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Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong [email protected] Wednesday, February 2, 2011
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Page 1: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric

IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real?

Owen [email protected]

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 2: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Motivation:

2

Now

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 3: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Why a new protocol?(The main reason)

3

IPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space Consumption January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 20100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

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48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63

64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95

96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111

112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127

128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143

144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159

160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175

176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191

192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207

208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223

224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239

240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255

Allocated to RIR IANA Free Pool Other Uses

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 4: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Why a new protocol?(The main reason)

3

IPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space Consumption January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 20100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63

64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95

96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111

112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127

128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143

144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159

160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175

176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191

192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207

208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223

224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239

240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255

1

27

50

107

14

223

31

176 177 181

49

101

Allocated to RIR in 2010End of 2011

105

36 42

Allocated to RIR IANA Free Pool Other Uses

5

23

37

100

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 5: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Why a new protocol?(The main reason)

3

IPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space Consumption January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 20100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63

64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95

96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111

112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127

128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143

144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159

160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175

176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191

192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207

208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223

224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239

240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255

1

27

50

107

14

223

31

176 177 181

49

101

Allocated to RIR in 2010End of 2011

105

36 42

Allocated to RIR IANA Free Pool Other Uses

5

23

37

100

39

106

APNIC receives final normal IANA allocation

31 January, 2011

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 6: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Why a new protocol?(The main reason)

3

IPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space Consumption January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 20100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63

64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95

96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111

112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127

128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143

144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159

160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175

176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191

192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207

208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223

224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239

240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255

1

27

50

107

14

223

31

176 177 181

49

101

Allocated to RIR in 2010

105

36 42

Allocated to RIR IANA Free Pool Other Uses

5

23

37

100

February 3, 2011

IANA Free Pool Ends3 February, 2011

39

102 103 104 106

185179

APNIC receives final normal IANA allocation

31 January, 2011

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 7: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Why a new protocol?(The main reason)

3

IPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space ConsumptionIPv4 Address Space Consumption January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 2010January 20100 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47

48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63

64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79

80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95

96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111

112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127

128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143

144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159

160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175

176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191

192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207

208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223

224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239

240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255

1

27

50

107

14

223

31

176 177 181

49

101

Allocated to RIR in 2010

105

36 42

Allocated to RIR IANA Free Pool Other Uses

5

23

37

100

February 3, 2011

IANA Free Pool Ends3 February, 2011

39

102 103 104 106

185179

APNIC receives final normal IANA allocation

31 January, 2011

FULLYALLOCATEDWednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 8: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Challenges in observing IPv6 growth It’s very difficult to get an accurate perspective

on IPv6 deployment. Measuring IPv6 as a fraction of total internet

traffic is meaningless. Lack of IPv6 content with direct AAAA records

artificially limits traffic. Whitelisting DNS for AAAA records artificially

limits traffic.

4

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 9: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Challenges in measuring IPv6 In the early part of curve, linear and

exponential look a lot alike.

5

0

35.0

70.0

T T+1 T+2 T+3 T+4 T+5 T+6

Slow Linear Fast Linear Exponential

0

1.5

3.0

T T+.1 T+.2 T+.3 t+.4 T+.5 T+.6

IPv6 is Here

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 10: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

So what do we know?

245/295 TLDs have IPv6 Capabilities 3078 ASNs advertising IPv6 Prefixes 1,432,993 Domains with IPv6 To paraphrase R.E.M.:

6

It’s the end of v4 as we know itand I feel fine.

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 11: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

What do we know? (cont’d.)

IPv6 growth is definitely accelerating Traffic Observations within the HE network show a

continuing increase and acceleration in: Number of IPv6 prefixes advertised Number of Autonomous Systems with IPv6 IPv6 Capable Domains IPv6 traffic levels IPv6 attacks

7

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 12: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

You know the network is real when:

8

Attack traffic via 6to4 … limited by Gig-E port on each 6to4 relay box

(redacted source address -> 192.88.99.1 (6to4 anycast) -> v6 address of IRC server in US)

This attack is useless (A Gig is nothing these days).

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 13: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

IPv6 -- Not your father’s IP

9

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 14: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

05/18/2010 Hurricane Electric Page

T-Shirts as THE IPv6 Business Case?

10

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 15: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

05/18/2010 Hurricane Electric Page

T-Shirts as THE IPv6 Business Case?

11

From: <[email protected]>Date: Thu, May 27, 2010 at 11:32 PMSubject: Hurricane Electric IPv6 Update…* Attention Sages!

Hurricane Electric would like to send you an "IPv6" T-shirt!

Please log into http://ipv6.he.net/certification/, and verify your address information which will only be used for shipping out this T-shirt.

After making certain it is correct (remember to click "Update Info" if you made changes, before validating), you will see T-shirt size selections for S/M/L/XL/XXL, and a button that will submit your preferred shirt size and log that you have validated your address.

This is optional, and will only be sent to validated addresses.

We'll be adding on some points to your score for Sages that want to get a T-shirt!

We are looking to get the t-shirts out around the end of June. We need make sure to get enough of each size before sending them out to all of you. …

Hurricane Electric sends emailsaying “free IPv6 t-shirt”

for sage-level users

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 16: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

05/18/2010 Hurricane Electric Page

T-Shirts -- Not just a US Fad! Certifications by Region

http://tunnelbroker.net/usage/sages_by_country_and_state.php

12

Sage Certs Region Countries778 Europe 33684 European Comm. 22650 North America 7596 US 1

67 Asia 485 Asia 2027 South America 8

6 Africa 3

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 17: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

Q&A

Contact: Owen DeLong IPv6 Evangelist Hurricane Electric 760 Mission Court Fremont, CA 94539, USA http://he.net/ owend at he dot net +1 (408) 890 7992

?

13

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Page 18: IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? · Revised 2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric IPv6 -- How can you tell if it’s real? Owen DeLong owend@he.net Wednesday, February 2, 2011

2010 August 17 Hurricane Electric Page

The end

14

Contact: Owen DeLong IPv6 Evangelist Hurricane Electric 760 Mission Court Fremont, CA 94539, USA http://he.net/ owend at he dot net +1 (408) 890 7992

Thank you

78

Wednesday, February 2, 2011


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