What’s New ⇒ 1 JGB Issuance Plan for FY2017 2 FY2017 Budget and Tax Reform Monthly Topic ⇒ 1 Revision of Japanese National Accounts (JSNA) 2 Breakdown by JGBs (including T-Bills) Holders (end of Sep.2016)
WHAT’S NEW
1. JGB Issuance Plan for FY2017
The Ministry of Finance formulated the JGB Issuance Plan for FY2017 on December 22, 2016. The details of the issuance plan are as follows:
(Note1)Figures may not sum up to total because of rounding. (Note2) "JGB Market Issuance (Calendar Base)" refers to JGBs issued by scheduled auctions from April to next March. (Note3)Non-price competitive auction II is an auction carried out after the price-competitive auction, etc. The price offered is equal to the
weighted average accepted price in the price-competitive auction, etc. Only the JGB Market Special Participants are eligible to bid in this auction (The amount assignable to each Market Special Participant does not exceed 15% of the amount awarded to it in the price-competitive auction, etc.). The figure in the non-price competitive auction II in the FY 2017 is calculated by multiplying the figure of the JGB Market Issuance (40-Year, 30-Year, 20-Year, 10-Year, 5-Year, 2-Year Bonds and Inflation-Indexed Bonds) by 7%.
(Note4) "Adjustment between fiscal years" refers to leveling-off of issuance amount between fiscal years through front-loading issuance and deferred issuance in the accounting adjustment term.
The Ministry of Finance www.mof.go.jp
Monthly Newsletter of the Ministry of Finance, Japan JAPANESE GOVERNMENT BONDS
Jan. 2017 Contents 1. What’s New
Monthly Topic IR Special Office
…P.1 2. JGB Primary
Market …P.5
3. The Auctions for
Enhanced-Liquidity and JGB Buy-Back
…P.6 4. JGB Secondary
Market …P.7
5. Investor Trends and
JGB Outstanding …P.9
6. Economic and
Financial Trends …P.13
7. Information
…P.14
This Month’s Special!
・The capacity for the buy-back operations is up to approximately 1 trillion yen in FY2017. Details of the buy-back operations will be determined by taking market conditions into consideration, based on a discussion with market participants.
・The maximum amount of front-loading issuance of Refunding Bonds in FY2017 is 56 trillion yen.
WHAT’S NEW
(Unit: billion yen)
(Unit: billion yen)
<Breakdown by Legal Grounds>
<Breakdown by Financing Methods>
(a) (b) (b)-(a) (c) (c)-(a) (c)-(b)
34,432.0 39,034.6 4,602.6 34,369.8 -62.2 -4,664.8
6,050.0 8,901.4 2,851.4 6,097.0 47.0 -2,804.4
28,382.0 30,133.2 1,751.2 28,272.8 -109.2 -1,860.4
2,156.4 1,903.7 -252.7 1,514.5 -641.9 -389.2
16,500.0 19,600.0 3,100.0 12,000.0 -4,500.0 -7,600.0
109,114.4 109,261.6 147.1 106,079.0 -3,035.4 -3,182.5
83.2 - -83.2 1,911.8 1,828.6 1,911.8
162,202.8 169,799.9 7,597.0 153,963.3 -8,239.5 -15,836.5
Special Deficit-Financing Bonds
Construction Bonds
FY2016(Initial)
FY2016(3rd Supplementary
Budget)
FY2017(Initial)
Refunding Bonds
For matured Reconstruction Bonds
Reconstruction Bonds
FILP Bonds
Newly-issued bonds
Total
(a) (b) (b)-(a) (c) (c)-(a) (c)-(b)
JGB Market Issuance (Calendar Base) 147,000.0 147,000.0 - 141,200.0 -5,800.0 -5,800.0
Non-Price Competitive Auction II 5,620.0 8,699.4 3,079.4 7,462.0 1,842.0 -1,237.4
Adjustment between fiscal years -417.2 2,900.5 3,317.7 -698.7 -281.5 -3,599.1
152,202.8 158,599.9 6,397.0 147,963.3 -4,239.5 -10,636.5
Nonmarketable JGBs for Retail Investors 1,900.0 3,150.0 1,250.0 2,950.0 1,050.0 -200.0
OTC Sales for Households 100.0 50.0 -50.0 50.0 -50.0 -
2,000.0 3,200.0 1,200.0 3,000.0 1,000.0 -200.0
8,000.0 8,000.0 - 3,000.0 -5,000.0 -5,000.0
162,202.8 169,799.9 7,597.0 153,963.3 -8,239.5 -15,836.5
FY2016(Initial)
FY2016(3rd Supplementary
Budget)
FY2017(Initial)
Subtotal for Households
Subtotal Financed in the Market
BOJ Rollover
Total
〈Main Points in FY2017〉 The calendar-based issuance to the market for FY2017 is to be reduced by 5.8 trillion yen (from FY
2016 initial JGB Issuance Plan), mainly based on the decrease in the total issuance of JGBs by 8.2 trillion yen (from FY 2016 initial JGB Issuance Plan).
Maturity structure is designed to reflect investor demands appropriately, so that the current low interest rate situation should be utilized smoothly and effectively. ・ Super long-term (over 10 years):Effectively increased, combining normal auctions and
“Auctions for Enhanced-Liquidity” - Decrease in 20-year (-1.2 trillion yen), increase in 40-year(+0.6 trillion yen) - Increase in Auctions for Enhanced-Liquidity for Super long-term(+1.2 trillion yen)
・ Long-term(10-year JGBs):Decreased, reflecting weakened demand in a low interest rate environment(- 1.2 trillion yen)
・ Short- to Medium-term(5, 2-year JGBs and 1-year TBs):Importantly decreased, based on diminished demand under negative interest rate situation(- 4.8 trillion yen)
The amount of Auctions for Enhanced-Liquidity is to be increased in remaining maturity zones where strong market demands for improved liquidity exist. ・ 0.6 trillion yen is to be added to 5-15.5 year zone and 15.5-39 year zone, respectively (+1.2
trillion yen in total).
