Investor Update13 November 2002
www.banpu.co.th
Rawi CorsiriRawi Corsiri COOCOO
Somruedee Somphong Somruedee Somphong CFOCFO
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Agenda
Quarterly overviewQuarterly overviewResults highlightResults highlight
Coal industry snapshotCoal industry snapshot
Business scenarioBusiness scenario
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Quarterly overview
� Coal Business- Spot coal prices bottomed-out in 3Q and started to show a strong
recovery in 4Q- Cost reduction programs have been done in mining process at
Indominco & Kitadin- Successful implementation of Centralization and Marketing Logistics- Achieved shipments to European market
� Power Business- TECO achieved 100% AP during Aug-Oct after the inspectation in 2Q- On-course project financing process of BLCP
� Finance- Completion in securing long-term bank loan for ECD and bonds
refinancing- 2002 interim dividend of Bt1.50/share
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Coal tonnage sales
Source: Banpu (Indocoal consolidation started in Mar02)
� A significant increase in volume sales in 3Q mainly from Thai market and International sales from Jorong
� Tonnage sales from Indocoal posted a slight decline due mainly from pending delivery in 4Q
� Anticipation of higher sales from Indocoalexport in 4Q
986 981 1,038 1,0251,356
431 554 458 441
513590
1,870
1,815
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Jul-Sep, 01 Oct-Dec, 01 Jan-Mar, 02 Apr-Jun, 02 Jul-Sep, 02
Unit
in '0
00 to
nnes
International sales - IndocoalInternational sales - JorongThai market sales
10%
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Sales revenue
Source: Banpu (Indocoal consolidation started in Mar02)
796 739 729 7461,015
321 356 310 313
320634
1,8841,643
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Jul-Sep, 01 Oct-Dec,01 Jan-Mar,02 Apr-Jun,02 Jul-Sep,02
Unit
in '0
00 B
aht
International sales - IndocoalInternational sales - JorongThai market sales
1%� Steady sales revenue
despite a sharp decline in coal prices
� Significant increase on Thai market sales due to temporarily domestic supply shortage
� Indocoal sales revenue anticipated to increase with more shipment in 4Q
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Market share - Thailand
Source: Banpu
Note: Total domestic coal consumptions in Thailand estimated at 10 MT
3Q02 9-month 2002
G Prem Jee9% Lanna
11%
Siam Cement7%
Others21%
Banpu52%
Siam Cement
6%
G Prem Jee9%
SBC6%
Marubeni3%
Others20%
Banpu44%
Lanna12%
� Banpu’s sales in Thailand achieved 52% market share
� YTD, Banpu shared 44% of the homeland market
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Agenda
Quarterly overviewQuarterly overview
Results highlightResults highlightCoal industry snapshotCoal industry snapshot
Business scenarioBusiness scenario
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Quarterly results
� Despite a strong growth in tonnage sales, 3Q revenues were steady due to the sharp decline in coal price
� Coal price also impacts gross profit and EBIT margins
� Strong core earnings (before FX) mainly from lower interest expense, and improved equity income
� However, the bottom-line dragged by TECO’s FX
Year-end Dec (Btm) 3Q02 2Q02Revenues 3,048 3,078 Gross profit 791 847 SG&A (373) (333) Royalty (249) (251) Other income 28 14 EBIT 196 277 Interest expense (168) (218) Equity income (bef. FX) 115 (13) Dividend income - 234 Income tax 19 (91) Minorities 11 (43) Net profit before extra items 173 146 Non-recurring items 69 172 ECD redemption premiums (19) (231) Mine property expenses (47) 57 Net profit before FX 177 143 Net profit 114 612
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9-month results
� Indocoal consolidation enhanced Banpu’srevenues by 71% y-y
� Gross profit margin significantly improved post-termination of EGAT’soverburden work
� Core-operation profits (before FX) solidly improved thanks to strong associate contributions
