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IPO PPAK

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    14- 1

    Topics Covered

    The Initial Public Offering

    The Underwriters

    Underpricing and The Winners Curse

    General Cash Offers

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    14- 2

    Initial Public Offering

    Initial Public Offering (IPO)- First offering of stock

    to the general public.

    Two kinds of public offerings:

    Primary offeringnew shares are sold to raise cash for the

    company

    Secondary offeringexisting shares (owned by VCs or firmfounders) are sold, no new cash goes to company

    A single offering may include both of these

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Initial Public Offering

    Some benefits/motivations:

    - Additional source of capital

    - Increase debt capacity (give breathing room for debt)- Stock prices give measure of performance

    - Allows managers to be compensated with options, or have

    incentives otherwise directly tied to shareholder value

    - Potentially more information about firm (analyst following),

    makes borrowing cheaper

    - ?

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Initial Public Offering

    Arranging an IPO: First steps

    Select Underwriter

    - provides procedural, financial advice

    - ultimately buys issue from company (at issue price)- ultimately sells it to public (at offer price)

    Prepare Registration Statementfor approval of SEC (inaccord with Securities Act of 1933). Formal summary that

    provides information on an issue of securities.

    Prepare ProspectusStreamlined version of registrationstatement, for consideration by potential investors

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Initial Public Offering

    Arranging an IPO: Trying to set price

    Road showTalks organized to introduce company to

    potential investors, before the IPO.

    BookbuildingUnderwriter builds book full of

    indications of interest (quantity, price at which

    investors may be willing to buy). List of likelyorders. Useful to set offer price.

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Initial Public Offering

    Arranging an IPO: Selling the shares

    Best efforts offering: IPO method in which underwriter

    promises to sell as much as possible, give best effort,

    not commit to selling all of issue. Or

    Firm commitment offering: Method in which

    underwriter buys the whole issue, bears all risk.

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    7/53The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Initial Public Offering

    Arranging an IPO: Selling the shares

    Syndicate: Group of underwriters formed to sell a

    particular issue

    Spread- Difference between public offer price and

    price paid by underwriter (issue price). Biggest part

    of underwriter compensation.

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    8/53The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    14- 8

    Top Underwriters

    1,293ersUnderwritAll

    33Chase

    46JenretteLufkinDonaldson

    58StearnsBear68tonFirst BosSuisseCredit

    104MorganJP

    121BrothersLehman

    137SachsGoldman140StanleyMorgan

    167BarneySmithSaloman

    $208LynchMerrill

    issues)totalof($bil

    1997inrsUnderwriteU.S.Top

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    9/53The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Top Underwriters

    496ersUnderwritAll

    18Paribas

    18BrothersLehman

    22HoareAMROABN23StanleyMorgan

    24MorganJP

    27tonFirst BosSuisseCredit

    29MorganDeutsche29WarburgSBC

    32SachsGoldman

    $37LynchMerrill

    i ssues)totalof($bil

    1997inrsUnderwriteInt l .Top

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    Tombstone

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  • 8/13/2019 IPO PPAK

    12/53The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    IPO Costs

    Average costs on U.S. IPOs between 1990-1994

    05.2312.0511.00IssuesAll

    25.137.535.72upand500

    23.125.706.53499.99-20022.147.167.06199.99-100

    82.168.917.9199.99-80

    51.1911.318.279.99-60

    37.2213.658.7259.99-40

    18.2212.489.739.99-20

    28.219.6511.6319.99-10

    32.3316.3616.969.99-2

    (%)Costs

    Total

    (%)Return

    First DayAvg

    (%)Costs

    Direct

    ($mil)

    IssuesofValue

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    14- 13

    IPO Costs

    Why is there underpricing? Several arguments.

    - Best one: Winners curse

    Suppose you apply for every IPO. You will have noproblem getting lots of shares in the bad firms (the ones no

    one wants), but when the issue is attractive, there will not

    be enough to go around, and you will receive less than you

    wanted of the good firms. (This is the winners curse if

    you win an auction, you are likely to have paid too much!)

    So you would lose on average. You therefore need IPOs to

    be underpriced on average, or else you will not play the

    game.

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    14- 14

    Public issues after the IPO

    Seasoned Offering(SEO)An equity issue by a firm after its IPO

    General Cash Offer Sale of securities open to all investors by an already public company.

