t forget your foreign filing
Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
IP Best Practices: Later Phase
Keep Building Your Portfolio as a Strategic Business Asset Have a clear filing strategy, aligned with your corporate vision
Monitor the industry for buying opportunities (companies, patents, technologies) or licensing opportunities (universities, labs)
Monitor your competitors
Defensive Goals – Manage Litigation Exposure Don’t panic! Be Prepared…
Assess your options, use litigation data - not only legal analysis (prob. of success, anticipated damages, etc)
Mitigate the risk (patent defense funds) – be proactive!
Offensive Goals – Enforcement & Monetization Be ready to enforce you IP
Monetize your portfolio regularly
Manage royalty, maintenance payments
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Foresight Valuation Group © 2012
Is Cloud the Next Patent Battleground?
Attribute Characteristics Mobile Cloud?
Market Size Explosive Market, large economic stakes ??
Products/ Services
Multiple features in one product Multiple layers of Services in Platform
IP Landscape Patent thicket – overlapping claims Business method patents – broad claims
?? ??
Competitive Dynamics
Incumbents with large IP holdings Newcomers entering markets without IP NPE (trolls) patent holders
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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THANK YOU!
Presentation available upon request
Efrat Kasznik President, Foresight Valuation Group [email protected] 650-561-3374 http://www.linkedin.com/in/ekasznik