ICICIdirect.com
Investor Session
Sectoral View
Agenda
Global PictureII
Market Scenario
V
I
Sensex EarningsIV
Domestic EconomyIII
Model PortfolioVI
Market scenario
• The Indian market staged a strong recovery since March, 2016 with Sensex rallying ~22% from theFebruary, 2016 lows of 23000.
– Recovery was led by strong domestic cues such as a pragmatic Budget, strong monsoon, increasingpossibility of passage of GST and healthy Q4FY16 earnings show. Furthermore, fears of a deferralin the Seventh Pay Commission have been put to rest
• Globally, sentiments have shored up as the commodity decline has abated.
– Along with this, central banks globally are more accommodative after the Brexit shocks
– Risk on sentiment is accompanied by the strong price performance trend of safe havens like bondsand precious metals
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research * Abovementioned returns are for the period March, 2016 to July 29, 2016
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
01
-Mar
-16
31
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30
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30
-May
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29
-Ju
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No
rmal
ise
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etu
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MSCI World Currency Index MSCI World Equity Index
5851
3936
3232
2623
2221
196
4
0 20 40 60 80
Real EstateMetalSmall CapBankInfraAutoMid CapNiftySensexEnergyFMCGITPharma
(%)
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Defining moments in 2016 till now :
Crude & Commodity decline
US Rate hike odds crushed
Brexit : UK opted out of EU Jan
Feb
May
JunJun
Resultant effect on asset classes : a see-saw ride for asset classes, with safe havens emerging as clear winners
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Silv
er
Cru
de
Gol
d
Com
mod
itie
s
DM
Sov
erig
n
MSC
I EM
Jun
k B
on
d
Nif
ty
Hig
h Yi
eld
Fx
Vo
lati
lity
MSC
I Wor
ld
Euro
INR
Dol
lar I
ndex
Po
un
d
US
VIX
Various Asset class return in 2016 In first two months of 2016 all risk asset classes saw sharpdecline. However, post commodity decline halt there wasprice performance across asset classes
Precious metals (risk heaven) performed thestrongest (>30% + returns). Post the Brexit vote, withmost of the central banks expected to remain moreaccommodative, equity markets moved up sharply,with US S&P moving to record highs
2016 till now has been see-saw ride for global markets…
QE programs faltering: Central banks to need to recalibrate their unconventional monetary
policies
Inflation anemic: developed markets below their mandated level of 2%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Ital
y
Jap
an
Fran
ce
Ge
rman
y
UK
S. K
ore
a
US
Au
stra
lia
Can
ada
Ch
ina
Me
xico
Ind
on
esi
a
Ind
ia
Turk
ey
Ru
ssia
Bra
zil
CP
I
Developed markets
BoJ’s QE consuming liquidity at steep pace ECB’s QE hitting supply shortage : Germany has lower supply ofGerman bonds as yields crash across the curve…
82%68%
18%32%
2014 2016
Other
BoJ
$ 801 billion
$ 331 billion
Yield below -0.4% Yield above -0.4%
BoJ’s goal of devaluing yen has failed as yen hasstrengthened 16% YTD
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
Jan-
14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Sep-
14
Nov
-14
Jan-
15
Mar
-15
May
-15
Jul-1
5
Sep-
15
Nov
-15
Jan-
16
Mar
-16
May
-16
Japa
nese
Yen
Source: Bloomberg ICICIdirect.com Research
Excess liquidity challenges…Developed market sovereign debt, gold attract buying
Source: Bloomberg ICICIdirect.com Research
Countries commanding 90% weight in US$23 trillion Sovereign bond index
With increasing fears of liquidity, yields are falling lower
Developed market bonds falling into quicksand of negative yields
Central banks likely to continue to remain accommodativeand currency devaluation trend likely to continue gold islikely to continue it outperformance.
02468
101214
Pre
EC
B N
IRP
(J
an 2
01
5)
Po
st E
CB
NIR
P
(Mar
20
15
)
Pre
Bo
J N
IRP
(F
eb
20
16
)
Po
st B
oJ
NIR
P
(Mar
20
16
)
Pre
Bre
xit (
Jun
2
01
7)
Po
st B
rexi
t (C
urr
en
t)
Ne
gati
ve Y
ld b
on
d (
US
$tn
)
JAPAN
29.7%
UNITED
STATES29.3
UK 7.8%
FRANCE 7%
ITALY7%
GERMANY 5%
SPAIN4% Country Weight 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10Y 20Y 30Y
Switzerland 0.4%
Japan 29.7%
Germany 5.1%
Netherlands1.6%
France 6.8%
Austria 1.1%
Finland 0.4%
Sweden 0.3%
Belgium 1.8%
Denmark 0.4%
Slovakia 0.2%
Ireland 0.6%
Slovenia 0.1%
Spain 3.8%
Italy 6.6%
US 29.3%
UK 7.8%
Canada 1.4%
Australia 1.2%
Portugal 0.5%
Singapore 0.3%
New zealand0.2%
Norway 0.2%
Greece 0.1%
Hong kong 0.1%
Luxembourg0.0%
Developed Market Bond yields across maturities ...
Risks, going ahead …
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Risks
US rate hike & dollar strength
in November/December
US Presidential
Election Nov 8
Currency Devaluation by China/advanced economies
VAR shock in Bond
Market as Supply side
is constrained
Election dates Aug Sept Oct Nov
November 2, 1976 -0.51 2.26 -2.25 -0.78
November 4, 1980 0.58 2.52 1.6 10.24
November 6, 1984 10.63 -0.35 -0.01 -1.51
November 8, 1988 -3.86 3.97 2.6 -1.89
November 3, 1992 -2.4 0.91 0.21 3.03
November 5, 1996 1.88 5.42 2.61 7.34
November 7, 2000 6.07 -5.35 -0.49 -8.01
November 2, 2004 0.23 0.94 1.4 3.86
November 5, 2008 1.22 -9.08 -16.9 -7.49
November 6, 2012 1.98 2.42 -1.98 0.28
Barring 2000 & 2008, positive returns are seen in Aug-Nov in election yr
Rate hike odds still suggesting rate hike at end of 2016
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10
20
30
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Feb
-15
Ap
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-16
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Pro
bab
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y o
f rate
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21-Sep 02-Nov 14-Dec
6
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.6
6.7
6.8
6.9
7
Jan
-10
Jul-
10
Jan
-11
Jul-
11
Jan
-12
Jul-
12
Jan
-13
Jul-
13
Jan
-14
Jul-
14
Jan
-15
Jul-
15
Jan
-16
Ch
ines
e Yu
an
Yuan at weakest level since August 2010.