2. FY2017 Budget and Tax Reform
On December 22, 2016, the Cabinet decided the draft FY2017 Budget with intent to continuously pursue both economic revitalization and fiscal consolidation. For more details, see; http://www.mof.go.jp/english/budget/budget/index.html The Cabinet also decided the FY2017 Tax Reform plan to increase Japan’s growth potential, encourage wage hikes and enhance capital investment. This reform plan includes expansion of the tax exemption scheme concerning cross-border Repo Transactions (Bond Gensaki Transactions). We will explain this scheme in the coming newsletter.
WHAT’S NEW
(Unit: trillion yen) <Market Issuance Plan by JGB Types>
-2 -
For more details, see; http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/plan/e121222.html
(b)-(a) (c)-(b)
0.4 × 2 times
0.5 × 4 times
2.0 × 2 times 2.0 × 2 times 1.9 × 2 times
2.1 × 10 times 2.1 × 10 times 2.0 × 10 times
9.6 9.6 ─ 10.8 1.2
─ -5.8Total 147.0 147.0 141.2 -5.8
─
Auctions forEnhanced-Liquidity
1.2
0.4 × 4 times 1.6 -0.40.4 × 4 times 1.6 -0.410-Year
Inflation-Indexed0.5 × 4 times 2.0
-1.2
TBs (1-Year) 25.0 25.0 ─ 23.8 -1.2 -1.2
2.2 × 12 times 26.4 -1.22.3 × 12 times 27.6 ─
times 26.4 -2.4 -2.4
2-Year 2.3 × 12 times 27.6
times 28.8 ─ 2.2 × 12
-1.2
5-Year 2.4 × 12 times 28.8 2.4 × 12
2.3 × 12 times 27.6 -1.22.4 × 12 times 28.8 ─
times 12.0 -1.2 -1.2
10-Year 2.4 × 12 times 28.8
times 13.2 ─ 1.0 × 12
─
20-Year 1.1 × 12 times 13.2 1.1 × 12
0.8 × 12 times 9.6 ─ 0.8 × 12 times 9.6 ─ 30-Year 0.8 × 12 times 9.6
× 6 times 3.0 0.6 0.2
(c)-(a)
40-Year 0.4 × 6 times 2.4 2.8 0.4 0.5
FY2016 (Initial) FY2016 (Revised in September) FY2017 (Initial)
(per time) (total ; a ) (per time) (total ; b ) (per time) (total ; c)
(Note4) Details of Auctions for Enhanced-Liquidity such as the allocation of issuance amount for each zone may beadjusted in a flexible manner in response to market environment and investor demands, based on discussionwith market participants.
(Note2) The total issuance of T-Bills (Treasury Bills + Financing Bills ) is to be 2.3 trillion yen per issue.
(Note3) 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Bonds (JGBis) will be issued in April, August, October and February. The issuanceamount of 10-Year Inflation-Indexed Bonds may be adjusted in a flexible manner in response to marketenvironment and investor demands, based on discussion with market participants.
(Note1) 40-Year Bonds will be issued in May, July, September, November, January and March. <Details of Auctions for Enhanced-Liquidity> Compared to
FY2016
15.5-39 Year 2.4
1-5 Year 1.2 1.2 ─
5-15.5 Year 6.0 6.6 0.6
3.0 0.6
FY2016(Estimates)
FY2017 (Initial)
1. Revision of Japanese National Accounts (JSNA) The second preliminary GDP estimate (Jul – Sep 2016) was released on Dec 8, 2016. Real GDP
expanded by 0.3% (annual rate 1.3%) from the previous quarter. The revised Japanese National Accounts (JSNA),
which incorporates the latest international standard on the System of National Account (SNA), is implemented in this second estimate. Modifications to JSNA include treating expenditures on research and development (R&D) as gross fixed capital formation, instead of intermediate consumption. The JSNA revision led to a 31.6 trillion yen increase
in FY2015 nominal GDP.
2. Breakdown by JGBs (including T-Bills) Holders (end of Sep.2016)
On December 19, 2016, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released the Flow of Funds Accounts of the 3rd Quarter 2016. The shares of JGB (including T-Bills, hereinafter referred to as “JGBs”) holders were updated as follows:
Development of Real GDP (Quarterly, seasonally adjusted series)
460
470
480
490
500
510
520
530
540
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
After JSNA revision
Before JSNA revision
(trillion yen)
(FY)
MONTHLY TOPIC
-3-
Nominal GDP changes due to JSNA revision
Source: Cabinet Office, Government of Japan
The total amount of JGBs outstanding decreased by 14.4 trillion yen to 1,091.0 trillion yen.
BOJ increased its holdings of JGBs by 15.8 trillion yen to 413.5 trillion yen.
Foreign Investors’ holdings of JGBs increased by 1.4 trillion yen to 111.9 trillion yen.
(The end of Jun. 2016) (The end of Sep. 2016) (Preliminary)
Total ¥1,105.4 trillion Total ¥1,091.0 trillion
(Unit: trillion yen) (Unit: trillion yen)
Source: Bank of Japan “Flow of Funds Accounts”
Note2
Note1: Change from the previous quarter (seasonally adjusted) Note2: Annual rate Note3: The Figures in () indicate contributions to Changes in GDP. Source: Cabinet Office, Government of Japan
Source: Cabinet Office, Government of Japan
Note1
(%)
20167~9 10~12 1~3 4~6 7~9
0.2 -0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 *** 1.30.3 -0.5 0.3 0.5 -0.0 *** -0.0
(0.3) (-0.5) (0.3) (0.5) *** (-0.0) ***0.3 -0.7 0.1 0.9 -0.1 (-0.1) -0.40.5 -0.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 (0.2) 1.30.5 -0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 (0.2) 1.3
Excluding imputed Rent 0.6 -1.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 (0.1) 1.31.8 -1.2 1.3 3.5 2.6 (0.1) 10.90.6 0.4 -0.3 1.4 -0.4 (-0.1) -1.4
(-0.2) (-0.1) (-0.1) (0.2) *** (-0.3) ***0.2 0.0 1.0 -0.6 0.3 (0.1) 1.00.4 0.7 1.3 -1.1 0.3 (0.1) 1.2
-0.5 -2.8 -0.7 1.6 0.1 (0.0) 0.3(-0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (-0.0) *** (-0.0) ***(-0.1) (0.1) (0.4) (-0.1) *** (0.3) ***
2015 20167~9
Gross Domestic Product
Domestic Demand
Private DemandPrivate Consumption
Consumption of Households
Private Residential InvestmentPrivate Non-Resi. InvestmentChange in Private Inventory
Public DemandGovernment ConsumptionPublic InvestmentChange in Public Inventory
Net Exports of Goods & Services
1.1
-0.4 -0.4
0.1
1.2 1.1
0.6
-0.2
1.2
-1.8
-0.2
0.5
1.5
-0.1
0.2
-0.4
0.7 0.50.3
-3.5
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(%)
Private Demand Public DemandForeign Demand Real GDP
Contributions to change from the previous quarter (Seasonally adjusted)
General Government
(ex Public Pensions)
2.5
0.2%Fiscal Loan Fund
0.0
0.0%
BOJ
397.7
36.0%
Banks,etc.
