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IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1....

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IV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality 4. Functional Form (tricks) 5. Estimation and Identification Griliches, Altonji-Card, Friedberg 6. Dual Labor Markets 7. Dynamics
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Page 1: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

IV. Labor Demand

1. Motivation: Income Inequality

2. Technology and Markets

3. Elasticities and Duality

4. Functional Form (tricks)

5. Estimation and Identification Griliches, Altonji-Card, Friedberg

6. Dual Labor Markets

7. Dynamics

Page 2: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

1. Motivation: Income Inequality

What’s going on?

Norms? Executive compensation? Increased trade.

Technological Change?

The Top Percentile Income Share,

1917-2008 IRS data (Saez, 2010, elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/saez-UStopincomes-2008.pdf)

Emmanuel Saez,

Berkeley Economics

Page 3: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Percentile

threshold

Income

threshold

Income

Groups

Number of tax

units

Average

income

in each

group

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)

Full

Populatio

n 143,982,000 $44,334

Median $26,171 Bottom 90% 129,583,800 $28,023

Top 10% $91,308 Top 10-5% 7,199,100 $105,647

Top 5% $124,796 Top 5-1% 5,759,280 $167,548

Top 1% $282,361 Top 1-0.5% 719,910 $332,414

IRS Tax Returns, 2004

Page 4: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

What changed?

Salaries and Business Income

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

1917

1922

1927

1932

1937

1942

1947

1952

1957

1962

1967

1972

1977

1982

1987

1992

1997

2002

Salaries Business Income

Capital Income Capital Gains

Top 0.1% Income Share 1917-2004

Page 5: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Share of top .01%,

Page 6: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Labor supply shifted? Institutions shifted? Labor demand shifted?

Page 7: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

How do these techniques help? 2. Technology and

Markets

3. Elasticities and Duality

4. Functional Form (tricks)

Find exogenous variation

in x or instrument for x

Put that x on the right

hand side

Use duality to provide an

appropriate functional

form

Interpret estimate in

context of form (e.g., an

elasticity of substitution

from a translog cost

function)

Page 8: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

5. Estimation and Identification: Capital-

skill complementarity

Griliches

(1969)

estimated

two factor

model

rejected CES

in favor of

K-skill

comlemen-

tarity

Page 9: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Griliches: K-skill

complementarity

(again)

These are not the best data, so you might be

skeptical, but the result has been repeatedly

replicated..

…pushes us to more flexible functional forms

than Cobb-Douglas and CES.

Page 10: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Immigration:

Altonji-Card

Page 11: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Endogenous

immigration?

Page 12: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Cross-section, within and IV

Page 13: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Friedberg 01: Migration to Israel

Page 14: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

The instrument – occupation abroad

Page 15: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

The result ??

Page 16: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

The result

Page 17: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Individual level results

Page 18: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Dual Labor

Markets:

Dickens & Lang

(1985)

Page 19: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Labor as Quasi-fixed

Oi (1962)

Page 20: IV. Labor Demand - University of California, San Diegoelib/250b/labdem_w2013.pdfIV. Labor Demand 1. Motivation: Income Inequality 2. Technology and Markets 3. Elasticities and Duality

Labor as Quasi-fixed

Oi (1962)


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