Ipsos Global @dvisor 29: The economic pulse of the world: February 2012

Global @d isorGlobal@dvisor

The Economic Pulse of the WorldCitizens in 24 Countries Assess the Current State of their Country’s Economy for a Total Global Perspective

A Global@dvisory – February 2012 – G@29The Economic Pulse

These are the findings of the Global@dvisor Wave 29 (G@29),an Ipsos survey conducted between January 3rd and January 16th, 2012.

SURVEY METHOD COUNTRIES SAMPLE WEIGHTING

• The survey instrument is conducted monthly in 24 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system.

• This month fielding also took

• The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Great Britain Hong Kong

• For the results of the survey presented herein, an international sample of 18,768 adults age 18-64 in the US and Canada and age 16-64 in all

• Weighting was then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to• This month fielding also took

place in Hong Kong.Great Britain, Hong Kong, Hungary, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America

Canada, and age 16 64 in all other countries, were interviewed. Approximately 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel with the exception of Argentina

adult population according to the most recent country Census data, and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. A survey with an unweighted probability sampleUnited States of America. the exception of Argentina,

Belgium, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden and Turkey, where each have a sample approximately 500+

unweighted probability sample of this size and a 100% response rate would have an estimated margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points for a sample of 1,000 and an estimated margin of error of +/a sample approximately 500+. estimated margin of error of +/-4.5 percentage points 19 times out of 20 per country of what the results would have been had the entire population of adults in that country had been

ll d All l dpolled. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

2A Global@dvisory – February 2012 – G@29

The Economic Pulse

Analytic Components… There are three analytic components that make up the findings of this monthly Economic Pulse report.

Each question is tracked and analyzed from questions dealing with:

Th tl i d i t t f

• Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current

The currently perceived macroeconomic state of the respondent’s country:

economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

• Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, here 7 means a er strong econom toda and 1 means a er eak econom

The currently perceived state of the local economy:

where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

A six month outlook for the local economy:

• Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?


The Economic Pulse

much weaker than it is now?

SUMMARYSUMMARY


The Economic Pulse

Summary… A break in the clouds: national economic assessments are up on the global

aggregate level and in every region. Whilethe one-point shift represents a continuation of the up one point, down one point pattern for the global aggregate, this i th fi t ti i A il 2010 th t ll hi i his the first time since April 2010 that all geographic regions show an improvement.

The Middle East and Africa is the geographic region with the highest aggregate assessment (+2 to 61%), followed by Latin America (+1 to 47%), North America (+1 to 43%), Asia Pacific (+1 to 43%) and Europe (+2 to 25%).

Europe which consistently weighs down the global average has not seen such an– Europe, which consistently weighs down the global average, has not seen such an improvement in its assessment since February 2011. In fact, all European countries except Sweden (-2 to 72%) show an improvement this wave.

– Germany rose nine points to 70% this sounding, recovering its place in the top tier of the global rankings. It has been rising steadily since June 2010.


The Economic Pulse

Summary… A break in the clouds: national economic assessments are up on the global

aggregate level and in every region. Whilethe one-point shift represents a continuation of the up one point, down one point pattern for the global aggregate, this i th fi t ti i A il 2010 th t ll hi i his the first time since April 2010 that all geographic regions show an improvement.

The Middle East and Africa is the geographic region with the highest aggregate assessment (+2 to 61%), followed by Latin America (+1 to 47%), North America (+1 to 43%), Asia Pacific (+1 to 43%) and Europe (+2 to 25%).

Europe which consistently weighs down the global average has not seen such an– Europe, which consistently weighs down the global average, has not seen such an improvement in its assessment since February 2011. In fact, all European countries except Sweden (-2 to 72%) show an improvement this wave.

– Germany rose nine points to 70% this sounding, recovering its place in the top tier of the global rankings. It has been rising steadily since June 2010.

– Argentina is the only other country to show such stable upward movements in its assessment; it moved up three points to 55% this wave and has been improving steadily since March 2010.

The upbeat mood is present both in current national assessments and in assessments of the future of local economies. The proportion of those expecting their local economies to be ‘stronger’ (+1 to 25%) in the next six months has risen one


The Economic Pulse

g ( %)point and all regions have improved or remained the same on this measure.

Hong Kong

Polling this wave includes results from Hong Kong*. It ranks middle of the pack on national (50%) and local (33%) assessments but near the bottom on future assessments of local economic conditions (14%) and ranks considerably lower than Mainland China on all three measures:

Hong Kong vs. China

64%50%

NATIONAL: China

Hong Kong

52%LOCAL: China

33%Hong Kong

39%14%

FUTURE OUTLOOK: China

Hong Kong


The Economic Pulse

*The results from Hong Kong are not included in aggregate reporting in order to provide accurate month-to-month tracking. Hong Kong is not regularly tracked.

A Look at Latin America

Latin America includes some of the world’s strongest emerging markets: Argentina, Brazil and Mexico.

Argentina (+3 to 55%) demonstrates steady, positive improvement since July 2010, when it sat at 34%. g ( ) y p p yFor Brazil (+6 to 62%), 2010 was tumultuous but it has been on an upward curve since June 2011 (51%). Argentina and Brazil trumps the global aggregate assessment of national economies each month consistently since January 2011. Mexico has been considerably more volatile, with periods of drops and jumps. This wave, Mexico is the country with the greatest decline (-6 points to 24%) among p j p y g ( p ) gall those surveyed.

60% 62%60%

70%

55%

38% 39%40%

50%

60%

25%

20%24%

10%

20%

30%

0%

Apr

-10

May

-10

Jun-

10

Jul-1

0

Aug

-10

Sept

-10

Oct

-10

Nov

-10

Dec

-10

Jan-

11

Feb-

11

Mar

-11

Apr

-11

May

-11

Jun-

11

Jul-1

1

Aug

-11

Sept

-11

Oct

-11

Nov

-11

Dec

-11

Jan-

12


The Economic Pulse

S S

Brazil Argentina Mexico GLOBAL AGGREGATE

THE WORLD at a GLANCE

THETHE WORLDWORLD at aat a GLANCE


The Economic Pulse

Global Average of National Economic Assessment (39%) up one point

The average global economic assessment of national economies has been fluctuating up one point, down one point, steadily like a pendulum for the past six months – this sounding it is up one point (39%).