    Used for virtually all U.S. equity and debt issues

    Same procedure as IPO: register with SEC, sell issue to underwriter, whosells issue to public

    Shelf Registration- A procedure (created by SEC Rule 415 thatallows firms to file one registration statement for several issues of

    the same security. Covers financing plans up to 2 years ahead

    Speeds up issue process; dont have to issue all at once

    Usually used for relatively garden variety issues, not complex issueswhere underwriters stamp of approval may have value

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    Public issues after the IPO: Costs

    Direct costs (spread + administrative costs) of issues after the IPO:

    $2M < Issue size < $9.9M

    IPOs: 17%, SEOs: 13%, Convertible debt: 8%, Bonds: 5%

    $40M < Issue size < $59.9M

    IPOs: 8%, SEOs: 6%, Convertible debt: 4%, Bonds: 2%

    $500M < Issue size < $+++IPOs: 6%, SEOs: 3%, Convertible debt: 2%, Bonds: 1%

    (Notice economies of scale)

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    16/53The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Public issues after the IPO: CostsGross underwriter spreads of selected issues, 1998

    Issue amount, Underwr i ter ' s

    Type Company mil l ions of dollars spread, percent

    IPO Hypertension Diagnostics, Inc. 9.3 8.49

    IPO Actuate Software Corp. 33.0 7.00

    IPO Enterprise Product Partners 264.0 6.36

    IPO EquantNY 282.2 5.25

    IPO Conoco 4403.5 3.99

    SEO Coulter Pharmaceuticals 60.0 5.48

    SEO Stillwater Mining 61.5 5.00

    SEO Metronet Commuications Corp. 232.6 5.00

    SEO Staples, Inc. 446.6 3.25

    SEO Safeway, Inc. 1125.0 2.75

    SEO Media One Group 1511.3 2.74

    Debt:

    2-year notes General Motors Acceptance Corp. 100 0.18

    30-year debentures Bausch & Lornb, Inc. 200 0.88

    6-year notes Ararnark Corp. 300 0.63

    15-year subordinated notes B anque Paribas 400 0.75

    Convertible zero-coupon Aspect Telecommunications 490 3.00

    bonds

    10-year notes Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. 1500 0.15

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    Private Placements

    Dont require registration with SEC

    Therefore less costly

    Usually restricted to dozen or less knowledgeable

    investors Investors cannot easily resell security

    Rule 144A: SEC rule relaxing restrictions on who

    can buy and trade unregistered securities. Allows

    qualified institutional buyers to trade among

    themselves.

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    The Dividend Controversy

    Principles of Corporate Finance

    Brealey and Myers Sixth Edition

    Slides by

    Matthew Will,

    Jeffrey Wurgler

    Chapter

    16.1-16.4The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Topics Covered

    What Do We Mean by Dividend Policy?

    How Dividends Are Paid

    How Do Companies Decide on Dividend

    Payments?

    Dividend Policy is Irrelevant in MM world

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Types of Dividends

    Cash Dividend Regular Cash Dividend

    Special Cash Dividend

    Cash Dividend- Payment of cash by the firm

    to its shareholders.

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    Types of Dividends

    Stock split/Stock dividend Just increases # of shares, but assets, profits, and

    total value are unaffected

    So just reduces valueper share in proportion

    Stock Dividend- Payment of shares by thefirm to its shareholders.

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    Dividend payment process

    Cum Dividendwith dividend sharewhose buyer is eligible to receive declared

    dividend

    Ex Dividendshare whose buyer is not

    eligible to receive declared dividend

    Record Date- Person who owns stock on thisdate will receive the dividend.

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    Types of Dividends

    Stock Repurchase3 ways Buy shares on the market

    Tender offer

    Private negotiation (Greenmail)

    Tax on repurchase: only capital gainTax on cash dividend: as ordinary income

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Stock Repurchase Volume

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    1985

    1986

    1987

    1988

    1989

    1990

    1991

    1992

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    $Billions

    U.S. Stock Repurchases 1985-1997

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    The Dividend Decision: Lintner

    1. Firms have long-run target dividend payout ratios.

    2. Managers focus more on dividend changes than on

    absolute levels.

    3. Dividends changes follow shifts in long-run,

    sustainable earnings.

    4. Managers are particularly reluctant to make dividendchanges that might have to be reversed.

    Lintners Stylized Facts

    14 28

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    The Dividend Decision: Lintner

    Dividend targets vary from firm to firm:

    Dividend change equals:

    1

    1

    EPSratiotarget

    dividendtargetDIV

    01

    01

    DIV-EPSratiotarget

    changetargetDIV-DIV

    14 29

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    The Dividend Decision: Lintner

    Managers (say Lintner) smooth dividends Even if earnings are high now, may be low later, so if

    want to avoid having to reverse dividend later, only wantto move partway to target payment.

    Final Lintner model:

    0 < Adjustment rate < 1

    Model seems to work pretty well in the data

    01

    01

    DIV-EPSratiotargetrateadjustment

    changetargetrateadjustmentDIV-DIV

    14 30

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    M&M Dividend irrelevance

    Modigliani & Miller dividend proposition

    Dividend policy is irrelevant in perfect capital

    markets

    14 31

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    M&M Dividend irrelevance

    Interpretations

    If companys investment policy is fixed, its NPV is fixed.The pattern of dividend payments doesnt affect NPV

    In perfect capital market, investors dont care how they gettheir money, so long as they get it. They can get it through

    stock price changes or dividends Since investors do not need dividends to convert shares to

    cash, they will not pay higher prices for firms with higherdividend payouts.

    You cannot help or hurt your stockholders by changingdividends

    Repurchases have exactlysame effect as dividends. Flow offunds identity says if you cancel dividend, you have to buyshares. If you increase dividend, have to sell shares.

