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January – June 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey.

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January – June 2011 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey
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January – June 2011

Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey

Firm distribution based on Annual Turnoverbased on responses received

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 10.4%

R1,5m – R11,5m 39.5%

> R11,5m 50.0%

Total 100.0%

0-1.510.4%

1.5-11.539.5%

>11.550.1%

Firm distribution based on turnover

Category by gross annual income

% of firms

0 – R1,5m 7.8%

R1,5m – R11,5m 29.7%

> R11,5m 62.5%

Total 100.0%

0-1.57.8%

1.5-11.529.7%

>11.562.5%

Firm distribution based on turnover

January – June 2011 July – December 2010

Economic ImpactCESA Membership earnings % of GDP

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

JUN97

DEC97

JUN98

DEC98

JUN99

DEC99

JUN00

DEC00

JUN01

DEC01

JUN02

DEC02

JUN03

DEC03

JUN04

DEC04

JUN05

DEC05

JUN06

DEC06

JUN07

DEC07

JUN08

DEC08

JUN09

DEC09

JUN10

DEC10

JUN11

0.0%

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.4%

0.5%

0.6%

0.7%

Relationship to Gross Fixed Capital Formation

Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

Consulting Engineering IndustryFee income, Rm Constant 2000 prices (CPI Deflated) Annualised

Jun-96 Jun-97 Jun-98 Jun-99 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-110

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Source: CESA BECS

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated), 2000 prices: Annual Change

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

97

Dec-9

7

Jun-

98

Dec-9

8

Jun-

99

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11

Dec-1

1

Jun-

11-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

CESA Confidence Index

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-9

5Ju

n-9

6Ju

n-9

7D

ec-

97

Jun-9

8D

ec-

98

Jun-9

9D

ec-

99

Jun-0

0D

ec-

00

Jun-0

1D

ec-

01

Jun-0

2D

ec-

02

Jun-0

3D

ec-

03

Jun-0

4D

ec-

04

Jun-0

5D

ec-

05

Jun-0

6D

ec-

06

Jun-0

7D

ec-

07

Jun-0

8D

ec-

08

Jun-0

9D

ec-

09

Jun-1

0D

ec-

10

Jun-1

1D

ec-

11

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

-10

10

30

50

70

90

110

% Change (Survey to Survey) Index

%

Change f

rom

pre

vio

us s

urv

ey

% R

espondents

sati

sfi

ed

Industry Confidence

Source: CESA BECS, BER

Jun-9

6

Jun-9

7

Jan-9

8

Jun-9

8

Jan-9

9

Jun-9

9

Jan-0

0

Jun-0

0

Dec-

00

Jun-0

1

Dec-

01

Jun-0

2

Dec-

02

Jun-0

3

Dec-

03

Jun-0

4

Dec-

04

Jun-0

5

Dec-

05

Jun-0

6

Dec-

06

Jun-0

7

Dec-

07

Jun-0

8

Dec-

08

Jun-0

9

Dec-

09

Jun-1

0

Dec-

10

Jun-1

1

Dec-

11

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Confidence

CO

NFID

EN

CE I

ND

EX

Fee inco

me (

consta

nt

pri

ces)

Consulting Engineering IndustryReal Fee income (CPI deflated) vs confidence

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-9

6

Jun-9

7

Jan-9

8

Jun-9

8

Jan-9

9

Jun-9

9

Jan-0

0

Jun-0

0

Dec-

00

Jun-0

1

Dec-

01

Jun-0

2

Dec-

02

Jun-0

3

Dec-

03

Jun-0

4

Dec-

04

Jun-0

5

Dec-

05

Jun-0

6

Dec-

06

Jun-0

7

Dec-

07

Jun-0

8

Dec-

08

Jun-0

9

Dec-

09

Jun-1

0

Dec-

10

Jun-1

1

Dec-

11

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

200030004000500060007000800090001000011000120001300014000150001600017000180001900020000Confidence Fee income Current prices

CO

NFID

EN

CE I

ND

EX

Fee inco

me,

R m

ill, c

urr

ent

pri

ces

Consulting Engineering IndustryNominal Fee income vs confidence

Source: CESA BECS

CESA Labour Cost Indicator: Y-Y Change

Source: CESA BECS

Jun-

98

Jun-

99

Jun-

00

Jun-

01

Jun-

02

Jun-

03

Jun-

04

Jun-

05

Jun-

06

Jun-

07

Jun-

08

Jun-

09

Jun-

10

Jun-

11

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs REAL fee income (CPI / LCI Deflated)