Saudi Arabia again shows the strongest proportions of people rating their current national economic situation as ‘good’ (86%) a figure that is unchanged this monthnational economic situation as good (86%), a figure that is unchanged this month. They are followed by: Sweden (-2 points to 72%), Australia (+2 to 70%), Germany (+9 to 70%), Canada (+2 to 65%) and India (-3 to 65%).

On the other end, only 2% (no change since last wave) of those in Hungary rate their national economies as ‘good’, followed by Spain (NC at 4%), Italy (NC at 5%), France (+1 to 6%), Japan (NC at 8%) and Great Britain (+5 to 13%).

Countries with the greatest improvements: South Africa (+10 to 42%), China (+9 to 64%), Germany (+9 to 70%) and Brazil (+6 to 62%).

C i i h h d li M i ( 6 24%) S h K ( 4 1 %) Countries with the greatest declines: Mexico (-6 to 24%), South Korea (-4 to 17%), India (-3 to 65%) and Turkey (-3 to 55%).


The Economic Pulse

Global Average of Local Economic Assessment (29%)Unchanged

The global average of local economic assessment among the 24 countries remains unchanged for four months with three in ten (29%) global citizens who agree the state of the current economy in their local area is “good”.

The poll finds assessments of local economies to be strongest in Saudi Arabia (+5 points to 69%) a country that exceeds the second-place rival by 17 points Thatpoints to 69%), a country that exceeds the second place rival by 17 points. That country is China (+4 to 52%), followed next by Brazil (+4 to 50%), Sweden (+1 to 49%), Australia (NC at 47%) and India (-1 to 47%).

Spain (NC at 6%), Japan (+2 to 7%), Hungary (+1 to 8%), Italy (NC at 10%), France (NC at 12%) and South Korea (-5 to 12%) sit at the bottom of the global ranking.

Countries with the greatest improvements: Saudi Arabia (+5 to 69%) China (+4 toCountries with the greatest improvements: Saudi Arabia (+5 to 69%), China (+4 to 52%), Germany (+4 to 45%) and Brazil (+4 to 50%).

Countries with the greatest declines: Turkey (-10 to 35%), South Korea (-5 to 12%) d I d i ( 2 31%)and Indonesia (-2 to 31%).


The Economic Pulse

Global Average of Future Outlook for Local Economy Up One Point: 25%

Citizens are asked to provide their assessments on the extent to which they think their local economy will be “stronger”, “weaker” or “about the same” six months from now. Currently, a global average of one quarter (25%) believe their local economy will be stronger, a one-point improvement after five months of stagnation.

Brazil holds on to its number one spot on this measurement (+3 points to 74%)Brazil holds on to its number one spot on this measurement (+3 points to 74%), followed by Saudi Arabia (+3 to 63%), India (NC at 50%), Argentina (-3 to 42%) and China (+7 to 39%).

France sits in last place on this measure with only 2% expecting their local economies would be stronger, unchanged from last sounding. Also at the bottom of the ranking sit Hungary ( +2 to 5%), Belgium (+1 to 6%), Japan (+1 to 8%), Great Britain (+3 to 10%) and South Korea (-1 to 11%)Britain (+3 to 10%) and South Korea ( 1 to 11%).

Countries with the greatest improvements: China (+7 to 39%), Germany (+5 to 18%) and Sweden (+4 to 16%).

Countries with the greatest declines: Indonesia (-5 to 32%), Turkey (-4 to 31%), Mexico (-3 to 36%), Argentina (-3 to 42%) and Spain (-3 to 18%).


The Economic Pulse

1. National Economic Assessments: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

Those Countries Where the Country Economic Assessment…

is has experienced an has experienced a isisHIGHEST

this month

has experienced an IMPROVEMENT

since last sounding

has experienced a DECLINE

since last sounding

isLOWEST

this monthSaudi Arabia 86% South Africa 10 Mexico 6 Hungary 2%Saudi Arabia 86% South Africa 10 Mexico 6 Hungary 2%

Sweden 72% China 9 South Korea 4 Spain 4%Australia 70% Germany 9 India 3 Italy 5%Germany 70% Brazil 6 Turkey 3 France 6%

Canada 65% Great Britain 5 Sweden 2 Japan 8%India 65% Argentina 3 Indonesia 1 Great Britain 13%

China 64% Belgium 3 South Korea 17%Brazil 62% Canada 2 United States 21%

Australia 2 Belgium 22%France 1 Mexico 24%

Poland 27%


The Economic Pulse

Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

1. National Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

CHANGEREGION(in descending order by NET)

NET‘Good’

CHANGE(since last sounding)

Middle East/Africa 61% 2%Middle East/Africa 61% 2%BRIC 55% 3%

LATAM 47% 1%North America (Can/US) 43% 1%North America (Can/US) 43% 1%

APAC 43% 1%G8 27% 2%

Europe 25% 2%Europe 25% 2%


The Economic Pulse

Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

2. Local Economic Assessment: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

Those Countries Where the Local Area Economic Assessment…

is has experienced an has experienced a isisHIGHEST

this month

has experienced an IMPROVEMENT

since last sounding

has experienced a DECLINE

since last sounding

isLOWEST

this month

Saudi Arabia 69% Saudi Arabia 5 Turkey 10 Spain 6%

China 52% China 4 South Korea 5 Japan 7%

Brazil 50% Germany 4 Indonesia 2 Hungary 8%

Sweden 49% Brazil 4 United States 1 Italy 10%

Australia 47% South Africa 3 India 1 South Korea 12%

India 47% Poland 3 France 12%

Canada 45% Great Britain 3 Belgium 15%

Germany 45% Japan 2 Great Britain 16%

Russia 2 Russia 21%

S d 1 U it d St t 22%Sweden 1 United States 22%

Hungary 1 Mexico 22%

Belgium 1 Poland 24%

A ti 1 S th Af i 26%


The Economic Pulse

Argentina 1 South Africa 26%

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy

2. Local Economic Assessment: Regions at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

NETREGION(in descending order by NET)

NET‘Strong’

Top 3 Box (5-6-7)


