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CBI NI Annual Energy Forum
Date, Wednesday 28th January 2009
Olive HillDirector of Technology & Process Development
Evidence of a changing climate?
Mounting Evidence
Energy ????…. (NREL)
Where is it going? (NREL)
State Policy FrameworkRenewable Portfolio Standards (NREL)
• “ $16 trillion (or $550 billion per year) will need to be spent on the energy supply infrastructure globally between now and 2030”
International Energy Agency
• “35 GW of new renewable energy capacity involving an investment of some £100 billion is needed by 2020”
UK Renewables
• “On site renewables worth up to £36 billion a year by 2016” Renewable Advisory Board (UK)
Headlines
Invest NI InterestGovernment Policy-Climate Change Targets-Renewables
Energy Efficiency- Competiveness
Growing Market – Opportunities- Competiveness
R&D Capabilities- Innovation
Short-term0-5 Years
Medium-term5-15 Years
Long-term15-25 Years
Diversity Inc onshore windElectricity, InfrastructureTransport Bio fuels Demand side management
Offshore WindDynamic Large scale power e.g. Clean coal Energy “nodes”
Wave/TidalHydrogen storageDynamic high efficiency 4th generation Nuclear
Decentralise Community wind, biomass district heating, Anaerobic digestion for farm wastes
AD energy from MSW, Biomass gasificationCommunity CHP
Marine BiomassFuel cells, Virtual power stations
Decrease Air-source retrofit Heat PumpsSolar thermalAdvanced Glazing
Enhanced Micro-chpLow cost Vacuum Insulated Panels
Nano-based insulationsPV ConcentratorsOrganic PV
Technology Options Are Evolving (NREL)Concept
StudyPrototype
TestingKW
ScaleMW
ScaleGW
Scale
Utility Wind(Land based)
Offshore Wind(Bottom Mounted)
Offshore Wind(Floating Turbines)
Marine Energy *(Wave, Tidal, current)
Distributed Wind(communities-residencies)
Organisations leading the R&DIndustry leaders with government supportGovernment-Industry Partnership
Government Laboratory Contactors
Academia & Small Startups
Organisations leading the R&D
Grain / AgriculturePetroleum
CoalForestry Academia & Startups
Chemical
Ethanol
Biodiesel
Green diesel
Syngas Liquids
Bio-oil Derivative
H2 From Biomass
Diesel from Algae
Hydrocarbons from Carbohydrates
HighLow
Lab / AcademiaIndustry
Organisations leading the R&D
First Generation PV: Crystalline Silicon
Trough - Solar Only
Trough – Indirect 2-Tank Molten Salt Storage
Second Generation PV: Thin films
Trough – Advanced Direct Storage
Concentrating PV Power Tower – Direct 2 Tank Molten Salt Storage
Dish Stirling
Third Generation PV: Organic / Plastic, nanostructures
HighLow
Organisations leading the R&DHVAC IndustryIndustry
Industry, Academia, DOEDOE, Academia, Industry
Geothermal Heat Pumps
Direct Thermal Applications
Conventional Hydrothermal Generation
Enhanced Geothermal Systems
Existing Research and Development Commitments• Advanced Fuel Cells • Advanced Motor Fuels • Bioenergy• Buildings and Community
Systems (ECBCS) • Clean Coal Sciences • Demand-Side Management • Emissions Reduction in
Combustion • Energy Storage • Energy Technology Systems
Analysis Programme (ETSAP) • Enhanced Oil Recovery
UK UK and Ireland
• Fluidized Bed Conversion • Heat Pumping Technologies • High-Temperature
Superconductivity (HTS) on the Electric Power Sector
• Hydrogen• Hydropower • Ocean Energy Systems• Photovoltaic Power Systems • Renewable Energy Technology
Deployment • Solar Heating and Cooling • Wind Energy Systems
Technology Innovation Challenges Remain The Next Generation
• Wind– Improve energy capture by 30%– Decrease costs by 25%
• Biofuels– New feedstocks– Integrated biorefineries
• Solar– Improved performance through, new materials, lower cost manufacturing processes, concentration– Nanostructures
• Zero energy buildings– Building systems integration– Computerized building energy optimization tools
• Advanced vehicles– Plug-in hybrids/electrics– Alternative fuels
• Integrated Building Technologies
• Offshore energy (including wind, tidal, wave)WindGB - 7,000 offshore turbines / £64 billionROI - £4 billion / 5 years
MarineUK - £36m Marine turbine research
£50 m Wave power research
• Bio EnergyADBio fuels
• Energy StorageCurrent annual £21 billion globally, 55%, £33 billion by 2012
Four areas of development opportunity
Making Transformational Change Requires an integrated approach (NREL)