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

02,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

12,000

8,500

10,500

12,500

14,500

16,500

18,500

20,500

Income: CPI 2000 prices Income : CESA LCI 2005 pricesEmployment Revised (right axis)

Consulting Engineering IndustryEmployment vs Salary / Wage bill

Source: CESA BECS

Dec-9

7

Dec-9

8

Dec-9

9

Dec-0

0

Dec-0

1

Dec-0

2

Dec-0

3

Dec-0

4

Dec-0

5

Dec-0

6

Dec-0

7

Dec-0

8

Dec-0

9

Dec-1

00

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Salary/Wage bill (Constant) Employment - right axis

Discounting

Question: What is the prevailing discount being offered in a tendering situation to clients by your firm, benchmarked against the ECSA Guideline Fee Scales?

39% of firmsdiscounted by 20% or more

Source: CESA BECS

JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN110.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareJune 2011

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

Hydraulics

Information Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject Management

Quantity SurveyingStructural

Town planning

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months?

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareChange in the last 12 months

AgriculturalArchitecture

Mechanical building ServicesCivil

Electrical / ElectronicEnvironmental

FacilitiesGeotechnical

Industrial Process / ChemicalGIS

HydraulicsInformation Systems / Technology

MarineMechanical

MiningProject Management

Quantity SurveyingStructural

Town planning

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by Top four disciplines: R mill 2000 pricesAnnual average: 2002 – 2010

Source: CESA BECS

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Structural 475 465 551 574 801 1233 1459 1263.89

1555

Proj Mang 461 320 283 356 442 495 663 783.1 814

Mining 2 18 41 58 178 67 105 532.22 338

Civil - right axis 1926 1745 1869 2041 2392 3234 5576 4760.46

3751

100

300

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

500

1,500

2,500

3,500

4,500

5,500

Structural Proj Mang Mining Civil - right axis

Fee income earned by economic sectorPercentage market share December 2009 – June 2011

Income distribution per economic sector

Source: CESA BECS

Wat

er

Tran

spor

tatio

n

Ener

gy

Min

ing

/ Qua

rryi

ng

Educ

atio

n

Health

Tour

ism

/Lei

sure

Housing

Comm

ercial

Agricul

ture

/ Fo

rest

ry /

Fish

ing

Oth

er0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11

Fee earnings by selected sectorSmoothed |2 survey average

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN110

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

WaterTransportationEnergyHealthHousingCommercialWater

Transportation

Commercial

Housing

Energy

Source: CESA BECS

Fee earnings by sectorRm Constant prices

JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN110

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

OtherAgriculture / Forestry / FishingCommercialHousingTourism/LeisureHealthEducationMining / QuarryingEnergyTransportationWater

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by key economic sectorsJune 2005 – June 2011

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

10

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Housing

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

10

200400600800

1,0001,2001,4001,6001,8002,000

Water

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

10

5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500

Transportation

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

10

100200300400500600700800

Energy

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

10

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Commercial

Jun-

05

Jan-

06

Aug-

06

Mar

-07

Oct-0

7

May

-08

Dec-0

8

Jul-0

9

Feb-

10

Sep-

10

Apr-1

10

50

100

150

200

250

300

Health

Source: CESA BECS

E-Cape W-Cape N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l E-Cape W-Cape N-Cape F State N-W Lim Gaut Mpu Kwaz Africa Int'l

% Share 7.1 16 2.1 3.7 2.1 2.6 39.8 3.2 10.9 10.5 2

Change last 12 months -2.24 -0.29 0.48 -0.93 0.05 -0.13 6.06 0.26 -1.02 -1.84 -0.4

2.50

7.50

12.50

17.50

22.50

27.50

32.50

37.50

42.50

-3

-2

-1

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

% Share Change last 12 months

% Sh

are (b

ar)Provincial Market Share: June 2011Vs change in market share from June 2011

GA

IN

mark

et

sh

are

Income distribution per province

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by provinceHigh Capacity economies |Annualised smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-9