Duration risk increasing for ECB’s QE is increasing
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
Apr
-15
May
-15
Jun-
15
Jul-
15
Aug
-15
Sep-
15
Oct
-15
Nov
-15
Dec
-15
Jan-
16
Feb-
16
Mar
-16
Apr
-16
May
-16
Jun-
16
Coun
tryw
ise
hold
ing
dura
tion
France Italy Spain
While the known risks are highlighted above. Theunknown risks are uncertainty over global growth andpossibility of backfire of Negative interest rate policy
Indian economy – Well positioned to weather global volatility
Post Brexit, the market has surprisingly stabilised sooner than expected. It is because thedomestic scenario is much better than what it was previously. This was demonstrated in theMarch quarter earnings. Monsoon also appears to be strong. Fears of deferral of the SeventhPay Commission have been put to rest through its implementation. The prospects of GST gettingpassed in Rajya Sabha seem high. Hence, domestic cues outweigh global fears
• The economy is at the cusp of GDP expansion on the back of likely government capex expansionand consumption growth driven by the Seventh Pay commission hike. The Budgetannouncement with respect to focus on revving capex (priority on railways, power T&D, roadsvia improved budgetary allocations) and addressing rural stress (high allocation to agriculturalschemes), are steps in the right direction for structural improvement in GDP
• India has stuck to its fiscal deficit target of 3.5%, thereby indicating its intent to provide a fillipto growth without hurting the government fiscal position and inflation. Better fiscal disciplineis expected to usher in lower interest rates, reduce the cost of the economy and spursustainable investments
• Improvement in capex is driven by the government as its share in investment has increasedfrom ~50% in FY10 to ~ 60% in FY16. Furthermore, stalled projects have come down. In termsof segments, road, railways and power T&D lead the recovery
Seventh Pay Commission - Decadal event to revive consumption
Financial Implication of 7th CPC (| crore)
FY17 (w/o CPC) FY17 (with CPC) Financial Impact % increase
Pay 244300 283400 39100 16.0
Allowance
HRA 12400 29600 17200 138.7
TPTA 9900 9900 0.0 0.0
Other Allowance 24300 36400 12100 49.8
Pension 142600 176300 33700 23.6
Total 433500 535600 102100 23.6
•2% impact on GDP:
The Central government’s implementation of the Seventh Central Pay commission (CPC) will resultin a 65 bps impact on GDP. The total impact across governments (state governement:100 bps; localbodies: 30 bps) at all levels is expected to be ~2% of GDP
• | 3.5 lakh crore in hands of 1.4 crore workers
Source: Seventh Central Pay Commission , Indian Labour Year Book 2011-12 , Census Report 2011, ICICIdirect.com Research, PAP-Pay, Allowances &
Pensions, RE-Revenue Expenditure
Impact of 6th CPC & 7th CPC on macro-fiscal statement
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY17
w/o CPC Inc CPC
Pay & allowance/GDP 2.1 2.5 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.3
Pension/GDP 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1
PAP/GDP 2.9 3.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 3.4
Increase in PAP/GDP 0.8 0.7
PAP/GDP (excl Rail) 2.0 2.7 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.4
Increase in PAP/GDP 0.6 0.5
PAP/RE (excl Rail) 14.1 18.4 16.2 16.2 16.9 16.8 17.2 18.5 18.1 22.3
Increase in PAP/RE 4.3 4.3
Most state governments replicate therecommendations of central CPC with a lag.Given that the total wage bill of all the stategovernments is roughly 2x the centralgovernment, we expect a further impetus toconsumption
Change in consumption pattern & income distribution to boost discretionary growth
Food, 28%
Personal Transport,
15%Housing,
14%
Education, 9%
Health, 6%
Others, 21%
Jewellery ornaments
, 3%
Household consumabl
es, 3%
Other durable items,
1%
Food, 41%
Personal Transport,
9%
Housing, 8%
Education, 8%
Health, 6%
Others, 23%
Jewellery ornaments
, 1%
Household consumabl
es, 3%
Other durable
items, 1%
Source:, Seventh Central Pay Commission , NSS-68TH Round , ICICIdirect.com Research
Income distribution
• Pay Commission wage hike will lead to reclassification ofcentral government employees under various monthlyincome distribution categories. Maximum drop would bewitnessed in less than | 30,0000 monthly income categorywherein the drop would be ~67%
• Number of central government employees earning | 50,000-100,000 will increase 57% while employees earning>100,000 will increase 50%
With the increase in montly income(owing to Seventh Pay Commission),we expect part of the incrementalincome to be spent towards personaltransport, housing jewellery etc.
Personal transport, Housing & Jewellery will be biggest beneficiaries
30%
45%
11% 12%2%
10%
51%
25%
11%3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%
<30 30-50 50-70 70-10 >100
Inco
me
dis
trib
utio
n
Monthly income (| '000)
Income distribution-pre & post CPC
Current New
Change in consumption pattern for employees earning 30,000 p.m.
GST: Important Reform
GST - a leap towards eliminating complexities of indirect taxation: With the implementation of GST, the taxationburden would be divided between goods & services through a lower rate by increasing the tax base, which wouldcreate a level playing field for all manufacturing entities irrespective of their place of operation
• ‘Clean’ dual VAT : Unlike many countries, India is expected to implement a cleaner dual VAT. A common base andcommon rate across goods & services and very similar rates (across states) will facilitate administration andimprove compliance
• Lowest tax to GDP: India has one of the lowest tax to GDP ratios compared to other emerging economies. Withmore than 60% of the services contribution to GDP, indirect tax collection is likely to increase post GSTimplementation considering standard GST rate may be ~17.5% higher than service rate of 14.5%
Tax to GDP ratio of developed & emerging countries
Source: GST committee report Dec’15, IMF,ICICIdirect.com Research *RNR= Revenue Neutral Rate *COM (P) Committee Preferred *COM (A) – Alternative , *DTT –
Direct Tax Turnover
Nature of VAT Country Ex. Disadvantages
Independent
VATs at Centre
and states
Brazil, Russia,
Argentina
Differences in base and rates weaken
administration and compliance. Inter-state
transactions difficult to manage
VAT levied and
administered
at Centre
Australia,
Germany,
Austria,
Switzerland
etc.
