Date post: | 08-May-2015 |
Category: |
Economy & Finance |
Upload: | multiplus |
View: | 1,083 times |
Download: | 2 times |
Investor Presentation
February 2012
2
Disclaimer
• This notice may contain estimates for future events. These estimates merely reflect the expectations of
the Company’s management, and involve risks and uncertainties. The Company is not responsible for
investment operations or decisions taken based on information contained in this communication. These
estimates are subject to changes without prior notice.
• This material has been prepared by Multiplus S.A. (“Multiplus“ or the “Company”) includes certain
forward-looking statements that are based principally on Multiplus’ current expectations and on
projections of future events and financial trends that currently affect or might affect Multiplus’ business,
and are not guarantees of future performance. They are based on management’s expectations that
involve a number of business risks and uncertainties, any of each could cause actual financial condition
and results of operations to differ materially from those set out in Multiplus’ forward-looking statements.
Multiplus undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements.
• This material is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or
an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Likewise it does not give and should
not be treated as giving investment advice. It has no regard to the specific investment objectives,
financial situation or particular needs of any recipient. No representation or warranty, either express or
implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained
herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
About Multiplus
3
R$ 1.5 bln of Gross Billings in 2011 (+36% YoY)
26,86% 73,14%
TAM S.A.
Shareholders’ Structure
Debt free
Negative working capital Scalable business
Strong cash generation Low CAPEX requirement
Dividend player
Innovative Business Model
R$ 5 bln Market Cap (Feb/12)
IPO with R$ 2.6 bln Market Cap
(Feb/10)
R$ 974 mln of dividends* already distributed
(Fev/10-Dez/11)
4
121 125 133
151 166 161
168
190
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
6,9 7,2 7,6
8,0 8,3 8,6
8,9 9,4
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
Number of partners
Members, in R$ million
Multiplus is a growing loyalty network
9.4 mln members can gather
points from several programs in
one single account
190 partners gain a powerful
support acquiring and
retaining clients
Members, in million
# of months ~10 0 24
$
$
points selling redemption
unit revenue less unit cost
spread $
CASH IN CASH OUT ~10 months float
interest income
point expiration
breakage
outsourcing and CRM
services $
Innovative business model
5
Sources of Profit
(Joint Venture)
Growing coalition network…
Apparel Education Gas Stations Bookstore Magazine
Suscriptions Pay-TV Telecom Hotels Air Travel
Note: blank slots refer to targeted segments
Drugstore
Members can collect and also redeem points
in any coalition partner.
Travel Agency
Pension Plan Furniture and
Decoration
Beauty and
Healthy Home Centers Car Rental Group Buying
Cargo
Transportation Groceries Gym Food
Universities
Real Estate
Stock Broker
Insurance
e-Commerce
Stock Exchange
6
Exclusive and Strategic
Relationship with TAM
Long term agreement (15 years
+ additional 5 year periods)
Most desired airline in Brazil
(Ibope Research) and Star
Alliance member
Air tickets: most appealing
redemption with high value
perception
… and strong accrual and growing redemption network*
Redemption Accrual
*non exhaustive
Financial Institutions
7
Hotels
Car Rental Retail and others
Magazines and Newspapers
Charity
Other
Leisure
how?
21%
3%
76%
Current
TAM Retail, Industry and Services Banks
Strategy: to diversify gross billings and redemptions
8
Note: based on 4Q11
Long term target
97%
3%
Current
Air Tickets Others
Long term target
15 to 20%
15 to 20%
Points redeemed
Points sold
• Average unit price increase
• Average unit cost reduction
• Controlled breakage decline,
favoring member experience
and volume growth
Long term margin expansion
why?
to diversify gross billings
and redemptions
what?
• Expanding partnerships
network
• Increasing marketing actions
• Improving client experience
9
“Non-air” redemptions:
almost 1.2 billion points of 2011
More than R$ 1.5 billion in
gross billings in 2011
33 57 73 89 101
248
425
564
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
230
264
300
325 340
355
397
434
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
“Non-air” redemptions, in million of points Gross Billings, R$ million
Strong Growth
Delivering Results
NOTE: it includes points issued before 2010 (TAM’s inventory)
10
Loyalty market has multiples growth opportunities
*Note: Average income of classes D and E - R$ 6,126/year; class C - R$13,944/year; and classes A and B - R$ 75,942 /year.