264.3
23.9%
Life and Non-life
Insurance
218.9
19.8%
Public Pensions
52.7
4.8%
Pension Funds
34.3
3.1%
Foreigners
110.5
10.0%
Households
14.0
1.3%
Others
10.6
1.0%
General Government
(ex Public Pensions)
2.4
0.2% Fiscal Loan Fund
0.0
0.0%
BOJ
413.5
37.9%
Banks,etc.
244.0
22.4%
Life and Non-life
Insurance
211.8
19.4%
Public Pensions
51.0
4.7%
Pension Funds
33.0
3.0%
Foreigners
111.9
10.3%
Households
13.3
1.2%
Others
10.1
0.9%
For more details, see; http://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/data/sokuhou/files/2016/toukei_2016.html
Happy New Year! May this be a happy and fruitful year for you all! In this column, I would like to introduce the New Year customs in Japan. In Japan, as some of you might know, we usually have the New Year holidays from January 1st to 3rd, which are called “Oshogatsu.” We have various customs such as “Hatsumode” (visiting a shrine or a temple), “Otoshidama” (New Year’s gift from seniors to juniors), and “Hagoita” (Battledore, a game like badminton) during the holidays. On the other hand, we also have customs that we “must not do.” They are housework including housecleaning. Japanese people traditionally believe that a god called “Toshigami-sama” comes to their houses in the New Year, and they have to welcome this god. In this regard, cleaning the house is considered as an act of driving the god away. In addition, the New Year holidays are considered as a period to free people from housework. Therefore, most Japanese people still have customs to clean their houses and to cook traditional dishes called “Osechi” (please see picture) around the end of the year so that they do not need to do it in the New Year. The origins of the customs above are merely some of the theories. It is very interesting that all the customs we thoughtlessly follow have different origins. Do you have your own New Year customs? Do you know their origins?
Looking back on our IR activity after the annual personnel reshuffling in last July, we conducted 4 overseas IR tours covering 11 countries and 14 cities to meet with debt management authorities and investors such as central banks and pension funds. Also, we had meetings with many foreign investors in Japan. Thank you for having given us precious opportunities. We were able to hear your valuable comments. We will unite to carry out JGB IR activities continuously in 2017, and we look forward to meeting you!
-4-
IR SPECIAL OFFICE
If you have any questions regarding the contents of this newsletter, please do not hesitate to contact us at: [email protected]
<Picture>
Auction Results
(Bonds)
Auction Date Type of Security Issue Number Maturity Date Nominal
Coupon
Amounts of Competitive
Bids (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids
Accepted (billion yen)
Yield at the Lowest
Accepted Price
Yield at the Average
Price
Amounts of Non-Competitive Bids Tendered
/Accepted (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted at the
Non-price- competitive Auction Ⅰ (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted at the
Non-price- competitive Auction Ⅱ (billion yen)
10/4/2016 10-year 344 9/20/2026 0.1% 8,288.3 2,170.9 ▲0.056% ▲0.058% 0.997 227.3 356.1 10/6/2016 10-year Inflation-Indexed Bonds 21 3/10/2026 0.1% 1,282.6 399.9 ▲0.391% - - - 25.2 10/12/2016 30-year 52 9/20/2046 0.5% 2,634.7 722.9 0.519% 0.514% - 76.3 118.9 10/14/2016 5-year 129 9/20/2021 0.1% 9,375.8 2,175.1 ▲0.201% ▲0.201% - 224.2 358.5 10/25/2016 20-year 158 9/20/2036 0.5% 3,455.8 990.6 0.367% 0.364% - 108.8 115.9 10/27/2016 2-year 370 11/15/2018 0.1% 9,188.8 2,084.5 ▲0.235% ▲0.237% - 214.8 314.6 11/8/2016 10-year 344 9/20/2026 0.1% 9,422.1 2,165.7 ▲0.055% ▲0.056% 1.167 232.5 358.7 11/10/2016 30-year 52 9/20/2046 0.5% 2,526.7 722.2 0.519% 0.511% - 76.6 0.0 11/15/2016 5-year 129 9/20/2021 0.1% 7,722.5 2,169.0 ▲0.150% ▲0.160% 0.100 230.6 0.0 11/17/2016 20-year 158 9/20/2036 0.5% 3,169.4 999.3 0.477% 0.456% - 100.2 131.8 11/25/2016 40-year 9 3/20/2056 0.4% 1,488.1 499.7 0.725% - - - 74.1 11/29/2016 2-year 371 12/15/2018 0.1% 8,895.4 2,080.9 ▲0.154% ▲0.156% - 218.4 307.4 12/1/2016 10-year 345 12/20/2026 0.1% 8,300.1 2,198.1 0.040% 0.032% 3.250 198.2 13.5 12/8/2016 30-year 53 12/20/2046 0.6% 2,064.6 723.9 0.633% 0.617% - 75.7 0.0 12/13/2016 5-year 130 12/20/2021 0.1% 9,738.0 2,174.7 ▲0.057% ▲0.063% - 224.7 65.5 12/15/2016 20-year 159 12/20/2036 0.6% 3,323.3 993.1 0.656% 0.645% - 105.9 142.2