State government relieved of responsibility of
raising taxes, which also takes away fiscal
discretion of states
Dual VATCanada and
India today
A combination of the above two limits both
their disadvantages
“Clean” dual
VATIndia’s GST
Common base and common rates facilitate
administration and compliance, including for
inter-state transactions while continuing to
provide some fiscal autonomy to states
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
(%)
Australia Brazil Canada Malaysia India Russia
India's indirect tax to GDP lowest among emerging
Sensex Earnings
• Sensex earnings have been muted over the last two years mainly owing to commodities
debasement. Going ahead, with commodities showing early signs of stabilising, we expect
Sensex EPS to grow 12.1% YoY to | 1542 in FY17E and then showcase a growth of 17.8% YoY in
FY18E to | 1816
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
*Others represents FMCG, Power, Pharma, Telecom, Ports
Sensex EPS
155 191 227 278 338 393 466 461 520634
96 107 123139
168199
222 227250
278
152217 189
235225
236211 189
164
203
5611
88 161182
153200 98 164
196
227
88
157124
10279 57
97
108
166
174
157127 164
165 228 234
261
298
724
923
1,0901,165 1,165
1,365 1,359 1,375
1,542
1,816
8076
7979
69 55 4454
68
66
38
-450
50
550
1,050
1,550
2,050
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E
(|)
Banking and NBFC IT Oil and Gas Capital Goods Auto Metals and Mining Others*
Sensex headed for a new high
• We ascribe a multiple of 16.5x on Sensex EPS
of FY18E and assign a one year forward target
of 30000 for Sensex and 9100 for Nifty
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research * Sensex closing as on 29 July, 2016
Sensex Target - July 2017
28,052
30,000
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Jan-
10
May
-10
Sep-
10
Jan-
11
May
-11
Sep-
11
Jan-
12
May
-12
Sep-
12
Jan-
13
May
-13
Sep-
13
Jan-
14
May
-14
Sep-
14
Jan-
15
May
-15
Sep-
15
Jan-
16
May
-16
Sep-
16
Jan-
17
May
-17
Upside of ~7%
from current level
FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E
Sensex EPS 1359 1375 1542 1816
Growth (%) -0.4% 1.2% 12.1% 17.8%
Target Multiple 16.5x
Sensex Target 30000
Corresponding Nifty Target 9100
Sensex & Nifty Target
Sectoral View
• We believe the auto sector will continue to remain in a sweet spot as multiplefactors namely good monsoon, governments focus on vehicle scrappage policyand Seventh Pay Commission will spur automotive demand over the next twoyears. Governments focus on complying with new emission norms (BS VI by2020) will benefit ancillary players
• We estimate industry volumes will grow at ~8%, with 2W, PV & MHCV segmentlikely to grow 8%, 10% & 15% YoY, respectively, in FY17E. On one year forwardbasis, valuations of our OEM universe are trading at ~19x
Auto
Positive
Logistics
Positive
• Rationalisation of freight rates by Indian Railways (IR) would create aconducive environment for container train operators. Increasing number ofcommodities in the freight basket and time tabled freight trains would furtherenable IR to claw back its lost share from roadways
• The Ministry of Shipping (MoS) has embarked on Sagarmala project, whichenvisages increasing the share of coastal shipping from current 7% to 10% by2020 of the total cargo handled. Increased cargo would benefit ports and itsancillaries
• With the passage of GST bill, surface logistics players would benefit by a shiftfrom unorganised (>50%) to organised. In addition to the same, economies ofscale with consolidation of warehouses would enable better operating metrics
• The cement industry being a pure domestic play remains insulated from globalheadwinds. Hence, local factors like benign interest environment, highergovernments focus on road & rural development augurs well for growth in thecement demand. We expect demand to reach to 305MT by FY18E (i.e. CAGR of7.5%) vs. (five year CAGR of 3.5%)
• On the supply side, lower pace of capacity additions (~32 MT vs. incrementaldemand of~50 MT) and consolidation in the industry to help utilisation levelsmove upward over the next three years. These along with higher realisationwould help drive margins further, going forward
Cement
Positive
Consumer
Durables
Positive
• Consumer companies are likely to record sales CAGR of 17% in FY16-18E led bystrong volume growth (~15% growth for paint companies) in the wake ofimplementation of Seventh Pay Commission, GST and better monsoon. Further,government’s efforts to improve power availability and distribute energyefficient products would boost the consumer durable segment
• Despite stabilisation of commodity prices (crude oil, copper) EBITDA marginexpected to remain at elevated level, supported by operating leverage andpremiumisation.
Sectoral View
• The government is looking to revive the infrastructure sector through varioussteps such as EPC mode of awarding/Premium rescheduling/changes in MCAAgreement in the road sector, UDAY scheme in the power sector and DFCordering in Railway sector. Similarly, the government has also been driving thecapex with 60% of awarding done by it in sectors such as road (17.9%), power(17.6%), power distribution (15.7%), and Railway (11.1%) in FY16
• Ordering and tendering activity has picked up pace in these segments
• We like EPC and product based companies wherein improvement in executionand balance sheet will drive profitability
Capital
Goods &
Infra
Positive
FMCG
Positive
• Considering the progress of normal monsoon coupled with higher Budgetaryallocation of ~| 87700 crore towards overall rural development is expected todrive rural volumes though revival in urban discretionary demand remainsslow. However, sales growth is likely to remain ~12% with stable realisationgrowth
• Operating margins for companies would remain at elevated levels as increasein RM cost could be set off by lowering of the A&P spend
• Implementation of GST would benefit companies present in highly unorganisedcategories like biscuits, hair oils, branded foods
Sectoral View
Telecom
Neutral
• We expect healthcare universe revenue, EBITDA and PAT to grow at a CAGR of12.1%, 11.7% and 13.7%, respectively, in FY16-18E. The growth will be steeredby US (~14% CAGR over FY16-18E) and Indian formulations (~15% CAGR overFY16-18E)
• We believe pricing pressure in the US, capping of domestic drug prices andFDCs related issues in domestic markets and economic turmoil in emergingmarkets likely to weigh in the first half.
• However, we expect a recovery in the second half on the back of incrementalproduct launches in the US and likely positive outcome from the USFDA re-inspections besides normalising of Indian formulations growth
Pharma
Positive
• While incumbents have already launched their high speed 4G services, bigbang launch from Reliance Jio is awaited, which could pose a threat to them.With Reliance Jio launch looming large, the incumbents have already cut theirdata pricing by offering 45-67% more data at the same prices. Going ahead, webelieve further price disruption could pose a risk for the data revenue growthas data volume growth would be offset by price cut.
• Voice revenue growth would remain stagnant owing to realisations andvolumes under check due to intense competition
• We have a neutral stance on the sector and believe Airtel, being a leader withfirst mover presence in 4G markets is better equipped to face competition.
Sectoral View
Power
Neutral
• With 175 GW (1 GW = 1000 MW) renewable capacity addition target by 2022,CY16 may witness close to 6 GW of solar capacity and 4 GW of wind capacityaddition. Overall, we expect ~18 GW to be added in CY16 (21.3 GW added inCY15). PLF across power plants is likely to improve in CY16 driven by better fuelavailability from increased coal production, coal swapping toward efficient andnearest plant, gas pooling strategy and low CY15 base.
