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INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS...

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INVESTOR PRESENTATION March 2019
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Page 1: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

INVESTOR PRESENTATIONMarch 2019

Page 2: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This document contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable

securities legislation. These forward-looking statements include, among others, the Company’s prospects, expected

revenues, expenses, profits, expected developments and strategies for its operations, and other expectations, beliefs,

plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of

operations or performance. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms and phrases such

as “anticipate,” “achieve”, “achievable,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend”, “plan”, “planned”, and other similar

terms and phrases. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and

assumptions that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from

those anticipated. These risks and uncertainties include: fluctuating prices for crude oil and natural gas; changes in

drilling activity; general global economic, political and business conditions; weather conditions; regulatory changes;

and availability of products, qualified personnel, manufacturing capacity and raw materials. If any of these

uncertainties materialize, or if assumptions are incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those expected.

2

Page 3: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

TRICAN & INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

Page 4: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

INVESTMENT SUMMARY

▪ Largest Canadian pressure pumping company

• Industry-leading fracturing and cementing service lines

▪ Focused on top quartile return on investment capital above 10%

• Capital disciplined investments

• Investments must exceed ROIC hurdle rate

• Cash flow in 2018 used to repay debt and re-purchase shares

▪ Shareholder returns through NCIB

• Repurchased approximately 15 % of the Company’s shares from October 2017

to present

• Continue to invest into repurchasing shares into Q2-2019

▪ Very strong balance sheet

• Net debt of approximately 38 million at year end. (debt less cash)

• Non cash working capital balance of 108 million

▪ Focused on lowering costs in competitive environment

• Approximately 55 million of annualized cost savings since Canyon acquisition

in June, 2017

4

Page 5: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

INVESTMENT SUMMARY

▪ Existing idle equipment provides opportunity for

incremental returns upon a market recovery (minimal

investment required for reactivations – just staffing)

• Substantial leverage on existing infrastructure and fixed cost

structure

• Monetized 17.6 million of idle non-core assets in 2018

▪ Strong loyal customer base that supports the company

through the downturn

▪ Experienced and motivated work force supported by an

executive leadership team with extensive experience

managing oilfield services cycles

▪ Trading substantially below tangible book value and

replacement cost.

• Opportune time to invest in cyclical business.

5

Page 6: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

INVESTMENT SUMMARY

▪ Company valuation approaching cyclical low valuation – opportune

time to invest in a cyclical business

▪ Company has significantly improved asset coverage relative to 2015

cyclical low – exit 2018 debt lower than 15% of tangible equity value

0.0x

0.2x

0.4x

0.6x

0.8x

1.0x

1.2x

1.4x

1.6x

1.8x

2.0x

-

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18

Price

to

Ta

ng

ible

Bo

ok V

alu

e

De

bt /

Ta

ng

ible

Eq

uity

Price to Tangible Book Value vs. Leverage Profile

Debt to Tangible Equity (LHS) Price to Tangible Book (RHS)

6

Page 7: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

▪ Trican is a Canadian-

focused, energy

services company,

which provides an

array of specialized

products, equipment

and services for the

drilling and

completions cycle of

oil and gas

exploration and

development.Customer

Full Cycle Technical Expertise

Engineering Support

Reservoir Expertise

Laboratory Services

Drilling Cycle

Cementing Services

Completion Cycle

Fracturing

Coil Tubing

Nitrogen

Fluid Management

Acidizing

Production Cycle

Coil Tubing

Acidizing

Pipeline Services

Industrial Services

Chemical Services

Remedial Cementing

WHAT WE DO

7

Page 8: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

Market Leading Positions

▪ Canadian market leader in fracturing services (based

on adjusted EBITDA margin and market share)

▪ Canadian market leader in cementing services

(based on market share – no competitor margin data

available)

▪ Supporting service lines: coil tubing, nitrogen, acid,

water management services, pipeline and industrial

services

Strong Financial Position

▪ 2018 revenue of $900 million

▪ Market capitalization $440 million (February 22, 2019)