Year-end Dec (Btm) 9-mo02 9-mo01Revenues 7,742 4,136 Gross profit 2,169 852 SG&A (988) (894) Royalty (612) (79) Other income 165 162 EBIT 734 40 Interest expense (528) (359) Equity income (bef. FX) 222 157 Dividend income 267 9 Income tax (79) (65) Minorities (55) (23) Net profit before extra items 561 (242) Non-recurring items 384 1,099 ECD redemption premiums (337) (169) Mine property expense (25) - Net profit before FX 583 689 Net profit 1,271 659
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Operational breakdown
YTD 3Q02 2Q02 1Q02Tonnage sales ('000 tonnes)
Thai market 3,420 1,356 1,025 1,038 - Domestic 2,297 849 690 757 - Import 1,123 508 335 281 Jorong 1,411 513 441 458 Indocoal 4,275 1,815 1,870 590
Sales revenue (Btm)Thai market 2,490 1,015 746 729 - Domestic 1,090 410 342 338 - Import 1,399 605 404 390 Jorong 943 320 313 310 Indocoal 4,000 1,643 1,723 634
GPMThai market 23% 25% 21% 23% - Domestic 38% 33% 38% 42% - Import 12% 20% 11% 6%Jorong 49% 44% 54% 48%Indocoal 24% 22% 25% 27%
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Balance sheet
1.11.01.2
1.00.8
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
Jul-Sep, 01 Oct-Dec, 01 Jan-Mar, 02 Apr-Jun, 02 Jul-Sep, 02
Historical net D/E
(Btm) Jul-Sep, 01 Oct-Dec, 01 Jan-Mar, 02 Apr-Jun, 02 Jul-Sep, 02
Total assets 16,397 15,799 23,291 23,310 23,584
Total liabilities 8,980 8,988 15,246 14,399 9,962
Net debts 5,932 6,454 9,238 9,193 9,460
Equity 7,417 6,811 8,045 8,911 8,449
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Agenda
Quarterly overviewQuarterly overview
Results highlightResults highlight
Coal industry snapshotCoal industry snapshotBusiness scenarioBusiness scenario
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Banpu’s position in Indonesia
Source: Indonesia Coal Mining Association, Banpu
Note: Banpu’s productions include Indominco, Kitadin, and Jorong
� Amongst key players in Indonesia, Banpu ranked 4th after Adaro, KPC, and Kideco
� Banpu’s productions of 11.2mtpa in 2002 to be increase in 2004 with new production of Trubaindo
� Indonesia target to export just above 70% in 2002 –the rest for domestic consumptions
Top-ten producers (mtpa) 2002E Sharing
Adaro Indonesia 20.5 19%
Kaltim Prima Coal 17.0 16%
Kideco Jaya Agung 11.5 11%
Banpu 11.2 11%Bukit Asam 10.5 10%
BHP Aruthmin 10.2 10%
Berau Coal 7.0 7%
Ganung Bayan Pratama 2.5 2%
Bukit Daiduri Enterprise 2.3 2%
Others 13.1 12%
Total 105.8 100%
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Thermal coal spot price
Source: International Coal Report (28 Oct 2002)
Kcal/kg Current 3Q 2Q 1Q
Australia
Gladstone 6500 24.50-25.50 23.69-25.34 26.62-28.15 28.51-29.41
Newcastle 6300 24.00-25.00 22.17-23.63 25.70-26.99 26.78-28.68
China - Qinghuadao 6200 25.50-26.80 23.47-24.47 26.74-27.78 28.77-29.77
Indonesia
Kalimantan 6300 23.50-24.50 21.89-23.32 24.44-25.37 26.81-27.68
Russia Pacific 6300 25.00-25.50 23.06-24.44 25.77-27.96 27.35-28.85
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Demand outlook – Asia (Pacific Rim)
� Demand of thermal coal is expected to increase at a steady pace driven by Pacific Rim countries of 4% pa in next 10-yr*
� Assumptions used are conservative given:
� Average GDP growth of 1.0-2.0%� Energy reform in Hong Kong� Kyoto protocol� Proposed coal tax of Japan� Korean’s utilities restructuring� Nuclear capacity addition in
Taiwan*Source: Hill & Associates (2002)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2006 2011
Unit
in m
illio
n to
nnes
4.4% CAGR
Taiwan
S Korea
HK
Japan
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Demand outlook – Other Asia
� China: A record imported of 5.6mt in 1H02 compared with 0.8mt during the same period last year
� Malaysia: A rapid demand driven by increased coal-fired power plants from 700MW in 2001 to 7,300MW in 2006
� India: High demand frustrated by three obstacles: import levies, high rail rates, and limited port capacity