• Key positive reforms undertaken by the GoI (mainly UDAY, enhancedrenewable focus, increased CIL output, gas pooling strategy and coal auction)are expected to boost the sector in the long run. Successful execution of UDAY(reducing AT&C losses to 15% by 2022) will not only reduce the discoms’ debtburden but would also improve its efficiency and curb future losses. We preferregulated utilities with decent addition targets coupled with reasonablevaluations
IT
Neutral
• CY16E IT budgets could be flat to negative while management commentary wascautious ahead of uncertain demand environment post Brexit. Clients aredeferring IT spends post Brexit outcome which could pose a challenge for ITspending, going forward
• Revenue growth could moderate around 10% in FY17E but so have valuationsat ~14-15x FY18E earnings. Returns will be in-line with earnings growth. Stickto large caps
Sectoral View
• Higher budgetary allocation towards development of roads and highways alongwith governments focus on ‘Housing for All’ augurs well for cement demand.We expect cement demand to reach 311 MT by FY18E (i.e. at CAGR of 6.0%) vs.(CAGR of 4.7% over last five years). On the supply side, lower pace of capacityadditions (~32 MT vs. incremental demand of ~50 MT) & consolidation in theindustry may move utilisation levels upward in next three years
• Further, lower fuel & power costs coupled with higher utilisations will helpimprove EBITDA/tonne from | 700/tonne to | 1000/tonne over FY15-18E
Cement
Positive
Consumer
Durables
Positive
• Consumer discretionary companies are likely to record sales CAGR of 12% inFY15-18E led by volumes as organised players are likely to benefit from theimplementation of the Seventh Pay Commission and GST
• Benefit of lower commodity prices would help in expanding EBITDA margin by200-500 bps in FY15-18E
Sectoral View
• Higher budgetary allocation towards development of roads and highways alongwith governments focus on ‘Housing for All’ augurs well for cement demand.We expect cement demand to reach 311 MT by FY18E (i.e. at CAGR of 6.0%) vs.(CAGR of 4.7% over last five years). On the supply side, lower pace of capacityadditions (~32 MT vs. incremental demand of ~50 MT) & consolidation in theindustry may move utilisation levels upward in next three years
• Further, lower fuel & power costs coupled with higher utilisations will helpimprove EBITDA/tonne from | 700/tonne to | 1000/tonne over FY15-18E
Cement
Positive
Consumer
Durables
Positive
• Consumer discretionary companies are likely to record sales CAGR of 12% inFY15-18E led by volumes as organised players are likely to benefit from theimplementation of the Seventh Pay Commission and GST
• Benefit of lower commodity prices would help in expanding EBITDA margin by200-500 bps in FY15-18E
Sectoral View
Sectoral View
• Higher budgetary allocation towards development of roads and highways alongwith governments focus on ‘Housing for All’ augurs well for cement demand.We expect cement demand to reach 311 MT by FY18E (i.e. at CAGR of 6.0%) vs.(CAGR of 4.7% over last five years). On the supply side, lower pace of capacityadditions (~32 MT vs. incremental demand of ~50 MT) & consolidation in theindustry may move utilisation levels upward in next three years
• Further, lower fuel & power costs coupled with higher utilisations will helpimprove EBITDA/tonne from | 700/tonne to | 1000/tonne over FY15-18E
Cement
Positive
Consumer
Durables
Positive
• Consumer discretionary companies are likely to record sales CAGR of 12% inFY15-18E led by volumes as organised players are likely to benefit from theimplementation of the Seventh Pay Commission and GST
• Benefit of lower commodity prices would help in expanding EBITDA margin by200-500 bps in FY15-18E
Sectoral View
• Higher budgetary allocation towards development of roads and highways alongwith governments focus on ‘Housing for All’ augurs well for cement demand.We expect cement demand to reach 311 MT by FY18E (i.e. at CAGR of 6.0%) vs.(CAGR of 4.7% over last five years). On the supply side, lower pace of capacityadditions (~32 MT vs. incremental demand of ~50 MT) & consolidation in theindustry may move utilisation levels upward in next three years
• Further, lower fuel & power costs coupled with higher utilisations will helpimprove EBITDA/tonne from | 700/tonne to | 1000/tonne over FY15-18E
Cement
Positive
Consumer
Durables
Positive
• Consumer discretionary companies are likely to record sales CAGR of 12% inFY15-18E led by volumes as organised players are likely to benefit from theimplementation of the Seventh Pay Commission and GST
• Benefit of lower commodity prices would help in expanding EBITDA margin by200-500 bps in FY15-18E
Sectoral View
• The government is looking to revamp the infrastructure sector through variousinitiatives in the recent Budget such as rejuvenating PPP through renegotiationof concession agreement, a new credit rating system for infrastructure projectsand exemption of DDT for passing dividend by SPV to INVIT paving the way forINVIT listing. However, higher leverage by private players and land acquisitionpost passage of LARR bill, 2013 remain key challenges
• Capex would be largely driven by the government in segments like power T&D,railways, road EPC and renewables
• We like product based companies with a better balance sheet. In the EPC space,our focus would be on companies wherein improvement in execution andbalance sheet will drive profitability growth.
Capital
Goods &
Infra
Positive
• The healthcare sector offers good earning visibility, consistent operating cashflows, healthy operating margins, relatively low leverage & strong return ratios
• Compliance issues and currency volatility in emerging markets are likely to bemitigated by acceleration in US approvals (148 ANDAs in CY15 vs. 105 in CY14)(expect to grow at a CAGR of 19.4% in FY16-18E) and sustainable growth indomestic formulations (expect to grow at a CAGR of 16.9% over FY16-18E)
• We expect healthcare universe revenue, EBITDA and PAT to grow at a CAGR of15.6%, 17.2% and 20.9%, respectively, over FY16-18E
Healthcare
Positive
Sectoral View
• With another round of telecom auctions due, the expensive pricing of thespectrum coupled with huge capex requirements for continuous networkoverhaul, the B/S of telcos will continue to be under pressure
• While incumbents have already launched their high speed 4G services, bigbang launch from Reliance Jio is awaited, which could pose a threat to them.However, as data speeds increase, we expect data volumes in our coverage togrow at 64.0% CAGR in FY15-17E to 1233 billion MB. This would translate to47% CAGR in FY15-17E in data revenues to | 26582.4 crore
• Voice revenue growth would, however, remain stagnant owing to realisationsand volumes under check due to intense competition
Telecom
Neutral
• Expectation of normal monsoons coupled with higher budgetary allocation of~| 87700 crore towards overall rural development would aid rural volumegrowth though a revival in urban discretionary demand remains slow.However, sales growth is likely to remain ~12% with limited realisation growthdue to a sharp decline in RM cost
• FMCG would be a major beneficiary of benign commodity prices in mediumterm with decline in price of crude oil (~40%), copra (~33%), palm oil (~18%)
• FMCG companies are expected to witness an expansion in operating margin(100-200 bps) and concomitant increase in A&P spend
FMCG
Neutral
Sectoral View
Power
Neutral
• With 175 GW renewable capacity addition target by 2022, CY16 may witnessclose to 6 GW of solar capacity and 4 GW of wind capacity addition. Overall, weexpect ~18 GW to be added in CY16 (21.3 GW added in CY15). PLF acrosspower plants is likely to improve in CY16 driven by better fuel availability fromincreased CIL production, coal swapping toward efficient and nearest plant, gaspooling strategy and low CY15 base.