8

Jun-9

9

Dec-9

9

Jun-0

0

Dec-0

0

Jun-0

1

Dec-0

1

Jun-0

2

Dec-0

2

Jun-0

3

Dec-0

3

Jun-0

4

Dec-0

4

Jun-0

5

Dec-0

5

Jun-0

6

Dec-0

6

Jun-0

7

Dec-0

7

Jun-0

8

Dec-0

8

Jun-0

9

Dec-0

9

Jun-1

0

Dec-1

0

Jun-1

1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Eastern Cape Western Cape Gauteng Kwazulu Natal

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned (Constant 2000 prices)High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-98

Jun-99

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

High Capacity Lower CapacityIndex Dec-98=100

83% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSAR mill, 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed

Income distribution per province

Dec-9

8

Jun-

99

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

Jun-

01

Dec-0

1

Jun-

02

Dec-0

2

Jun-

03

Dec-0

3

Jun-

04

Dec-0

4

Jun-

05

Dec-0

5

Jun-

06

Dec-0

6

Jun-

07

Dec-0

7

Jun-

08

Dec-0

8

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

110

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

Ex-RSA - left axis RSA - right axis

87% of fees were earned in South Africa

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by type of client% Share – January – June 2011

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Central14%

Provincial12%

Local20%

Parastatals12%

Private43%

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by type of client% Share

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Jun-08 9.7 15.8 21 12.8 40.7

Dec-08 7 17.7 27.9 10.4 37

Jun-09 6.4 10.7 23 9.8 50.2

Dec-09 15.7 9.9 27.4 12.8 34.2

Jun-10 16.37 13.91 20.42 12.69 36.61

Dec-10 14.8 12 18.14 11.7 43.4

Jun-11 13.6 11.8 19.8 12.1 42.7

5.0

15.0

25.0

35.0

45.0

55.0

Jun-08 Dec-08 Jun-09 Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by type of clientR mill 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

Central Provincial Local Parastatals Private

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income earned by type of clientConstant 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods

Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months

Jun-

01

Dec-0

1

Jun-

02

Dec-0

2

Jun-

03

Dec-0

3

Jun-

04

Dec-0

4

Jun-

05

Dec-0

5

Jun-

06

Dec-0

6

Jun-

07

Dec-0

7

Jun-

08

Dec-0

8

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

110

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Public Private

Source: CESA BECS

Competition in tendering

During January – June 2011 competition for work was (Tick selection)

DEC06 JUN07 DEC07 JUN08 DEC08 JUN09 DEC09 JUN10 DEC10 JUN110.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

Very Low Low Keen Very Keen Fierce

Source: CESA BECS

Competition in tendering

During January – June 2011 competition for work was (Tick selection)