Middle East/Africa 43% 1%Middle East/Africa 43% 1%BRIC 42% 2%

LATAM 36% 2%North America 33% 1%North America 33% 1%

APAC 31% N/CG-8 Countries 22% 1%

E 21% 2%Europe 21% 2%


The Economic Pulse

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy

3. Six Month Outlook on the Local Economy: Countries at a Glance Compared to the Last Wave…

Countries where the Assessment of the Local Economic Strengthening …

is has experienced an has experienced a isHIGHEST

this month

pIMPROVEMENT

since last sounding

pDECLINE

since last soundingLOWEST

this month

Brazil 74% China 7 Indonesia 5 France 2%

Saudi Arabia 63% Germany 5 Turkey 4 Hungary 5%

India 50% Sweden 4 Mexico 3 Belgium 6%

Argentina 42% Brazil 3 Argentina 3 Japan 8%

China 39% Saudi Arabia 3 Spain 3 Great Britain 10%

Mexico 36% United States 3 South Korea 1 South Korea 11%

Indonesia 32% Australia 3 Italy 15%

It l 3 S d 16%Italy 3 Sweden 16%

Great Britain 3 South Africa 16%

Russia 2 Poland 16%

Hungary 2Hungary 2Canada 2

Japan 1Belgium 1


The Economic Pulse

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to bemuch stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

3. Six Month Outlook on Local Economy: Regions at a Glance Compared to Last Wave…

REGION NET CHANGEREGION(in descending order by NET)

NET‘Stronger’


LATAM 51% N/C

BRIC 45% 3%

Middle East/Africa 37% N/C

APAC 25% 1%APAC 25% 1%

North America 23% 2%

G-8 Countries 15% 3%

E 12% 2%Europe 12% 2%


The Economic Pulse


DETAILED FINDINGSDETAILED FINDINGS


The Economic Pulse

Assessing The Current Economic Sit tiSituation …

…in Their Countryy


The Economic Pulse

Detailed Tables B.3

Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”

39%86%

72%

TotalSaudi Arabia

Sweden

‘Very Good / Somewhat Good’

70%70%

65%65%

64%

AustraliaGermany

CanadaIndia

Chi 64%62%

55%55%

50%

ChinaBrazil

ArgentinaTurkey

Hong Kong45%

42%30%

27%24%

g gIndonesia

South AfricaRussiaPolandMexico 24%

22%21%

17%13%

MexicoBelgium

United StatesSouth KoreaGreat Britain

8%6%

5%4%

2%

JapanFrance

ItalySpain

Hungary


The Economic Pulse

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?*Note that results for Hong Kong are not included in aggregate results to allow for consistent tracking.

2%Hungary

Global Average Tracked - Global Citizens Assess the Current Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”:… 1

Total Good

56% 55%60%

70%

Total Good

45%

32%

29%

38% 37% 38% 39% 39% 40% 41% 40% 42% 41% 41% 40% 41%38% 40% 41% 40% 40% 38% 39% 38% 39% 38% 39%

40%

50%

10%

20%

30%

0%

10%

Apr

/07

Oct

/07

Apr

/08

Nov

/08

Apr

/09

v/Ja

n/10

Mar

/10

Apr

/10

May

/10

Jun/

10

Jul/1

0

Aug

/10

Sept

/10

Oct

/10

Nov

/10

Dec

/10

Jan/

11

Feb/

11

Mar

/11

Apr

/11

May

/11

Jun/

11

Jul/1

1

Aug

/11

Sept

/11

Oct

/11

Nov

/11

Dec

/11

Jan/

12

Nov

S S


The Economic Pulse

Now thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]?Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

For All Countries Tracked: Citizens Assess theCurrent Economic Situation in their Country as “Good”

Nov/09Jan/10

Mar‘10

Apr‘10

May ‘10

Jun‘10

July‘10

Aug‘10

Sep ‘10

Oct‘10

Nov‘10

Dec‘10

Jan‘11

Feb‘11

Mar‘11

Apr‘11

May‘11

Jun‘11

Jul‘11

Aug‘11

Sept‘11

Oct‘11

Nov‘11

Dec‘11

Jan‘12


Argentina 28% 21% 25% 27% 39% 34% 36% 38% 35% 42% 39% 45% 41% 43% 46% 46% 47% 50% 50% 59% 54% 55% 52% 55%Australia 82% 80% 73% 74% 72% 72% 72% 77% 78% 74% 75% 78% 72% 70% 70% 73% 66% 64% 56% 61% 62% 67% 68% 70%Belgium 28% 29% 22% 23% 22% 29% 33% 36% 29% 28% 31% 34% 39% 36% 41% 40% 42% 41% 37% 31% 25% 24% 19% 22%

Brazil 72% 59% 60% 65% 65% 55% 60% 58% 66% 64% 62% 56% 61% 53% 52% 51% 51% 53% 52% 55% 55% 59% 56% 62%Canada 60% 65% 67% 64% 68% 68% 65% 68% 63% 63% 62% 68% 68% 64% 68% 69% 69% 72% 73% 66% 66% 62% 63% 65%% % % % % % % % % % %

China 78% 80% 82% 78% 77% 74% 77% 75% 79% 74% 72% 74% 73% 67% 75% 68% 68% 66% 61% 65% 65% 62% 55% 64%France 14% 11% 9% 8% 6% 9% 12% 10% 10% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 11% 12% 8% 12% 7% 6% 7% 5% 6%

Germany 44% 37% 45% 37% 38% 48% 55% 56% 64% 67% 63% 64% 64% 62% 67% 68% 68% 71% 66% 63% 64% 64% 61% 70%Great Britain 14% 17% 17% 13% 13% 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 13% 15% 12% 8% 10% 15% 13% 10% 11% 17% 11% 10% 8% 13%

H 7% 4% 8% 8% 8% 9% 11% 7% 13% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 6% % 6% % 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2%Hungary 7% 4% 8% 8% 8% 9% 11% 7% 13% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2%India 82% 83% 86% 85% 85% 78% 80% 82% 88% 88% 87% 76% 77% 73% 76% 73% 71% 62% 69% 69% 75% 69% 68% 65%

Indonesia - 49% 52% 52% 49% 51% 39% 49% 54% 45% 48% 37% 38% 40% 46% 47% 40% 41% 36% 42% 35% 50% 46% 45%Italy 24% 17% 17% 14% 16% 16% 17% 14% 16% 11% 14% 11% 14% 12% 10% 14% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 6% 5% 5%