Credit Card Transaction Value (R$ billions)
CAGR +22%
Expanding credit card usage in Brazil
Source: ABECS
Personal Consumption Expenditure (R$ billions)
CAGR +12%
Increasing domestic consumption
Source: IBGE
Growing passenger traffic (Airline Segment)
RPK in Brazil (billions)
Source: ANAC
Improving wealth distribution
Social classes in Brazil* (% of the population)
Values updated for 2010 Source: Social Policies Center of FGV-Rio
142174
215256
314
386
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1,4291,594
1,7871,966
2,226
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
40 44 4857
70
81
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Multiplus’
target
2014 2003
CAGR +15%
11
Appendix
4Q11 Results in Brief
Breakage Revenue Recognition
Air tickets pricing model
Currency Hedge
Income Statement
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
12
Appendix I:
4Q11 results in brief
Operating Highlights
Financial Highlights
Lower Breakage Revenue in 4Q11 and 2012:
with no impacto to FCF or Adjusted EBTIDA
Appendix II:
Breakage Revenue Recognition
13
Same methodology since Company’s IPO
Breakage Revenue recognition is distributed over the quarters following
the speed of redemptions of points
- improvements to this methodology as systems and controls has permitted
- simplified version of the formula has been available on IR website for more than one year
Accounting Effect
(non-cash)
higher faster tends to zero lower (eg: Banks)
lower slower persistent more stable (eg: TAM)
speed of redemption revenue recognition Breakage liabilities
Breakage revenue
in the following periods
Simple and
robust model
Appendix III:
Air tickets pricing model
14
Ja
n
Feb
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
Ju
n
Ju
l
Au
g
Se
p
Oct
No
v
De
c
Ja
n
Feb
Ma
r
Ap
r
May
Ju
n
Ju
l
Au
g
Se
p
Oct
No
v
De
c
Ja
n
Feb
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
Ju
n
Ju
l
Aug
Se
p
Oct
No
v
De
c
Contractual cost (model) Cost after commercial discounts (prepayments)
FEB/10: R$622M prepayment
(~13% discount)
AUG/10: R$400M prepayment
(~4% discount)
DEC/11: periodic review
(~10% reduction)
Un
it C
ost (R
$)
NOTE: assuming current unit cost for 2012
Unit cost of standard redemptions
Flights with
low load factor
Unit cost = [Revenue Displacement + Marginal Cost] / # of points
Flights with
high load factor
2010 2011 2012
15
• Multiplus is exposed to
foreign exchange risk as
most of the agreements with
financial institutions are
denominated in USD.
• These partners represented
approximately 70% of
Multiplus’ gross billings in
4Q11.
• The Financial Risk
Policy determines coverage
limits and the list of eligible
financial instruments
11,2 11,2 11,9 12,1
16,2 16,2 16,0 14,8
5,8 5,8 6,0 6,3
9,7 9,7 9,7 9,2
-0,7 -0,7
0,1 1,5
4,1 4,2 4,3 4,2
-6,6 -6,6 -5,5
-3,1 -1,9 -1,8
-1,0 -0,4
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13
R$1,65/USD R$1,75/USD R$1,85/USD R$1,95/USD
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
Impact on company’s cash flow (Notional: USD 609.0 mln)
R$ million
2012 2013 Total
NOTIONAL 303.0 267.0 570.0
PUT* 1.80 1.89 1.84
CALL* 1.90 1.99 1.95
* average strike prices (BRL/USD)
Fundamentals Position in December 2011 (USD mln)
Appendix IV:
Currency Hedge
16
Appendix V:
Income Statement
(R$ thousand) 3Q10 3Q11
3Q11 vs 3Q10
2Q11 3Q11 vs
2Q11 Income Statement
Gross revenue 225,996 439,123 94.3% 353,652 24.2%
Sale of points 168,898 360,671 113.5% 249,834 44.4%
TAM Airlines - TLA 32,464 68,240 110.2% 54,605 25.0%
Banks, Retail, Industry and Services 136,434 292,431 114.3% 195,229 49.8%
Breakage 51,225 70,851 38.3% 93,130 -23.9%
Hedge 0 -804 N.A. 7,097 -111.3%
Other revenues 5,872 8,406 43.1% 3,591 134.1%
Taxes on sales -20,485 -40,834 99.3% -32,172 26.9%
Net Revenue 205,510 398,289 93.8% 321,480 23.9%
Cost of the points redeemed -132,190 -312,940 213.3% -218,818 43.0%
Air tickets -131,729 -306,036 132.3% -214,890 42.4%
Other products / services -461 -6,904 1396.9% -3,928 75.8%
Accounting Adjustments 0 -1,209 N.A. 1,209 -200.0%
Total cost of services rendered -132,190 -314,149 137.6% -217,609 44.4%
Gross Profit 73,320 84,139 14.8% 103,870 -19.0%
Gross Margin 35.7% 21.1% -14.6p.p. 32.3% -11.2p.p.
