+ All Categories
Home > Documents > investinginequity_8aug10

investinginequity_8aug10

Date post: 08-Aug-2018
Category:
Upload: chaipat-n
View: 214 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend

of 48

Transcript
  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    1/48

    1

    2

    2.

    1.

    3.

    4.

    5.

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    2/48

    3

    1.

    4

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    3/48

    5

    (Money Market) ( 1 )

    (Capital Market) ( 1 )

    6

    (Initial Public Offering)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    4/48

    7

    ()

    SET

    ..

    8

    ... .. 2517

    30 2518

    ...

    .. 2535

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    5/48

    9

    1. 2. 3.

    SET

    10

    30 2518 100

    SET Index

    SET Index = * 100

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    6/48

    11

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    1800

    2

    5

    18

    2

    5

    19

    2

    5

    20

    2

    5

    21

    2

    5

    22

    2

    5

    23

    2

    5

    24

    2

    5

    25

    2

    5

    26

    2

    5

    27

    2

    5

    28

    2

    5

    29

    2

    5

    30

    2

    5

    31

    2

    5

    32

    2

    5

    33

    2

    5

    34

    2

    5

    35

    2

    5

    36

    2

    5

    37

    2

    5

    38

    2

    5

    39

    2

    5

    40

    2

    5

    41

    2

    5

    42

    2

    5

    43

    2

    5

    44

    2

    5

    45

    2

    5

    46

    2

    5

    47

    2

    5

    48

    2

    5

    49

    2

    5

    50

    Black

    Monday

    (.. 2530)

    Mini BlackMonday(.. 2532)

    (.. 2533)

    . (.. 2534)

    (.. 2535)

    (2532)

    (.. 2538)

    (.. 2538)

    -. (.. 2540)

    (.. 2540)

    IMF (

    .

    . 2540)

    (2540)

    (14 .. 2542)

    (.. 2542)

    (.. 2544)

    MSCI (.. 2544)

    (.. 2542)

    (11 .. 2544)

    (2522)

    (2524)

    (.. 2524)

    (.. 2528)

    (.. 2529)

    (.. 2545)(.. 45-.. 46) SARS(.. 46)(..-.. 46)

    (..-.. 47) 3 (..- .. 47).

    (.. - .. 47)

    (.. .. 47)

    .. 2518 - 2550 2519 76.43 17 .. 2519

    2537 1,753.73 4 .. 2537

    Source : The Stock Exchange of Thailand

    (.. 2549)

    30%

    (.. 2549)

    12

    1

    3

    4

    5

    6

    ..??

    2

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    7/48

    13

    14

    0.18 - 1%

    0.11 - 1%

    * VAT 7%** Commission 1 .. 53

    1X > 20

    > 0.11-1> 0.15-1> 0.18-110 < X < 20

    > 0.13-1> 0.18-1> 0.22-15 < X < 10

    > 0.15-1> 0.20-1> 0.25-1X < 5

    Cash Balance/Credit BalanceCash Account

    Commission* (%)

    Commission* (%)

    ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    8/48

    15

    16

    (Cash Account)

    ( ATS-Automatic Transfer System)

    (Cash Balance/Pre-paid/ Cash Deposit)

    **

    ** Broker

    15% Broker

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    9/48

    17

    (Margin Account)

    18

    1

    2

    3

    3

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    10/48

    19

    1.

    2.

    20

    1. -

    2. 3.

    4. Price Then Time Priority

    5. Ceiling & Floor

    6.

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    11/48

    21

    -

    Off-hour

    Trading and

    Market

    Runoff

    Period

    Call

    Market

    Afternoon Trading

    Session

    Pre -

    Opening II

    IntermissionTrading Session IPre -

    Opening I

    9.30 T1 12.30 14.00 T3T2 17.0016.30

    T1 9.55 10.00 .

    T2 14.25 14.30 .

    T3 16.35 16.40 .

    : ()

    : 9.30 17.00

    .