Japan 8% 7% 7% 6% 9% 6% 8% 7% 8% 6% 9% 6% 8% 8% 7% 9% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6% 7% 8% 8%Mexico 21% 20% 20% 23% 21% 25% 22% 23% 25% 20% 25% 25% 33% 22% 25% 27% 29% 34% 33% 25% 28% 32% 30% 24%Poland 42% 41% 47% 45% 46% 42% 33% 33% 29% 30% 28% 23% 29% 19% 23% 22% 20% 24% 28% 27% 30% 28% 27% 27%Russia 24% 24% 28% 30% 30% 24% 37% 27% 28% 29% 27% 26% 25% 26% 26% 26% 29% 25% 26% 27% 23% 25% 30% 30%

Saudi Arabia - 73% 76% 80% 73% 80% 81% 78% 76% 81% 81% 80% 81% 85% 87% 89% 89% 87% 88% 89% 83% 89% 86% 86%South Africa 38% 44% 41% 34% 56% 45% 41% 46% 41% 51% 45% 45% 40% 41% 43% 42% 38% 39% 34% 39% 32% 32% 42%South Africa - 38% 44% 41% 34% 56% 45% 41% 46% 41% 51% 45% 45% 40% 41% 43% 42% 38% 39% 34% 39% 32% 32% 42%South Korea 28% 29% 32% 31% 34% 34% 30% 35% 32% 37% 39% 34% 38% 22% 25% 29% 27% 27% 18% 21% 18% 26% 21% 17%

Spain 10% 5% 5% 6% 5% 10% 10% 9% 10% 7% 7% 4% 6% 6% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 3% 5% 3% 4% 4%Sweden 58% 58% 56% 60% 63% 71% 73% 72% 77% 75% 75% 82% 80% 71% 78% 76% 76% 77% 70% 74% 69% 73% 74% 72%Turkey 51% 35% 44% 40% 44% 37% 45% 39% 43% 41% 41% 46% 47% 43% 49% 50% 51% 57% 48% 61% 59% 54% 58% 55%


The Economic Pulse

United States 20% 17% 25% 23% 18% 17% 15% 15% 18% 20% 19% 20% 20% 19% 17% 23% 19% 19% 14% 15% 14% 19% 21% 21%

Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column) Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert

country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

% Very Good / Somewhat Good

39%42%

Totoal (+1) South Africa (+10)

64%70%

62%13%

55%

China (+9)Germany (+9)

Brazil (+6)Great Britain (+5)

Argentina (+3) 55%22%

65%70%

6%

Argentina (+3)Belgium (+3)Canada (+2)

Australia (+2)France (+1)

Green marks countries experiencing improvement;Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline…

6%2%

5%8%

27%

France (+1)Hungary (N/C)

Italy (N/C)Japan (N/C)

Poland (N/C)30%

86%4%

21%

Russia (N/C)Saudi Arabia (N/C)

Spain (N/C)United States (N/C)

45%72%

55%65%

17%

Indonesia (-1)Sweden (-2)Turkey (-3)

India (-3)S th K ( 4)


The Economic Pulse

17%24%

South Korea (-4)Mexico (-6)

Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month: Thinking about our economic situation, how would you describe the current economic situation in [insert country]? Is it very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad?

10%9%

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%

South Africa (+10)China (+9)

9%6%

5%3%

Germany (+9)Brazil (+6)

Great Britain (+5)Argentina (+3)

3%2%2%

1%

Belgium (+3)Canada (+2)

Australia (+2)France (+1)

0%0%0%0%

Hungary (N/C)Italy (N/C)

Japan (N/C)Poland (N/C)

0%0%0%0%

Russia (N/C)Saudi Arabia (N/C)

Spain (N/C)United States (N/C)

-1%-2%

-3%-3%

4%

Indonesia (-1)Sweden (-2)Turkey (-3)India (-3)


The Economic Pulse

-4%-6%

South Korea (-4)Mexico (-6)

Assessing the Current Economic Situation by All Regions: Current Tracked Status:

71%

80%


64%

61%51%

55%

61%60%

70%

45%

47%

43%

51%

40%

50%

25%

27%30%

25%

10%

20%

07 07 08 08 09 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Apr

/0

Oct

/0

Apr

/0

Nov

/0

Apr

/0

Nov

/Jan

/1

Mar

/1

Apr

/1

May

/1

Jun/

1

Jul/1

Aug

/1

Sept

/1

Oct

/1

Nov

/1

Dec

/1

Jan/

1

Feb/

1

Mar

/1

Apr

/1

May

/1

Jun/

1

Jul/1

Aug

/1

Sept

/1

Oct

/1

Nov

/1

Dec

/1

Jan/

1

North America (Can/US) LATAM Europe APAC G8 BRIC Middle East/Africa


The Economic Pulse


North American (Canada/US) CountriesAssessing the Current Economic Situation 1

90%

100%‘Very Good / Somewhat Good’