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    M&M Dividend irrelevance

    Some key assumptions:

    Investment policy held constant

    No transaction costs (e.g. repurchasing premium forcompany, cost of mailing dividend checks)

    Dividends and capital gains taxed at same rate

    If you claim dividends domatter, one or more ofthese assumptions must be violated. Thatis the

    power of the theorem: it clarifies how dividendscouldmatter.

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    M&M Dividend irrelevance

    Example- Assume Rational Demiconductor has $1,000 cash, and had

    earmarked $1,000 for investment, but learns project is a loser (NPV

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    Does Debt Policy Matter?

    Principles of Corporate Finance

    Brealey and Myers Sixth Edition

    Slides by

    Matthew Will,

    Jeffrey Wurgler

    Chapter 17

    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    14- 36

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    Topics Covered

    Leverage is Irrelevant in MM World

    How Leverage Affects Returns and Risk in

    MM World

    14- 37

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    M&M Debt Policy Proposition I

    Modigliani & Miller debt policy proposition:

    The market value of a company is independent of its

    capital structure.

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    Some key assumptions:No taxes

    Investment policy fixed

    Bankruptcy is not costlyEfficient capital markets, no transaction costs

    Symmetric information

    14- 40

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

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    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    The proof:

    Imagine two firms, firm U is unlevered (all

    equity) and firm L is levered. Have same profits.

    So VU= EU and VL= EL + DL

    Which do you prefer to invest in?

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    Suppose buy 1% of U:Dollar investment Dollar return

    .01*VU .01*Profits

    Or could buy 1% of Ls debt and equity:Dollar investment Dollar return

    Debt .01*DL .01*Interest

    Equity .01*EL .01*(ProfitsInterest)

    Total .01*(DL

    +EL

    ) .01*Profits

    = .01*VL

    Same dollar payoffs, must have same dollar cost: VU= VL

    14- 42

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    Another way to see it Suppose buy 1% of Ls equity:

    Dollar investment Dollar return

    .01*EL .01*(Profits-Interest)

    = .01*(VL- DL)

    Or could borrow 1% of DLon own account, buy 1% ofUs equity:

    Dollar investment Dollar return

    Borrowing -.01*DL

    -.01*Interest

    Equity .01*VU .01*Profits

    Total .01*(VU - DL ) .01*(Profits-Interest)

    Same dollar payoffs, must have same dollar cost: VU= VL

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    Some implications

    Argument can be extended to full range of capital

    structure choices, not just D/E ratio

    Debt maturity structure (long-term vs. short-term) irrelevant

    Secured/unsecured debt choice irrelevant

    Convertible/nonconvertible debt irrelevant

    Preferred/common stock irrelevant

    Financial managers irrelevant? This course irrelevant?

    Dont be discouraged, few of the assumptions hold in practice

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    Example

    Now

    suppose

    50% debt

    50% equity

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    3020100%(%)sharesonReturn

    321$0shareperEarnings

    500,11,000500$0earningsEquity

    500500500$500Interest000,21,5001,000$500IncomeOperating

    CBA

    Outcomes

    5,000$DebtofueMarket val

    5,000$EquityofValueMarket

    $10shareperPrice

    500sharesofNumber

    Data

    D

    14- 46

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    Example- Macbeths - 100% Equity

    - Debt replicated by investors

    (say they borrow $10 and invest $20

    in two unlevered Macbeth shares

    same payoff as levered equity!)

    3020100%(%)investmentnet$10onReturn

    3.002.001.000$investmentonearningsNet

    1.001.001.00$1.0010%@Interest:LESS

    4.003.002.00$1.00sharestwoonEarnings

    DCBA

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    2015(%)shareperreturnExpected

    1010($)shareperPrice

    2.001.50($)shareperearningsExpectedEquity50%Debt,50%

    :StructureProposed

    Equity100%

    :StructureCurrent

    Macbeth continued

    14- 48

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    securitiesallofuemarket val

    incomeoperatingexpectedrassetsonreturnExpected A

    EDA r

    EDEr

    EDDr

    We know that

    and also that

    14- 49

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Proposition II

    DAAE

    rrE

    Drr

    Rearranging

    14- 50

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    15.000,10

    500,1

    securitiesallofuemarket val

    incomeoperatingexpected

    rr AE

    DAAE rrE

    Drr

    20%or20.

    10.15.5000500015.

    Er

    Macbeth continued

    Check Prop. II for Macbeth. For 100% equity firm

    For 50% equity,

    50% debt firm

    14- 51

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    r

    D

    E

    rD

    rE

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    rA

    Risk free debt Risky debt

    14- 52

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    The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2000Irwin/McGraw Hill

    M&M Debt Policy Irrelevance

    200(%)sharesonReturn

    20($)shareperEarnings:equity50%

    debt,%50155(%)sharesonReturn

    1.50.50($)shareperEarnings:equity100%$1,500

    Income

    $500

    Operating

    Macbeth continued

    Leverage increases the risk of Macbeth shares

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