+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25...

Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25...

Date post: 06-Jun-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 1 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
12
Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019
Transcript
Page 1: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

Investor PresentationPreliminary Results 2018Hamburg, 25 February 2019

Page 2: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

2

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a

number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a

number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are

inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and

contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ

materially from those anticipated in the Company’s forward-looking

statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond

the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in

the Company’s press releases and reports and those set forth from time

to time in the Company’s analyst calls and discussions. We do not

assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements

contained in this presentation.

This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or

offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this

presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection

with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being

presented solely for your information and is subject to change without

notice.

UASC’s Ltd. and its subsidiaries have been included in the figures from

the date control was transferred on 24 May 2017.The key figures used

are therefore only comparable with the previous year to a limited extent.

All information on FY 2018 financials is preliminary and unaudited.

Forward-looking statements

Page 3: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

3

Our Industry

Our Objectives

Opening Remarks

01

03

Our Position02 EBITDA of USD 1,345 m in 2018 (USD 1,199 m in 2017)

Solid pro forma volume growth of 6% YoY and pro forma rate up by 2% YoY

Deliver on our financial and non-financial targets of our new mid-term strategy launched at

the Capital Markets Day in November 2018

Stable demand despite recent downgrades and rising geopolitical risks

Sector fundamentals remain favourable in the mid-term

Page 4: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

4

Despite increasing geopolitical risks, container shipping volume

growth expectation remains on a healthy level…

Real GDP

Container Volume

Growth

1.9x 1.0xGDP

multiplier

2000 = Indexed to 100

1.3x

Source: HIS Global Insight (January 2019), IMF WEO (January 2019)

Global Container Volume Growth & Real GDP Growth [%]

Our Industry1

4.0%

4.7%4.9%

3.7%3.5%

3.6%

100

150

200

250

300

20062000 2007 20172001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2008 2009 20152010 2011 20142012 2020e2013 2016 2018 2019e

Page 5: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

5

2008

61%

3.2

2007

50%

38%

2010

6.5

27%

2009

28%

2011

21%

2012 2014

21%

2013

18% 19%

2.8

2015

16%

3.3

2016

13%

2017

11%

2018

6.0

5.0

3.9

4.3

3.63.4

3.8

2.5

…which, combined with the historically low orderbook and

reasonable new orders…

Orderbook-to-fleet Newly placed orders

Source: MDS Transmodal (October 2018), Drewry (4Q 2018), Clarksons (January 2019), Alphaliner weekly (various sources)

[TEUm, %]

Share of World Fleet

Orderbook

Vessels > 13,999 TEU

2017201520142011 2012 2013 2016 2018

1.8

0.4

2.0

1.1

2.2

0.2

0.8

1.2

Idle fleet

[TEUm, %]

Our Industry1

[TTEU] Share of world fleet 2.8%

228417

Q4

2011

Q4

2013

Q4

2012

Q4

2014

Q4

2015

Q4

2016

Q4

2017

628

Q4

2018

1,359 1,420

595809

779

Page 6: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

6

…will lead to a further improving supply / demand balance in the

years to come

Scheduled vessel deliveries[TEUm]

Supply / Demand Balance

Source: Drewry (Forecaster 4Q18), IHS Global Insight (January 2019),

2015 2016 20182017 2019e 2020e

0.9

1.7

1.21.2

1.0

1.2

[% of world fleet]