80%65%70%

80%

47%

40%

50%

60%

21%20%

30%

40%

0%

10%

07 07 08 08 09 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Apr

200

Oct

200

Apr

200

Nov

200

Apr

200

Nov

/Jan

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

/1

Apr

/1

May

/1

Jun/

1

Jul/1

Aug

/1

Sept

/1

Oct

/1

Nov

/1

Dec

/1

Jan/

1

United States Canada


The Economic Pulse



LATAM CountriesAssessing the Current Economic Situation 1

70%

80%


62%

50% 55%

60%

70%

42%

55%

40%

50%

24%

20%

30%

0%

10%

07 07 08 08 09 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Apr

-0

Oct

-0

Apr

-0

Nov

-0

Apr

-0

Nov

-09/

Jan-

1

Mar

-1

Apr

-1

May

-1

Jun-

1

Jul-1

Aug

-1

Sept

-1

Oct

-1

Nov

-1

Dec

-1

Jan-

1

Feb-

1

Mar

-1

Apr

-1

May

-1

Jun-

1

Jul-1

Aug

-1

Sept

-1

Oct

-1

Nov

-1

Dec

-1

Jan-

1

Brazil Argentina Mexico


The Economic Pulse



European CountriesAssessing the Current Economic Situation 2

80%

90%


59%70%

58%

64%

72%

60%

70%

80%

58%55%

50%

40%

50%

27%

13%22%

28%27%

20%

30%

6%

13%

4%5%

2%2%0%

10%

-07

-07

-08

-08

-09

010

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-12

Apr

-

Oct

-

Apr

-

Nov

-

Apr

-

Nov

/Jan

20

Mar

-

Apr

-

May

-

Jun-

Jul-

Aug

-

Sep-

Oct

-

Nov

-

Dec

-

Jan-

Feb-

Mar

-

Apr

-

May

-

Jun-

Jul-

Aug

-

Sept

-

Oct

-

Nov

-

Dec

-

Jan-

Germany France Spain Sweden Great Britain Belgium Italy Hungary Poland


The Economic Pulse


APAC CountriesAssessing the Current Economic Situation 1

90%90%

100%


78% 70%

88%

65%65%70%

80%

64%49%

45%

40%

50%

60%

30%

16%

27%

17%20%

30%

40%

8%

0%

10%

07 07 08 08 09 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Apr

-0

Oct

-0

Apr

-0

Nov

-0

Apr

-0

Nov

-09/

Jan-

1

Mar

-1

Apr

-1

May

-1

Jun-

1

Jul-1

Aug

-1

Sep-

1

Oct

-1

Nov

-1

Dec

-1

Jan-

1

Feb-

1

Mar

-1

Apr

-1

May

-1

Jun-

1

Jul-1

Aug

-1

Sept

-1

Oct

-1

Nov

-1

Dec

-1

Jan-

1


The Economic Pulse


Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Indonesia

G8 CountriesAssessing the Economic Situation 2

90%

100%‘Very Good / Somewhat Good’

80%

65%

70%65%70%

80%

55%

65%59%

47%40%

50%

60%

13%27%

28% 30%

21%20%

30%

40%

13%

6%5%

8%

0%

10%

r-07 t-0

7

r-08

v-08

r-09

n-10

r-10

r-10

y-10

n-10 l-1

0

g-10 t-1

0

t-10

v-10

c-10

n-11

b-11

r-11

r-11

y-11

n-11 l-1

1

g-11 t-1

1

t-11

v-11

c-11

n-12

Apr Oct

Apr

Nov Apr

Nov

-09/

Jan

Mar

Apr

May Jun

Jul

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov Dec Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May Jun

Jul

Aug

Sept

Oct

Nov Dec Jan

G C G S


The Economic Pulse


Great Britain Canada France Germany Italy Japan Russia United States

BRIC CountriesAssessing the Economic Situation 3

90%90%

100%


65%

88%

65%70%

80%

90%

62%64%

50%

60%

42%30%

20%

30%

40%

0%

10%

07 07 08 08 09 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Apr

-0

Oct

-0

Apr

-0

Nov

-0

Apr

-0

Nov

09/

Jan

Mar

-

Apr

-

May

-

Jun-

Jul-

Aug

-

Sept

-

Oct

-

Nov

-

Dec

-

Jan-

Feb-

Mar

-

Apr

-

May

-

Jun-

Jul-

Aug

-

Sept

-

Oct

-

Nov

-

Dec

-

Jan-


The Economic Pulse


Brazil Russia India China

Middle East/African CountriesAssessing the Economic Situation 2

86%90%

100%


73%

70%

80%

51% 55%

38% 42%40%

50%

60%

20%

30%

40%

0%

10%

10 -10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-10

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-11

-12

N09

/J

Mar

-

Apr

-

May

-

Jun-

Jul-

Aug

-

Sep-

Oct

-

Nov

-

Dec

-

Jan-

Feb-

Mar

-

Apr

-

May

-

Jun-

Jul-

Aug

-

Sept

-

Oct

-

Nov

-

Dec

-

Jan-

Turkey Saudi Arabia South Africa


The Economic Pulse


Assessing The Economy…g y

…In Their Local Area


The Economic Pulse

Detailed Tables B.6

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy In Their Local Areais Strong…

29%69%

52%

TotalSaudi Arabia

China

% Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7)

50%49%

47%47%

45%

BrazilSweden

AustraliaIndia

C d 45%45%

35%35%

33%

CanadaGermany

ArgentinaTurkey

Hong Kong31%

26%24%

22%22%

g gIndonesia

South AfricaPolandMexico

United States 22%21%

16%15%

12%

United StatesRussia

Great BritainBelgium

France12%

10%8%

7%6%

South KoreaItaly

HungaryJapanSpain


The Economic Pulse

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy*Note that results for Hong Kong are not included in aggregate results to allow for consistent tracking.

6%Spain

Citizen Consumers Who Say The EconomyIn Their Local Area is Strong N/C

70%

Total - % Strong (Top 3: 5-6-7)

60%

70%

30% 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 30% 31% 30%

40%

50%

28%30% 29% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31%

29% 30% 30% 30% 31%29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29%

20%

30%

0%

10%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2

Mar

/10

Apr

/10

May

/10

Jun/

10

Jul/1

0

Aug

/10

Sept

/10

Oct

/10

Nov

/10

Dec

/10

Jan/

11

Feb/

11

Mra

/11

Apr

/11

May

/11

Jun/

11

Jul/1

1

Aug

/11

Sept

/11

Oct

/11

Nov

/11

Dec

/11

Jan/

12


The Economic Pulse

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy.

Citizen Consumers Who Say The EconomyIn Their Local Area is Strong

Mar2010

April2010

May 2010

June 2010

July2010

Aug2010

Sept2010

Oct2010

Nov2010

Dec2010

Jan2011

Feb2011

Mar2011

Apr2011

May2011

Jun2011

Jul2011

Aug2011

Sept2011

Oct2011

Nov2011

Dec2011

Jan2012

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

Total 28% 30% 29% 29% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 30% 30% 31% 29% 30% 29% 29% 29% 29%Argentina 19% 19% 15% 23% 20% 25% 26% 21% 28% 28% 30% 28% 26% 30% 28% 31% 30% 29% 36% 35% 36% 34% 35%Australia 56% 55% 55% 50% 52% 52% 53% 57% 53% 55% 60% 54% 53% 51% 50% 46% 46% 42% 43% 49% 46% 47% 47%Belgium 15% 11% 11% 12% 14% 20% 19% 17% 21% 16% 20% 30% 23% 27% 26% 25% 24% 19% 21% 18% 16% 14% 15%

Brazil 38% 48% 48% 51% 41% 46% 45% 50% 47% 51% 42% 47% 41% 39% 42% 41% 43% 46% 39% 44% 49% 46% 50%Brazil 38% 48% 48% 51% 41% 46% 45% 50% 47% 51% 42% 47% 41% 39% 42% 41% 43% 46% 39% 44% 49% 46% 50%Canada 44% 47% 45% 46% 47% 46% 48% 43% 46% 42% 49% 49% 46% 49% 49% 51% 49% 51% 48% 48% 44% 45% 45%