• Key positive reforms taken by the GoI (mainly UDAY, enhanced renewablefocus, increased CIL output, gas pooling strategy and coal auction) are expectedto boost the sector in the long run. Successful execution of UDAY (reducingAT&C losses to 15% by 2022) will not only reduce the discoms’ debt burden butwould also improve its efficiency and curb future losses. We prefer regulatedutilities with decent addition targets coupled with reasonable valuations
IT
Neutral
• CY16E IT budgets could be flat to negative while the earnings commentary wasstable led by healthy deal signings and traction in digital technologies.Operationally, discretionary spending remains healthy in the US and led growthwhile Europe rebounded modestly. Insurance, telecom and oil & gas verticalscontinue to be structurally challenged
• Revenue growth may moderate to 10-12% in FY17E but so have valuations at~15x FY17E earnings. Returns will be in line with earnings growth
Sectoral View
• Banking sector is reeling under vicious cycle of surging NPA stress, higherprovisions and lower credit growth. Though the government continues to makeits effort for providing capital and better reforms for recovery process, we donot expect stress to reduce much in next couple of quarters with corporate stillstuck in leverage. Stressed asset book stood at ~12.6% (GNPA-7.6% & RA-5%)and SDR and 5/25 together add 2.5% (March 2016)
• Credit growth to remain subdued ~10% in FY17E, with moderating margins dueto new marginal cost base rate and NPA interest reversal
• Banks, especially PSU ones, to witness continued moderation in profit withreturn ratios at ~0.5% RoA and sub 10% RoE in FY17E. Private banks with retailexposure are expected to deliver steady performance.
• Profits of PSU upstream companies would continue to be subdued in thescenario of weak oil prices. OMCs would report good performance on accountof stable middle distillates cracks, crude sourcing at discounted rates andhigher marketing margins.
• We expect gas utilities volumes to pick up in H2FY17 due to additional R-LNGcapacity, lower raw material prices and favourable policies by the government.We expect their earnings to increase 25-32% in FY17E. We prefer CGDcompanies and OMC’s within the sector
Banking
Negative
Oil & Gas
Negative
Sectoral View
Metals
Negative
• The metal sector continues to be plagued by the sharp correction in globalcommodities prices as well as over supply issues. While, measures taken by thegovernment in form of levy of minimum import prices (MIP), has resulted insome respite, demand supply mismatch continue to persist.
• Overall within our coverage universe we expect revenue to register a growth of7.0% CAGR during FY16-18E. We expect aggregate EBITDA margin to increaseform 13.3% in FY16 to 16.3% in FY17E and further to 18.6% in FY18E.
Model portfolio – offering of “Quality 22” (Large Cap) & “Consistent 16 “(Midcap)
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research * Return as on March 11, 2016
• Our model portfolios of large cap “Quality 22” and Midcap “Consistent 16” stocks haveconsistently outperformed their respective benchmarks since inception.
• The portfolio selection has been done on the triple theme of consumption, capex recovery andbeneficiary of raw material price decline
Performance since inception
83.9
102.693.0
31.0
49.134.1
0
25
50
75
100
125
Large Cap Midcap Diversified
%
Portfolio Benchmark
All portfolios have delivered over 2-2.8x of their respective benchmark indices return since the inception (June 21, 2011)
(70% large cap, 30% Midcap)
Large cap portfolio – “Quality 22”
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Name of the company Weightage(%) Name of the company Weightage(%)
Auto 14 FMCG/Consumer 14
Tata Motor DVR 4 ITC 7
Bosch 3 United Spirits 2Maruti 4 Asian Paints 5
Eicher Motors 3 IT 21
BFSI 23 Infosys 10
HDFC Bank 8 TCS 8Axis Bank 3 Wipro 3
HDFC 8 Media 2
Bajaj Finance 4 Zee Entertainment 2
Capital Goods 5 Metal 2L & T 5 Tata Steel 2
Cement 3 Pharma 12
UltraTech Cement 3 Lupin 5
Oil & Gas 4 Dr Reddys 4Reliance Industries 4 Aurobindo Pharma 3
Midcap portfolio – “Consistent 16”
Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research
Name of the company Weightage(%) Name of the company Weightage(%)Aviation 6 FMCG 8Interglobe Aviation 6 Nestle 8Auto 6 Infrastructure 8Bharat Forge 6 NBCC 8BFSI 6 Oil & Gas 6Bajaj Finserve 6 Castrol 6Consumer 24 Logistics 6Symphony 6 Container Corporation of India 6Supreme Ind 6 Cement 6Kansai Nerolac 6 Ramco Cement 6Pidilite 6 Textile 6Pharma 12 Arvind 6Natco Pharma 6 Capital Goods 6Torrent Pharma 6 Bharat Electronics 6
The diversified portfolio is a combination of “Quality 22 “and “Consistent16” in a 70:30
ratio
Common queries
Investing Principles
ICICIdirect account key features
Understanding Tax calculations
I
II
III
Agenda
Investment products ( SIP in stocks, IPO’s, Offer for Sale, MF, Tax Free bonds) IV
Trading Platforms V
Derivatives VI
Brokerage options VII
Investment Approach
Investment strategy
Insights of successful investment strategies through real-life big data analytics
of 3.8 million customers
Common approach we have while buying stocks
Better approach to construct a portfolio for long term
I
II
III
Why should you invest in Equities IV
Investing sentiments
We are bullish on a stock and
start investing
If stocks falls, we invest more
Stock falls further, we get little
apprehensive, wait for stock to
re-bound
If stock remains negative for 2-3
years, we get disappointed
We wait for cost to come and
evaluate exit
Have patience : ICICIdirect customer behavioral analytics reflects Investors
who hold to their stocks make better returns
Learning :
a) Give time to your stocks, don’t get perturbed by volatility
b) Also relates to study of support and resistance
Quality investments with better holding period gives returns even after initial fall
Learning :
a) Holding to good companies more returns and minimizing junk reduces
losses and risks
Another Investment approach : Concentration of single stock or few stocks in
portfolio
JP Associates, Lanco,
Suzlon
10,000 shares of ITC
Cals refinery , Sanco
Investor portfolio analysis
Returns of our Investors vis-à-vis number of shares in portfolio
80% holding in
those stocks Nifty 100 stocks Nifty 100-500 stocks Nifty 500 stocks
1-3 shares14 (1.4) 2.1
4 – 6 shares (0.3) (9.7) (3.8)
7- 10 shares 0.6 (2.6) (4.4)
Above 10
shares ( Avg 12) 17.7 6 10.8
Learning :
a) Diversify well in 10-12 stocks . Even if you like small caps, don’t invest fully in
one share.
b) If you like concentrated portfolios, invest in blue-chips
Diversification gives better returns !