Auction Results (Treasury Discount Bills)
Auction Date Type of Security Issue Number Maturity Date
Amounts of Competitive Bids
(billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted
(billion yen)
Yield at the Lowest
Accepted Price
Yield at the Average
Price
Amounts of Bids Accepted at the
Non-price- competitive Auction Ⅰ (billion yen)
10/5/2016 6-month 637 4/10/2017 13,299.30 3,176.27 ▲0.3643% ▲0.3743% 323.70 10/6/2016 3-month 638 1/16/2017 15,985.40 3,992.38 ▲0.3120% ▲0.3274% 387.60 10/13/2016 3-month 639 1/23/2017 14,882.75 3,947.27 ▲0.2735% ▲0.2925% 402.70 10/18/2016 1-year 640 10/20/2017 10,591.60 2,269.29 ▲0.3080% ▲0.3219% 230.70 10/20/2016 3-month 641 1/30/2017 16,525.90 3,986.37 ▲0.2493% ▲0.2545% 393.60 10/27/2016 3-month 642 2/6/2017 14,948.30 3,981.97 ▲0.2456% ▲0.2568% 398.00 11/2/2016 3-month 643 2/13/2017 15,015.30 3,991.43 ▲0.2568% ▲0.2623% 408.50 11/8/2016 6-month 644 5/12/2017 13,692.50 3,171.37 ▲0.2947% ▲0.3066% 328.60 11/10/2016 3-month 645 2/20/2017 15,031.00 3,982.56 ▲0.2661% ▲0.2765% 387.40 11/16/2016 1-year 646 11/20/2017 8,434.10 2,279.69 ▲0.2500% ▲0.2749% 220.30 11/17/2016 3-month 647 2/27/2017 14,561.95 3,977.15 ▲0.2716% ▲0.2891% 392.80 11/24/2016 3-month 648 3/6/2017 14,671.40 4,015.14 ▲0.2754% ▲0.2873% 404.80 12/1/2016 3-month 649 3/13/2017 18,534.80 3,982.00 ▲0.3330% ▲0.3408% 418.00 12/7/2016 6-month 650 6/12/2017 9,916.55 3,181.37 ▲0.3523% ▲0.3603% 318.60 12/8/2016 3-month 651 3/21/2017 16,206.20 3,990.87 ▲0.3903% ▲0.4032% 419.10 12/15/2016 3-month 652 3/27/2017 14,181.00 4,011.25 ▲0.3925% ▲0.4196% 418.70 12/16/2016 1-year 653 12/20/2017 6,196.80 2,294.98 ▲0.3000% ▲0.3388% 205.00 12/21/2016 3-month 654 4/6/2017 14,995.90 4,022.87 ▲0.3952% ▲0.4125% 407.10
Auction Calendar for Dec. 2016 – Feb. 2017 Auction Date Issue Auction Date Issue Auction Date Issue Auction Date Issue 12/1(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 12/27(Tue) 2-year 1/26(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 2/16(Thu) Auctions for Enhanced-liquidity 12/1(Thu) 10-year 1/5(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 1/26(Thu) Auctions for Enhanced-liquidity 2/21(Tue) Auctions for Enhanced-liquidity 12/6(Tue) Auctions for Enhanced-liquidity 1/5(Thu) 10-year 1/30(Mon) 2-year 2/23(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 12/7(Wed) T-Bills (6-month) 1/6(Fri) T-Bills (6-month) 2/2(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 2/23(Thu) 20-year
12/8(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 1/11(Wed) 30-year 2/2(Thu) 10-year 2/28(Tue) 2-year
12/8(Thu) 30-year 1/12(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 2/7(Tue) 10-year Inflation-Indexed Bonds
12/13(Tue) 5-year 1/13(Fri) Auctions for Enhanced-liquidity 2/8(Wed) T-Bills (6-month) 12/15(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 1/17(Tue) 20-year 2/9(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 12/15(Thu) 20-year 1/18(Wed) T-Bills (1-year) 2/9(Thu) 30-year 12/16(Fri) T-Bills (1-year) 1/19(Thu) T-Bills (3-month) 2/14(Tue) 5-year
12/21(Wed) T-Bills (3-month) 1/19(Thu) 5-year 2/15(Wed) T-Bills (1-year) 12/21(Wed) Auctions for Enhanced-liquidity 1/24(Tue) 40-year 2/16(Thu) T-Bills (3-month)
Top 10 PDs by Total Purchase in Auctions (Calculated by Duration) (Apr. 2016 ~ Sep. 2016) 1 Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities Co., Ltd. 6 SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. 2 Nomura Securities Co., Ltd. 7 BNP Paribas Securities (Japan) Limited 3 Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. 8 Deutsche Securities lnc. 4 Mizuho Securities Co., Ltd. 9 Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. 5 Merrill Lynch Japan Securities Co., Ltd. 10 Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co., Ltd.
2 JGB PRIMARY MARKET
Note.1: The above calendar may be changed or added in light of changes in circumstances. In such cases, it will be announced in advance. Note.2: Each issue amount will be announced about one week prior to each auction date.