Jun-00

Dec-00

01-Jun

01-Dec

02-Jun

02-Dec

03-Jun

03-Dec

04-Jun

04-Dec

05-Jun

05-Dec

06-Jun

06-Dec

07-Jun

07-Dec

08-Jun

08-Dec

09-Jun

09-Dec

10-Jun

01-Dec2

Jun-11

% 0.999

0.999

0.975000000000001

0.989

0.98

0.993

0.99

0.982

0.991

0.978000000000001

0.987

0.971000000000001

0.995

0.991

0.976000000000001

0.969000000000001

0.986

1 0.993

0.999

0.913

0.998

0.948

87.0%

89.0%

91.0%

93.0%

95.0%

97.0%

99.0%

101.0%

Source: CESA BECS

% of Firms wanting to increase staff

New June 2005 survey

Eng O Tech Technologist Technicians Support staff

Jun'06 92.13 56.21 87.8 80.85 24

Dec'06 93.5 55.2 91.3 80.8 25.2

Jun'07 91.2 59.9 88.6 89.2 26.5

Dec'07 94.52 52.1 90.58 89.44 28.67

Jun'08 67.4 40.6 67.1 43 18.5

Dec'08 33.2 2.5 11.3 9.3 2.3

Jun'09 26.4 3.8 12.8 12.5 1.9

Dec'09 26.1 14.9 73.6 25.5 14

Jun'10 16.6 11.9 11.9 1.7 0.4

Dec'10 81.5 10.07 18.3 18.34 5.8

Jun'11 66 8.3 51.8 52.75 6.6

5.0

25.0

45.0

65.0

85.0

Source: CESA BECS

Engineering Skills Shortfall

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

De

c-9

7

Ju

n-9

8

De

c-9

8

Ju

n-9

9

De

c-9

9

Ju

n-0

0

De

c-0

0

Ju

n-0

1

De

c-0

1

Ju

n-0

2

De

c-0

2

Ju

n-0

3

De

c-0

3

Ju

n-0

4

De

c-0

4

Ju

n-0

5

De

c-0

5

Ju

n-0

6

De

c-0

6

Ju

n-0

7

De

c-0

7

Ju

n-0

8

De

c-0

8

Ju

n-0

9

De

c-0

9

Ju

n-1

0

De

c-1

0

% o

f re

sp

on

de

nts

% Wanting to increase engineers Difficulties

Fewer firms want to increase engineers

% Experiencing difficulties

Source: CESA BECS

Engineering Skills Shortfall

Dec-9

7

Jun-

98

01-D

ec

01-Ju

n

01-D

ec2

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

01-Ju

n2

01-D

ec3

02-Ju

n

02-D

ec

03-Ju

n

03-D

ec

04-Ju

n

04-D

ec

05-Ju

n

05-D

ec

06-Ju

n

06-D

ec

07-Ju

n

07-D

ec

08-Ju

n

08-D

ec

09-Ju

n

09-D

ec

10-Ju

n

10-D

ec

Jun-

110.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

% Wanting to increase engineers% of firms experiencing difficulties in recruiting engineers

Source: CESA BECS

Recruitment problems

Eng O Tech Technolo-gist

Technicians Other PDI Eng PDI Tech PDI Techno

Jun'08 97 56 89 40 21 96 68 96

Dec'08 97.81 51.6 63.48 57.64 6.2 98.08 57.76 97.66

Jun'09 95.9 41.15 84.3 70.6 1.6 97.3 82.6 91.7

Dec'09 83.1 33.7 79.9 34.3 0.08 98.4 35.3 95.3

Jun'10 52.7 15.6 41.2 28.8 42.9 60.9 27.8 60.5

Dec'10 86.7 17 25 10 0.4 98 48 35

Jun'11 62.4 56 27.5 31.5 10.8 83 79 68.8

10.0

30.0

50.0

70.0

90.0

110.0

Source: CESA BECS

Bursaries% of Salary / Wage bill

Dec-9

6

01-Ju

n

01-Ju

n2

Jun-

00

01-Ju

n3

02-Ju

n

03-Ju

n

04-Ju

n

05-Ju

n

06-Ju

n

07-Ju

n

08-Ju

n

09-Ju

n

10-Ju

n

Jun-

110.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

Source: CESA BECS

BursariesR mill 2000 prices (Annualised)

Dec-9

6

Dec-9

7

01-Ju

n

01-D

ec

01-Ju

n2

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

01-Ju

n3

01-D

ec4

02-Ju

n

02-D

ec

03-Ju

n

03-D

ec

04-Ju

n

04-D

ec

05-Ju

n

05-D

ec

06-Ju

n

06-D

ec

07-Ju

n

07-D

ec

08-Ju

n

08-D

ec

09-Ju

n

09-D

ec

10-Ju

n

10-D

ec

Jun-

110.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

90.0

Source: CESA BECS

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) % of Payroll

Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'110.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

40.0%

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

le

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

le

Source: CESA BECS

Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Jun'05 Dec'05 Jun'06 Dec'06 Jun'07 Dec'07 Jun'08 Dec'08 Jun'09 Dec'09 Jun'10 Dec'10 Jun'110.0