� Philippines: Despite a huge electricity consumption, coal-fired generation highly depends on the two government initiatives
� Thailand: Strong environmental opposition to some coal-fired power plants project
Source: Hill & Associates (2002)
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Supply outlook – Asian exporters
� Under Hill’s base case scenario, thermal coal exports from Asian producers will grow at 2% pa in the next 10-yr
� Indonesia: No stagnation on productions and exports despite the country’s internal problems
� China: Exports based on political and economic decisions
� Australia: Market share hurt by China’s glut, yet, managed to dominant
Source: Hill & Associates (2002)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2006 2011
Unit
in m
illio
n to
nnes Indonesia
China
Australia
1.8% CAGR
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Agenda
Quarterly overviewQuarterly overview
Results highlightResults highlight
Coal industry snapshotCoal industry snapshot
Business scenarioBusiness scenario
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Ramp-up capacity production of Indocoal
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 20060%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Indominco Kitadin Trubaindo Overall GPM
Post acquisition(MT)
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Implementation of cost reduction program
Crusher System
TWIN BOOMSTACKER
Coal Transport to Port34 Km
MINE STOCKYARD
PORT STOCKYARD
PIT
SHIP LOADER
Conve
yor 6
.5 Km
Truck Dump
C24-1C24-2
C24-3
C24-4
C25-1 C25-2C25-3
C25-4
Result QualityCV : 6000 - 6700kcalAsh: 5.0%Ts : 0.8%
Cross Belt Sample
Cross Belt SampleINDOMINCO
1
3
2
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Other issues
� Imposition of Japan coal tax
� The Bali Blast
� News on possible delay of BLCP
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Upcoming events
� Independent review of Banpu’s reserves figures by international technical consulting firm
� Secure additional investment insurance policy of Indonesian assets worth US$55m
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Appendices
� Planned CAPEX 2002-06
� Debt portfolio
� Summary of Indocoal financials
� Summary of TECO’s financials
� BLCP development
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Planned Capex (Maintained)
(US$m) 2002 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E
Coal Thailand __ 1 2 1 __
Jorong 12 3 6 1 2
Indocoal 11 11 10 11 9
Power 11 22 __ 21 49
Total 34 37 18 34 60
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Debt portfolio: as at September 2002
Debentures BANPUECD #2
BANPU #3
BANPU #4
BANPU #5
BANPU #6
IndocoalCD
O/S amount US$3.1m Bt937.5m Bt750m Bt2,500m Bt500m US$30m
Maturity date Apr-03 Nov-02 Nov-04 Apr-06 Apr-08 2004
Interest rate 2.75% 8.125% MLR-0.25% 5.80% MLR-0.375% 2.75%
Rating - - - "A-" (TRIS) "A-" (TRIS)
Bank Loans BANPU Indocoal
Long-term Bt2,280m US$61.1m
Short-term Bt1,200m Rp5,936m
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Indocoal’s financials
Y/E Dec (Btm) 3Q02 2Q02Revenues 1,932 1,911Cost of sales (1,439) (1,420)SG&A (277) (120)Royalty (183) (193)Interest expenses (68) (84)Net operating profit (35) 94FX translation (149) 572Mining property (47) 57Minority interest 0 0Income tax 38 (88)Reported net profit (193) 635
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TECO’s financials
Y/E Dec (Btm) 3Q02 2Q02
Revenues 2,376 1,767
Cost of sales (1,723) (1,423)
SG&A (33) (34)
Swap cost (123) (112)
Interest expenses (113) (118)
Net operating profit 384 78
FX translation (438) 481
Reported net profit (54) 559
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BLCP development
�1,434MW coal-fired power plant (50% held by Banpu and CLP Powergen Southeast Asia, 47 km transmission line)
�25-year PPA with EGAT, the national utility
�Environmental approvals in place for the industrial location
�25-year Coal Supply agreement with coal source portfolio
�Financial close expected by July 2003