    22

    (ARMS)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    12/48

    23

    Advanced Resilience Matching

    System

    ARMS

    1

    1

    (Bid) (Offer)

    Automatic Order Matching (AOM)

    (Price Then Time Priority)

    Ceiling/Floor ( 1 Board Lot = 100 )

    24

    11:041011,00011:061001,500

    2,500

    1,000

    1,500

    Vol

    103

    102

    101

    Offer

    99

    99.5

    100

    Bid

    11:06

    11:05

    11:03

    Time

    11:10

    11:07

    11:05

    Time

    3,500

    1,000

    1,000

    Vol

    Price Then Time Priority

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    13/48

    25

    1,500

    1,000

    2,500

    Vol

    100

    99.5

    99

    Bid

    101

    102

    103

    1,000

    1,000

    3,500

    OfferVol

    500

    1,000

    2,500

    Vol

    100

    99.5

    99

    Bid

    101

    102

    103

    1,500

    1,000

    3,500

    OfferVol

    Bid 100 500

    Bid 101 1,000

    Bid 102 2,000

    -- Bid 100

    101

    - 101 102 - 500 Bid 102

    Price Then Time Priority

    1,500

    1,000

    2,500

    Vol

    100

    99.5

    99

    Bid

    101

    102

    103

    1,500

    1,000

    3,500

    OfferVol

    2,500

    Vol

    102

    100

    99.5

    99

    Bid

    103500

    1,000

    1,000

    3,500

    OfferVol

    26

    (Price Spread)

    2.00400

    1.00400200

    0.50200100

    0.2510025

    0.102510

    0.05105

    0.02520.012

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    14/48

    27

    Ceiling & Floor Price Spread

    PTT1,000

    244.50

    30% (Close)

    28

    ** Internet Trading

    -

    - ATC

    (Pre-close)

    - (Market Close)**

    -.

    - MP

    (Market Open)

    -

    - ATO

    (Pre-Open)

    (Limit Price Order) (/)

    At-the-open order (ATO)

    At-the-close order (ATC)

    Market Price (MP)

    Immediate or Cancel (IOC)

    Fill or Kill (FOK)

    Publish Volume

    First

    Priority

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    15/48

    29

    (Main Board): (Board Lot)

    (Big Lot Board): 1 3

    (Foreign Board):

    (Odd Lot Board): 1

    (Board Lot) :

    (Trading Boards)

    30

    1. XD (Excluding Dividend):

    2. XI (Excluding Interest): 3. XR (Excluding Right): 4. XW (Excluding Warrants):

    5. XA (Excluding All):

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    16/48

    31

    6. NP (Notice Pending):

    7. NR (Notice Received): NP NR 1

    8. SP (Suspension):

    9. H (Halt):

    ()

    32

    2.

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    17/48

    33

    34

    /

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    18/48

    35

    36

    Corporate ActionCorporate Action

    ()

    *

    Right

    Issue

    Stock

    DividendStock Split

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    19/48

    37

    10%

    38

    / x 100 -

    ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    20/48

    39

    3.

    40

    (Underpriced)

    (Overpriced)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    21/48

    41

    (ABC) XYZ,000,MNO,JKL,PQR

    ABC

    :

    :

    :()

    42

    1. (Economic Analysis)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    22/48

    43

    -

    -

    - (Discount Rate)

    - (Open Market Operation)

    44

    1

    Expansion

    5

    Revival

    4

    Depression

    3

    Recession

    2

    Boom

    (Gross Domestic Product : GDP)

    (Industrial Production)

    (Personal Income) (Consumer Price Index) (Producer Price Index) (Unemployment Rate)

    (Retail Sales)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    23/48

    45

    2. (Industry Analysis)

    46

    (Industry Life Cycle)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    24/48

    47

    4 (Pure Competitions)

    (Imperfect Competitions)

    (Oligopoly)

    (Monopoly)

    48

    (Qualitative Analysis)

    (Quantitative Analysis)

    3. (Company Analysis)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    25/48

    49

    50

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    26/48

    51

    52

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    27/48

    53

    54

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    28/48

    55

    x x

    ROE

    56

    1.

    (Current Ratio)

    =

    (Current Ratio)

    (Financial Ratio)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    29/48

    57

    (Financial Ratio) ()

    =

    (Receivable Turnover)

    2.