500.0

1000.0

1500.0

2000.0

2500.0

3000.0

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

le

Dat

a no

t ava

ilab

le

Source: CESA BECS

Training (Direct costs)% of Payroll

Dec-9

7

Jun-

98

Dec-9

8

Jun-

99

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

Jun-

01

Dec-0

1

Jun-

02

Dec-0

2

Jun-

03

Dec-0

3

Jun-

04

Dec-0

4

Jun-

05

Dec-0

5

Jun-

06

Dec-0

6

Jun-

07

Dec-0

7

Jun-

08

Dec-0

8

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

110.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

Source: CESA BECS

Training (Direct costs)Rand millions, Constant 2000 prices

Dec-9

7

Jun-

98

Dec-9

8

Jun-

99

Dec-9

9

Jun-

00

Dec-0

0

Jun-

01

Dec-0

1

Jun-

02

Dec-0

2

Jun-

03

Dec-0

3

Jun-

04

Dec-0

4

Jun-

05

Dec-0

5

Jun-

06

Dec-0

6

Jun-

07

Dec-0

7

Jun-

08

Dec-0

8

Jun-

09

Dec-0

9

Jun-

10

Dec-1

0

Jun-

110.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

140.0

Source: CESA BECS

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

0.60

0.70

0.80

0.90

1.00

Jun-

98

Jan-

99

Jun-

99

Dec

-99

Jun-

00

Dec

-00

Jun-

01

Dec

-01

Jun-

02

Dec

-02

Jun-

03

Dec

-03

Jun-

04

Dec

-04

Jun-

05

Dec

-05

Jun-

06

Dec

-06

Jun-

07

Dec

-07

Jun-

08

Dec

-08

Jun-

09

Dec

-09

Jun-

10

Dec

-10

Jun-

11

Uti

lisa

tio

n

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

Net

% c

han

ge

exp

ecti

ng

in

crea

se

Net % Change Utilisation

Industry Capacity UtilisationOf existing technical staff

Source: CESA BECS

Fee income outstanding for longer than 90 daysDecember 2010

Source: CESA BECS

Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days% of total fee income earned Including foreign clients

Dec-99

Jun-00

Dec-00

Jun-01

Dec-01

Jun-02

Dec-02

Jun-03

Dec-03

Jun-04

Dec-04

Jun-05

Dec-05

Jun-06

Dec-06

Jun-07

Dec-07

Jun-08

Dec-08

Jun-09

Dec-09

Jun-10

Dec-10

Jun-11

0

5

10

15

20

25

Sur-

vey

am

ended

to

in-

clude

for-

eig

n

clie

nts

Source: CESA BECS

Change in late payments, by client (Current prices)June 2011 vs December 2010

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

90 Days > 90 days

Central Provincial Local Parastatals_90d Private Foreign

-40.0%

-20.0%

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%1300% (original input) / 177% (revised input)

Source: CESA BECS

Escalation trendsYear-on-Year % Change

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

An

nu

al C

han

ge,

%

% 8.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 9.2 5.9 1.4 3.4 4.6 6.6 11.6 7.13 4.3 4.8 5.5 5.7 5.9 5.9

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Based on headline consumer inflation

(CPI)Forecasts Industry

Insight Economist Poll

CPI B

ask

et

Revis

ed

in January

2

00

9Source: CESA BECS

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed)

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

LUC 15.2% 11.4% 22.5% 21.8% 9.2% -1.9% 3.7% 15.0% 8.0% 2.9% 4.3% 14.3% 21.5% 11.3% 5.3% 7.2% 9.5% 10.6% 9.1% 10.2% 17.8% 25.5% 20.6% 10.7% 4.3% 7.8% 8.5%

J un-98

Dec-98

J un-99

Dec-99

J un-00

Dec-00

J un-01

Dec-01

J un-02

Dec-02

J un-03

Dec-03

J un-04

Dec-04

J un-05

Dec-05

J un-06

Dec-06

J un-07

Dec-07

J un-08

Dec-08

J un-09

Dec-09

J un-10

Dec-10

J un-11

Source: CESA BECS

Consulting Engineering ProfessionLabour unit cost indicator: Annual Average Y-Y Chg

