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Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

Date post: 20-Mar-2017
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Page 1: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee
Page 2: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee
Page 3: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee
Page 4: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee
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Page 6: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee
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Page 10: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

WILDROSE IS A POTENT ELECTORAL FORCE

1 /13 /2 0 1 2 7 /1 3 /2 0 1 2 1 /13 /2 0 1 3 7 /1 3 /20 1 3 1 /1 3 /20 1 4 7 /13 /2 0 1 4 1 /13 /2 0 1 50

10

20

30

40

50

60PC Wildrose Liberal NDP On 3 occasions,

Wildrose has polled above 40%.

But it has never been able to maintain that strength in an election.

Page 11: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

THE PC BRAND IS STILL STRONG

0153045

5 13 15

4225

Which Reason Best Describes Why You are Voting PC? - May 4th, 2015

Page 12: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee
Page 13: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee
Page 14: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

WE’RE STRONGER UNITEDAlberta’s provincial parties consistently underperform the Conservative Party of Canada.

Fe d e r a l V o te P r o v in c i a l V o te

1150101

413,610

360,511

2015 'Conservative' Votes In AlbertaConservative Party Progressive ConservativeWildrose

Page 15: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

2015 ‘CONSERVATIVE’ VOTE – BY CITY

Calgary Federal Calgary Provincial Edmonton Federal Edmonton Provincial

300479

197876

136,132

68,728

98,014

27,868

Conservative Party Progressive Conservative Wildrose

Page 16: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

2008 ‘CONSERVATIVE’ VOTES IN ALBERTA

Fe d e r a l V o te P r o v i n c i a l V o te

822147

501,063

64,407

Conservative Party Progressive Conservative Wildrose

Page 17: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

2008 ‘CONSERVATIVE’ VOTE – BY CITY

C a lg a r y Fe d e r a l C a lg a r y P r o v in c ia l E d m o n to n Fe d e r a l E d m o n to n P r o v i n c i a l

243255207331

128,06695,572

25,436

3,376

Conservative Party Progressive Conservative Wildrose

Page 18: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

2015 PROVINCIAL ELECTION EDMONTON RESULTS BY POLL

Page 19: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

2015 FEDERAL ELECTION EDMONTON RESULTS BY POLL

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Page 30: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

TWO-THIRDS OF CONSERVATIVE ALBERTANS SUPPORT UNITY

Generally speaking, do you personally think that “uniting the right” is a good idea, or a bad idea?

ThinkHQ – March 2016 Eye On Alberta

Good Idea

Bad Idea

Not Sure

0% 5% 10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

43%

39%

19%

WildRose PC NDP Und.

N=374 N=269 N=295 N=208 

9% 20% 11% 37% 

23% 15% 76% 37% 

68% 64% 12% 26%94 49 -64 -11

Page 31: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

MOST CONSERVATIVES WANT UNITED NEW PARTY

ThinkHQ – March 2016 Eye On Alberta

What do you think would be the best way to unify the PC and Wildrose Parties?

Create a brand new party and invite members from both parties to join

Bring the two together under the Progressive Conservative Party name

Bring the two together under The Wildrose Party name

Don’t care/UnsureWildrose

Undecided

Wildrose

Undecided

Wildrose

Undecided

Wildrose

Undecided

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%24%

26%67%

29%1%1%

6%33%

10%

41%39%

22%

Page 32: Jason Kenney's Grassroots Guarantee

ALBERTANS WOULD ELECT A UNITED PARTY

Mainstreet Research – June 27th 2016 Pantheon Research – June 25th 2016Co

nserva

tive NDP

Libera

l

Albert

a Part

yOthe

r

Undeci

ded

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

43%

23%

6%3% 5%

21%

Series1

Conse

rvativ

e NDPLib

eral

Albert

a Part

yOthe

r

Undeci

ded

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

44%

21%

5% 6%2%

17%Series1


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