China 61% 57% 58% 55% 58% 59% 59% 63% 59% 55% 56% 57% 56% 56% 51% 49% 47% 45% 53% 48% 48% 48% 52%France 14% 14% 12% 11% 14% 15% 13% 14% 14% 12% 14% 15% 16% 14% 16% 16% 14% 18% 12% 15% 12% 12% 12%

Germany 27% 25% 26% 29% 30% 33% 35% 39% 43% 43% 40% 43% 38% 46% 46% 47% 47% 45% 43% 41% 43% 41% 45%Great Britain 16% 19% 13% 12% 15% 15% 15% 13% 16% 15% 15% 14% 12% 14% 17% 17% 12% 12% 17% 13% 13% 13% 16%Great Britain 16% 19% 13% 12% 15% 15% 15% 13% 16% 15% 15% 14% 12% 14% 17% 17% 12% 12% 17% 13% 13% 13% 16%

Hungary 11% 13% 11% 13% 10% 14% 11% 15% 11% 9% 12% 10% 9% 12% 10% 12% 11% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 8%India 61% 62% 61% 63% 53% 56% 61% 61% 67% 60% 51% 55% 52% 52% 47% 50% 42% 49% 47% 47% 48% 48% 47%

Indonesia 37% 30% 34% 26% 30% 26% 29% 33% 31% 32% 25% 23% 30% 27% 33% 27% 29% 24% 31% 26% 34% 33% 31%Italy 18% 19% 17% 18% 18% 19% 18% 17% 15% 18% 14% 18% 16% 16% 18% 17% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 10%

Japan 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7%Japan 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 7%Mexico 20% 22% 24% 24% 19% 18% 18% 18% 15% 17% 22% 21% 17% 18% 18% 19% 25% 24% 21% 21% 23% 22% 22%Poland 29% 30% 30% 28% 30% 31% 29% 21% 25% 22% 19% 21% 19% 23% 17% 21% 21% 23% 24% 24% 19% 21% 24%Russia 23% 22% 25% 23% 24% 30% 24% 26% 24% 19% 20% 16% 17% 21% 18% 18% 19% 17% 18% 23% 18% 19% 21%

Saudi Arabia 49% 53% 51% 48% 55% 58% 57% 47% 50% 58% 57% 55% 62% 63% 61% 63% 66% 69% 64% 58% 67% 64% 69%South Africa 26% 35% 28% 27% 34% 28% 26% 27% 26% 30% 34% 29% 22% 23% 28% 34% 34% 27% 26% 26% 25% 23% 26%South Africa 26% 35% 28% 27% 34% 28% 26% 27% 26% 30% 34% 29% 22% 23% 28% 34% 34% 27% 26% 26% 25% 23% 26%South Korea 16% 20% 22% 21% 18% 22% 22% 23% 26% 28% 23% 25% 16% 19% 21% 18% 21% 16% 16% 16% 18% 17% 12%

Spain 13% 8% 8% 10% 13% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 11% 8% 6% 8% 8% 6% 6%Sweden 44% 46% 47% 49% 46% 53% 54% 54% 58% 55% 53% 57% 51% 54% 47% 52% 59% 57% 52% 55% 43% 48% 49%Turkey 29% 31% 26% 32% 30% 25% 29% 34% 27% 30% 32% 33% 33% 33% 35% 38% 46% 32% 45% 42% 44% 45% 35%

U it d St t 20% 21% 21% 21% 20% 17% 16% 19% 20% 20% 19% 24% 18% 18% 19% 18% 22% 17% 18% 16% 19% 23% 22%


The Economic Pulse

United States 20% 21% 21% 21% 20% 17% 16% 19% 20% 20% 19% 24% 18% 18% 19% 18% 22% 17% 18% 16% 19% 23% 22%


Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column):

29%69%

52%

Total (N/C)Saudi Arabia (+5)

China (+4)

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy…

52%45%

50%26%

24%


Brazil (+4)South Africa (+3)

Poland (+3) 24%16%

7%21%

49%

Poland (+3)Great Britain (+3)

Japan (+2)Russia (+2)

Sweden (+1)

Green marks countries experiencing improvement;Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline…

8%15%

35%47%

Hungary (+1)Belgium (+1)

Argentina (+1)Australia (N/C)

45%22%

12%10%

6%

Canada (N/C)Mexico (N/C)France (N/C)

Italy (N/C)S i (N/C) 6%

47%22%

31%12%

Spain (N/C)India (-1)

United States (-1)Indonesia (-2)

South Korea (-5)


The Economic Pulse

12%35%

South Korea (-5)Turkey (-10)

Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month:

R t th t t t f th i l l i l f 1 t 7 h 7 t

5%4%

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%

Saudi Arabia (+5)China (+4)

Rate the current state of the economy in your local area using a scale from 1 to 7, where 7 means a very strong economy today and 1 means a very weak economy…

4%4%

3%3%

( )Germany (+4)

Brazil (+4)South Africa (+3)

Poland (+3)

3%2%2%

1%

Great Britain (+3)Japan (+2)

Russia (+2)Sweden (+1)

1%1%1%

0%

Hungary (+1)Belgium (+1)

Argentina (+1)

Australia (N/C)0%0%0%0%

Canada (N/C)Mexico (N/C)France (N/C)

Italy (N/C)

0%-1%-1%

-2%

India (-1)United States (-1)Indonesia (-2)

Spain (N/C)


The Economic Pulse

-5%-10%

South Korea (-5)Turkey (-10)

All RegionsAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy

50%

55%


37%

46%

42%

43%

40%

45%

%

32%

33%

36%37%

31%

35%

30%

35%

25%

21%21%

22%

20%

25%

21%

10%

15%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201


The Economic Pulse


North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRIC Middle East/Africa

North American CountriesAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy 1