-5-
(Until 22 December 2016)
(Until 22 December 2016)
Results of Auctions for Enhanced-Liquidity
Auction Date
Amounts of Competitive
Bids (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids
Accepted (billion yen)
Average Accepted Spread
Highest Accepted Spread
Issues Re-opened
10/18/2016 1,074.3 398.8 +0.001% +0.005% 20-year(137,139,147,150,157) 30-year(7,13,16,17,19, 20,21,22,25,26,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,41,43,48,49,50,51) 40-year(1,2,3,4,6,8)
10/20/2016 1,851.3 499.6 ▲0.015% ▲0.011% 20-year(87,88,89,106,107,108,110,120,125)
11/2/2016 986.9 199.5 ▲0.016% ▲0.013% 2-year(358) 10-year(290,291,292,294,298,299,301,302,303,304,308,315,316) 20-year(45,49,51)
11/22/2016 1,561.2 497.8 ▲0.014% ▲0.012%
10-year(319,320,321,325,328,329, 332,333,336,338) 20-year(65,66,68,69,70,71,72,73,75,76,77,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,98, 103,115,117,125,129) 30-year(2,4,5)
12/6/2016 732.1 399.7 +0.018% +0.035% 20-year(137,141,142,148,149,151,152,154,157) 30-year(7,19,20,21,23, 27,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,43,46,48,49,50,51) 40-year(2,4,8)
12/21/2016 1,798.8 498.5 ▲0.006% ▲0.003% 10-year(319,320,321,322,323,324,325,326,327,328,332,334,335,341,342) 20-year(55,64,67,68,69,70,72,75,76,79,80,84,92,95,96,117,128,129,130) 30-year(4,6)
Target Zones of the Auction for Enhanced-Liquidity for the Third Quarter of FY 2016
10-year Inflation-Indexed
Auction Date Amounts of
Competitive Bids (billion yen)
Amounts of Bids Accepted
(billion yen)
Average Accepted
Spread (yen)
Highest Accepted
Spread (yen) Issue Numbers
8/17/2016 90.9 20.1 ▲0.267 ▲0.160 17,18,20,21 10/13/2016 112.7 20.0 ▲0.402 ▲0.300 17,21
3 THE AUCTIONS FOR ENHANCED-LIQUIDITY AND JGB BUY-BACK
①Remaining maturity : approx.1‐~5‐year
③Remaining maturity : approx.15.5‐~39‐year
Note.1: JN shows 2‐year JGBs. JS shows 5‐year JGBs. JL shows 20‐year JGBs. JX shows 30‐year JGBs. JU shows 40‐year JGBs. Outstanding amount is as of the end of September 2016. Note.2: All issues in the graph above will be eligible afterward.
Buy-back Results
(Until 22 December 2016)
(Until 30 November 2016)
-6-
②Remaining maturity : approx.5‐~15.5‐year
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,5006,0006,5007,0007,500
JN35
8
JN35
9
JS10
7
JS10
8
289
JN36
0
JN36
1
JN36
2
JS10
9
JS11
0
JS11
1
290
291
292
JL38
JL39
JN36
3
JN36
4
JN36
5
JS11
2
JS11
3
293
294
295
JN36
6
JN36
7
JN36
8
JS11
4
JS11
5
296
JL40
JS11
6
297
298
JS11
7
299
300
JL41
JL42
JS11
8
JS11
9
301
302
JS12
0
JS12
1
303
304
JL43
JS12
2
305
JS12
3
306
307
JL44
JL45
JS12
4
308
309
JL46
JS12
5
310
311
JL47
JS12
6
312
JL48
JS12
7
313
314
JL49
JL50
JS12
8
315
316
JL51 31
7
318
JL52
Amount issued by the Auction for Enhanced-liquidity Outstanding amount in the market (excluding amount issued by the Auction for Enhanced-liquidity)
1 2 5
(Remaining maturities)
(billion yen)
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,5006,0006,5007,0007,500
319
320
JL53
JL54 32
132
2JL
55 323
324
JL56
JL57 32
5JL
58 326
327
JL59
JL60 32
8JL
61 329
JL62
JL63 33
033
1JL
64 332
JL65
JL66 33
3JL
67JL
68JL
69 334
JL70
JL71 33
5JL
72 336
337
JL73
JL74 33
8JL
75JL
76JL
77 339
JL78
JL79
JL80 34
0JL
81JL
82 341
JL83
JL84 34
2JL
85JL
86JL
87 343
JL88
JL89
JL90
JL91
JL92
JL93
JL94
JL95
JL96
JL97
JL98
JL99
JL10
0JL
101
JL10
2JL
103
JL10
4JL
105
JL10
6JL
107
JL10
8JL
109
JL11
0JL
111
JL11
2JL
113
JX1
JL11
4JL
115
JX2
JL11
6JL
117
JX3
JL11
8JL
119
JL12
0JL
121
JL12
2JX
4JL
123
JL12
4JL
125
JL12
6JL
127
JX5
JL12
8JL
129
JL13
0JL
131
JX6
JL13
2JL
133
JL13
4JL
135
JL13
6
Amount issued by the Auction for Enhanced-liquidity Outstanding amount in the market (excluding amount issued by the Auction for Enhanced-liquidity)
5 10 15.5
(Remaining maturities)
(billion yen)
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000
JX7
JL13
7JL
138
JL13
9JL
140
JX8
JL14
1JL
142
JX9
JL14
3JL
144
JX10
JL14
5JX
11JL
146
JX12
JL14
7JX
13JL
148
JX14
JL14
9JX
15JL
150
JX16
JL15
1JX
17JL
152
JX18
JL15
3JX
19JL
154
JX20
JL15
5JX
21JL
156
JX22
JL15
7JX
23JX
24JX
25JX
26JX
27JX
28JX
29JX
30JX
31JX
32JX
33JX
34JX
35JX
36JX
37JX
38JX
39JX
40JX
41JX
42JX
43JX
44JX
45JX
46JX
47JX
48JX
49JX
50JX
51JU
1JU
2JU
3JU
4JU
5JU
6JU
7JU
8
Amount issued by the Auction for Enhanced-liquidity Outstanding amount in the market (excluding amount issued by the Auction for Enhanced-liquidity)(billion yen)
(Remaining maturities)15.5 20 39
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Japan United States
United Kingdom Germany
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
2-year bond 5-year bond 10-year bond
20-year bond 30-year bond 40-year bond
-0.4%
-0.2%
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16
Volatility Yield (right scale)
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2015/6/302015/9/302015/12/302016/9/302016/10/312016/11/30
40353020 25151050
Note: BEI (Japan : old JGBi) is calculated based on the compound interest rate of the old Inflation-Indexed Bonds (issue number 16 with current maturity of 1 years and 7months) and the 10-Year Bonds (issue number 293 with current maturity of 1 years and 7months). BEI (Japan : 10 year) is calculated based on the compound interest rate of the new Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the 10-Year Bonds.