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

LUC 22.2% 3.7% 9.4% 5.4% 9.3% 16.3% 6.30% 10% 9.65% 21.67% 15.64% 4.30% 7.80%

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jun-10 Dec-10

Source: CESA BECS

Typical Employment BreakdownJanuary – June 2011

Professional Engineer Pr.Eng

Professional Architects

Professional Quantity Surveyors

Professional Other

Technologists Pr TEchENg

Technicians PrTechni

Unregistered technical staff: Engineer

Unregistered technical staff: Technologist

Unregistered technical staff: Technician

Unregistered technical staff: Other

Technical Assistants

Draughtspersons

Laboratory / Survey Assistants

Administration / Support staff

Total

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Source: CESA BECS

Typical Employment profile: June 2011

Total employment 19 937

Source: CESA BECS

'Dec-03Dec-04Jun-05

Dec-05Jun-06

Dec-06Dec-07Jun-08

Dec-08Jun-09

Dec-09Jun-10

Dec-10

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Black Coloured Asian White

Overall Employment Breakdown, by raceDecember 2003 – June 2011

Source: CESA BECS

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%D

ec

-99

Ju

n-0

0

De

c-0

0

Ju

n-0

1

De

c-0

1

Ju

n-0

2

De

c-0

2

Ju

n-0

3

De

c-0

3

Ju

n-0

4

De

c-0

4

Ju

n-0

5

De

c-0

5

Ju

n-0

6

De

c-0

6

Ju

n-0

7

De

c-0

7

Ju

n-0

8

De

c-0

8

Ju

n-0

9

De

c-0

9

Ju

n-1

0

De

c-1

0

Ju

n-1

1

%Employment profile: Black only (excluding Asian / Coloureds) representation of total employment % Share of total employment

Source: CESA BECS

Professional Indemnity InsuranceRisk profile

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

%

Dec-07 65.2% 30.3% 4.6%

Jun-08 58.7% 39.7% 1.6%

Dec-08 65.8% 34.2% 0.0%

Jun-09 71.4% 28.6% 0.0%

Dec-09 75.0% 17.5% 7.5%

Dec-10 66.7% 33.3% 0.0%

Jun-11 60.0% 37.8% 2.2%

Low Medium High

Source: CESA BECS

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%J

UN

06

DE

C0

6

JU

N0

7

DE

C0

7

JU

N0

8

DE

C0

8

JU

N0

9

DE

C0

9

DE

C1

0

DE

C1

1

%

Pty Ltd CC Partnership

Equity Distribution by firm type

Source: CESA BECS

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

JU

N0

6

DE

C0

6

JU

N0

7

DE

C0

7

JU

N0

8

DE

C0

8

JU

N0

9

DE

C0

9

JU

N1

0

DE

C1

0

JU

N1

1

Ownership / Equity: % Share of total employmentPTY, CC & Partnerships

Source: CESA BECS

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

JU

N0

6

DE

C0

6

JU

N0

7

DE

C0

7

JU

N0

8

DE

C0

8

JU

N0

9

DE

C0

9

JU

N1

0

DE

C1

0

JU

N1

1

Bla

ck

eq

uit

y a

s %

of

tota

l Eq

uit

y

Black equity as % of total equity 2 per. Mov. Avg. (Black equity as % of total equity)

Black Ownership / Equity: % Share of total ownership / equityPTY, CC & Partnerships

Black, including Asian & ColouredSource: CESA BECS

DEC07 DEC08 DEC09 DEC10 JUN110.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

WomenBlack women

Black including Coloured & Asian

Women contribution to ownership and equity% of total ownership / equity (PTY, CC and Partnerships)

Source: CESA BECS

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

Pty_exec

Pty_nonexec

Member of CC

Partner

%

Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Jun-11

Jun-11 15.3% 55.2% 37.0% 22.2%

Dec-10 15.2% 35.9% 45.5% 12.5%

Dec-09 19.6% 88.9% 51.8% 0.0%

Dec-08 13.5% 81.5% 36.8% 0.0%

Dec-07 16.9% 55.0% 24.1% 0.0%

Pty_exec Pty_nonexec Member of CC Partner

Black ownership / equity as % of total ownership / equity by type of companyDecember 2007 – December 2010

Black includes Asian and Coloureds

Source: CESA BECS

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

%

J un-08 100.0% 72.7% 94.4% 75.0% 84.0%

Dec-08 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 75.0% 84.0%

Jun-09 100.0% 93.3% 100.0% 75.0% 93.0%

Dec-09 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Dec-10 100.0% 93.0% 100.0% 100.0% 97.4%

Jun-11 92.0% 100.0% 100.0% 87.0% 95.0%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

Quality Management System

Source: CESA BECS

0.0%

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

%

J un-08 81.8% 36.0% 11.0% 0.0% 30.1%

Dec-08 87.5% 46.7% 20.0% 0.0% 42.0%

Jun-09 90.0% 20.0% 20.0% 12.5% 34.8%

Dec-09 90.9% 42.1% 14.3% 16.7% 45.2%

Dec-10 92.3% 25.0% 0.0% 20.0% 45.0%

Jun-11 53.8% 55.6% 57.1% 12.5% 47.8%

Large Medium Small Micro Total

ISO 9001:2008 Certificate

Source: CESA BECS

Thank youwww.cesa.co.za

Tel: 011 463 2022


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