    (Receivable Turnover)

    58

    (Financial Ratio) ()

    =

    (Inventory Turnover)

    2.

    (Inventory Turnover)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    30/48

    59

    = * 100

    (Return on Asset)

    3.

    (Return on Asset)

    (Financial Ratio) ()

    60

    = * 100

    (Return on Equity)

    3.

    (Return on Equity)

    (Financial Ratio) ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    31/48

    61

    =

    (Debt Ratio)

    4.

    (Debt Ratio)

    (Financial Ratio) ()

    62

    =

    (Debt to Equity Ratio)

    4.

    (Debt to Equity Ratio)

    (Financial Ratio) ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    32/48

    63

    4.

    ()

    2.

    ()

    3.

    ()

    1.

    ()

    64

    1. Growth Stock: (Under Valued)

    2. Defensive Stock:

    3. Cyclical Stock:

    4. Speculative Stock:

    4

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    33/48

    65

    66

    1. (Intrinsic Value)

    (Dividend Discounted Model)2.

    (P/E Ratio : PER)

    (Price to Book Value : PBV)

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    34/48

    67

    (Dividend Discounted Model : DDM)

    (Intrinsic Value)

    P = D

    t= t t = 1,2,3,

    ks

    = (Required Rate of Return)

    P0

    = =t

    s

    t

    ssk

    D

    k

    D

    k

    D

    )1(

    ...

    )1()1(

    2

    2

    1

    1

    +++

    ++

    +

    = +1 )1(tt

    s

    t

    k

    D

    Discount Cash Flow

    68

    (P/E Ratio : PER)

    (EPS)*P/E Ratio

    * (EPS) = -

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    35/48

    69

    P/E Ratio

    = PER * EPS

    P/E

    ()

    70

    1 (EPS) 3 15

    PER = 15 / 3 = 5

    PER 7 PER

    PER x EPS 21 ( 7 * 3 )

    ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    36/48

    71

    2 ABC (Price) 100 (Earnings Per Share)20 PER = 100 / 20 = 5 ABC 5

    DEF 200 20 PER = 200 / 20 = 10 DEF 10

    ABC DEF

    P/E Ratio P/E Ratio

    ()

    72

    (Price to Book Value : PBV)

    (BPS)*

    PBV Ratio

    * (Book Value Per Share : BPS)

    (BPS) = ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    37/48

    73

    PBV PBV

    = PBV * BPS

    ()

    PBV

    PBV

    74

    1 40 4 BPS = 40 / 4 = 10

    PBV 1.2 Price = PBV * BPS

    = 1.2 * 10 = 12

    2 9.85 BPS 4.14 PBV = 9.85 / 4.14 = 2.83

    PBV 3

    12.42

    (

    3 * 4.14)

    PBV

    ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    38/48

    75

    Good Company

    , ,

    ++ Good Stock

    ... ???

    (Technical Analysis)

    76

    (Dow Theory)

    4.

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    39/48

    77

    (Buy Signal) (Sell Signal)

    1.

    ()2. 3.

    78

    1. /(Primary Trend)

    2. (Secondary Trend)

    3. (Minor Trend)

    (Dow Theory)

    3

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    40/48

    79

    (Trend)

    80

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    41/48

    81

    82

    Demand Supply

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    42/48

    83

    84

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    43/48

    85

    86

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    44/48

    87

    88

    5.

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    45/48

    89

    (Good Advice)

    (Best Execution)

    /

    90

    CLASSC Capital L License

    ...A Advice /S System & Control

    S Staff

    ()

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    46/48

    91

    ( Confirm) (Statement)

    Back Office

    92

    DOs

    1. ()2.

    3. Confirm Statement

    Back Office4.

    5. Back Office

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    47/48

    93

    DONTs ...

    1. 2. 3. 4. (Blank Form)5.

    6. 7.

    ()

    94

    1. : 2. :

    3. : /

    /

  • 8/23/2019 investinginequity_8aug10

    48/48

    95

    1.

    //

    2.

    3.

    4.

    UESTIONS &

    NSWERS