Source: Japan: Calculation by the Ministry of Finance based on the information on interest rates offered by NIKKEI QUICK U.S.A., U.K. : Bloomberg
4 JGB SECONDARY MARKET JGB Yield Curves
Source: Japan Bond Trading Co.,Ltd.
Yields of JGB
Long - Term Interest Rates (10Yr) Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
-7-
Yield and Volatility (10Yr)
Break-Even Inflation Rates
Source: Bloomberg, Calculation by the Ministry of Finance
(Until 30 November 2016)
(Until 30 November 2016)
(Until 30 November 2016)
(Until 30 November 2016)
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
BEI (Japan : old JGBi) BEI (Japan : 10 year)
BEI (U.K. : 10 year) BEI (U.S.A. : 10 year)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Bond-Lending
Bond-Gensaki
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Treasury Discount Bills
Medium Term Bonds
Long Term Bonds
Short-Term Interest Rates
Source: Bank of Japan; Japanese Banker Association
JGB Over-the-Counter Trading Volume (TOKYO)
Trading Volume of 10-Year JGB Futures
Repurchase Transactions
-8-
Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
Source: Tokyo Stock Exchange (until Mar.2014), Osaka Exchange (from Apr. 2014)
Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
(trillion yen)
(trillion yen)
(trillion yen)
(Until 30 November 2016)
-0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Call Rate (Uncollateralized Overnight)
TIBOR 3-months (Euro-Yen)
Basic Loan Rate
Apr 2013(Actual)
Nov 2016(Actual)
Monetary Base 155 420
JGBs 98 357
CP 1.4 2.3
Corporate Bonds 2.9 3.3
ETFs 1.7 10.7
J-REITs 0.13 0.35
Total Assets 175 471 0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Apr-12 Oct-12 Apr-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Oct-14 Apr-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16
Total Assets
Monetary Base
JGBs
QQE2QQE(trillion yen)
0
10
20
30
40
50
Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
180190200210220230240
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
160
180
200
Super long-term
Long-term
Medium-term
T-bills
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0
-1.0
1.0
3.0
5.0
Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct
City Banks
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2013 2014 2015 2016
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct
Regional banks
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2013 2014 2015 2016
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct
Life and non-life insurance companies
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2013 2014 2015 2016
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct
Foreigners
Net Purchase
Net Sale
2013 2014 2015 2016
(unit: trillion yen)(unit: trillion yen)
(unit: trillion yen) (unit: trillion yen)
-9-
Trends in Bank Assets by Types
5 INVESTOR TRENDS AND JGB OUTSTANDING Trends in JGBs Transactions (by investor type)
BOJ Trends
Regional Banks City Banks
Source: Bank of Japan
(trillion yen) (trillion yen)
Loans
Cash and Deposits
Government Bonds
Municipal Bonds
Corporate Bonds
Equities
Foreign Securities
Source: Bank of Japan
Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
59.1
63.3 67.9
55.2 55.6
55.0 52.2 49.3 46.4
52.1
58.1 56.5
61.8 67.8
77.0 78.3 76.6 81.8
86.1
82.6 81.9
81.7 78.9
83.8 81.5
84.0 87.2
93.0 97.7
94.9
100.5
108.4
109.7 110.5 111.9
7.4
8.0
8.6
6.9
7.0 6.8 6.4
6.0 5.6
6.0
6.6 6.4
7.1 7.5
8.4 8.5 8.3 8.7 9.1
8.6 8.5 8.4 8.1
8.5 8.2 8.3
8.6 9.1
9.4 9.2
9.7
10.5 10.2
10.0 10.3
20
40
60
80
100
120
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16
Amount of JGB Holdings (right)
Proportion of JGB Holdings (left)
(trillion yen)
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
%
10.3%
32.0%
47.9%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16
①Market Share of Foreign Investors (JGB Futures Market)
②Market Share of Foreign Investors (JGB Market)
③JGB Holdings by Foreign Investors
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
City Banks Trust Banks Insurance Companies Foreigners
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Short-term debt securities Long-term debt securities Equity and investment fund shares
Net
Purchase
Net
Sales
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Short-term debt securities Long-term debt securities Equity and investment fund shares
Net
Purchase
Net
Sales
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Short-term debt securities Long-term debt securities Equity and investment fund shares
Net
Purchase
Net
Sales
-10-
JGBs Holdings by Foreign Investors
Banks(Banking Accounts) Life Insurance Companies
Transactions of Domestic Securities by Non-Residents
Note: “JGB” includes T-Bills. Source: Bank of Japan
Source: Ministry of Finance Source: Japan Securities Dealers Association
Outstanding of Repurchase Agreements (by Investor types)
Transactions of Foreign Securities by Residents (by Investor types)
Source: Ministry of Finance
Foreign Investors Presence
Note.1: Quarterly basis. Note.2: “JGB” includes T-Bills. The figures of ②excludes dealers’ transactions. Source: Bank of Japan, Japan Securities Dealers Association, Tokyo Stock Exchange,
Osaka Exchange
(trillion yen)
(trillion yen)
(trillion yen)
Source: Ministry of Finance
JGB and T-Bill Holders
-11-
Breakdown by JGB and T-Bill Holders (The End of Sep. 2016 QE)
Source: Bank of Japan “Flow of Funds Accounts (Preliminary Figures)”
Note.1: "JGB" includes FILP Bonds. "T-Bill" is the sum of "Treasury Bills (TBs)" and "Financial Bills (FBs)" with a maturity of 1 year or less and TBs and FBs have been jointly issued since February 2009.
Note.2: "Banks, etc." includes "Japan Post Bank", "Securities investment trust" and "Securities Companies". Note.3: "Life and Nonlife insurance" includes Japan Post Insurance.
