International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local
Government
Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin Jarzebski
The University of TokyoJapan
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TEMPERATURE CURVE LAST FIFTEEN THOUSAND YEARS
-30
-35
-40
-45
-50200003000800013,000
Cold
er T
empe
ratu
re W
arm
er
in c
entr
al G
reen
land
ice
core
Date BCAD
Younger Dryas cooling
Gulf Stream shut down?
Present Temperature
Warming at end of Younger Dryas
8200 yrcooling
Little Ice AgePresent global
warming
Medieval Warm Period
Roman Warm Period
Holocene Warm Period
From the Central Greenland Ice Core record- https://www.pressdispensary.co.uk/q991593/images/20k.jpg (redraw) 2
Anthropocene
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Planetary boundary• In Anthropocene, not only resource
and financial limitation but also we have to consider planetary boundary for our economic activities
• Opportunity (innovation) of (renewable) energy distribution
• Tackle various problems caused by exceeding boundaries
4J. Rockstrom and W SteffenJohan Rockstrom
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Two Countermeasures to Climate Change
MitigationA measure for reducing GHG emission toavoid “Unmanageable”
AdaptationA measure fore increasing preparedness for“Unavoidable”
Slide prepared by N. Mimura
Climate change adaptation
• To know the future impact• To know countermeasure against the
impact• To develop a climate-resilient society
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Co-design and co-production on climate change adaptation process
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米:1.83 兆円
フロー総額:4.16 兆円
産業連関表(2005年表)による米のキャッシュフロー解析
発酵飼料
Economic analyses (e.g, I/O table)
Project evaluation
Implementation
Fund source
Final discussion with local stake holdersKnowledge
database
Scientists
JICA
Gov
GCFADB
WBGEF
Various Options for adaptation
Impact assessment projectionAdaptation options
Feedback
Visualization (for communication)
Feedback
Stakeholders
Mainstreaming of CC Adaptation
Socity (2yrs)
XX
yea
rs
2 y
ear 5
yea
r1
0 y
ears
Society (5yrs)
Society (10yrs)
Society (20 yrs)
20
yea
rs
0.5
1.0
2.0
3.0
CC a
dapt
atio
n pl
anni
ng
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Implementation to the society
Process of mainstreaming of CC adaptation in local development
Climate change adaptation initiative• Conducted in Indonesia and Vietnam• Leadership of Ministry of the Environment, Japan• Cooperation of representative governmental
counterpart in each country (BAPPENAS and MoNRE for Indonesia and Vietnam, respectively)
• Mainstreaming of CC adaptation in local policy and assisting capacity development
•
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Mainstreaming of CC adaptation in the local policy (example in Indonesia)• Description of CC adaptation in provincial
development plan (RPJMD)• Develop team(s) to promote implementation plan
(simulation)• Local government (BAPPEDA and related agencies)• Local experts with international/central experts• Stakeholder group
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International Climate-related Fund
Conference of Parties for Climate Change
IPCC
International Academic Associations
Central government
Local government Local academic institutes
International academic institutes
ODA or other foreign governmental
assistance
implementation
Climate changeRelated fund
Domestic budget for regular development
CC adaptation management system
Sustainability in Anthropocene
• The Master said: “At fifteen my heart was set on learning; at thirty I stood firm; at forty I was unperturbed; at fifty I knew the mandate of heaven; at sixty my ear was obedient; at seventy I could follow my heart's desire without transgressing the norm.” (from the Analects of Confucius)
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