At what price do you average and is quantity of averaging important ?
Investor data : Averaging % at defined intervals give better returns
Learning : When you identify a stock have an averaging strategy. Let the stock
fall !
Averaging at which % price fall Holding period Mean Returns %
Fall of 1-2% -5%
Fall of 3-5% -7%
Better : Fall of 6 -10%
Better : Fall of 11-15%
Best : Fall of 16 – 17%
5%
6%
27%
Investor Analysis : Quantity averaging also matters
Learning : When stock falls more, averaging with higher quantities reduce cost
price and give better upside when stock rebounds
Averaging Quantity
Averaging at which %
price fall
Upto 100% 100-200% 200% plus
Fall of 1-2% -7 22 1
Fall of 3-5% -13 7 -19
Better : Fall of 6 -10% 5 8 31
Better : Fall of 11 -15% -3 10 26
Best : Fall of 16 – 17% 32 58 12
Front-line companies delivering better holding period returns
Learning : If you a new investor, buy front-line stocks, good management work
for you
Not that Mid, small cap companies wouldn’t have delivered, but investors
need to stomach the volatility
Returns of our Investors vis-à-vis number of shares in portfolio
Top 100 stocks Top 101-200 Top 201 to500 Other than Top 500
16 % 5% -8% 1%
Price of stock has no relationship with returns
Learning : Price of a stock is not proportional to it’s returns. Buying low price
stocks does not necessarily yield higher returns.
Stock Price
Slab (Rs)
Count of
Stock
Stocks with
positive returns
Stocks with
negative returns
Positive
%
Negative
%
<10 154 64 90 42% 58%
10-50 314 203 111 65% 35%
50-100 202 135 67 67% 33%
100-200 204 139 65 68% 32%
200-500 218 174 44 80% 20%
500-1000 133 103 30 77% 23%
>1000 157 135 22 86% 14%
Total 1382 953 429 69% 31%
Year High Close 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year
2000 6151 3972 -35%
2001 4462 3262 -27% -23%
2002 3758 3377 -10% -12% -15%
2003 5921 5839 -1% 28% 10% -1%
2004 6617 6603 0% 6% 25% 12% 1%
2005 9443 9398 0% 21% 20% 38% 22% 9%
2006 14035 13787 -2% 23% 36% 33% 53% 35% 18%
2007 20498 20287 -1% 22% 38% 52% 49% 73% 51% 29%
2008 21207 9647 -55% -26% -10% 1% 9% 10% 22% 15% 6%
2009 17531 17465 0% -9% -5% 6% 17% 27% 28% 46% 32% 18%
2010 21109 20509 -3% 8% -1% 0% 9% 20% 30% 31% 50% 36%
2011 20665 15455 -25% -13% -4% -7% -5% 2% 9% 17% 18% 31%
2012 19612 19427 -1% -3% -3% 3% -2% -1% 5% 13% 22% 23%
2013 21484 21171 -1% 4% 1% 0% 4% 0% 0% 6% 14% 22%
2014 28822 27499 -5% 14% 13% 8% 6% 9% 4% 4% 11% 19%
2015 30025 26118 -13% -5% 7% 8% 5% 4% 7% 3% 3% 9%
No of Years Positive 0/16 8/15 8/13 11/13 10/12 10/11 10/10 9/9 8/8 7/7
% of Yearly Returns -11% 2% 8% 12% 14% 17% 17% 18% 19% 23%
Even if you invested at the highest point every year in last 15 years
After sharp falls, Stock markets historically have given better returns
In last 16 years, 5 times market has fallen by more than 15% in a year . In those years
1. Average next 1 year return is 23.50%
2. Average next 1 year return is 19%
3. 1. Average next 1 year return is 23%
Key Learning’s
The way market goes down, it goes up also. As you keep believing in fall,
keep believing in rise also.
Don't get frustrated by bad time and sell early.
No international crisis has lasted forever.
Good company in bad times gives very good wealth creation opportunity
Bad news comes suddenly and good news comes in installments.
Fall happens for three reasons. Fundamental, technical and emotional
thrashing. Last one is the best time to buy. First one is a trap. Second one
for trading.
Don't catch the falling knife. Let it fall, even if you try to catch, it will fall
Don't let go good stocks for 5-10 Rs trading gains. It is ok to trade but we
must ensure that good stock do not go out of hand
Equity MKts is the best place in the world. Best talent like Elon Musk,
Steve jobs, bill gates, Narayan Murthy work with you , for you. You learn
about every industry. You can shut one and enter in another one.
Best portfolio construction practices
Ideal Long term Portfolio should be restricted between 12-22 stocks
Individual Stock should not be more than ~10%
Individual Sector should not be more than ~25%
Concentrated Portfolio accumulated due to ESOP’s / Legacy etc…should be
diversified
Normally we get fearful when others are
fearful, and greedy when everyone is
greedy
Be fearful when others
are greedy, be greedy when others
are fearful
Warren Buffet
ICICIdirect account key features
NRE – PINS
Stocks already listed on NSE,
BSE and
Offer for sale
NRO- PINS
Stocks already listed on NSE,
BSE
Offer for sale
NRE – Non - PINS
NRO – Non PINSAdditionally F&O. Mutual
Funds, Bonds, IPO’s, ETFs
Combination of bank and trading accounts and products you can invest
Only Mutual Funds, Bonds,
IPO’s, ETFs
For investments in
Secondary market with
foreign source of funds
For investments in
primary market with
Indian source of funds
For Investments in
Primary market with
domestic source of
funds
For investments in
Primary market with
foreign funds
Accounts Products Details
Select account is mandatory to select when you first start
You can select your Favorite account or system will make take last login as
your default next time you login
New Website : Customization of most visited links
Lets start with buying stock for delivery
Features to assist you in every step of your transaction : Stock Information
Fundamentals, result
updates, news, charts
related to the stock
1
Features to assist you in every step of your transaction : Stock Information
2
3
Technical parameters like
Moving average, last 1 to
3 month change in price
You can check the past
yearly highs and lows of
your stock at a click
Features to assist you in every step of your transaction : Stock Information
The shareholding
pattern shows the
investments made in
the company
4
5
All the financial ratios
like Dividend given in
the past years,
Operating profit of the
company etc to help
you in your buying
decisions
Next step of purchase : Calculators to help you quickly decide the number of
shares you can buy
The quantity
calculator helps you
in calculating the
quantity of shares you
can purchase with a
specified amount.
6
Smart order validity option of 45 days with VTC order
Order validity
and Type
Segments
Valid Till Cancelled
Type
Market
Limit
Benefits
Order valid for 45 days, no need to track
daily basis, re-order, buy / sell at your price
Your orders gets executed at the best
available market price at the time it is
matched with open orders at exchange.