(trillion yen)
Breakdown of Outstanding Amount of General Bonds by Remaining Years to Maturity
T-Bill Holders
Total 119.9 trillion yen
JGB Holders
Total 971.1 trillion yen
Total 1,091.0 trillion yen
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
20.3% 18.6% 17.0% 17.8% 18.3% 18.2% 17.9% 17.3% 16.4% 15.1%
12.8% 11.5% 11.4%13.0% 12.5% 11.9% 12.4% 12.0% 11.1% 10.6%
8.3%8.2% 8.9%
8.5% 7.9% 8.6% 8.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.9%8.3% 9.0% 9.2%8.4%
9.0% 8.6% 8.1% 8.1% 8.2% 7.8%8.5% 8.6% 8.4%
8.8%8.4% 7.8%
7.8% 7.8% 7.4% 7.8%
4.2% 4.6% 5.3%
5.2%4.7%
4.9%4.4% 4.2% 5.0% 4.2%
4.8% 5.6% 5.6%
4.9%5.2%
4.6%4.5%
5.0% 4.3% 4.4%
5.8% 6.0% 5.5%
5.5%4.8%
4.8%5.3%
4.5% 4.5% 5.0%
6.3% 5.9% 6.2%
5.2%5.1%
5.6%4.7%
4.8% 5.2% 4.9%
5.4% 5.5% 5.0%
4.7%5.2%
4.4%4.3%
4.6% 4.2% 4.5%
13.8% 14.5% 14.8%
14.4%
14.4%14.9%
15.6%16.5%
17.7%18.4%
1.6% 2.0% 2.7%
3.6%
4.6%
5.8%
6.7%
7.5%8.3%
9.4%
20 yrs-
10-20 yrs
9-10 yrs
8-9 yrs
7-8 yrs
6-7 yrs
5-6 yrs
4-5 yrs
3-4 yrs
2-3 yrs
1-2 yrs
-1 yr
(trillion yen)
(at the end of FY)
531.7 541.5 545.9594.0
636.3
669.9
705.0
743.9
774.1
*years to maturity
805.4
Average
YTM* 5Y9M 6Y1M 6Y3M 6Y5M 6Y8M 7Y0M 7Y3M 7Y7M 8Y0M 8Y5M
Average YTM*
(excluding saving
bonds)5Y8M 6Y1M 6Y4M 6Y6M 6Y10M 7Y1M 7Y5M 7Y8M 8Y0M 8Y5M
General Government
(ex Public Pensions)
2.4
0.2%
Fiscal Loan Fund
0.0
0.0%
BOJ
356.8
36.7%
Banks,etc.
239.9
24.7%
Life and Non-life
Insurance
209.5
21.6%
Public Pensions
51.0
5.3%
Pension Funds
33.0
3.4%
Foreigners
55.1
5.7%
Households
13.3
1.4%
Others
10.1
1.0%
General Government
(ex Public Pensions)
0.0
0.0%Fiscal Loan Fund
0.0
0.0%
BOJ
56.7
47.3%
Banks,etc.
4.1
3.4%Life and Non-life Insurance
2.3
1.9%
Public Pensions
0.0
0.0%
Pension Funds
0.0
0.0%
Foreigners
56.8
47.4%
Households
0.0
0.0%
Others
0.0
0.0%
General Government
(ex Public Pensions)
2.4
0.2% Fiscal Loan Fund
0.0
0.0%
BOJ
413.5
37.9%
Banks,etc.
244.0
22.4%
Life and Non-life
Insurance
211.8
19.4%
Public Pensions
51.0
4.7%
Pension Funds
33.0
3.0%
Foreigners
111.9
10.3%
Households
13.3
1.2%
Others
10.1
0.9%
Types The amount of redemption at maturity Scheduled redemption date
2-Year Bonds 2,801.9 January 15
Treasury Bill 3,419.5 January 20
Total 6,221.4
Source: Ministry of Finance
Time-to-Maturity Structure of Outstanding JGB(Sep. 2016)
General Bonds Issuance Amount and Outstanding
Note 1: Issuance Amount: revenue basis, FY2004-2015: actual, FY2016 initial budget Note 2: Outstanding: nominal basis, FY2003-2015: actual, FY2016: estimates Source: Ministry of Finance
Market-held Balance of the Inflation-Indexed Bonds (as of November 30, 2016)
(trillion yen)
Scheduled redemption of JGB at maturity in January, 2017
Note.1: The figures are based on the outstanding JGBs at the end of November, 2016. Note.2: The figures are the scheduled redemption at maturity and may be different from the actual redemption due to Buy-back of JGBs. Note.3: The figures do not include "JGB for Retail Investors". Note.4: If the redemption date coincides with bank holiday, the payment of redemption is carried out on the following business day. Note.5: Figures may not sum up to total because of rounding.