▪ Total debt of $46 million (net debt of 38 million) at year

ended 2018

OUR CANADIAN MARKET AND FINANCIAL POSITION

Trailing 12 Month Revenues:

Service Line Breakdown

Hydraulic Fracturing, 69%

Cementing, 16%

Coil, Nitrogen, Acid, 9%

Fluid Management,

4%

Industrial, 2%

8

Page 9: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

OUR FOCUS

To achieve top

quartile ROIC

in our sector

- Maintain market leading position in Fracturing and Cementing service lines

- Strengthen auxiliary service lines (Coiled Tubing, Nitrogen, Water Management)

- Growth in existing or complimentary, less capital intensive, less cyclical services lines (i.e. Production & Pipeline Services)

- Leverage strong technical expertise into additional markets or services

- Disciplined investment into future growth – ensure ROIC hurdle rates are met

- Return value to shareholders through Normal Course Issuer Bid (share buyback program)

- Reduce costs for ourselves and our clients through efficiency improvements and scale

Strengthen

Existing

Business

Growth

Share-

holder

Return

Cost

Control &

Efficiency

Gains

9

Page 10: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

FOCUSED GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE

Horn River

Shale

Montney

Shale

Bakken

ShaleCardium

Tight Oil

Viking

Tight Oil

Lower Shaunavon

Tight Oil

GRANDE PRAIRIE

WHITECOURT

HINTON

FORT ST. JOHN

NISKULLOYDMINSTER

RED DEER

BROOKS ESTEVAN

British Columbia Alberta Saskatchewan

Deep

Basin

Duvernay

Shale

DRAYTON VALLEY

CALGARY

Manitoba

Spearfish

MEDICINE HAT

10

Page 11: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS – INCREASING WELL INTENSITY

▪ 2018 well count 37% below 2014 levels

▪ 7,000 – 8,000 wells today equates to 2014 well count levels in terms of fracturing equipment demand

▪ We expect well service intensity to remain flat in 2019 to 2018 levels;

• Tonnes of proppant placed per / meter grew by approximately 25% in 2018 relative to 2017;

- 1.5 tonnes/metre in 2018 vs. 1.2 tonnes/metre in 2017

• 2018 data weighted to higher well service intensity wells

Source: Canadian Discovery Source: GMP First Energy

10,924

5,376

3,963

6,959 6,940

5,600

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E

WCSB - Wells Drilled

647

813

1,329 1,384

1,855

2,851

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

WCSB - Tonnes / Well

11

Page 12: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS – FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data, and internal estimates

Hydraulic Horsepower (HHP) Capacity Idled Available Active Crewed

Trican 671,850 90,000 581,850 340,000

Competitor A 355,000 28,000 327,000 327,000

Competitor B 297,500 72,500 225,000 225,000

Competitor C 270,000 - 270,000 250,000

Competitor D 250,000 - 250,000 250,000

Competitor E 240,000 - 240,000 240,000

Competitor F 80,000 - 80,000 50,000

Competitor G 50,000 - 50,000 50,000

2,214,350 108,600 2,023,850 1,732,000

▪ Estimated industry demand of ~ 1,400,000 HHP in Q1 2019

▪ Internal estimate of 20% - 25% of equipment in Canada is not suited for higher

well service intensity plays (Montney and Duvernay)

12

Page 13: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS – TRICAN’S COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

▪ More than 50% of Trican’s fleet is continuous duty

pumps, most efficient style of fracturing pump, designed

for higher well service intensity plays:

• Positions Trican to service growing, higher well service

intensity plays

• Supports Trican’s continued leading Canadian fracturing

market position as measured by both market share and

margin

• Allows Trican to continue to efficiently operate in the highest

well service intensity resource plays: Montney, Duvernay

and Deep Basin (estimated to account for ~ 80% of the

required HHP demand in Canada)

13

Page 14: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT – PRICING, LABOUR & REPAIRS EXPENSE

Pricing:

▪ Q4 2018 pricing dropped slightly sequentially

as activity decreased in the quarter

▪ Experienced further pricing concessions in

the first quarter of 2019 relative to Q4 2018

▪ Demand improvements, or supply

contraction, will be required for pricing to

improve:

• Increased customer budgets

• Improvement in commodity prices and / or

Canadian commodity price differentials

• West Coast LNG Indexed to 2014 pricing levels. Based on equipment revenue per tonne of proppant pumped.