Your order gets executed only if the stock
reaches your desired price available in the
market.
7
Benefit An order facility which will help you get a better price
8
Price Improvement Order
Cloud Orders: For order placement in a second !
• Stock selection to Order placement in a second as it stores your order, rather than
make multiple selection during real time order placement.
Tracking your order, sales proceeds and tax understanding
Tracking your orders
3
• The 'Reorder' feature on the Order book page makes placing the same order again
easier and quick. By clicking on the Reorder option, you directly land on the buy
or sell page with auto populated details of your previous order.
8
How can you see your sale proceeds
How do we adjust taxes for shares in PINS account
1. As per Income Tax rules, before any credit to NRI’s tax needs to be deducted at
source.
2. As per I.T. rules, for long term profit and loss, there is 0% tax and full proceeds
come to your account when you transact
3. For short term profit, tax at 17.77% is deducted at source from your sale
proceeds.
4. If there is a short term loss in the FY, we carry this loss.
5. If there short term profit, we 1st
adjust the loss and then if any balance deduct
TDS.
Scenario 1
Short term loss in FY -20,000
Short Term profit in FY 25,000
Net Profit 5,000
Net TDS888.5
Tax refund to be
claimed from I.T. While
filing tax
0
Scenario 2
Short term profit 25,000
TDS on Short term profit 4444.2
Short term Loss -20,000
TDS by ICICIdirect4444.2
Tax refund to be claimed from I.T. while
filling tax3554
New Feature of seeing short term losses in PINS Holding
Transferring your Bonus shares from PINS to Non-PINS real time and online
All shares purchased through PINS can be sold only through PINS.
Shares will be transferred in 24 hours
New features to check tax free shares before selling
While placing order with ICICIdirect.com, the ‘Capital gain’ icon shows no of shares held
by the you for more than 1 year or shares held for less than an year.
New services for tracking and decision making
Alerts on Dividend , Bonus and Corporate Action in your portfolio
Market sentiment on your stocks
Scanning 63 trusted websites in India and aggregating the market
sentiment for the stock
E-voting option on your stocks
We have collaborated with NSDL so that you can E-vote online
through ICICIdirect.com
Participate on Buy-back and Open offers
You can our call customer care at +91-22-39140422 to participate for
Buy Back and Open offers online. For our domestic investors buy
back options is available online. Shortly for NRI’s same will be
available.
Top buys and sells on ICICIdirect.com
At real time basis, you get to know the Top 10 stocks retail
investors are buying or selling.
Investments options
Investment options : SIPs in Stocks with Systematic Equity Plan
You can do systematic investments in stocks on a daily, weekly, monthly
basis.
Helps you invest systematically, not invest fully at one time and spread
out the investment cost.
With systematic Equity
Planning, you can
accumulate stocks in
regular intervals
Investment options : Govt disinvestment options through OFS route
How to apply for disinvestment issues on ICICIdirect
The biddings can done in two manners. i.e. selecting
i) Limit Price or by biding at a price
If Cut off option is not there then Retail investor has to bid at or above the floor
price. It is advised to bid below the current market price of the stock.
ii) Cut-off price ( provided an option is given)
Seller may opt for bid at cut-off price in the OFS. Under Retail category customers
can choose the option of Cut-off price. This price for retail category is derived from
clearing price in the General category.
Investment options : IPO’s
• In the past 12 months, 20 companies issued shares to raise fresh capital from public
• Positive returns in 19 companies out of 22 companies (Based on high price post allotment)
• Positive returns in 14 companies out of 20 companies (Based on closing price of June 29,
2016)
• The IPO’s gave an average return of 25.90% on the high price and 21.14% on the closing
price
Name of the CompanyAllotment
Price
High after
allotment*
Closing price
as on June
29, 2016**
Returns (%)
on high after
Allotment
Returns (%)
on Last
traded price
Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd 210 261.05 400.3 19.56% 33.55%
Thyrocare Technologies Ltd 446 665 565.85 32.93% 21.18%
Equitas Holdings Ltd 110 151.3 177.3 27.30% 37.96%
Quick Heal Technologies Ltd 321 330 263.65 2.73% -21.75%
TeamLease Services Ltd 850 1177.7 1013.8 27.83% 16.16%
Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd 250 339 316.05 26.25% 20.90%
Alkem Laboratories Ltd 1050 1588.9 1378.3 33.92% 23.82%
Dr. Lal PathLabs Ltd 550 908.7 855.4 39.47% 35.70%
S H Kelkar and Company Ltd 180 225.05 213.05 20.02% 15.51%
InterGlobe Aviation Ltd 765 1068.8 1018.2 28.42% 24.87%
Investment options : How to invest in IPO’s
For IPOs, you need to apply through Non-PINS account
Investment options : Mutual Funds
ETF Purchase : Nifty, Gold ETFs
ETFs considered as debt transactions for NRI’s as per Income
Tax guidelines.
Types of Bonds Name
Capital Gain Bonds
Tax free bonds
Rate
REC, NHAI etc 6.0%
NA
Selected bonds
in Primary
market
Benefit
Tax Exemption
U/S 54 EC
Interest income is
Tax free U/S 10(15)
(IV) h
Investment options : Bonds
For secondary market listed bonds you can sell online as well
Which stocks to buy
Long Term investors: ICICIdirect Model Portfolio
1. For a long term investor, we have 2 model portfolios; Large cap and Mid cap for you look at
diversification and buying in a staggered manner.
2. Model Portfolio captures the new opportunities available in the market with respect to Large
cap and Mid cap stocks.
Long term investors ideas : Fundamental coverage of more than 200 stocks
A detail fundamental report on stock with price target, rationale to invest
in stocks for a long term
Small cap ideas with “Nano-Nivesh”
1. A detail fundamental report on stock with price target, rationale.
2. Nano stocks report highlights companies with good and scaleable business models,
dependable management and sound financials.
3. 9 out of 18 recommendations have given positive returns with an average return of 108%
Consolidated view : I-Click-2-Gain for trading and I-Click-2-Invest for investment
I-Click-2 Invest offers research recommendations for different time horizons and as per your
investment needs, while i-click-2-Gain gives live intraday recommendations with updates on calls.
Get all investment stock ideas on your e-mail
1. We provide all our short, medium & long term advice in one mail when a new
recommendation is released.
2. Also updates of the earlier stock ideas (whether to book profit, exit) will be
delivered on your registered email id.
Platforms
Mobile Applications on Android, Windows, IOS
1. The mobile application provides easy access. It is available in Android, IOS as well
as Windows
2. Track your favorite stocks with Watchlist
3. Live Portfolio, Buy Sell stocks on the Move
Trading tools : Trade Racer for live streaming quotes
1. Streaming quotes, multiple windows, with direct buy/ sell option , market
depth through right click, F1, F2 short keys
2. Advanced Technical chart
3. Single window to see equity, F&O trades
4. Scanners
Live chat with us!