(billion yen)
-12-
Source: Ministry of Finance, Bank of Japan
499.0526.9 531.7 541.5 545.9
594.0636.3
669.9705.0
743.9 774.1 805.4837.8119.9
136.8 135.6 124.6 127.1
142.4 143.1
163.1 163.3 153.6 158.0 150.5
145.7
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Outstanding (right-hand scale) Issuance Amount (left-hand scale)
62.21
102.92
76.83
63.1268.44
44.72
35.8239.7839.28
42.06
20.00
10.5711.5814.2015.9115.4817.8817.9019.7918.95
9.343.75 4.68 5.25 6.25 6.60 6.00 8.06 9.36 10.58
3.350.81 1.28 1.30 1.92 1.86 1.91 2.06 2.20 1.44
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55
(trillion yen)
(FY)
Treasury Bills2-yr bondsJGBs for retail investors (3-yr-Fixed-rate)JGBs for retail investors (5-yr-Fixed-rate)5-yr bondsInflation-Indexed bondsJGBs for retail investors (Floating-rate)10-yr bonds15-yr-floating-rate bonds20-yr bonds30-yr bonds40-yr bonds
Average remaining years to maturity: 8 years and 6 months
0100200300400500600700800900
1,0001,1001,2001,3001,4001,5001,6001,7001,8001,9002,0002,1002,200
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
(billion yen)
(issue number)
Outstanding amount (excl. BOJ holding)
BOJ holdingOld type
(without floor)
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
Jan-
09
Apr-
09
Jul-0
9
Oct
-09
Jan-
10
Apr-
10
Jul-1
0
Oct
-10
Jan-
11
Apr-
11
Jul-1
1
Oct
-11
Jan-
12
Apr-
12
Jul-1
2
Oct
-12
Jan-
13
Apr-
13
Jul-1
3
Oct
-13
Jan-
14
Apr-
14
Jul-1
4
Oct
-14
Jan-
15
Apr-
15
Jul-1
5
Oct
-15
Jan-
16
Apr-
16
Jul-1
6
Oct
-16
(billion yen)
Monthly Quarter (Mean)
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Jan-
09
May
-09
Sep
-09
Jan-
10
May
-10
Sep
-10
Jan-
11
May
-11
Sep
-11
Jan-
12
May
-12
Sep
-12
Jan-
13
May
-13
Sep
-13
Jan-
14
May
-14
Sep
-14
Jan-
15
May
-15
Sep
-15
Jan-
16
May
-16
Sep
-16
(Diffusion index)
Large enterprises/Manufacturing
Large enterprises/Non-Manufacturing
Small enterprises/Manufacturing
Small enterprises/Non-Manufacturing
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450(trillion yen)
Banknotes in Circulation
Coins in Circulation
Current Account Balances
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
(ratio)
Nov, 20161.41times
Nov, 20163.1%
Aug, 20090.42times
Jul, 20095.5%
Job opening-to-application ratio(right scale)
Unemployment rate(left scale)
0.5%
0.1%-1
0
1
2
3
4
Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
(%)
CPI
CPI excluding food (excludingalcohilic beverages) and energy
Change from the previous year
Apr.4, 2013BOJ released QQE
4.4
-1.6 -1.8
0.3
5.14.3
2.4
-0.8
4.9
-7.1
-0.8
2.1
6.3
-0.5
0.8
-1.8
2.8 1.81.3
-14.0
-12.0
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ Ⅳ Ⅰ Ⅱ Ⅲ
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
(%)
Private Demand Public Demand
Foreign Demand Real GDP
Annualized rate of Change from the previous quarter (Seasonally adjusted)
(CY)
2.3
3.2
4.3 3.8
5.4 4.4
5.5
4.1 4.3
1.8 3.3
0.9
2.1
1.1 1.6
-0.0
1.6 2.1
1.7
-1.0 -0.5
0.9
2.0 1.5
4.4 3.7
4.9
3.4
6.0
4.6
5.8
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
2009
Q1
2009
Q2
2009
Q3
2009
Q4
2010
Q1
2010
Q2
2010
Q3
2010
Q4
2011
Q1
2011
Q2
2011
Q3
2011
Q4
2012
Q1
2012
Q2
2012
Q3
2012
Q4
2013
Q1
2013
Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2014
Q1
2014
Q2
2014
Q3
2014
Q4
2015
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
Q3
2015
Q4
2016
Q1
2016
Q2
2016
Q3
Primary Income Trade BalanceServices Secondary IncomeCurrent Account
Real GDP Growth Rate
Employment Conditions
Prices
Changes in Current Account
Monetary Base Indices of Industrial Production
Total Value of Machinery Orders (Private Sector exc. Volatile orders)
TANKAN (Business Conditions)
Source: Cabinet Office "Quarterly Estimates of GDP"
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “CPI”
Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare “Employment Referrals for General Workers “, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labour Force Survey”
Source: Ministry of Finance “Balance of Payments"
Source: Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry "Indices of Industrial Production”
Source: Cabinet Office, Government Japan "Orders Received for Machinery"
(trillion yen)
6 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL TRENDS
Source: Bank of Japan "Monetary Base"
Source: Bank of Japan "Tankan"
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70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
Jan-
09Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9O
ct-0
9Ja
n-10
Apr-
10Ju
l-10
Oct
-10
Jan-
11Ap
r-11
Jul-1
1O
ct-1
1Ja
n-12
Apr-
12Ju
l-12
Oct
-12
Jan-
13Ap
r-13
Jul-1
3O
ct-1
3Ja
n-14
Apr-
14Ju
l-14
Oct
-14
Jan-
15Ap
r-15
Jul-1
5O
ct-1
5Ja
n-16
Apr-
16Ju
l-16
Oct
-16
(2010 average=100・Seasonally Adjusted Index)
Production Shipments
Inventory Inventory Ratio
English Publications on JGBs Frequency URL Debt Management
Message from the Financial Bureau As needed http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/message.htm
About JGBs As needed http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/guide.htm
About the Debt Management Policy As needed http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/about.htm
JGB Issuance Plan As needed http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/debt_management/plan/index.htm
Auction Calendar
Auction Calendar Monthly http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/auction/calendar/index.htm
Historical Data of Auction Results Each Auction http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/auction/past_auction_results/index.html
Topics
Product Characteristics of the JGB As needed http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/bond/index.html
Treasury Discount Bills (T-Bills) Annual http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/t_bill/index.htm
Japanese Government Guaranteed Bonds Annual http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/gov_guaranteed_bonds/index.htm
Interest Rate Swap Semiannual http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/swap/index.htm
Taxation of Government Bonds As needed http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/taxation/index.htm
For Individual Investors As needed http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/topics/individual/index.htm
Data
Central Government Debt Quarterly http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/reference/gbb/index.htm
Interest Rate Daily http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm
STRIPS Monthly http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/reference/jgbstat/index.htm
Dialogue with the market
Advisory Councils on Government Debt Management Each Meeting http://www.mof.go.jp/english/about_mof/councils/gov_debt_management/index.html
Meeting of JGB Market Special Participants Each Meeting http://www.mof.go.jp/english/about_mof/councils/jgbsp/index.html
Meeting of JGB Investors Each Meeting http://www.mof.go.jp/english/about_mof/councils/jgb_investor/index.html
Publications
Debt Management Report Annual http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/publication/debt_management_report/index.htm
JGB Newsletter Monthly http://www.mof.go.jp/english/jgbs/publication/newsletter/index.htm
Debt Management Policy Division, Financial Bureau, Ministry of Finance 3-1-1 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-8940 Japan
Phone: 81-3-3581-4111 Web: www.mof.go.jp
7 INFORMATION
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