Shared services -2,367 -1,907 -19.4% -1,907 0.0%
Personnel expenses -6,845 -7,642 11.6% -8,750 -12.7%
Marketing -9,838 -6,564 -33.3% -6,457 1.7%
Depreciation -1,026 -1,529 48.9% -1,288 18.7%
Other -12,531 -7,001 -44.1% -8,612 -18.7%
Total Operating Expenses -32,607 -24,642 -24.4% -27,014 -8.8%
Total Costs and Operating Expenses -164,798 -338,791 105.6% -244,623 38.5%
Operating Income 40,713 59,498 46.1% 76,856 -22.6%
Operating Margin 19.8% 14.9% -4.9p.p. 23.9% -9.0p.p.
Financial Income/Expenses 16,918 21,421 26.6% 21,286 0.6%
Hedge - 12,763 N.A. (19,347) -166.0%
Income before income tax and social contribution 57,631 93,682 62.6% 78,796 18.9%
Income tax and social contribution -14,355 -22,809 58.9% -27,480 -17.0%
Net Income 43,276 70,872 63.8% 51,316 38.1%
Net Margin 21.1% 17.8% -3.3p.p. 16.0% 1.8p.p.
17
Appendix VI:
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
(R$ thousand)
Cash Flow 4Q11
Net Income 81,169
Depreciation/Amortization 1,173
Accounts Receivable -10,208
Accounts Payable -14,712
Taxes 5,412
Related Parties 45,822
Prepaid Expenses Increase 0
Prepaid Expenses Reduction 179,699
Deferred Revenue and Breakage liabilities 46,301
Derivative Instruments -2,877
Other assets and liabilities -2,714
Operating Cash Flow 329,063
Investiment -3,672
Cash Flow from Investing Activities -3,672
Net proceeds from public offer 0
Capital -600,014
Dividends 0
Other 2,300
Cash Flow from Financing Activities -597,714
Increase (Decrease) in Cash -272,323
Cash at beginning of period* 1,096,614
Cash at end of period* 824,292
(R$ thousands)
Balance Sheets
Assets 1,403,549 1,308,434 -6.8% 1,140,986 14.7%
Current assets 1,330,844 1,093,202 -17.9% 929,163 17.7%
Cash and cash equivalentes 17,186 9,186 -46.5% 5,372 71.0%
Investments 851,830 880,535 3.4% 474,115 85.7%
Accounts Receivable 68,699 147,449 114.6% 175,483 -16.0%
Related Parties 388,507 39,425 -89.9% 267,435 -85.3%
Current account 56,629 39,425 -30.4% 28,916 36.3%
Prepaid expenses 331,879 0 N.A. 238,520 N.A.
Deferred income tax and social contribution 3,769 5,219 38.5% 2,298 127.1%
Derivative Instruments 0 2,465 N.A. 3712 -33.6%
Other receivables 852 8923 946.7% 747 1094.4%
Non-current assets 72,705 215,232 196.0% 211,823 1.6%
Prepaid expenses 0 16,416 N.A. 0 N.A.
Long term investments 50,280 138,009 174.5% 160,572 -14.1%
Deferred income tax and social contribution 1,217 18,542 1423.3% 20,039 -7.5%
Derivative Instruments 0 77 N.A. 36 113.9%
Property, plant and equipment 935 1,381 47.7% 1,158 19.3%
Intangible 18,997 10,010 -47.3% 16,852 -40.6%
Intangible assets 1,276 30,797 2313.0% 13,166 133.9%
Liabilities and shareholder’s
equity1,407,471 1,308,434 -7.0% 1,140,986 14.7%
Current liabilities 648,869 1,020,888 57.3% 847,427 20.5%
Suppliers 20,502 114,884 460.4% 3,569 3118.6%
Taxes and fees payable 2,328 13,423 476.7% 10,996 22.1%
Deferred revenue 484,055 666,371 37.7% 666,455 0.0%
Breakage liabilities 130,495 127,926 -2.0% 124,158 3.0%
Derivative Instruments 0 20,489 N.A. 23,514 -12.9%
Other liabilities 11,490 77,795 577.1% 18,734 315.3%
Non-current liabilities 0 28,408 N.A. 33,464 -15.1%
Related Parties 0 0 N.A. 0 N.A.
Derivative Instruments 0 28,408 N.A. 33,464 -15.1%
Equity 758,602 259,138 -65.8% 260,095 -0.4%
Capital 669,063 70,401 -89.5% 69,049 2.0%
Hedge 0 -34,211 N.A. -27,231 25.6%
Remuneration Plan 1,538 11,453 644.5% 8,984 27.5%
Reserves 5,919 211,495 3472.9% 5,919 3472.9%
Retained Earnings (loss) 82,082 0 -100.0% 203,373 -100.0%
4Q11 vs
4Q10
4Q11 vs
3Q114Q10 4Q11 3Q11
Contact IR team
+55 11 5105 1847
www.multiplusfidelidade.com.br/ir Debit free
Negative working capital Scalable business
Strong cash generation Low CAPEX requirement
Dividend player