You can get your queries related to account, about products and
services answered from Monday to Saturday 9:30 AM to 5:30 PM (IST)
Derivatives
Black Scholes, high risk, high
reward, leveraged, complex,
strategies, hedging
What comes to mind with derivatives
Difference Cash
Trade
View
Leverage
Holding period
Derivatives
You make money when
stock goes up
You can only be long in
market
100% funds required to buy
Un-limited
Similarly in futures or options,
if price moves in your favor
you make money
You can be short as well as
long. i.e. if you think market
will go down, you can sell 1st
You can buy or sell with 10%
funds also
1 month to 3 months. In
futures you can roll-over ( i.e.
sell and buy again
Profit / loss Notional till the time you book
Every day it is debited or
credited
Let’s understand the difference
Derivatives : Pay-off graphs and how do you trade
You think ICICI Bank from 240 will touch
300 in next 1 year
You think Nifty will fall again and touch
8500
Futures Options
You think Reliance will not touch
1200 Rs in next 1 month
You think Nifty will fall 50 points down
due weak global cues
Product
Value of the contract
Value for 1 lot Nifty
Initial Margin in %
Initial Margin amount
What is the margin required
Futures /
Options writing
Premium * Lot size
Rs 100* 75 lot size = Rs
7500
Depend upon strike,
spot, time
Rs 7,500
Profit / loss if Nifty moves 50 points50 points * 75 lot size*0.5
= Rs 1,875
Minimum Margin (6%) Nil
Options
Stock Price * Lot size
8500 * 75 lot size =
6.37 lacs
8% on Nifty , depends
upon stock to stock
Rs 51,000
50 points * 75 lot size =
Rs 3750
Rs 38,250
Derivatives : Futures Order Placement
Futures Plus stoploss : Margin as low as Rs 2000, depends on stop loss price
Stoploss of 8 points
Margin of Rs 1998
Cloud Orders : For order placement in a second !
F&O @ fingertips : A Real time analytics platform for derivative traders
Future Market
Option Market
FII Activity
Heat Map
Put Call Ratio
Brokerage Options
All inclusive brokerage structure
All inclusive
Brokerage
DP charges of 0.04% are inclusive
PINS charges of 0.50% are inclusive
Interest on un-used funds in trading accounts : 4% annually : Not available
with non-banking brokers
Certification charges : For daily calculations of capital gains , settlement are
inclusive : Savings includes interest benefit as well on TDS not deducted
Different brokerage plans
I-Saver Brokerage
option1
Life time Prepaid
Brokerage plan
With Nominal sum of Rs 25,000 etc. you can get
reduced brokerage which will be valid for life time*2
I-Gain Brokerage
planYou pay only brokerage when you make profit3
Bullet Brokerage
plan
The next big Launch: Zero brokerage on your 5
minutes trades4
Variable plan based on Equity turnover and
brokerage ranging from 1.25% to 0.50%.
Prepaid
Plans
Cash BrokerageSavings in
brokerage
Eligible Turnover
(In lacs)
25000 0.92% 26% 27
75000 0.68% 45% 110
150000 0.50%60% 300
350000 0.35% 72% 1000
Brokerage Options : Life time Prepaid Plan
1. With life-time Prepaid Plan, you can choose a Brokerage plan that
suits your trading needs the best way.
2. You pay an up-front brokerage which is valid for lifetime or till the
time your card is exhausted.
3. You get to save 26% - 72% on your brokerage with Lifetime
brokerage plan.
Brokerage Options : Zero brokerage for loss making day trades in derivatives
A first of it’s kind
brokerage plan, where no
brokerage is charged on
your loss making
transactions in Future Plus
with Stop loss product.
Brokerage Options : Bullet Brokerage Plan ‘The Next big Launch’
Bullet Brokerage plan is
first of it’s kind brokerage
plan where you pay zero
brokerage for your
online trades squared off
within 5 minutes in
FuturePLUS with Stop
Loss product.
Common queries
Where are Bonus shares visible
Transaction Demat Account credited
Fresh Purchase PINS
Bonus shares issued PINS
PINS account will allow to sell only PINS shares
Bonus shares to be transferred to NON PINS
The cost of bonus shares in NON PINS account would be considered as zero
and hence if sold before 1 year then TDS would be applicable on the entire
sales proceed
How to transfer Bonus shares
- There will be a buy entry in
PINS portfolio and sell entry
in NON PINS made by the
system.
- The dates in both entries
need to be changed later to
the date of bonus issue.
- System follows FIFO
method.
Details on taxation (deducted at source)
Where do I see my TDS certificates
How can I see the tax details in PINS
Why am I not able to buy certain stocks: RBI Cautious list
- NRI investment allowed in a stock is 10%
- Individual Investment limit is 5%
- Once the limit is reached the stock is not enabled for fresh purchase
What are the exchange guide lines for Equity Intraday, Derivatives and Currency
derivatives trading for NRIs : (As available in FAQ in NSE website)
Treatment of corporate action other than Bonus
Transaction Action
Split PINS portfolio adjusted
Merger PINS portfolio adjusted
Shares need not be transferred to NON PINS
Name change PINS portfolio adjusted
Why is Long term Holding and repatriation proofs required
- This would be required for sale thorugh NON PINS
- Required for records that are not available with ICICIdirect
Transaction Documents required
Sale through NRE NO PINS Repatriable /Long term proof
Sale through NRO NON PINS Long term Proof
Documents – Demat transaction statement, Contract note,
ESOP allotment letter on company letter head containing perquisite tax details
Short term sale NON PINS Purchase price
How do I activate F&O – New Launch
- CP code alloted by the exchange for trading in derivatives
- Derivatives allowed in NRO NON PINS account only
Can I choose brokerage plan of my choice ? I-Gain
Zero brokerage on transactions where you have incurred a loss under
Future Plus with Stop Loss
I-Gain
Can I choose brokerage plan of my choice ?
Zero brokerage on transactions where you have incurred a loss under
Future Plus with Stop Loss
Prepaid brokerage
Can I change the user id ?
How to reset password
What is the process for Address change
How do I transfer Mutual Funds from other brokers
Transfer in – To transfer existing MF portfolio from other accounts.
Place online
request
Send us the
application form
Unit holdings will
get updated once
request is
processed
Transaction statement requests
-Trading statements
- Demat statements
Place request
through Live
chat
Call us
+91-22-39140422
Write to us
Option
-E Statement
- Physical statement
Service Request forms
How to update personal details
FAQ : Conversion of NRI to RI
Closure of NRI
trading account
Cancellation of
PINS approval
Closure / Conversion
of bank accounts
Application for RI
trading account
Transfer of
Shares/MF from
NRI to RI account
Closure of NRI
demat account
Thank you