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Pricing Index

14

Page 15: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT – PRICING, LABOUR & REPAIRS EXPENSE

Labour Wage Rates for Field Staff:

▪ Labour wage rates in-line with

industry

▪ We have and will further adjust field

labour levels going forward to match

our utilization

▪ Variable pay for field staff in 2019

▪ Well size and operating efficiencies

allow more efficient labour ratesIndexed to 2014. Based on personnel expenses per tonne of proppant pumped (component of

‘cost of sales – other’ within the statement of income).

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Labour Index

15

Page 16: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

-100

-90

-80

-70

-60

-50

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

R&M Index

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT – PRICING, LABOUR & REPAIRS EXPENSE

Repairs and Maintenance Expense:

▪ Increased intensity equals increased

expense, built into our pricing models

▪ Stainless steel fluid ends are expensed,

not depreciated

• Reduced 2018 annual capital

expenditures by $22 million

• Decreases fracturing gross margins by

4%

• Only Canadian company expensing fluid

ends (estimate that > 80% of US listed

public pressure pumping companies

expense fluid ends)

Indexed to 2014. Based on repairs and maintenance expense per tonne of proppant pumped, a

component of ‘cost of sales – other’ within the statement of income.

Changed to cash expense

of fluid ends, previously

depreciation

16

Page 17: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

PERFORMANCE – ROIC and ADJUSTED EBITDA %

▪ Corporate Adjusted EBITDA margin of 18% or

greater supports corporate level ROIC hurdles

▪ To improve adjusted EBITDA margins:

• Continue to optimize costs

• Recovery in utilization of existing fracturing fleet:

adjusted EBITDA margin improvement when

utilization at >80%

• Generate revenue from idled equipment

• Improve coil profitability: added 2 coil crews in Q4/18

and plan to add 2 more in 2019

• Leverage existing IP and technology into new

opportunities: sell chemicals and technology in US

and internationally

• Modest pricing improvements

17

Page 18: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

OUTLOOK & TRICAN ADVANTAGE

Page 19: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

Q1 2019

▪ Slower start to 2019

• Rig count approximately 30% below Q1-2018

• Uncertainty surrounding commodity prices, especially differentials,

and the impact of production cuts in late 2018 slowed customer

plans at start of the year

▪ Running 10 fracturing crews in quarter vs 11 crews in 2018

• 10 crews fully booked from mid January to mid March

• Crews smaller this year: running 340,000 HP in Q1 2019 vs.

455,000 HP in Q1-2018

• Utilization on active equipment this year approximately 75% per as

compared to 90% last year; more move and rig-up days

▪ Cementing activity is down approximately 30% from Q1 2018

levels correlating to the decrease in rig count

▪ Coil services is operating at comparable levels to 2018

▪ Pricing remains competitive in Q1 2019

19

Page 20: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

OUTLOOK – 2019

▪ Fracturing pricing recovered modestly from Q4 levels but is below

Q3 2018 levels; pricing has stabilized

▪ Pricing for other services in Q1 less affected than fracturing

▪ Visibility past Q1 is still limited as customers have not confirmed

second half budgets

• Approximately 70% of crewed fracturing equipment committed to clients

in second half of 2018

• Approximately 30% of crewed fracturing equipment currently committed

in April and May of 2018

▪ Slight leaning to increased spending by our clients if current

commodity prices hold

▪ Approximately 340,000 HP active but not staffed (6 large fleets)

▪ Will adjust active staffed equipment to meet customer demand as

second half programs are finalized

20

Page 21: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

CAPITALIZATION – POSITIONED FOR OPPORTUNITIES

▪ Strong balance sheet allows for opportunistic

investment:

• Keane Monetization: December 2018 monetization of

Keane for approximately $72 million further

strengthens our financial position

• Continued return to shareholders, active NCIB:

repurchased 50.4 million shares to date, approximately

15% of the outstanding Trican shares from October

2017 through February 20, 2019

• Fleet upgrades: can further strengthen our

market leading fracturing fleet through selective

upgrades

• Invest in supporting service lines: target increased

market share in coil and other supporting service lines

• M&A Opportunities: low leverage levels allow

cost effective funding options for

acquisition opportunities

-

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

Q1/1

5

Q2/1

5

Q3/1

5

Q4/1

5

Q1/1

6

Q2/1

6

Q3/1

6

Q4/1

6

Q1/1

7

Q2/1

7

Q3/1

7

Q4/1

7

Q1/1

8

Q2/1

8

Q3/1

8

Q4/1

8

Debt / Tangible Capital

21

Page 22: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE – PERSONNEL DEVELOPMENT

▪ Over one third of employees with more than 5 years of experience

▪ Career progression is an attraction to entry level employees

▪ Employee experience key to training and customer service

Technical, Support or Administrative Position

Manager Level Position

Field Supervisor

Field Technical

Field Entry Level

0 to 1 Years18%

1 to 3 Years34%

3 to 5 Years10%

5+ Years37%

Employee Headcounts by Years of Service

22

Page 23: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE - PEOPLE AND CUSTOMER SERVICE

Leveraging more than 20 years of Canadian expertise:

▪ Safety: LTI rate of 0.14

▪ Efficiency: Working to increase fracturing pumping hours per day to 16-20 from 10-12 hours per day

▪ Development: Industry-leading training programs

• Total Training Hours;• 2017: 75,837• 2018: 101,656

▪ Canadian geographic focus: Canadian focus

allows potential for expansion of existing

service lines or adding services lines within

our current infrastructure

▪ Improving our operating leverage: Building

on our existing infrastructure and adding

operationally focused personnel while

maintaining G&A support levels

Dec-155.5

Dec-164.4

Dec-176.5

Dec-188.2

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18

Field and Shared Service / SG&A Employee

Field & Shared Service / G&A Yearly Avg Field & Shared Service / G&A Expon. (Field & Shared Service / G&A)

23

Page 24: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE – INNOVATION

Leveraging innovation for new opportunities:

▪ Scale allows targeted investment into internally developed

IP and new technologies

▪ Patented MVPTM fracturing fluids; case studies indicate:

▪ 30% increased production in the Montney

• 20% increased production in the Cardium

▪ Global technology reputation allows new markets for IP

and technology

• Initial licensing agreement signed in the US for MVP FracTM

• CleanTRACKTM patented dust control product field tested and

will be commercial in 2019

• 3rd party interest in customer facing applications platform

• International technical service agreement opportunities

24

Page 25: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

SUMMARY

▪ Capital disciplined company focusing on ROIC

▪ Strong financial position to:

• Withstand near-term cyclical weakness

• Evaluate opportunistic growth

• Return capital to shareholders

▪ Continued focus on reducing costs to gain a

competitive advantage

▪ Largest Canadian pressure pumping company

with broad range of services

▪ Existing equipment complement provides

opportunity for incremental returns upon a

market recovery

25

Page 26: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

APPENDIX

Page 27: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

APPENDIX 1: EQUIPMENT AS OF DECEMBER 2018

Service Line Total

Equipment

Active,

Manned

Active,

Maintenance,

Unmanned

Idled ~ Market

Share

Fracturing (HHP) 672,000 340,000 242,000 90,000 30%

Cementing (trucks) 69 32 8 29 37%

Coil Tubing (units) 28 8 4 16 n/a

Nitrogen (units) 80 17 24 39 n/a

▪ Given the industry slow down, increased amount of fracturing hydraulic horse power is

expected to be parked

▪ We will explore opportunities to monetize equipment that is no longer anticipated to be

competitive in the WCSB

27

Page 28: INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Trican Well Service · 2019-03-05 · CANADIAN INDUSTRY DYNAMICS –FRACTURING COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE Source: Competitor company reports, internal company data,

INVESTOR PRESENTATIONMarch 2019


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