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Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented...

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Intelligent Surface Intelligent Surface Threat Identification Threat Identification System (ISTIS) System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 2007 Presented by: Presented by: Robert Richards, Ph.D. Robert Richards, Ph.D. [email protected] [email protected] www.stottlerhenke.com www.stottlerhenke.com
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Page 1: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Intelligent Surface Threat Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System Identification System (ISTIS)(ISTIS)

IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007

Presented by:Presented by: Robert Richards, Ph.D.Robert Richards, Ph.D.

[email protected]@StottlerHenke.comwww.stottlerhenke.comwww.stottlerhenke.com

Page 2: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Objectives• Improve Littoral ID Process, quality, and efficiency

– Better ID estimations from available data– Sooner ID determinations– Prevention of ID “Surprises”– Better use of scarce ID resources

• Investigate littoral, surface ID techniques • Implement in the Intelligent Surface Threat ID System

(ISTIS)

Page 3: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Related Projects

• Intelligent Identification Software Module (IISM)• LCS Undersea Threat Assessment• TAO ITS and ITS authoring tool • GRTS TAO ITS• Navy Tactics Representation and Execution

System (TRES)• Visual Intelligent Behavior Authoring

(SimBionic)• Advanced Early Warning Real-Time Advisory

System (AEW/RTAS)

Page 4: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Motivation:Current Identification Problems• Wide variation in ID abilities• Knowing whose-who even after ID information

received• Track Split/Merge• Maintaining Competing Hypotheses for a track• Classified Automatic Track ID Problems• Remembering Track History

(both short and long-term)• Analyzing behavior/correlations• Correlating new tracks with previous tracks • Knowing/Executing Optimal ID Procedures• Quickly Assessing Threat

Page 5: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Architecture

Track trajectory and other data

Path Segmenting Sanity Checking

Threat Processing Trigger Processing

ID Processing Merge-Split Processing

Path Analysis

User Interface Manager

Data Feed Manager

Age

nt

Arc

hite

ctur

e

Recommendations

ID Personnel

Page 6: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

AI TechniquesAI Techniques• Truth MaintenanceTruth Maintenance• Case-Based ReasoningCase-Based Reasoning• Behavior Transition Networks (BTNs)Behavior Transition Networks (BTNs)• Fuzzy LogicFuzzy Logic• Pattern Recognition/LearningPattern Recognition/Learning• Constraint-Based Planning, Scheduling, and Constraint-Based Planning, Scheduling, and

Resource OptimizationResource Optimization• Knowledge Elicitation / Cognitive Task Knowledge Elicitation / Cognitive Task

AnalysisAnalysis• Expert SystemsExpert Systems

Page 7: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example of Density of Contacts that Need Monitoring and Assessing

Page 8: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example Scenario 1

1

2

3

4

5

6 7

LCS

Page 9: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example Scenario 2.1

Page 10: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example Scenario 2.2

Page 11: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example Scenario 2.3

Page 12: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example Scenario 2.4

Page 13: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example Scenario 2.5 (Pause)

Page 14: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Example Scenario 2

5

3

2

4

6

1

Page 15: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

ISTIS Capabilities• Intelligent Tactical Memory:

Track attributes (position, velocity, ID information, History)

Associate previous tracks with new track information.

Complete track history (track merge or ID swap) Past Relevant Tracks/Patterns used to

recommend/warn Definable ID, Threat Assessment, & Notification

Criteria Intelligent Track History Analysis

(position/velocity/proximity/interactions/behavior correlations) to estimate associations & hostile intentions

Multiple Competing Hypotheses for ID (type/owner country) with Hierarchy of possible ID values (type, color/country)

Page 16: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

ISTIS Capabilities (More & Re-stated)• Merge-Split Processing for Radar Merges and

Track Fades and Reasoning through Multiple Hypotheses

• Maneuver Correlation Detection• Surface ID Processing, Fusion, and Behavior

Analysis• Action Recommendation based on Heuristics• Route Planning to ID a Set of Contacts and/or

Search an Area• Ability of Tactical Personnel to Edit and

Change ID, Alerting, and Recommendation Behaviors in Real-time

Page 17: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

ISTIS Dynamic Map Display

Page 18: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

ISTIS Track Information, Recommendations, and Alerts Display

Page 19: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Demonstration• Strait of Malacca• Alerts: Leaving commercial lanes /

intercepting • Merge-Split: automatic reasoning backward

and forward• Multiple hypothesis / Hierarchical reasoning• Intercept/formation maneuver correlations• Heading and UAV recommendations• Immediate Threat alert• Demo video

Page 20: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Conclusion• ISTIS is an AI system that improves the Littoral ID

Process, quality, and efficiency by– Better ID estimations from available data

• Tracking ambiguous signals• storing and handling past target data

– Sooner ID determinations– Prevention of ID “Surprises”

• assessing threat levels & notifying users of alert conditions

– Better use of scarce ID resources• filtering out insane data• keeping track of multiple track hypotheses based on the fusion of

evidence from multiple sources

• Capable today and continuing to be enhanced• Lockheed Martin (a LCS Builder) is partner• Interested in other potential users or partners

Page 21: Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System (ISTIS) IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007 Presented by:Robert Richards, Ph.D. Richards@StottlerHenke.com.

Intelligent Surface Threat Intelligent Surface Threat Identification System Identification System (ISTIS)(ISTIS)

IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007IEEE Aerospace Conference 2007

Presented by:Presented by: Robert Richards, Ph.D.Robert Richards, Ph.D.

[email protected]@StottlerHenke.comwww.stottlerhenke.comwww.stottlerhenke.com


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