50%

55%


44% 45%

40%

45%

50%

30%

35%

20%

22%

20%

25%

20%

10%

15%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201



The Economic Pulse



LATAM CountriesAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy 2

50%50%

55%


40%

45%

50%

38% 35%

30%

35%

20% 22%

20%

25%

19%

10%

15%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

B il A ti M i


The Economic Pulse



European CountriesAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy 2

70%


44%49%50%

60%

45%

29%30%

40%

27%

16% 16%

15% 12%15%

18%

24%

20%

30%

14%

6%

12%10%8%

0%

10%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

-1

Apr

-1

May

-1

Jun-

1

Jul-1

Aug

-1

Sept

-1

Oct

-1

Nov

-1

Dec

-1

Jan-

1

Feb-

1

Mar

-1

Apr

-1

May

-1

Jun-

1

Jul-1

Aug

-1

Sept

-1

Oct

-1

Nov

-1

Dec

-1

Jan-

1



The Economic Pulse



APAC CountriesAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy N/C

%

80%


56%

61%

52%

60%

70%

47%

35%37%40%

50%

23% 21%

16% 12%

29%31%

20%

30%

4%7%

16% 12%

0%

10%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

A t li Chi I di J R i S th K T k I d i


The Economic Pulse


Australia China India Japan Russia South Korea Turkey Indonesia

G8 CountriesAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy 1

% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)60%

44% 45%

40%

50%

27%

23%

30%

16%16%

12%

18%

10%

23%

21%20%22%

10%

20%

10%4% 7%

0%

10%

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

012

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20

Feb

20

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20



The Economic Pulse


y y p

BRIC CountriesAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy 2


70%

80%

61%

52%

60%

70%

38%

50%47%

52%

40%

50%

23%21%20%

30%

0%

10%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201



The Economic Pulse



Middle East/ African CountriesAssess the Strength of Their Local Economy 1

69%70%

80%% Strong (Top 3 5-6-7)

49%

69%

50%

60%

70%

29% 35%

40%

50%

26%26%

20%

30%

0%

10%

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

012

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Julo

20

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20

Feb

20

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20



The Economic Pulse


y

Assessing the Strength of The Local Economy…

Six Months From Now…Six Months From Now


The Economic Pulse

Detailed Tables B.7

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months…

25%74%

63%

TotalBrazil

Saudi Arabia

% Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger

50%42%

39%36%

32%

IndiaArgentina

ChinaMexico

I d i 32%31%

26%21%

19%

IndonesiaTurkey

United StatesCanada

Australia18%18%

17%16%16%

GermanySpain

RussiaPoland

South Africa 16%16%

15%14%

11%

South AfricaSweden

ItalyHong Kong

South Korea10%

8%6%

5%2%

Great BritainJapan

BelgiumHungary

France


The Economic Pulse

Looking ahead 6 months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhat stronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?*Note that results for Hong Kong are not included in aggregate results to allow for consistent tracking.

2%France

Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 1

70%

Global Total% Much Stronger / Somewhat Stronger

60%

70%

31% 31% 30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 28% 29% 28%

40%

50%

30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 28% 29%27% 27% 28%

26% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25%

20%

30%

0%

10%

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

012

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20

Feb

20

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20


The Economic Pulse


Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months…

Mar2010

April 2010

May2010

June 2010

July2010

Aug 2010

Sept2010

Oct2010

Nov2010

Dec2010

Jan2011

Feb2011

Mar2011

Apr2011

May2011

Jun2011

Jul2011

Aug2011

Sept2011

Oct2011

Nov2011

Dec2011

Jan2012

% Much Stronger/Somewhat Stronger

Total 31% 31% 30% 30% 29% 28% 28% 28% 29% 27% 27% 28% 26% 27% 27% 26% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 24% 25%Argentina 32% 36% 35% 45% 36% 45% 42% 39% 44% 43% 42% 44% 44% 42% 45% 47% 47% 52% 52% 50% 47% 45% 42%Australia 36% 34% 30% 25% 29% 26% 27% 29% 27% 24% 23% 24% 22% 23% 20% 19% 19% 16% 16% 16% 18% 16% 19%Belgium 18% 14% 10% 14% 14% 17% 15% 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 15% 11% 14% 10% 6% 8% 8% 4% 5% 6%Brazil 79% 71% 72% 72% 69% 68% 75% 78% 76% 78% 73% 73% 67% 72% 71% 64% 71% 71% 65% 74% 72% 71% 74%Canada 38% 35% 29% 30% 32% 25% 27% 26% 27% 27% 31% 29% 28% 28% 26% 25% 24% 18% 15% 19% 19% 19% 21%China 57% 49% 51% 49% 50% 50% 50% 50% 48% 44% 49% 49% 40% 42% 44% 39% 36% 35% 44% 39% 42% 32% 39%France 5% 7% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%Germany 23% 25% 22% 21% 26% 29% 26% 31% 35% 27% 30% 28% 26% 24% 26% 22% 22% 18% 16% 12% 15% 13% 18%Great Britain 18% 21% 22% 16% 16% 15% 13% 12% 13% 12% 13% 11% 8% 10% 12% 14% 9% 9% 10% 8% 9% 7% 10%Hungary 22% 24% 23% 23% 15% 18% 18% 23% 13% 10% 12% 15% 10% 11% 7% 8% 10% 8% 6% 5% 6% 3% 5%India 66% 66% 64% 67% 59% 58% 64% 65% 65% 61% 55% 61% 55% 55% 50% 52% 43% 52% 54% 56% 50% 50% 50%Indonesia 31% 33% 36% 36% 38% 35% 35% 35% 34% 30% 26% 26% 29% 28% 32% 29% 29% 28% 29% 28% 32% 37% 32%Italy 20% 21% 17% 19% 17% 18% 16% 17% 16% 15% 18% 16% 17% 15% 15% 15% 13% 14% 10% 11% 21% 12% 15%Japan 11% 12% 12% 13% 9% 8% 6% 6% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 10% 9% 10% 7% 7% 10% 6% 7% 8%pMexico 34% 37% 44% 36% 33% 32% 35% 38% 30% 36% 33% 37% 43% 38% 41% 37% 39% 36% 34% 36% 39% 39% 36%Poland 23% 23% 20% 23% 22% 24% 19% 19% 19% 21% 12% 19% 14% 17% 13% 15% 16% 18% 19% 15% 13% 16% 16%Russia 17% 19% 17% 18% 23% 18% 21% 13% 24% 16% 16% 18% 18% 18% 16% 16% 13% 16% 15% 20% 17% 15% 17%Saudi Arabia 44% 49% 50% 41% 46% 53% 46% 48% 45% 47% 45% 52% 56% 60% 59% 60% 62% 64% 57% 53% 54% 60% 63%South Africa 38% 35% 34% 33% 36% 24% 25% 21% 27% 27% 28% 22% 16% 16% 21% 23% 17% 10% 15% 16% 20% 16% 16%South Africa 38% 35% 34% 33% 36% 24% 25% 21% 27% 27% 28% 22% 16% 16% 21% 23% 17% 10% 15% 16% 20% 16% 16%South Korea 21% 23% 24% 21% 21% 20% 22% 20% 22% 25% 22% 25% 19% 14% 17% 12% 15% 13% 15% 14% 14% 12% 11%Spain 28% 27% 26% 21% 25% 24% 22% 20% 21% 20% 20% 21% 21% 23% 22% 20% 18% 18% 15% 23% 17% 21% 18%Sweden 19% 20% 15% 21% 20% 17% 19% 21% 19% 20% 16% 21% 17% 18% 17% 16% 15% 14% 14% 11% 16% 12% 16%Turkey 32% 35% 30% 30% 32% 33% 29% 28% 27% 23% 30% 32% 28% 32% 34% 36% 38% 25% 40% 35% 28% 35% 31%United States 31% 36% 32% 27% 23% 22% 22% 24% 29% 25% 27% 27% 21% 24% 25% 22% 22% 17% 17% 16% 20% 23% 26%


