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Intercity Mode and Des0na0on Decision-making by Vermonters · mode choice models. More important,...

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Intercity Mode and Des0na0on Decision-making by Vermonters Acknowledgments Data were collected by the Vermont Center for Rural Studies. The project was funded by the USDT through the Na@onal Center for Sustainable Transporta@on. Lisa Aultman-Hall, Anuarbek Onayev, Jonathan Dowds University of Vermont Jeffrey LaMondia, Auburn University Abstract: As more agencies seek to incorporate long-distance travel into their travel forecas@ng and performance measures analyses, it is becoming more important to understand intercity mode choices and the des@na@on/mode decision-making process. This project analyses the factors affec@ng mode choice including par@cipants’ propensity to make bundled decisions on mode and des@na@on. Using a random sample of Vermont residents, data on a most recent trip for personal reasons were collected. Most respondents indicated they make bundled decisions of des@na@on and mode choice, with no notable differences across socioeconomic groups. Bundled vs unbundled decision- making processes was sta@s@cally significant but had only modest explanatory power in mode choice models. More important, however, was the use of our alterna@ve specific travel characteris@cs instead of simple distance in mode choice models. In par@cular, the ra@o of flying and driving @mes between specific origins and des@na@ons is the strongest predictor of mode choice. The paper outlines a process for collec@ng average weighted travel @mes and costs between alterna@ve sets of origin and des@na@on airports for each trip from the FAA DB1B database in order to include these measures in the mode choice models. Results support the use of joint des@na@on-mode choice models with detailed alterna@ve specific variables for long-distance travel demand models. Figure 1. Travel Decision Making Processes Figure 3a and 3b. Mode Choice and Distance Variable Category Frequency Percent of full panel Mode Personal Vehicle 338 76.8% Air 84 19.1% Train 4 0.9% Bus 6 1.4% Missing 8 1.8% Decision Process 1 8 1.8% 2 2 0.5% 3 313 71.1% 4 41 9.3% 5 62 14.1% Missing 14 3.2% Table 1. Results – Last Trip for Personal Reasons Take-home Message Transporta@on planning needs long-distance travel data and na@onal models. All models with intercity trips should use joint des@na@on mode choice models. Measures of true air travel @me accoun@ng for connec@ons derived from the FAA DB1B database improved mode choice models over distance-only models by 30%. Figure 2: Respondents
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Page 1: Intercity Mode and Des0na0on Decision-making by Vermonters · mode choice models. More important, however, was the use of our alternave specific travel characteris@cs instead of

IntercityModeandDes0na0onDecision-makingbyVermonters

AcknowledgmentsDatawerecollectedbytheVermontCenterforRuralStudies.TheprojectwasfundedbytheUSDTthroughtheNa@onalCenterforSustainableTransporta@on.

LisaAultman-Hall,AnuarbekOnayev,JonathanDowdsUniversityofVermont

JeffreyLaMondia,AuburnUniversity

Abstract:Asmoreagenciesseektoincorporatelong-distancetravelintotheirtravelforecas@ngandperformancemeasuresanalyses,itisbecomingmoreimportanttounderstandintercitymodechoicesandthedes@na@on/modedecision-makingprocess.Thisprojectanalysesthefactorsaffec@ngmodechoiceincludingpar@cipants’propensitytomakebundleddecisionsonmodeanddes@[email protected],dataonamostrecenttripforpersonalreasonswerecollected.Mostrespondentsindicatedtheymakebundleddecisionsofdes@na@onandmodechoice,withnonotabledifferencesacrosssocioeconomicgroups.Bundledvsunbundleddecision-makingprocesseswassta@s@callysignificantbuthadonlymodestexplanatorypowerinmodechoicemodels.Moreimportant,however,wastheuseofouralterna@vespecifictravelcharacteris@csinsteadofsimpledistanceinmodechoicemodels.Inpar@cular,thera@oofflyinganddriving@mesbetweenspecificoriginsanddes@na@onsisthestrongestpredictorofmodechoice.Thepaperoutlinesaprocessforcollec@ngaverageweightedtravel@mesandcostsbetweenalterna@vesetsoforiginanddes@na@onairportsforeachtripfromtheFAADB1Bdatabaseinordertoincludethesemeasuresinthemodechoicemodels.Resultssupporttheuseofjointdes@na@on-modechoicemodelswithdetailedalterna@vespecificvariablesforlong-distancetraveldemandmodels.

Figure1.TravelD

ecisionMakingProcesses

Figure3aand3b.ModeChoiceandDistance

Variable Category Frequency

Percentoffullpanel

Mode PersonalVehicle 338 76.8% Air 84 19.1%

Train 4 0.9% Bus 6 1.4% Missing 8 1.8%

DecisionProcess

1 8 1.8%2 2 0.5%

3 313 71.1% 4 41 9.3% 5 62 14.1% Missing 14 3.2%

Table1.Results–LastTripforPersonalReasons

Take-homeMessageTransporta@onplanningneedslong-distancetraveldataandna@onalmodels.Allmodelswithintercitytripsshouldusejointdes@[email protected] @me accoun@ng for connec@ons derived from the FAADB1B database improvedmodechoicemodelsoverdistance-onlymodelsby30%.

Figure2:Respondents

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