2015

1.1%

2016 2017 2020e2018

3.0%

2019e

2.0%

0.5%

2.1% 2.1%

Scrapping

1 Our Industry

0

2

4

6

8

10

7.8%

2016

2.2%

8.0%

3.1%

2011 2012

6.1%5.5%

2013

4.0%

2.5%

6.3%

2014

1.2%

8.0%

2015

3.2%

3.1%

1.2%

5.5%

2019e

3.8%

2017

4.0%

5.4%

2018

4.7% 4.9%

2020e

Demand Supply

Page 7: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

7

0

1,000

4,000

2,000

3,000

Jul

17

Apr

18

Jan

17

Apr

17

Oct

17

Jan

18

Jul

18

1,290

Oct

18

Jan

18

8601,000

0

600

200

1,400

400

800

1,200

Jul

18

Jan

17

Apr

17

Jul

17

Oct

17

Jan

18

Apr

18

Oct

18

Jan

19

831800

500

1,000

700

600

900

1,100

Jan

17

Apr

17

Oct

18

Oct

17

Jul

17

Jan

18

Apr

18

Jul

18

Jan

19

879

848

500

600

700

1,100

900

1,000

800

Oct

17

Jan

17

Apr

17

Jul

17

Jan

18

Apr

18

Jul

18

Oct

18

Jan

19

In nearly all trades, spot rates have shown a positive trend towards

the end of 2018

Comprehensive Index (CCFI/SCFI)

Shanghai – USA (SCFI)

Shanghai – North Europe (SCFI)

Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI)

SCFI NEurope (USD/TEU)

SCFI LatAm (USD/TEU)SCFI USWC (USD/TEU)

SCFI Comprehensive IndexCCFI Comprehensive Index

Source: Shanghai Shipping Exchange (22 February 2019)

1 Our Industry

Page 8: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

8

We have achieved a strong positive EBITDA of USD 1,345 m in 2018

167

390

164

372

EBIT EBITDA

Q4 2017 Q4 20189.9%10.6%

Margin %

Our Position2

Note: The figures for the financial year 2017 include the UASC Group from the first-time consolidation date of 24 May 2017. Due to the retrospective application of the provisions for designating options, the previous

year’s values have been adjusted. This increased the group profit for the first nine month of 2017 by USD 0.7 million. All information on FY 2018 financials is preliminary and unaudited.

467524

EBIT

1,199

EBITDA

1,345

Q4 2017 vs. Q4 2018

+ 12.2%

+ 12.1%

3.8%4.1%

FY 2017 FY 2018

- 1.6%

4.6%5.3%

10.5%12.5%

- 4.4%

FY 2017 vs. FY 2018

Page 9: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

9

Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018

Solid pro forma transport volume growth of 6%,

while pro forma freight rates have increased by 2%

Transport volume [TEUm]

Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]

2017,

pro forma

2017 2018

9.811.2 11.9

Ø 2017 Ø 2018

1.060

1.022

318

1.044

1.044

421

- 2%

+ 2%

+ 32%

+ 6%+ 21%

Freight rate,

pro forma

Freight rate,

reported

Ø Bunker price

Freight rate [USD/TEU] vs. Bunker price [USD/mt]

2017 2018

935922

+ 1%

Our Position2

Note: All information on FY 2018 financials is preliminary and unaudited.

Page 10: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

10

Hapag-Lloyd has a clearly defined policy to create

shareholder value…

ROIC (throughout the cycle) > WACC [This implies an EBITDA-margin of ~ 12%]

Net Debt / EBITDA ≤ 3.0x

Equity ratio > 45%

Adequate liquidity reserve of ~ USD 1.1 bn

3 Our Objectives

Financial Targets to be achieved until 2023

Profitability

Deleveraging

Equity

Liquidity

Page 11: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

11

…as well as customer value

Achieve best in class Net Promoter Score (NPS)

Measure and improve On Time DeliveryQuality

Increase share of door-to-door business to over 40% of total by 2023Superior landside

capabilities

Grow volume in selected attractive markets and achieve a market share of ~10%

(excl. Intra Asia) in reefer market by 2023Attractive Markets

Comply with or exceed all IMO environmental regulationsEnvironmental

3 Our Objectives

Non-Financial Targets to be achieved until 2023

Grow volume booked via Web Channel to 15% by 2023Web Channel

Page 12: Investor Presentation - Hapag-Lloyd...Investor Presentation Preliminary Results 2018 Hamburg, 25 February 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that

12

Hapag-Lloyd Investor Relations

Ballindamm 25

20095 Hamburg

Tel: +49(40) 3001-2896

[email protected]

https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html


Recommended