The Economic Pulse

United States 31% 36% 32% 27% 23% 22% 22% 24% 29% 25% 27% 27% 21% 24% 25% 22% 22% 17% 17% 16% 20% 23% 26%


Countries Ranked and Marked By Change In Assessment From Last Month (Left Column):

L ki h d i th f d t th i l l t b h t h t

25%39%

TotalChina (+7)

Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhatstronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

39%18%

16%74%

63%

China ( 7)Germany (+5)Sweden (+4)

Brazil (+3)Saudi Arabia (+3)

26%19%

15%10%

17%

United States (+3)Australia (+3)

Italy (+3)Great Britain (+3)

R i ( 2)Green marks countries experiencing improvement;

17%5%

21%8%

6%

Russia (+2)Hungary (+2)Canada (+2)

Japan (+1)Belgium (+1)

Blue marks countries with no change from last month; Red marks countries experiencing a decline…

6%50%

16%16%

2%

Belgium (+1)India (N/C)

Poland (N/C)South Africa (N/C)

France (N/C)11%

18%42%

36%

South Korea (-1)Spain (-3)

Argentina (-3)Mexico (-3)

( 4)


The Economic Pulse

31%32%

Turkey (-4)Indonesia (-5)

Countries Ranked by Net Improvement, Decline or No Change Compared to Last Month:

L ki h d i th f d t th i l l t b h t h t

7%5%

-20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%


Looking ahead six months from now, do you expect the economy in your local area to be much stronger, somewhatstronger, about the same, somewhat weaker, or much weaker than it is now?

4%3%3%3%

Sweden (+4)Brazil (+3)

Saudi Arabia (+3)United States (+3)

3%3%3%

2%

Australia (+3)Italy (+3)

Great Britain (+3)Russia (+2)

2%2%

1%1%

Hungary (+2)Canada (+2)

Japan (+1)Belgium (+1)

0%0%0%0%

India (N/C)Poland (N/C)

South Africa (N/C)France (N/C)

-1%-3%-3%-3%

South Korea (-1)Spain (-3)Argentina (-3)Mexico (-3)


The Economic Pulse

-4%-5%

Turkey (-4)Indonesia (-5)

All Regions - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months

51%

55%60%


48%51%

45%

38%37%40%

50%

34%

25%30%

23%

19%

12%

20%

15%

10%

20%

12%

0%

10%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201



The Economic Pulse



North American Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 2

50%


38%40%

45%

31%26%

30%

35%

26%

21%20%

25%

10%

15%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2

Mar

201

0

Apr

201

0

May

201

0

Jun

2010

Jul 2

010

Aug

201

0

Sept

201

0

Oct

201

0

Nov

201

0

Dec

201

0

Jan

2011

Feb

2011

Mar

201

1

Apr

201

1

May

201

1

Jun

2011

Jul 2

011

Aug

201

1

Sept

201

1

Oct

201

1

Nov

201

1

Dec

201

1

Jan

2012


The Economic Pulse



LATAM Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months N/C

79%80%

90%


74%

60%

70%

80%

42%

34%40%

50%

32%

3 %

36%

20%

30%

0%

10%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201



The Economic Pulse



European Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 2


35%

40%

28%

25%

30%

35%

23%

18%19%

18%

20%22%

16%

20%

25%

5%

18%

10%

6%

15%

16%

10%

15%

5%

2%

6%5%

0%

5%

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

012

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20

Feb

20

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20



The Economic Pulse



APAC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 1

66%70%

80%


57%

66%

50%

60%

70%

36% 39%

50%

32% 32%

40%

50%

19%

17% 17%

21%

32%31%31%

20%

30%

11% 8%

17%11%

0%

10%

10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201



The Economic Pulse



G8 Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 3

45%

50%


38%

35%

40%

21%23%

20%

31% 26%

20%

25%

30%

18%

10%

18%

15%

11% 8%

17%17%

10%

15%

20%

5% 2%

11% 8%

0%

5%

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

012

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20

Feb

20

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20



The Economic Pulse


y y p

BRIC Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months 3

79%

74%80%

90%


74%

66%

60%

70%

50%57%

39%40%

50%

17%17%20%

30%

0%

10%

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

010

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

011

012

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20

Feb

20

Mar

20

Apr

20

May

20

Jun

20

Jul 2

0

Aug

20

Sept

20

Oct

20

Nov

20

Dec

20

Jan

20

B il R i I di Chi


The Economic Pulse



Middle East/African Countries - Citizen Consumers Who Say The Economy in the Local Area to be Stronger in The Next Six Months N/C

63%

70%


44%50%

60%

31%38%

30%

40%

32%

16%20%

30%

0%

10%

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201

Feb

201

Mar

201

Apr

201

May

201

Jun

201

Jul 2

01

Aug

201

Sept

201

Oct

201

Nov

201

Dec

201

Jan

201



The Economic Pulse



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Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test y p g p yadvertising and study audience responses to various media. They measure public opinion around the globe.

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Visit www ipsos na com to learn more about Ipsos’ offerings and capabilities


The Economic Pulse

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The Economic Pulse

Date post:	28-Nov-2014
Category:	News & Politics
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Ipsos Global @dvisor 29: The economic pulse of the world: February 2012

News & Politics